2014 Kansas gubernatorial election
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 County results Brownback: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Davis: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | ||||||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Kansas |
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The 2014 Kansas gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect the Governor of Kansas, concurrently with the election of Kansas' Class II U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
Incumbent Republican Governor Sam Brownback ran for re-election to a second term.[1] He was opposed in the general election by Democrat Paul Davis, the Minority Leader of the Kansas House of Representatives, and Libertarian attorney Keen Umbehr.
The election was viewed as a referendum on Brownback's aggressive tax cutting initiatives and his conservative values.[2] The consensus among The Cook Political Report, Governing, The Rothenberg Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, Daily Kos Elections, and others was that the contest was a tossup. Brownback won the election by a margin of 3.69%. Davis carried seven counties, all in eastern Kansas. As of 2024, this is the most recent time a Republican and/or a man was elected Governor of Kansas. This was also the last gubernatorial election in which a Democratic candidate won Jefferson County, as well as the last time that a candidate was elected Governor of Kansas by winning a majority of counties.
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Sam Brownback, incumbent Governor[1]
- Running mate: Jeff Colyer, incumbent Lieutenant Governor
- Jennifer Winn, businesswoman[3]
Declined
[edit]- Kris Kobach, Secretary of State of Kansas (running for re-election)[6]
- Steve Morris, former President of the Kansas Senate[7]
- Sandy Praeger, Kansas Insurance Commissioner (endorsed Paul Davis)[8][9]
Polling
[edit]| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Sam Brownback |
Jennifer Winn |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA | July 17–22, 2014 | 691 | ± 3.7% | 60% | 30% | 9% |
| SurveyUSA | June 19–23, 2014 | 508 | ± 4.4% | 55% | 37% | 8% |
Results
[edit]
Brownback
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
Winn
- 50–60%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Sam Brownback (incumbent) | 166,687 | 63.2 | |
| Republican | Jennifer Winn | 96,907 | 36.7 | |
| Total votes | 263,594 | 100 | ||
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Paul Davis, Minority Leader of the Kansas House of Representatives[11]
- Running mate: Jill Docking, businesswoman, former member of the Kansas Board of Regents and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 1996 (running for Lieutenant Governor)[12][13]
Declined
[edit]- Carl Brewer, mayor of Wichita[9]
- Jill Docking
- Tom Holland, state senator and nominee for governor in 2010[7]
- Deb Miller, former secretary of the Kansas Department of Transportation[7]
- Stephen Morris, former Republican President of the Kansas Senate[7]
- Mark Parkinson, former governor, president and CEO of the American Health Care Association and the National Center for Assisted Living[9]
- Sandy Praeger, Republican Kansas Insurance Commissioner[8][9]
- Joe Reardon, former mayor of Kansas City[9]
- Joshua Svaty, vice president of The Land Institute and former Secretary of Agriculture of Kansas[7]
Results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Paul Davis | 66,357 | 100 | |
| Total votes | 66,357 | 100 | ||
Libertarian nomination
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Keen Umbehr, attorney[14]
- Running mate: Josh Umbehr, physician and son of Keen Umbehr[15]
General election
[edit]Debates
[edit]- Complete video of debate, September 6, 2014 - C-SPAN
- Complete video of debate, October 21, 2014 - C-SPAN
Endorsements
[edit]Sam Brownback (R)
- Republican politicians
- Terry Bruce, Majority Leader of the Kansas Senate[16]
- Jan Meyers, former U.S. Representative[17]
- Democratic politicians
