UGM-133 Trident II
UGM-133A Trident II | |
---|---|
Type | SLBM |
Place of origin | United States |
Service history | |
In service | 1990–present |
Used by | United States Navy Royal Navy |
Production history | |
Manufacturer | Lockheed Martin Space |
Unit cost | $30.9 million (2019)[1] |
Produced | 1983 |
Specifications | |
Mass | 130,000 lb (59,000 kg)[2] |
Length | 44 ft 6.6 in (13.579 m) |
Diameter | 6 ft 11 in (2.11 m) (1st stage)[2] |
Warhead | 1–8 Mk-5 RV/W88 (475 kt) or 1–12 Mk-4 RV/W76-0 (100 kt) or 1–14 Mk-4A RV/W-76-1 (90 kt) or unknown Mk-7 RV/W93 (unknown kt)[3] Single or multiple W76-2 (5–7 kt)[4][5] |
Engine | Three solid-fuel rocket motors; first & second stage – Thiokol/Hercules solid-fueled rocket; third stage – United Technologies Corp. solid-fueled rocket[6] |
Propellant | NEPE-75:[7] Nitrate ester, plasticized polyethylene glycol-bound HMX, Aluminum, ammonium perchlorate |
Operational range | More than 7,500 mi (12,000 km)[8][9] (exact is classified)[10] |
Maximum speed | Approximately 18,030 mph (29,020 km/h) (Mach 24; 8,060 m/s)[2] (terminal phase) |
Guidance system | MK 6 astro-inertial guidance which is able to receive Global Positioning System updates[2][11] |
Steering system | Single movable nozzle actuated by a gas generator |
Accuracy | 100 m[12][13] |
Launch platform | Ballistic missile submarine |
The UGM-133A Trident II, or Trident D5 is a submarine-launched ballistic missile (SLBM), built by Lockheed Martin Space in Sunnyvale, California, and deployed with the United States and Royal Navy. It was first deployed in March 1990,[6] and remains in service. The Trident II Strategic Weapons System is an improved SLBM with greater accuracy, payload, and range than the earlier Trident C-4. It is a key element of the U.S. strategic nuclear triad and strengthens U.S. strategic deterrence. The Trident II is considered to be a durable sea-based system capable of engaging many targets. It has payload flexibility that can accommodate various treaty requirements, such as New START. The Trident II's increased payload allows nuclear deterrence to be accomplished with fewer submarines,[14] and its high accuracy—approaching that of land-based missiles—enables it to be used as a first strike weapon.[15][16][17]
Trident II missiles are carried by 14 US Ohio and 4 British Vanguard-class submarines, with 24 missiles on each Ohio class and 16 missiles on each Vanguard class (the number of missiles on Ohio-class submarines was reduced to 20, by 2017,[18][19] in compliance with the New Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty). There have been 177 successful test flights of the D5 missile since design completion in 1989,[20] the most recent being from USS Maine (SSBN-741) in February 2020.[21] There have been fewer than 10 test flights that were failures,[22] the most recent being from HMS Vanguard off the coast of Florida in January 2024.[23] The D5 is the sixth in a series of missile generations deployed since the sea-based deterrent program began 60 years ago. The Trident D5LE (life-extension) version will remain in service until 2042.[24]
History
[edit]The Trident II was designed with greater range and payload capacity than its predecessor (Trident C-4). In 1972, the US Navy projected an initial operating capability (IOC) date of 1984. The US Navy shifted the IOC date to 1982. On 18 October 1973, a Trident program review was administered. On 14 March 1974, the US Deputy Secretary of Defense disseminated two requirements for the Trident program. The first was an accuracy improvement for the Trident C-4. The second requirement asked for an alternative to the C-4, or a new Trident II missile with a larger first-stage motor than the C-4.
The U.S. Navy conducted studies to determine whether the more expensive Trident II could be constructed similarly to the US Air Force's MX ICBM, primarily to decrease budget costs. It was established that the Trident II would be 83 inches (210 cm) in diameter and 44 feet (13 m) in length in order to match the performance of the existing MX ICBM. Modifications to the guidance system, electronics hardening, and external protective coatings were incorporated into the design. While this satisfied the Navy's study requirements, it did not accommodate the US Air Force payload requirements.
