2024 United States presidential election in Florida
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The 2024 United States presidential election in Florida is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Florida voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Florida has 30 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained a seat.[1]
Despite being a heavily populated and fast-growing state once considered a presidential battleground and bellwether, Florida has been trending towards the political right in recent years and is now seen as a moderately red state. Florida is a Southern state substantially in the Bible Belt, having two large distinct cultural areas. North Florida and the Florida Panhandle are part of the conservative Deep South. South Florida has a heavy Latin American influence, with large Catholic Cuban and Puerto Rican populations in the Miami metropolitan area.
In 2020, Republican Donald Trump (who changed his resident state from New York to Florida in 2019[2]) carried the state again by 3.36 percentage points, an improvement from his 1.2% margin in 2016, despite Trump losing re-election nationwide and polls pointing to a narrow Democratic win in Florida. In addition, Republicans won all statewide offices by double-digit margins in the 2022 midterms.[3][4] Thus, Florida is widely expected to remain in the Republican camp in the November 2024 election, with Trump continuing to reside in the state.[5]
On May 23, 2024, the Reform Party of Florida applied to restore ballot access in the state.[6] That same day, the party selected independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. for its nomination.[7]
Primary elections
[edit]Republican primary
[edit]The Florida Republican primary was held on March 19, 2024, alongside primaries in Arizona, Illinois, and Ohio.
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
| Donald J. Trump | 911,424 | 81.19% | 125 | 0 | 125 |
| Nikki Haley (withdrawn) | 155,560 | 13.86% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) | 41,269 | 3.68% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 8,953 | 0.80% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) | 2,850 | 0.25% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ryan Binkley (withdrawn) | 1,385 | 0.12% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn) | 1,190 | 0.11% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total: | 1,122,631 | 100.00% | 125 | 0 | 125 |
Democratic primary
[edit]On November 30, 2023, Politico reported that the Florida Democratic Party had only submitted Biden's name to the Secretary of State, which means that the primary will be cancelled under Florida law. This cancellation was criticized by the Dean Phillips and Marianne Williamson campaigns.[9][10] Williamson and fellow Democratic candidate Cenk Uygur held a press conference over Zoom on December 1 criticizing the move.[11] On December 11, 2023, a voter filed a lawsuit in federal court seeking to add Phillips, Williamson, and Uygur's name to the ballot.[12] The voter lost in district court but is expected to appeal.[13]
Winner (Assumptive)
[edit]- President Joe Biden
Endorsements
[edit]Joe Biden
U.S. Representatives
- Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick, FL-20 (2022–present)[14]
- Maxwell Frost,[a] FL-10 (2023–present)[15]
- Darren Soto, FL-09 (2017–present)[14]
- Debbie Wasserman Schultz, FL-25 (2023–present), FL-23 (2013–2023), FL-20 (2005–2013), former Chair of the Democratic National Committee (2011–2016)[14]
- Val Demings, FL-10 (2017–2023), Chief of the Orlando Police Department (2007–2011), nominee for U.S. Senator from Florida in 2022[16]
State legislators
- Shevrin Jones,[a] Florida state senator from the 35th district (2020–present), state representative from the 101st district (2012–2020)[17]
Hypothetical polling
[edit]| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Hillary Clinton |
Kamala Harris |
Gavin Newsom |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suffolk University[18] | Sep 15–18, 2022 | 163 (LV) | – | 50% | – | – | 33% | 17% |
| Suffolk University[19] | Jan 26–29, 2022 | 164 (LV) | – | 43% | 46% | – | – | 11% |
| Victory Insights[20] | Sep 16–18, 2021 | 200 (LV) | – | 60% | – | 17% | – | 23% |
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[21] | Likely R | August 8, 2024 |
| Inside Elections[22] | Lean R | May 8, 2024 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] | Likely R | August 20, 2024 |
| Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[24] | Lean R | August 26, 2024 |
| CNalysis[25] | Very Likely R | August 27, 2024 |
| CNN[26] | Lean R | August 27, 2024 |
| The Economist[27] | Likely R | June 12, 2024 |
| 538[28] | Lean R | August 26, 2024 |
| RCP[29] | Lean R | August 27, 2024 |
Polling
[edit]Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Undecided [c] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RealClearPolitics[30] | July 25 – August 11, 2024 | August 21, 2024 | 42.5% | 48.8% | 8.7% | Trump +6.3 |
| 270ToWin[31] | July 30 – August 19, 2024 | August 21, 2024 | 43.5% | 48.5% | 8.0% | Trump +5.0 |
| Average | 43.0% | 48.65% | 8.35% | Trump +5.65 | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. suspends his campaign. | ||||||
| Public Policy Polling (D)[32][A] | August 21–22, 2024 | 837 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 51% | 47% | 2% |