- Nathan Barnes, former Wyandotte County Commissioner[18]
- Other individuals
- Carly Fiorina, former CEO of Hewlett-Packard[19]
- Organizations
- National Federation of Independent Business[20]
- Kansas Rifle Association[21]
Paul Davis (D)
- Democratic politicians
- Jill Docking, businesswoman, former member of the Kansas Board of Regents and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 1996[13]
- Anthony Hensley, Minority Leader of the Kansas Senate[13]
- John E. Moore, former Lieutenant Governor of Kansas[22]
- Barbara P. Allen, former state senator, former state representative and former Assistant Attorney General of Kansas
- Denise Apt, former state representative
- Jayne Aylward, former state representative
- Ginger Barr, former state representative
- Dick Bond, former member of the Kansas State Senate
- Ken Bower, former mayor of Leavenworth
- Jim Braden, former Speaker of the Kansas House of Representatives
- Carol Brandert, member of the Salina Public Schools Board of Education
- Nancy Brown, former state representative, former member of the Kansas State Emergency Response Commission
- Pete Brungardt, former state senator and former mayor of Salina
- Mark Buhler, former state senator
- Bud Burke, former President of the Kansas Senate and former state representative
- David R. Corbin, former state senator
- Ray Cox, former state representative
- Val DeFever, former member of the Kansas State Board of Education
- Brad Dillon, Reno County Commissioner and former Hutchinson City Councilman
- Gary Denning, former member of the Salina Public Schools Board of Education and former Salina City prosecutor
- David Drovetta, former mayor of Gardner and former Gardner City Councilman
- Sandy Duncan, former state representative
- Nedra Elbl, chairwoman of the Salina Public Schools Board of Education and former President of the Kansas National Education Association
- Jane M. Eldredge, former state senator
- Roger Elliott, member of the Andover Public Schools Board of Education
- Tim Emert, member of the Kansas Board of Regents and former Majority Leader of the Kansas State
- Cindy Empson, former state representative
- Bill Falstad, former chairman of the Kansas Chamber of Commerce Board of Directors, former mayor of Fredonia and former Chairman of the Kansas Republican Party
- Ron Fox, former state representative
- Bob Frey, former judge on the Kansas Board of Tax Appeals, former Majority Leader of the Kansas State and former state representative
- Fred Gatlin, former state representative
- Crosby Gernon, Mayor of Hiawatha
- John Golden, former state representative
- Pat Grimwood, former member of the Salina Public Schools Board of Education
- John Grange, former state representative and former Chairman of the El Dorado Public Schools Board of Education
- Howard Gray, superintendent of Pratt, Plains and Kismet
- Kristin Gunn, former mayor of Salina and former Salina City Commissioner
- Steve Hale, former President of the Gardner-Edgerton USD 231 Board of Education and former Gardner City Councilman
- Floris Jean Hampton, member of the Kansas Association of Community College Trustees Board of Regents and former member of the Kansas Board of Regents
- Randall Hardy, Salina City Commissioner
- Joleen Hill, former member of the Manhattan–Ogden Board of Education
- Gennifer House, former President of the Goodland Public Schools Board of Education
- Dave Huff, former state representative
- Terrie Huntington, former state senator and former state representative
- William Kassebaum, former state representative and son of former U.S. Senator Nancy Kassebaum[13]
- Fred Kerr, former Majority Leader of the Kansas Senate
- Wendell Lady, former Speaker of the Kansas House of Representatives
- Audrey Langworthy, former state senator
- Carol Lehman, former mayor of Gardner and former Gardner City Councilwoman
- Fred Lorentz, former 31st Judicial District Judge and former state representative
- Jim Lowther, former state representative
- Bob Marshall, former state senator