Propulsion stages were proposed to be used between the first stage and second stage motors, effectively making the Trident II a longer three-stage missile than the C-4. Studies were delayed in 1978 when Congress only approved $5 million of the suggested $15 million for the Navy and Air Force program studies. By December 1978, the Navy's and the Air Force's own studies agreed with each other that a similar missile structure would not achieve desired savings. It was determined that the Navy and Air Force would maintain and be responsible for their own unique weapon systems. The US Navy continued with its own design of the Trident II.
In March 1980, US Secretary of Defense Harold Brown proposed an increased level of funding for the submarine-launched ballistic missile modernization, emphasizing increased accuracy. The House Armed Services Committee (HASC) recommended no funding, while the Senate Armed Services Committee (SASC) recommended full funding of $97 million. The SASC asked for a plan incorporating "the fullest possible competition . . . [and] should consider competing among contractors for each major component, including the integrated missile." $65 million was awarded for the submarine-launched ballistic missile modernization.
On 2 October 1981, President Reagan called for the modernization of the strategic forces.[25] The Defense Department directed the Navy to fund all development of the Trident II D5 missile with a December 1989 IOC. All research and development efforts would be directed toward "a new development, advanced technology, high accuracy Trident II D5 system." In December 1982, Deputy SECDEF Frank Carlucci advised the Secretary of Defense Caspar Weinberger to include funding for a new reentry vehicle–warhead combination for Trident II. The reentry vehicle was to be designated as the Mk 5, which was to have a greater yield than the Mk 4. The development contract for Trident II was issued in October 1983. On 28 December 1983, the deputy SECDEF authorized the Navy to proceed with full-scale engineering development of the Trident II D5.
An initial series of 19 land-based Trident II launches took place from Cape Canaveral Launch Complex 46 from 15 January 1987 to 27 January 1989.[26] The first submarine launch was attempted by USS Tennessee,[2] the first D-5 ship of the Ohio class, on 21 March 1989 off the coast of Cape Canaveral, Florida. The launch attempt failed four seconds into the flight because the plume of water following the missile rose to a greater height than expected, and water was in the nozzle when the motor ignited. Once the problem was understood, relatively simple changes were quickly made, but the problem delayed the initial operating capability of Trident II until March 1990.[6][27] IOC for Strategic Weapons Facility Pacific (SWFPAC) was completed on schedule in 2001, allowing Trident II SSBN to be deployed in the Pacific theater.
In 1980, the United Kingdom adopted the Trident I C-4 missile as part of its Trident nuclear program.[28]
Design
[edit]The Trident II is a three-stage rocket, each stage containing a solid-fuel rocket motor. The first motor is made by Northrop Grumman. This first stage incorporates a solid propellant motor, parts to ensure first-stage ignition, and a thrust vector control (TVC) system. The first-stage section, compared to the Trident C-4, is slightly larger, allowing increased range and a larger payload. In addition to a larger motor, the D-5 uses an advanced and lighter fuel binder (polyethylene glycol) than the C-4.[29] This fuel is more commonly known as NEPE-75. (NEPE stands for nitrate ester plasticized polyether, the 75 represents that the fuel contains 75% solids.)[30][31][7] The solid components bound by fuel binder are HMX, aluminum, and ammonium perchlorate.[7]
Both the first- and second-stage motors are connected by an interstage casing, which contains electronic equipment and ordnance for separation during flight. The second stage also contains a motor made by Thiokol and Hercules Inc., parts to ensure the second-stage ignition, and a TVC system. The first and second stages are both important to the structural integrity of the missile. To ensure that the stages maintain a maximal strength-to-weight ratio, both stages are reinforced by a carbon-fiber-reinforced polymer hull.[30]
