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2024 United States House of Representatives election in Alaska

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Not to be confused with 2024 Alaska House of Representatives election.
2024 United States House of Representatives election in Alaska's at-large district
← 2022 November 5, 2024 2026 →
 
Candidate Mary Peltola Nick Begich III
Party Democratic Republican
Incumbent U.S. Representative

Mary Peltola
Democratic



Elections in Alaska
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The 2024 United States House of Representatives election in Alaska will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States House of Representatives to represent the state of Alaska from its at-large congressional district. The election will coincide with the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the U.S. House, elections to the United States Senate, and various other state and local elections.

Incumbent Democratic representative Mary Peltola won a full term in November 2022 with 55.0% of the vote using instant-runoff voting, having won an August 2022 special election that was triggered by the death of Don Young.[1] Peltola is running for re-election to a second full term in 2024.[2] The primary election was held on August 20, 2024.[3]

Candidates

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Democratic Party

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Advanced to general

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Candidates

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  • Eric Hafner, federal prisoner and perennial candidate[4][5]

Republican Party

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Advanced to general

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Withdrew after advancing to general

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Candidates

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  • Gerald Heikes, drywall contractor and perennial candidate[9]
  • Matthew Salisbury, property claims adjustor[4]

No Labels

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Candidates

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Alaskan Independence Party

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Candidates

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Independents

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Candidates

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  • David Ambrose[4]
  • Samuel Claesson, author[11]
  • Lady Donna Dutchess, notary, candlemaker, and candidate for U.S. House in 2022[12]
  • Richard Mayers[4]

Primary election

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Endorsements

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Nick Begich III (R)
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Individuals
Organizations
Nancy Dahlstrom (R)
U.S. Presidents
Governors
U.S. representatives
Organizations
Mary Peltola (D)
Federal officials
Labor unions
Organizations

Fundraising

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Campaign finance reports as of July 31, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Mary Peltola (D) $7,541,673 $5,396,920 $2,836,013
Nick Begich III (R) $982,905 $851,591 $172,548
Nancy Dahlstrom (R) $912,308 $912,308 $317,617
Source: Federal Election Commission[39]

Polling

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Top four primary

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Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Nick
Begich (R) 		Nancy
Dahlstrom (R) 		Richard
Grayson (NL) 		Mary
Peltola (D) 		Other Undecided
Data for Progress (D) February 23 – March 4, 2024 1,120 (LV) ± 3.0% 35% 10% – 44% 2%[b] 8%
Remington Research (R)[A] December 11–14, 2023 672 (LV) ± 4.0% 28% 9% 2% 42% 7%[c] 11%

Results

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Blanket primary results[40]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Mary Peltola (incumbent) 53,598 50.70
Republican Nick Begich III 28,110 26.59
Republican Nancy Dahlstrom (withdrew) 21,147 20.01
Republican Matthew Salisbury 627 0.59
Independence John Wayne Howe 588 0.56
Democratic Eric Hafner 447 0.42
Republican Gerald Heikes 412 0.39
Independent Richard Mayers 215 0.20
Independent Lady Donna Dutchess 182 0.17
Independent David Ambrose 146 0.14
No Labels Richard Grayson 138 0.13
Independent Samuel Claesson 97 0.09
Total votes 105,707 100.00

General election

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On August 23, 74 days before the general election, Nancy Dahlstrom withdrew from the general election.[41] Under Alaska's top-four primary system, if a general election candidate drops out, the director of elections may replace them with the fifth-place finisher from the primary. In the 2022 special election, Al Gross also withdrew following the primary. However, Division of Elections Director Gail Fenumiai did not advance the fifth-place finisher, Tara Sweeney, in his place because the withdrawal occurred less than 64 days before the general election, and the law allows replacement only if the withdrawal occurs more than 64 before the general election. The Alaska Supreme Court upheld Fenumiai's decision after it was challenged in court.[42]

Post-primary endorsements

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Nick Begich III (R)
U.S. representatives

Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[44] Lean D December 12, 2023
Inside Elections[45] Tilt D December 15, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[46] Lean D June 8, 2023
Elections Daily[47] Tossup June 8, 2023
CNalysis[48] Lean D November 16, 2023