- R.D. "Bob" Miller, former member of the Kansas State Parole Board and former state representative
- Robert "R.H." Miller, former Speaker of the Kansas House of Representatives
- Stephen Morris, former President of the Kansas Senate
- Lana Oleen, former Majority Leader of the Kansas Senate
- Bill Otto, former state representative
- Tim Owens, former state senator and former state representative
- Sandy Praeger, Kansas Insurance Commissioner
- Jill Quigley, former state representative
- Jim Randall, mayor pro tem of Olathe
- Gerry Ray, former state representative
- Roger Reitz, former state senator, former state representative and former mayor of Manhattan
- Marge Roberson, former mayor of Newton, former Newton City Commissioner and former Harvey County Commissioner
- Ed Rolfs, former Kansas Secretary of Revenue and former state representative
- Charles Roth, former state representative and former mayor of Salina
- Ellen Samuelson, former state representative
- Debbie Schauf, former state representative
- Gary Sherrer, former Lieutenant Governor of Kansas
- Shelby Smith, former Lieutenant Governor of Kansas
- Sheryl Spalding, former state representative and former regional vice president of the Kansas Association of School Boards
- Bob W. Storey, former state senator
- Ralph Tanner, former state representative
- Ruth Teichman, former state senator
- Lee Thompson, former United States Attorney for the District of Kansas
- Carolyn Tillotson, former state senator and former mayor of Leavenworth
- Dwayne Umbarger, former state senator
- John Vanier, former mayor of Salina and former Salina City Commissioner
- John Vratil, former state senator
- Winton A. Winter, Jr., former state senator
- Robert S. Wunsch, former state representative
- David Wysong, former state senator and former Johnson County Commissioner
- Jim Yonally, former state representative
Predictions
[edit]| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[25] | Tossup | November 3, 2014 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[26] | Lean D (flip) | November 3, 2014 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[27] | Tossup | November 3, 2014 |
| Real Clear Politics[28] | Tossup | November 3, 2014 |
Polling
[edit]| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Sam Brownback (R) |
Paul Davis (D) |
Keen Umbehr (L) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | November 1–3, 2014 | 963 | ± 3.2% | 45% | 46% | 4% | — | 4% |
| 47% | 48% | — | — | 3% | ||||
| Public Policy Polling Archived January 12, 2015, at the Library of Congress Web Archives | October 30–31, 2014 | 752 | ± ? | 44% | 48% | 5% | — | 3% |
| YouGov | October 25–31, 2014 | 1,137 | ± 4.8% | 39% | 38% | 2% | 1% | 21% |
| Fox News | October 28–30, 2014 | 907 | ± 3% | 42% | 48% | 4% | <1% | 5% |
| Survey USA | October 22–26, 2014 | 623 | ± 4% | 43% | 46% | 5% | — | 7% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | October 16–23, 2014 | 1,973 | ± 4% | 43% | 40% | — | 1% | 16% |
| NBC News/Marist | October 18–22, 2014 | 757 LV | ± 3.6% | 44% | 45% | 5% | 1% | 6% |
| 1,055 RV | ± 3% | 43% | 43% | 6% | 1% | 7% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | October 20–21, 2014 | 960 | ± 3% | 45% | 52% | — | 1% | 2% |
| Gravis Marketing | October 20–21, 2014 | 1,124 | ± 3% | 44% | 49% | — | — | 7% |
| Monmouth University | October 16–19, 2014 | 429 | ± 4.7% | 45% | 50% | — | 2% | 5% |
| Remington Research | October 9–12, 2014 | 1,091 | ± 2.97% | 48% | 45% | 3% | — | 4% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 9–12, 2014 | 1,081 | ± 3% | 42% | 42% | 6% | — | 10% |
| 44% | 45% | — | — | 12% | ||||
| Fox News | October 4–7, 2014 | 702 | ± 3.5% | 46% | 40% | 2% | 2% | 11% |
| CNN/ORC | October 2–6, 2014 | 687 | ± 3.5% | 49% | 49% | — | — | 2% |
| SurveyUSA | October 2–5, 2014 | 549 | ± 4.3% | 42% | 47% | 4% | — | 7% |
| Gravis Marketing | September 30–October 1, 2014 | 850 | ± 3% | 40% | 48% | — | — | 12% |
| NBC News/Marist | September 27–October 1, 2014 | 636 LV | ± 3.9% | 43% | 44% | 4% | 1% | 7% |
| 1,097 RV | ± 3% | 41% | 43% | 5% | 1% | 10% | ||