The second and third-stage sections are connected by an integrated equipment/adapter section (ES). The equipment/adapter section is modified to be shorter and more compact than the C-4's adapter section.[29] The D-5's equipment section contains critical guidance and flight control avionics, such as the Mk 6 navigation system. The equipment section also contains the third-stage TVC system, ordnance for ejecting from the second-stage motor, and the MIRV platform. The nose fairing shields the payload and third-stage motor. Mounted within the nose cap (above the nose fairing) is an extendable aerospike.[32] This aerospike effectively decreases drag by 50%. The third-stage hull is also reinforced by carbon fiber and kevlar.[30]
The Trident II is the first missile of the US Navy's Fleet Ballistic Missile program to incorporate a 3D printed component.[33]
While Lockheed Martin is the prime contractor, a variety of corporations work on the Trident II. For example, in October 2020, Boeing was contracted for maintenance, rebuilding and technical services for the Trident II navigation subsystem,[34] and Northrop Grumman was contracted for engineering support and integration for the Trident II and relevant submarines at sites and shipyards from Sunnyvale, California, and Bangor, Washington, to Kings Bay, Georgia, and Cape Canaveral, Florida, among other locales.[34] Peraton was contracted for program support services on the Trident II reentry subsystem,[35] and Systems Planning & Analysis Inc. was contracted for Trident II technical services, program support, assessments, special studies, and systems engineering.[34]
Sequence of operation
[edit]Before the launch sequence is initiated, the on-board MARK 6 navigation system is activated. The specified mission trajectory is loaded onto the flight computer.[36]
Once the launch command is given, a steam generator system is activated, igniting a gas generator[37] whose exhaust is fed into cooling water, causing expanding gas within the launch tube to force the missile upward, and out of the submarine.[37] Within seconds, the missile breaches the surface of the water and the first-stage Thrust Vectoring Control (TVC) subsystem ignites. This enables hydraulic actuators attached to the first-stage nozzle. Soon after, the first-stage motor ignites and burns for approximately 65 seconds until the fuel is expended; in addition, an aerospike atop the missile deploys shortly after first-stage ignition to shape airflow. When the first-stage motor ceases operation, the second-stage TVC subsystem ignites. The first-stage motor is then ejected by ordnance within the interstage casing.[38][39]
Once the first stage is cleared, the second-stage motor ignites and burns for approximately 65 seconds. The nose fairing is then jettisoned, separating from the missile. When the nose fairing is clear of the missile, the third-stage TVC subsystem ignites, and ordnance separates the second-stage motor. The third-stage motor then ignites, pushing the equipment section the remaining distance (approx. 40 seconds) of the flight. When the third-stage motor reaches the targeted area, the Post Boost Control System (PBCS) ignites, and the third-stage motor is ejected.
The astro-inertial guidance uses star positioning to fine-tune the accuracy of the inertial guidance system after launch. As the accuracy of a missile is dependent upon the guidance system knowing the exact position of the missile at any given moment during its flight, the fact that stars are a fixed reference point from which to calculate that position makes this a potentially very effective means of improving accuracy. In the Trident system, this was achieved by a single camera that was designed to spot just one star in its expected position. If it was not quite aligned to where it should be, it would indicate that the inertial system was not precisely on target and a correction would be made.[40]
The equipment section, with the MIRV, then aims the reentry vehicles (RV) towards the earth. The payload is then released from the MIRV platform. To prevent the PBCS correctional thrust from interfering with the RV when released, the equipment section initiates the Plume Avoidance Maneuver (PAM). If the RV will be disrupted by the PBCS nozzle's thrust, the nearest nozzle will shut off until the RV is away from the MIRV. The PAM is used only when a nozzle's plume will disrupt the area near an RV. The PAM is a specialized design feature added to the Trident II to increase accuracy.[38]
Warheads
[edit]In US service Trident II can be loaded with up to eight Mk-5 RVs with 475-kt W88 warheads, up to fourteen Mk-4A RVs with 90-kt W76-1 warheads, and up to fourteen Mk-4A RVs with 5–7-kt W76-2 warheads.[citation needed] In practice, each missile on average carries four warheads due to the warhead limitations placed by the New START treaty.[41]