Polling

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Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		RCV
round 		Mary
Peltola (D) 		Nick
Begich (R) 		Nancy
Dahlstrom (R) 		Chris
Bye (L)
Data for Progress (D) February 23 – March 2, 2024 1,120 (LV) ± 3.0%
1 47% 39% 12% 3%
2 48% 41% 12% Elim
3 50% 50% Elim Elim

Results

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2024 Alaska's at-large congressional district election
Party Candidate First choice
Votes % Transfer
Democratic Mary Peltola (incumbent)
Republican Nick Begich
TBD
TBD
Write-in
Total votes
Inactive ballots

Notes

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  1. ^ a b Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ Chris Bye (L) with 2%
  3. ^ Chris Bye (L) with 7%
  4. ^ Numbered as the 4th from 2013–2019
Partisan clients
  1. ^ Poll sponsored by Begich's campaign

References

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  1. ^ "State of Alaska 2022 GENERAL ELECTION Election Summary Report" (PDF). Alaska Division of Elections. November 30, 2022.
  2. ^ a b Fortinsky, Sarah. "Alaska's GOP lieutenant governor joins race against Dem Rep. Mary Peltola". The Hill. Retrieved November 25, 2023. Peltola officially launched her 2024 reelection bid the following month.
  3. ^ "2024 Presidential Election Calendar - 270toWin". 270toWin.com. Retrieved August 17, 2024.
  4. ^ a b c d e "2024 PRIMARY ELECTION - Candidates". Alaska Secretary of State. Retrieved December 23, 2023.
  5. ^ Gunzburger, Ron. "Politics1 - Online Guide to Alaska Elections, Candidates & Politics". politics1.com. Retrieved August 17, 2024.
  6. ^ Bazail-Eimil, Eric (July 13, 2023). "Nick Begich challenging Peltola for House seat in Alaska". POLITICO. Retrieved July 13, 2023.
  7. ^ Samuels, Iris (November 14, 2023). "Lt. Gov. Dahlstrom to challenge Democratic incumbent Peltola in Alaska U.S. House race". Anchorage Daily News. Retrieved November 14, 2023.
  8. ^ Maguire, Sean (August 23, 2024). "Alaska Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom drops out of U.S. House race". Anchorage Daily News. Retrieved August 23, 2023.
  9. ^ "2024 PRIMARY ELECTION - Candidates". Alaska Secretary of State. Retrieved December 23, 2023.
  10. ^ Winger, Richard (September 28, 2023). "Alaska U.S. House Candidate for 2024 with 'No Labels' Qualifies for August 2024 Primary Ballot". Ballot Access News. Retrieved October 6, 2023.
  11. ^ "Claesson Enters Congressional Race in Alaska's At-Large District". Juneau Journal. Juneau Journal. March 23, 2024. Archived from the original on March 23, 2024. Retrieved March 23, 2024.
  12. ^ Jarrett, Kim (November 14, 2023). "Alaska's lieutenant governor announces bid for Congress". The Center Square. Retrieved November 14, 2023.
  13. ^ Downing, Suzanne (May 16, 2024). "Utah Senator Mike Lee endorses Nick Begich for Congress". Must Read Alaska. Retrieved August 23, 2024.
  14. ^ Downing, Suzanne (January 29, 2024). "Congressional candidate Nick Begich picks up big endorsement: Congressman Byron Donalds". Must Read Alaska. Retrieved January 30, 2024.
  15. ^ Downing, Suzanne (February 15, 2024). "Vivek Ramaswamy endorses Nick Begich for Congress". Must Read Alaska. Retrieved February 15, 2024.
  16. ^ a b Downing, Suzanne (August 4, 2023). "Nick Begich starts stacking up endorsements for Congress '24". Must Read Alaska. Retrieved October 1, 2023.
  17. ^ "Big Win and Nine New Endorsements". House Freedom Fund. Retrieved May 8, 2024.
  18. ^ https://mustreadalaska.com/trump-endorses-dahlstrom-for-congress/
  19. ^ "Governor Mike Dunleavy Endorses Lt. Governor Nancy Dahlstrom for Congress". Alaska Native News. February 5, 2024. Retrieved February 5, 2024.
  20. ^ a b Samuels, Iris (February 8, 2024). "Dahlstrom ahead of Begich but far behind Peltola in fundraising for U.S. House campaign". Anchorage Daily News. Retrieved February 15, 2024. Dahlstrom has already garnered endorsements from House Speaker Mike Johnson and House Republican Conference Chair Elise Stefanik
