2024 United States presidential election in Rhode Island
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| Elections in Rhode Island |
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The 2024 United States presidential election in Rhode Island is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Rhode Island voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Rhode Island has four electoral votes in the Electoral College.
A New England state, Rhode Island has not voted for a Republican candidate since 1984, when Ronald Reagan won in a 49-state landslide. It is a deeply blue state, being one of three states (along with Hawaii and Massachusetts) in 2020 to have every county vote for Democrat Joe Biden.
Primary elections
[edit]Republican primary
[edit]The Rhode Island Republican primary was held on April 2, 2024, alongside primaries in Connecticut, New York, and Wisconsin.
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
| Donald Trump | 10,898 | 84.5% | 17 | 17 | |
| Nikki Haley (withdrawn) | 1,371 | 10.6% | 2 | 2 | |
| Uncommitted | 257 | 2.0% | |||
| Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) | 178 | 1.4% | |||
| Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 154 | 1.2% | |||
| Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) | 40 | 0.3% | |||
| Total: | 12,898 | 100.0% | 19 | 19 | |
Democratic primary
[edit]The Rhode Island Democratic primary was held on April 2, 2024, alongside primaries in Connecticut, New York, and Wisconsin.
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |||
| Joe Biden (incumbent) | 21,336 | 80.7% | 25 | 25 | |
| Uncommitted | 3,834 | 14.5% | 1 | 1 | |
| Dean Phillips (withdrawn) | 660 | 2.5% | |||
| Write-in votes | 593 | 2.2% | |||
| Total: | 26,423 | 100.0% | 26 | 8 | 34 |
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report[3] | Solid D | December 19, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[4] | Solid D | April 26, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[5] | Safe D | June 29, 2023 |
| Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[6] | Safe D | December 14, 2023 |
| CNalysis[7] | Solid D | December 30, 2023 |
| CNN[8] | Solid D | January 14, 2024 |
| The Economist[9] | Likely D | June 13, 2024 |
| 538[10] | Solid D | August 23, 2024 |
| RCP[11] | Solid D | June 26, 2024 |
Polling
[edit]Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire[12] | May 16–20, 2024 | 538 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 60% | 40% | – |
| Fleming & Associates[13] | September 29 – October 2, 2022 | 402 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 49% | 32% | 19% |
| Echelon Insights[14] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 373 (LV) | ± 6.1% | 51% | 37% | 12% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire[12] | May 16–20, 2024 | 538 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 52% | 33% | 6% | 1% | 0% | 8% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Embold Research[15][A] | June 5–14, 2024 | 1,450 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 40% | 33% | 12% | 15% |
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Echelon Insights[14] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 373 (LV) | ± 6.1% | 47% | 36% | 17% |
See also
[edit]- United States presidential elections in Rhode Island
- 2024 United States presidential election
- 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries
- 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
- 2024 United States elections
Notes
[edit]Partisan clients
- ^ Poll sponsored by Salve Regina University
References
[edit]- ^ "Rhode Island Presidential Primary". The AP. April 16, 2024. Retrieved April 18, 2024.
- ^ "Rhode Island Presidential Primary". The AP. April 16, 2024. Retrieved April 18, 2024.
- ^ "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "2024 presidential predictions". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. December 14, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN. Retrieved January 14, 2024.
- ^ "Trump v Biden: The Economist's presidential election prediction model". The Economist. Retrieved June 12, 2024.
- ^ Morris, G. Elliott (June 11, 2024). "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved August 23, 2024.
- ^ "2024 RCP Electoral College Map". RealClearPolitics. June 26, 2024. Retrieved June 26, 2024.
- ^ a b "University of New Hampshire".
- ^ "Fleming & Associates".
- ^ a b Chavez, Krista (September 13, 2022). "New National Poll: 89% of Americans Say Congress Should Focus on Addressing Inflation, Not Breaking Up Tech". NetChoice.
- ^ "Poll: Biden holds single-digit lead in RI; McKee job approval slumps to 36%". June 25, 2024.