The system previously carried the Mk-4 RV with a 100 kt W76-0 warhead, but beginning in September 2008 W76-0s were converted to W76-1s. This process was completed by December 2018.[42] Conversion from the W76-0 to W76-1 involved fitting the warheads with a new RV (the Mk-4A), replacing age limited components and fitting the warhead with a new MC4700 arming, fusing and firing (AF&F) system. The MC4700 AF&F system (dubbed the "super fuze") significantly improves warhead kill probabilities against hardened targets such as silos or bunkers. The W76-2 is also fitted with the Mk-4A RV and MC4700 fuze.[43][3][44]
In the National Nuclear Security Administration's 2021 budget request, the agency requested US$53m to begin development of a new W93 warhead for use on Trident II and US$32 million to begin development of a new Mk-7 RV. If approved, the W93 will be the first new nuclear weapon system to receive a type designation since the end of the Cold War. It is unclear if the W93 will replace the W76-1, the W88 or both warheads.[45]
In UK usage Trident II missiles are equipped with a warhead called Holbrook[46] and have a maximum yield of 100 kt.[47] The UK government insists the warhead is a British design, but analysts believe that it is largely based on the US W76 design.[46][48] In 2011 it was reported that British warheads would receive the new Mk 4A reentry vehicles and some or all of the other upgrades that US W76 warheads were receiving in their W76-1 Life Extension Program.[49] Some reports suggested that British warheads would receive the same arming, fusing and firing system (AF&F) as the US W76-1.[50] Under a 1958 agreement, the US supplies the UK with blueprints of its own warhead designs but the design, manufacture and maintenance of UK warheads are purely a UK responsibility. The British government's Atomic Weapons Establishment is currently developing a new warhead to replace the existing Holbrook warhead, with deployment expected in the 2030s.[46]
Additional specifications
[edit]- Range (exact is classified):
Full load: ~7,600 kilometres (4,700 mi)[51]
Reduced load: ~12,000 kilometres (7,500 mi)[51] - Guidance system: The MK 6 Astro-inertial guidance navigation system. Inertial guidance is most favored for the initial guidance and reentry vehicles of strategic missiles, because it has no external signal and cannot be jammed.[52]
- CEP: Requirement: <90 metres (300 ft).[53] (Information from flight tests is classified.)
Mk-5 RVs | Throw-weight (kg) | D-5 range (km) | Increase in range (%) |
---|---|---|---|
8 | 2,700[54] | 7,593 | nominal |
7 | 2,525 | 8,278 | 9 |
6 | 2,350 | 9,111 | 20 |
5 | 2,175 | 10,148 | 34 |
4 | 2,000 | 11,519 | 52 |
3 | 1,825 | 13,482 | 78 |
Operators
[edit]The Royal Navy operates its missiles from a shared pool, together with the Atlantic squadron of the U.S. Navy Ohio-class SSBNs at King's Bay, Georgia. The pool is co-mingled and missiles are selected at random for loading on to either nation's submarines.[55][56]
Trident II missile submarines
[edit]
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See also
[edit]- JL-2
- Pukkuksong-1
- M45 (missile)
- M51 (missile)
- R-29RMU Sineva
- R-29RMU2 Layner
- R-39 Rif
- RSM-56 Bulava
- K Missile family
References
[edit]- ^ "The US Navy -- Fact File: Trident II (D5) Missile". www.navy.mil. Retrieved 25 September 2022.
- ^ a b c d e Parsch, Andreas. "Trident D-5". Encyclopedia Astronautica. Archived from the original on 4 August 2016. Retrieved 11 June 2014.
- ^ a b Kristensen, Hans M.; Korda, Matt (29 April 2019). "United States nuclear forces, 2019". Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. 75 (3): 122–134. Bibcode:2019BuAtS..75c.122K. doi:10.1080/00963402.2019.1606503.
- ^ "US Deploys New Low-Yield Nuclear Submarine Warhead". FAS. 29 January 2020. Retrieved 29 January 2020.
- ^ "Trump poised to get new low-yield nuclear weapons". Washington Post. 13 June 2018. Retrieved 29 January 2020.
- ^ a b c Parsch, Andreas. "UGM-133". Directory of U.S. Military Rockets and Missiles. Retrieved 11 June 2014.
- ^ a b c "High Energy Rocket Fuels". Retrieved 13 December 2020.
- ^ "Fact file: Trident missile". 23 September 2009. Retrieved 29 March 2018 – via news.bbc.co.uk.
- ^ "Trident D-5 - Missile Threat". csis.org. Retrieved 29 March 2018.
- ^ "DEPARTMENT OF DEFENSE APPROPRIATIONS ACT, 1996 (Senate – August 11, 1995)". Retrieved 13 June 2014.
- ^ "Lockheed Martin UGM-133 Trident II". www.designation-systems.net. Retrieved 29 March 2018.