| ActiVote[33] | August 5–15, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 54% | 46% | – |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[34] | August 10–11, 2024 | 1,055 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 46% | 5%[d] |
| 1,040 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 47% | 3%[e] | ||
| University of North Florida[35] | July 24–27, 2024 | 774 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 49% | 42% | 9%[f] |
| Joe Biden withdraws from the race. Harris declares her candidacy. | ||||||
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[36][g] | July 15–16, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 39% | 12%[h] |
| Suffolk University/USA Today[18] | September 15–18, 2022 | 500 (LV) | – | 46% | 44% | 10% |
| Victory Insights[20] | September 16–18, 2021 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 49% | 51% | – |
Hypothetical polling with Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[32][A] | August 21–22, 2024 | 837 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 48% | 45% | 2% | 1% | 1% | – | 3% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[37] | August 12–15, 2024 | 1,296 (LV) | – | 48% | 43% | 3% | – | 0% | 1% | 5% |
| Suffolk University/USA Today[B][38] | August 7–11, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 42% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 5% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[39] | July 31 – August 3, 2024 | 976 (LV) | – | 47% | 41% | 5% | – | 0% | 1% | 6% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[40] | July 22–24, 2024 | 572 (LV) | – | 47% | 39% | 5% | – | 0% | 1% | 8% |
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[41] | August 10–11, 2024 | 1,055 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 44% | 5% | 4%[i] |
| 1,040 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 45% | 5% | 3%[j] | ||
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[42][C] | August 6–8, 2024 | 800 (LV) | – | 52% | 44% | 3% | 1% |
Hypothetical polling with Donald Trump and Joe Biden
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[36][g] | July 15–16, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 44% | 6%[k] |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[43] | June 8–9, 2024 | 883 (A) | ± 3.3% | 46% | 42% | 13% |
| 771 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 49% | 43% | 8% | ||
| The Tyson Group (R)[44] | June 6–9, 2024 | 1,050 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 36% | 18% |
| Fox News[45] | June 1–4, 2024 | 1,075 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 46% | 4% |
| CBS News/YouGov[46] | May 10–16, 2024 | 1,209 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 54% | 45% | 1% |
| Prime Group[47][D] | May 9–16, 2024 | 486 (RV) | – | 53% | 47% | – |
| Cherry Communications (R)[48][E] | April 28 – May 7, 2024 | 609 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 42% | 7% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[49] | April 15–17, 2024 | 865 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 50% | 42% | 8% |
| 815 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 51% | 43% | 6% | ||
| Emerson College[50] | April 9–10, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 56% | 44% | – |
| St. Pete Polls[51] | March 11–13, 2024 | 1,963 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 48% | 42% | 10% |
| Cygnal (R)[52] | November 13–15, 2023 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 48% | 43% | 9% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[53] | October 27 – November 11, 2023 | 946 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 49% | 39% | 12% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[54] | October 7–9, 2023 | 1,100 (RV) | – | 44% | 39% | 17% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[55] | June 27 – July 1, 2023 | 933 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 49% | 39% | 2% |
| Metropolitan Research Services[56] | March 15–19, 2023 | 1,001 (RV) | – | 47% | 43% | 10% |
| Emerson College[57] | March 13–15, 2023 | 1,153 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 44% | 44% | 12% |
| University of North Florida[58] | February 25 – March 7, 2023 | 1,452 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 50% | 43% | 7% |
| Victory Insights[59] | November 16–17, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 49% | 51% | – |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[60] | November 8–9, 2022 | 1,224 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 40% | 11% |
| Florida Atlantic University[61] | October 12–16, 2022 | 719 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 45% | 41% | 14% |
| Suffolk University[18] | September 15–18, 2022 | 500 (LV) | – | 47% | 44% | 9% |
| Echelon Insights[62] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 815 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 49% | 41% | 10% |
| Suffolk University[63] | January 26–29, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 44% | 9% |
| Victory Insights[20] | September 16–18, 2021 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 49% | 51% | – |
| St. Pete Polls[64] | August 16–17, 2021 | 2,068 (RV) | ± 2.2% | 47% | 48% | 5% |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)[65] | August 4–10, 2021 | 700 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 42% | 50% | 8% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fox News[45] | June 1–4, 2024 | 1,075 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 40% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 3% |