  21. ^ Schilke, Rachel (April 3, 2024). "Johnson-linked PAC releases first slate of 'trailblazer' House endorsements - Washington Examiner". Retrieved April 3, 2024.
  22. ^ Brooks, Emily (July 29, 2024). "House GOP campaign arm releases slate of 26 'Young Gun' competitive candidates". The Hill. Retrieved July 29, 2024.
  23. ^ Downing, Suzanne (March 30, 2024). "Murkowski won't endorse Bronson for mayor, but endorses mail-in elections in Anchorage". Must Read Alaska. Retrieved March 31, 2024.
  24. ^ report, Staff (June 23, 2024). "Peltola picks up major endorsement from labor union". Fairbanks Daily News-Miner. Retrieved June 24, 2024.
  25. ^ "AFA Endorsed Candidates for 2024 Election". Association of Flight Attendants-CWA. Retrieved June 3, 2024.
  26. ^ "Our Recommended Candidates". Education Votes. Retrieved February 14, 2024.
  27. ^ "- AIPAC Political Portal". candidates.aipacpac.org. Retrieved May 13, 2024.
  28. ^ "DMFI PAC Announces First Round of 2024 Endorsements for U.S. House". DMFI PAC. December 18, 2023. Archived from the original on December 18, 2023. Retrieved December 18, 2023.
  29. ^ Ackley, Kate (March 15, 2023). "EMILY's List: These 18 Democrats are crucial to taking House control". Roll Call. Retrieved October 1, 2023.
  30. ^ "2024 – Feminist Majority PAC". feministmajoritypac.org. Retrieved February 9, 2024.
  31. ^ "JDCA ANNOUNCES KEY 2024 ENDORSEMENTS". Jewish Democratic Council of America. Archived from the original on November 6, 2023. Retrieved November 6, 2023.
  32. ^ "Meet JAC's 2024 Candidates | Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs". jacpac.org. Archived from the original on September 1, 2023. Retrieved September 1, 2023.
  33. ^ "Koniag Board of Directors Endorses Mary Peltola for U.S. Congress". Alaska Native News. March 16, 2024. Retrieved March 17, 2024.
  34. ^ Communications (June 21, 2023). "NARAL Pro-Choice America Launches 2024 Electoral Program with Endorsement of Frontline Incumbents for U.S. House of Representatives". NARAL Pro-Choice America. Archived from the original on June 21, 2023. Retrieved June 21, 2023.
  35. ^ "Endorsed Candidates". National Women's Political Caucus. Retrieved January 26, 2024.
  36. ^ Irwin, Lauren (August 1, 2024). "NRA issues rare endorsement of Democrat in backing Peltola". The Hill. Retrieved August 1, 2024.
  37. ^ "Planned Parenthood Action Fund Announces New Endorsement Slate for House in 2024". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org. Retrieved October 10, 2023.
  38. ^ "Make a high-impact donation—without all the usual drama". Swing Left.
  39. ^ "2024 Election United States House - Alaska". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved August 16, 2023.
  40. ^ "State of Alaska 2024 PRIMARY ELECTION Election Summary Report August 20, 2024 UNOFFICIAL RESULTS" (PDF). State of Alaska. August 22, 2024. Retrieved August 23, 2024.
  41. ^ Maguire, Sean (August 23, 2024). "Alaska Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom drops out of U.S. House race". Anchorage Daily News. Retrieved August 23, 2023.
  42. ^ Thiessen, Mark (June 26, 2022). "Alaska Supreme Court ruling keeps Sweeney off House ballot". Associated Press. Archived from the original on September 1, 2022. Retrieved June 26, 2022.
  43. ^ a b c d e Downing, Suzanne (August 23, 2024). "Big endorsements for Nick Begich roll in: Five U.S. House Majority leaders and AK-GOP Chairwoman Carmela Warfield are 'all in'". Must Read Alaska. Retrieved August 25, 2024.
  44. ^ "2024 House Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 2, 2023.
  45. ^ "First 2024 House Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved March 10, 2023.
  46. ^ "Initial House Ratings: Battle for Majority Starts as a Toss-up". Sabato's Crystal Ball. February 23, 2023.
  47. ^ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 11, 2023. Retrieved August 14, 2023.
  48. ^ "2024 House Forecast". November 20, 2023. Retrieved November 20, 2023.
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Official campaign sites
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