- ^ In Combat, section Smart Weapons, page 13, Malcolm McCavendish, 1991
- ^ Imgur image
- ^ "Trident II (D-5) Sea-Launched Ballistic Missile UGM 133A (Trident II Missile)" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on 12 January 2014. Retrieved 21 June 2014.
- ^ Lieber, Keir A.; Press, Daryl G. (Winter 2007). "U.S. Nuclear Primacy and the Future of the Chinese Deterrent". China Security. p. 77.
- ^ Cimbala, Stephen J. (2010). Military persuasion: Deterrence and provocation in crisis and war. Penn State Press. pp. 85–6. ISBN 978-0271041261. Retrieved 29 January 2016.
By the end of the 1980s, however, the submarine-launched ballistic missile had turned another page. The accuracy of the Trident II (D-5) SLBM, planned as the replacement for the Trident I with Trident II deployments beginning in 1989, was comparable to that of the MX/Peacekeeper ICBM, the most accurate land-based missile in the U.S. strategic arsenal. Owing to its improved accuracy and larger payload compared to its SLBM predecessors, Trident II would be able to attack hardened targets in the Soviet Union that were not previously vulnerable to sea-launched ballistic missiles. Although U.S. planners might assume that these strikes against hardened targets in the Soviet Union would be retaliatory attacks, a Soviet net-assessment of U.S. first-strike capabilities would have to include the improved sea-based missiles.
- ^ Stellan Vinthagen (2012). Tackling Trident. Irene Publishing. p. 41. ISBN 9781471751042. Retrieved 29 November 2017.
Although it is accurate enough for a 'first strike' weapon, successive governments have been adamant that the purpose of the current Trident system is as a 'deterrent' against nuclear or similarly cataclysmic attack on Britain. The Trident 'mission' is outlined by the Ministry of Defense: 'In a posture known as Continuous At Sea Defence (CASD), one submarine, armed with up to 16 Trident missiles and up to 48 warheads, is always on deterrent patrol 24 hours a day, 365 days a year' (MoD, 2006).
- ^ "Reduce the Number of Ballistic Missile Submarines". Congressional Budget Office.
- ^ "New Data Shows Detail About Final Phase of US New START Treaty Reductions". Federation of American Scientists. Retrieved 5 December 2023.
- ^ "Successful Trident II D5 Missile Flight Test Supports Navy Submarine Certification for Strategic Patrol". Lockheed Martin. 13 September 2016. Archived from the original on 26 January 2017. Retrieved 26 January 2017.
- ^ "US Sub Test Fires 2 Ballistic Missiles in Pacific Ocean". Archived from the original on 16 July 2020. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
- ^ McCann, Kate; Dominiczak, Peter; Swinford, Steven (23 January 2017). "US Trident failure claims contradict Michael Fallon". The Daily Telegraph. Archived from the original on 12 January 2022. Retrieved 26 January 2017.
- ^ "British Trident missile test launch fails for second time". UK Defence Journal. 21 February 2024. Retrieved 21 February 2024.
- ^ "U.S. Nuclear Modernization Programs". Arms Control Association. August 2016. Retrieved 6 September 2016.
- ^ "Remarks and a Question-and-Answer Session With Reporters on the Announcement of the United States Strategic Weapons Program". National Archives and Records Administration. Archived from the original on 24 September 2015. Retrieved 24 December 2014.
- ^ "Trident D-5". www.astronautix.com. Archived from the original on 4 August 2016. Retrieved 29 March 2018.
- ^ Pope, Brian (April 1989). "Trident II Missile Fails First Trial at Sea". Arms Control Today. 19 (3). Arms Control Association: 27. JSTOR 23623966.
- ^ "THE UNITED KINGDOM TRIDENT PROGRAMME" (PDF). 2 April 2013. Retrieved 12 December 2017.
On 15 July 1980 my predecessor announced the Government's choice of the Trident submarine-launched ballistic missile system to replace the United Kingdom's current Polaris-equipped strategic deterrent force.
- ^ a b "Trident I C-4 FBM / SLBM". Retrieved 13 June 2014.
- ^ a b c "Trident II D-5 Fleet Ballistic Missile". Retrieved 13 June 2014.
- ^ US 8778103 Energetic compositions including nitrate esters, methods of forming such energetic compositions, and articles including such energetic compositions.
- ^ "TRIDENT II (D5) DIMENSIONS AND JOINTS". Retrieved 13 June 2014.