| Prime Group[47][D] | May 9–16, 2024 | 486 (RV) | – | 48% | 39% | 9% | 3% | 1% | – |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[43] | June 8–9, 2024 | 883 (A) | ± 3.3% | 43% | 37% | 10% | 10% |
| 771 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 45% | 40% | 8% | 6% | ||
| Cherry Communications (R)[48][E] | April 28 – May 7, 2024 | 609 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 37% | 10% | 7% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[66] | May 2–4, 2024 | 586 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 38% | 6% | 9% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[49] | April 15–17, 2024 | 865 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 48% | 38% | 7% | 7% |
| 815 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 49% | 40% | 6% | 5% | ||
| USA Today/Ipsos[67] | April 5–7, 2024 | 1,014 (A) | ± 4.1% | 39% | 31% | 7% | 23% |
| Emerson College[50] | April 9–10, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 35% | 6% | 11%[l] |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[68] | March 14–17, 2024 | 815 (LV) | – | 46% | 39% | 7% | 8% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[69] | December 28–30, 2023 | 1,147 (LV) | – | 45% | 34% | 9% | 12% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[70] | November 27–29, 2023 | 897 (LV) | – | 44% | 34% | 9% | 13% |
| Cygnal (R)[52] | November 13–15, 2023 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 44% | 37% | 11% | 8% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[54] | October 7–9, 2023 | 1100 (LV) | – | 44% | 37% | 8% | 11% |
Hypothetical polling with other candidates
Donald Trump vs. Hillary Clinton
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suffolk University[63] | January 26–29, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 42% | 9% |
Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[70] | November 27–29, 2023 | 897 (LV) | – | 27% | 32% | 16% | 24% |
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[70] | November 27–29, 2023 | 897 (LV) | – | 38% | 34% | 12% | 16% |
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cygnal (R)[52] | November 13–15, 2023 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 46% | 43% | 11% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[53] | October 27 – November 11, 2023 | 946 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 47% | 39% | 15% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[55] | June 27 – July 1, 2023 | 933 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 49% | 36% | 15% |
| Emerson College[57] | March 13–15, 2023 | 1,153 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 46% | 43% | 11% |
| University of North Florida[58] | February 25 – March 7, 2023 | 1,452 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 51% | 42% | 8% |
| Cherry Communications[71] | February 10–19, 2023 | 608 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 38% | 13% |
| Victory Insights[59] | November 16–17, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 53% | 47% | – |
| Suffolk University[18] | September 15–18, 2022 | 500 (LV) | – | 52% | 44% | 4% |
| Echelon Insights[62] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 815 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 51% | 42% | 7% |
| Suffolk University[63] | January 26–29, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 52% | 44% | 4% |
| Victory Insights[20] | September 16–18, 2021 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 49% | 51% | – |
| The Political Matrix/The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R)[72] | September 11–12, 2021 | 1,144 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 55% | – |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)[65] | August 4–10, 2021 | 700 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 49% | 4% |
Ron DeSantis vs. Kamala Harris
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suffolk University[18] | September 15–18, 2022 | 500 (LV) | – | 52% | 40% | 8% |
| Victory Insights[20] | September 16–18, 2021 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 51% | 49% | – |
Ron DeSantis vs. Hillary Clinton
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suffolk University[63] | January 26–29, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 53% | 40% | 7% |
See also
[edit]- United States presidential elections in Florida
- 2024 United States presidential election
- 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries
- 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
- 2024 United States elections
Notes
[edit]- ^ a b Biden-Harris Campaign National Advisory Board member
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ "Another candidate" with 2%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 1%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 4%
- ^ a b Poll conducted for WTVT
- ^ "Another candidate" with 7%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 1%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 1%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 3%
- ^ Cornel West & Jill Stein with 1%
Partisan clients
References
[edit]- ^ Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved August 20, 2021.
- ^ Kelly, Caroline (November 1, 2019). "Trump ditches New York to become a Florida resident, court documents show | CNN Politics". CNN. Retrieved February 29, 2024.