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | September 20–October 1, 2014 | 2,013 | ± 3% | 45% | 42% | — | 0% | 12% |
| Suffolk University Archived October 2, 2014, at the Wayback Machine | September 27–30, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 42% | 46% | 6% | — | 7% |
| Fort Hays State University | September 10–27, 2014 | 685 | ± 3.8% | 37% | 39% | 9% | — | 16% |
| Remington Research | September 23, 2014 | 625 | ± 3.91% | 44% | 46% | 5% | — | 5% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 16–17, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | 43% | 47% | — | 4% | 6% |
| Fox News | September 14–16, 2014 | 604 | ± 4% | 41% | 45% | 4% | — | 8% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 11–14, 2014 | 1,328 | ± 2.7% | 38% | 42% | 7% | — | 14% |
| 39% | 45% | — | — | 15% | ||||
| KSN/SurveyUSA | September 4–7, 2014 | 555 | ± 4.2% | 40% | 47% | 5% | — | 7% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | August 18–September 2, 2014 | 839 | ± 5% | 47% | 40% | — | 2% | 11% |
| SurveyUSA | August 20–23, 2014 | 560 | ± 4.2% | 40% | 48% | 5% | — | 6% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 14–17, 2014 | 903 | ± 3.3% | 37% | 39% | 9% | — | 15% |
| Rasmussen Reports | August 6–7, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | 41% | 51% | — | 3% | 5% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | July 5–24, 2014 | 1,274 | ± 6.1% | 52% | 40% | — | 3% | 5% |
| SurveyUSA | July 17–22, 2014 | 1,208 | ± 2.9% | 40% | 48% | 5% | — | 7% |
| SurveyUSA | June 19–23, 2014 | 1,068 | ± 3.1% | 41% | 47% | — | 5% | 7% |
| Rasmussen Reports | April 16–17, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | 47% | 40% | — | 6% | 7% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 1–2, 2014 | 886 | ± 3.1% | 41% | 45% | — | — | 14% |
| Public Policy Polling | February 18–20, 2014 | 693 | ± 3.7% | 40% | 42% | — | — | 18% |
| Wilson Perkins Allen | January 29, 2014 | ? | ± ? | 42% | 31% | — | — | 27% |
| SurveyUSA | October 23–24, 2013 | 511 | ± 4.4% | 39% | 43% | — | 12% | 6% |
Hypothetical polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Sam Brownback (R) |
Carl Brewer (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | February 21–24, 2013 | 1,229 | ± 2.8% | 44% | 40% | — | 15% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Sam Brownback (R) |
Tom Holland (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | February 21–24, 2013 | 1,229 | ± 2.8% | 45% | 38% | — | 17% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Sam Brownback (R) |
Mark Parkinson (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | February 21–24, 2013 | 1,229 | ± 2.8% | 45% | 39% | — | 16% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Sam Brownback (R) |
Joe Reardon (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | February 21–24, 2013 | 1,229 | ± 2.8% | 45% | 36% | — | 19% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Sam Brownback (R) |
Kathleen Sebelius (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | February 21–24, 2013 | 1,229 | ± 2.8% | 48% | 43% | — | 9% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Sam Brownback (R) |
Chad Taylor (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | February 21–24, 2013 | 1,229 | ± 2.8% | 44% | 34% | — | 22% |
Results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Sam Brownback (incumbent) | 433,196 | 49.82% | −13.46% | |
| Democratic | Paul Davis | 401,100 | 46.13% | +13.92% | |
| Libertarian | Keen Umbehr | 35,206 | 4.05% | +1.37% | |
| Total votes | 869,502 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Republican hold | |||||
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
[edit]- Crawford (largest city: Pittsburg)
- Jefferson (largest municipality: Valley Falls)
- Lyon (largest municipality: Emporia)
- Riley (largest municipality: Manhattan)
- Shawnee (largest municipality: Topeka)
References
[edit]- ^ a b "Brownback running for re-election". Lawrence Journal-World. June 21, 2013. Retrieved August 16, 2013.