- ^ "Big Time Savings on Small Part: First 3-D-printed Component Flies on U.S. Navy's Trident II D5 Missile". Retrieved 1 January 2018.
- ^ a b c "Contracts for October 1, 2020". U.S. DEPARTMENT OF DEFENSE. Retrieved 19 January 2021.
- ^ "Contracts for October 2, 2020". U.S. DEPARTMENT OF DEFENSE. Retrieved 19 January 2021.
- ^ Jackson, Todd. "Modifying the MARK 6 Guidance System Part 1". Retrieved 12 December 2017.
- ^ a b "FBM Functional Elements". Retrieved 12 December 2017.
- ^ a b "Santa Cruz Facility Brochure" (PDF). Retrieved 23 June 2014.
- ^ "Trident II D-5 Fleet Ballistic Missile". Retrieved 23 June 2014.
- ^ "Trident II D-5 Fleet Ballistic Missile". Retrieved 23 June 2014.
- ^ US State Department, New START Dis-aggregate data for 2020. https://www.state.gov/wp-content/uploads/2020/07/06-25-2020-FACTSHEET-Public-Release-of-Dis-aggregate-Data.pdf. There are 927 warheads deployed on 210 Trident II D5 missiles, or an average of 4.4 warheads per missile. Some missiles are "de-MIRVed" and equipped with a single W76-2 warhead, which depresses the overall average.
- ^ Work completed on Navy's upgraded nuclear warhead. Defense News. 24 January 2019.
- ^ "Lockheed Martin UGM-133 Trident II". Retrieved 12 December 2013.
- ^ Kristensen, Hans M.; McKinzie, Matthew; Postol, Theodore (6 June 2016). "Nuclear Modernization, Enhanced Military Capabilities, and Strategic Stability" (PDF). Federation of American Scientists. Retrieved 18 November 2019.
- ^ "Inside America's newly revealed nuclear ballistic missile warhead of the future". 24 February 2020. Retrieved 9 March 2020.
- ^ a b c "Britain confirms new nuclear warhead project after US officials spill the beans". 25 February 2020. Retrieved 8 March 2020.
- ^ "Britain's Nuclear Weapons; The Current British Arsenal". The Nuclear Weapon Archive. Carey Sublette. 30 April 2001. Retrieved 8 March 2020.
The Trident warheads also offer multiple yields - probably 0.3 kt, 5-10 kt and 100 kt - by choosing to fire the unboosted primary, the boosted primary or the entire "physics package".
- ^ "Britain's Next Nuclear era". Federation of American Scientists. 7 December 2006. Retrieved 8 March 2020.
- ^ Kristensen, Hans. "British Submarines to Receive Upgraded US Nuclear Warhead." Archived 6 April 2011 at the Wayback Machine FAS, 1 April 2011.
- ^ "Trident more effective with US arming device, tests suggest". TheGuardian.com. 6 April 2011. Retrieved 8 March 2020.
- ^ a b c Harvey, John R.; Michalowski, Stefan (21 December 2007). "Nuclear weapons safety: The case of trident" (PDF). Science & Global Security. 4 (1): 303. doi:10.1080/08929889408426405.
- ^ Siouris, George. Missile Guidance and Control Systems. 2004
- ^ Chinworth, William C. (15 March 2006). The Future of the Ohio Class Submarine (PDF) (Master's thesis). U.S. Army War College. Archived (PDF) from the original on 27 September 2020 – via Defence Technical Information Center.
- ^ Nose fairing and end cap weights (180 kg) are subtracted.
- ^ "Freedom of information request about the UK nuclear deterrent" (PDF). Ministry of Defence. 19 July 2005. Archived from the original (PDF) on 30 October 2016. Retrieved 25 January 2017.
- ^ "How serious was the Trident missile test failure?". UK Defence Journal. 22 January 2017. Retrieved 24 January 2017.
External links
[edit]- Media related to UGM-133A Trident II D-5 at Wikimedia Commons
- Cold War submarine-launched ballistic missiles of the United States
- Cold War weapons of the United States
- Lockheed Corporation
- Nuclear weapons of the United States
- Submarine-launched ballistic missiles of the United States
- Trident (UK nuclear programme)
- Submarine-launched ballistic missiles
- Military equipment introduced in the 1990s