- ^ Friedersdorf, Conor (November 9, 2022). "Is Florida Still a Swing State?". The Atlantic. Retrieved November 23, 2022.
- ^ Carrasquillo, Adrian (November 9, 2022). "Ron DeSantis Wins the Florida Latino Vote, Setting Stage for 2024 Clash". Newsweek. Retrieved November 12, 2022.
[DeSantis] flipped Miami-Dade County, Florida's political crown jewel, which completed a stunning reversal in just six years, after backing Hillary Clinton by 30 points in 2016, Joe Biden by 7 in 2020, and now DeSantis by 11 points. In running up the score, DeSantis also secured another major win, becoming the first Florida Republican gubernatorial candidate to win the Latino vote in 20 years, and the first Republican governor to do so since Brian Sandoval in Nevada in 2014. ... Devon Murphy-Anderson, the former finance director for the Florida Democratic Party and cofounder of Mi Vecino, which works to activate Latino voters in Florida, told Newsweek that while Miami-Dade is getting all of the attention, DeSantis' complete and total win also impressively flipped traditional blue areas like Palm Beach County and Hillsborough County. "It's important to know this was a strategy from Florida Republicans, and not to shift the blame to Latino voters," she argued, seeing the results as "a response to strategic investment by a political party."
- ^ "270toWin - 2024 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270toWin.com. Retrieved February 22, 2024.
- ^ "Florida Reform Party Works to Restore Party Status and Ballot Access After 2023 Revocation – Independent Political Report".
- ^ The Reform Party of the United States on X. (May 23, 2024). "Reform Party of the United States on X: "The Reform Party has nominated Robert F. Kennedy Jr. @RobertKennedyJr for President of the United States and will hand him our automatic ballot access in the State of Florida as well as our advantages as a qualified party. We look forward to working with Mr. Kennedy."". X.com.
- ^ "Florida Presidential Primary". The AP. April 8, 2024. Retrieved April 18, 2024.
- ^ Otterbein, Holly; Fineout, Gary (November 30, 2023). "Florida Democrats plan to cancel presidential primary, enraging Dean Phillips' campaign". Politico. Retrieved December 1, 2023.
- ^ John, Arit (November 30, 2023). "Dean Phillips criticizes Florida Democrats for his absence from primary ballot". CNN. Retrieved December 1, 2023.
- ^ Timotija, Filip (December 1, 2023). "Long-shot candidates blast Florida Democrats for absence on primary ballot". The Hill. Retrieved December 2, 2023.
- ^ Fineout, Gary (December 11, 2023). "Federal judge asked to place Dean Phillips on Florida primary ballot". POLITICO. Retrieved December 11, 2023.
- ^ Fineout, Gary (January 12, 2024). "Federal judge rejects attempt to place Dean Phillips on Florida primary ballot". POLITICO. Retrieved January 13, 2024.
- ^ a b c Cappabianca, Corina (April 25, 2023). "Florida members of Congress react to Biden's reelection announcement". NY1.
- ^ Stockburger, George (May 10, 2023). "Josh Shapiro, Malcolm Kenyatta named to Biden-Harris Campaign National Advisory Board". ABC27/WHTM.
- ^ McCammond, Alexi; Treene, Alayna; Solender, Andrew (August 5, 2022). "Dems dodge on Biden '24". Axios. Archived from the original on March 28, 2023.
- ^ Stockburger, George (May 10, 2023). "Josh Shapiro, Malcolm Kenyatta named to Biden-Harris Campaign National Advisory Board". ABC27/WHTM.
- ^ a b c d e "9-21-2022 Florida Midterms with USA TODAY Network marginals" (PDF). Suffolk University. September 18, 2022.
- ^ "Suffolk University/USA TODAY Florida Poll - Suffolk University". www.suffolk.edu.
- ^ a b c d e "FLORIDA PRESIDENTIAL POLL: BIDEN, TRUMP, DESANTIS, HARRIS EACH HAVE A SHOT" (PDF). Victory Insights. September 18, 2021.
- ^ "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "2024 presidential predictions". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. December 14, 2023. Retrieved July 10, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved August 6, 2024.
- ^ "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN. Retrieved January 14, 2024.
- ^ "Trump v Biden: The Economist's presidential election prediction model". The Economist. Retrieved June 12, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 25, 2024. Retrieved July 13, 2024.