- ^ "Brownback defeats Davis in Kansas Governor's race". Archived from the original on November 29, 2014. Retrieved November 14, 2014.
- ^ "Wichita woman enters governor's race". KAKE. January 12, 2014. Archived from the original on March 25, 2014. Retrieved March 31, 2014.
- ^ Benchaabane, Nassim (June 2, 2014). "Wichita candidate for governor announces new running mate". The Wichita Eagle. Archived from the original on June 26, 2014. Retrieved June 25, 2014.
- ^ "Wikileaks Soldier to Run for Ks Lt. Governor". The Kansas City Star. February 11, 2014. Retrieved October 29, 2016.
- ^ "In case there's any doubt: Kris Kobach running for re-election in 2014". Midwest Democracy. February 1, 2013. Archived from the original on February 6, 2013. Retrieved July 29, 2013.
- ^ a b c d e Hanna, John (July 31, 2013). "Ex-Kan. ag chief not thinking about gov.'s race". The Wichita Eagle. Associated Press. Archived from the original on August 6, 2013. Retrieved August 9, 2013.
- ^ a b Kraske, Steve (June 23, 2013). "Sandy Praeger finds herself an outsider among Kansas Republicans". The Kansas City Star. Archived from the original on June 27, 2013. Retrieved August 15, 2013.
- ^ a b c d e Loomis, Burdett (August 4, 2013). "Burdett Loomis: Who will take on Brownback?". The Wichita Eagle. Archived from the original on September 16, 2013. Retrieved August 15, 2013.
- ^ a b "2014 Primary Election Official Vote Totals" (PDF). Kansas Secretary of State. Retrieved August 28, 2014.
- ^ Carpenter, Tim (September 17, 2013). "Davis launches Democratic campaign for Kansas governor". The Topeka Capital-Journal. Archived from the original on September 17, 2013. Retrieved September 17, 2013.
- ^ "Brownback and His Opponents". Morning Sun. April 16, 2013. Retrieved June 14, 2013.
- ^ a b c d John Hanna (August 8, 2013). "Paul Davis forms committee for Kansas governor's race". The Wichita Eagle. Archived from the original on August 11, 2013. Retrieved July 20, 2014.
- ^ Carpenter, Tim (August 29, 2013). "Alma lawyer seeks Libertarian nomination for governor". CJOnline. Retrieved October 2, 2013.
- ^ Kelsey Ryan (May 27, 2014). "Kansas Man Serving as Dad's Running Mate in Governor's Race". Governing. Retrieved May 27, 2014.
- ^ Nonpartisan report: Davis' tax-freeze plan stalls $20M in Brownback-endorsed cuts
- ^ Former congresswoman endorses Brownback
- ^ "Wyandotte County Democrats endorse Gov. Brownback". KSN-TV. September 26, 2014. Retrieved October 4, 2014.
- ^ "Former CEO in Wichita, Touts Brownback". Archived from the original on October 20, 2014. Retrieved October 16, 2014.
- ^ NFIB endorses Brownback for second term as Governor
- ^ Kansas Rifle Association Endorses Brownback
- ^ "Former GOP, Dem lieutenant governors join Davis campaign". The Topeka Capital-Journal. June 30, 2014. Retrieved July 20, 2014.
- ^ "Republicans for Kansas Values – Biographies and Memberships". Paul Davis for Governor. July 17, 2014. Archived from the original on July 19, 2014. Retrieved July 20, 2014.
- ^ "Who are the 104?". The Topeka Capital-Journal. July 17, 2014. Retrieved July 20, 2014.
- ^ "2014 Governor Race Ratings for November 3, 2014". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
- ^ "The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
- ^ "2014 Gubernatorial Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
- ^ "2014 Elections Map - 2014 Governors Races". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
- ^ "Kansas Secretary of State 2014 General Election Official Vote Totals" (PDF). Retrieved December 14, 2014.
External links
[edit]- Campaign websites