- ^ "2024 RCP Electoral College Map". RealClearPolitics. June 26, 2024. Retrieved June 26, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Florida: Trump vs. Harris | RealClearPolling". www.realclearpolling.com.
- ^ "Florida 2024 Presidential Election Polls - 270toWin". 270toWin.com.
- ^ a b "New Surveys Show Texas and Florida Have Competitive Senate Elections" (PDF). Clean and Prosperous America. August 27, 2024.
- ^ Allis, Victor (August 15, 2024). "Trump Leads Harris in Florida". ActiVote.
- ^ "Mainstreet Research Survey - Florida" (PDF). FAU Polling. August 14, 2024.
- ^ "UNF Poll: Trump has seven-point lead on Harris in home state of Florida" (PDF). FiveThirtyEight. July 30, 2024.
- ^ a b Patrick, Craig (July 17, 2024). "Trump holds 6-point lead over Biden in Florida: FOX 13 Tampa Bay/InsiderAdvantage Poll". FOX 13 News.
- ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (12 – 15 August 2024)". August 19, 2024.
- ^ "Suffolk University" (PDF).
- ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (31 July – 3 August 2024)". August 6, 2024.
- ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (22-24 July 2024)". July 25, 2024.
- ^ "Mainstreet Research" (PDF).
- ^ "New polls hand Trump, Scott sizeable lead in Florida".
- ^ a b "Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University" (PDF).
- ^ Ogles, Jacob (June 11, 2024). "Florida pollster finds Donald Trump with 10-point lead in state".
- ^ a b Balara, Victoria (June 6, 2024). "Fox News Poll: Trump holds 4-point edge in Florida rematch as majority says conviction won't matter to vote". Fox News.
- ^ Salvanto, Anthony; Pinto, Jennifer De; Backus, Fred; Khanna, Kabir (May 30, 2024). "CBS News poll: Abortion access finds wide support, but inflation and immigration concerns boost Trump in Arizona and Florida - CBS News". www.cbsnews.com.
- ^ a b "Prime Group" (PDF).
- ^ a b Gancarski, A. G. (May 12, 2024). "Poll: Donald Trump cruises against Joe Biden in Florida, RFK no factor".
- ^ a b "Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University" (PDF).
- ^ a b Mumford, Camille (April 11, 2024). "Florida 2024 Poll: Plurality Plan to Vote "Yes" on Abortion Protection Ballot Measure". Emerson Polling.
- ^ Perry, Mitch (March 15, 2024). "Trump leads Biden by some 6 points in new FL survey, but among independents the race is a tie • Florida Phoenix".
- ^ a b c "Cygnal (R)" (PDF).
- ^ a b "Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University" (PDF).
- ^ a b "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (7-9 October 2023)". October 15, 2023.
- ^ a b "Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University" (PDF).
- ^ Ogles, Jacob (March 21, 2023). "Poll suggests Florida doesn't want insurance companies protected from lawsuits".
- ^ a b Mumford, Camille (March 17, 2023). "Florida 2024: Trump and DeSantis in Two-Way Race for GOP Nomination". Emerson Polling.
- ^ a b "University of North Florida" (PDF).
- ^ a b "Victory Insights" (PDF).
- ^ "Midterms 2022: Consensus Emerges to Bring Immigration Under Control". www.rasmussenreports.com.
- ^ "DeSantis Leads Crist in Florida Governor's Race | FAU Business". business.fau.edu.
- ^ a b Chavez, Krista (September 13, 2022). "New National Poll: 89% of Americans Say Congress Should Focus on Addressing Inflation, Not Breaking Up Tech". NetChoice.
- ^ a b c d "Suffolk University" (PDF).
- ^ "St. Pete Polls" (PDF).
- ^ a b "FLORIDA STATEWIDE POLL".
- ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (2-4 May 2024)". May 13, 2024.
- ^ "USA Today/Ipsos" (PDF).
- ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (14-17 March 2024)". March 25, 2024.
- ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (28-30 December 2023)". January 8, 2024.
- ^ a b c "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (27-29 November 2023)". December 5, 2023.
- ^ Commerce, Florida Chamber of (February 23, 2023). "New Florida Chamber Statewide Poll Shows Local Businesses and Free Enterprise Supported by Voters". Florida Chamber of Commerce.
- ^ Ogles, Jacob (September 15, 2021). "Poll finds Charlie Crist still leading Ron DeSantis, voters backing vax mandates".
