Statewide opinion polling for the 2024 United States presidential election
 2024 U.S. presidential election | |
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| Republican Party | |
| Third parties | |
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This article is a collection of statewide opinion polls conducted for the 2024 United States presidential election. The people named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy.
The states considered to be not strongly leaning in either direction are Arizona, Georgia, Minnesota, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, and Virginia, with Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin considered to be tossups.[1]
Forecasts
[edit]Elections analysts and political pundits issue probabilistic forecasts to give readers a sense of how probable various electoral outcomes are. These forecasts use a variety of factors to determine the likelihood of each candidate winning each state. Most election predictors use the following ratings:
- "tossup": no advantage
- "tilt" (used by some predictors): advantage that is not quite as strong as "lean"
- "lean" or "leans": slight advantage
- "likely": significant, but surmountable, advantage
- "safe" or "solid": near-certain chance of victory
Below is a list of states considered by one or more forecast to be competitive; states that are deemed to be "safe" or "solid" by all forecasters are omitted for brevity.
| State | EVs | PVI[2] | 2020 result |
2020 margin[3] |
IE May 8, 2024[4] |
Cook July 9, 2024[5] |
CNalysis August 5, 2024[6] |
Sabato August 6, 2024[7] |
CNN January 31, 2024[8] |
DDHQ July 9, 2024[9] |
538 July 19, 2024[10] |
Economist July 19, 2024[11] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaska | 3 | R+8 | 52.8% R | 10.06% | Solid R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Solid R | Likely R | Likely R | Solid R |
| Arizona | 11 | R+2 | 49.4% D | 0.31% | Tossup | Lean R (flip) | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R (flip) | Lean R (flip) |
| Colorado | 10 | D+4 | 55.4% D | 13.50% | Solid D | Solid D | Solid D | Solid D | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D | Lean D |
| Florida | 30 | R+3 | 51.2% R | 3.36% | Lean R | Likely R | Very Likely R | Likely R | Lean R | Lean R | Lean R | Likely R |
| Georgia | 16 | R+3 | 49.5% D | 0.24% | Tossup | Lean R (flip) | Tossup | Lean R (flip) | Lean R (flip) | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R (flip) |
| Iowa | 6 | R+6 | 53.1% R | 8.20% | Likely R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Solid R | Likely R | Likely R | Safe R |
| Maine[a] | 2 | D+2 | 53.1% D | 9.07% | Likely D | Likely D | Very Likely D | Likely D | Solid D | Lean D | Likely D | Tossup |
| ME–02[a] | 1 | R+6 | 52.3% R | 7.44% | Lean R | Likely R | Solid R | Likely R | Lean R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R |
| Michigan | 15 | R+1 | 50.6% D | 2.78% | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R (flip) | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R (flip) |
| Minnesota | 10 | D+1 | 52.4% D | 7.11% | Lean D | Lean D | Solid D | Likely D | Lean D | Lean D | Lean D | Tossup |
| NE–02[a] | 1 | EVEN | 52.0% D[b] | 6.50% | Lean D | Lean D | Tilt D | Lean D | Tossup | Lean D | Lean D | Tossup |
| Nevada | 6 | R+1 | 50.1% D | 2.39% | Tossup | Lean R (flip) | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R (flip) | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R (flip) |
| New Hampshire | 4 | D+1 | 52.7% D | 7.35% | Lean D | Lean D | Likely D | Lean D | Lean D | Lean D | Lean D | Tossup |
| New Jersey | 14 | D+6 | 57.3% D | 15.94% | Solid D | Solid D | Solid D | Solid D | Solid D | Likely D | Likely D | Lean D |
| New Mexico | 5 | D+3 | 54.3% D | 10.79% | Solid D | Likely D | Very Likely D | Likely D | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D | Lean D |
| North Carolina | 16 | R+3 | 49.9% R | 1.35% | Tilt R | Lean R | Lean R | Lean R | Lean R | Lean R | Lean R | Likely R |
| Ohio | 17 | R+6 | 53.3% R | 8.03% | Likely R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Solid R | Likely R | Likely R | Safe R |
| Oregon | 8 | D+6 | 56.4% D | 16.08% | Solid D | Solid D | Solid D | Solid D | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D |
| Pennsylvania | 19 | R+2 | 50.0% D | 1.16% | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R (flip) |
| Texas | 40 | R+5 | 52.1% R | 5.58% | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Solid R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R |
| Virginia | 13 | D+3 | 54.1% D | 10.11% | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Lean D | Lean D | Lean D | Tossup |
| Wisconsin | 10 | R+2 | 49.5% D | 0.63% | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R (flip) |
| Overall | D – 226 R – 235 77 tossups |
D – 226 R – 268 44 tossups |
D – 226 R – 235 77 tossups |
D – 226 R – 251 61 tossups |
D – 225 R – 272 41 tossups |
D – 226 R – 235 77 tossups |
D – 226 R – 246 66 tossups |
D – 196 R – 312 30 tossups | ||||
Polling
[edit]Alabama
[edit]Hypothetical polling
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPA Intelligence[12] | August 23–24 & 26, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 57% | 32% | 12% |
Alaska
[edit]Hypothetical polling
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Data for Progress (D)[13] | February 23 – March 2, 2024 | 1,120 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 53% | 41% | 6% |
| Alaska Survey Research[14] | October 13–18, 2023 | 1,375 (LV) | – | 45% | 37% | 19% |
| Alaska Survey Research[15] | July 18–21, 2023 | 1,336 (LV) | – | 43% | 36% | 21% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaska Survey Research[14] | October 13–18, 2023 | 1,375 (LV) | – | 37% | 29% | 17% | 17% |
Arizona
[edit]Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[16][A] | July 29–30, 2024 | 618 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 47% | 49% | 4% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[17][B] | July 23–29, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 43% | 48% | 9% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[18] | July 24–28, 2024 | 804 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 47% | 4% |
| Emerson College[19] | July 22–23, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 44% | 49% | 7% |
| 800 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 47%[d] | 53% | – | ||
| Biden announces his withdrawal; Harris declares her candidacy for president. | ||||||
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[20] | July 15–16, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 42% | 48% | 10% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[21][A] | July 10–11, 2024 | 596 (RV) | – | 44% | 52% | 4% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[22] | May 7–13, 2024 | 795 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 51% | 7% |
| Emerson College[23] | February 16–19, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 48% | 12% |
| New York Times/Siena College[24] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 603 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 48% | 9% |
| 603 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 48% | 9% | ||
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[25] | July 31 – August 3, 2024 | 567 (LV) | – | 44% | 43% | 4% | – | 0% | 0% | 9% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[26] | July 24–28, 2024 | 804 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 44% | 5% | – | 0% | 2% | 1% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[27] | July 22–24, 2024 | 510 (LV) | – | 43% | 46% | 4% | – | 0% | 1% | 6% |
| Emerson College[28] | July 22–23, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 40% | 48% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 4% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[29][C] | July 17–20, 2024 | 738 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 40% | 46% | 7% | 1% | 6% |
Hypothetical polling with Joe Biden and Donald Trump
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[30][C] | July 17–20, 2024 | 738 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 44% | 50% | 6% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[31] | July 15–16, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 49% | 7% |
| Emerson College[32][D] | July 15–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 47% | 13% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[33][E] | July 5–12, 2024 | 1,101 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 50% | 9% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[34][A] | July 10–11, 2024 | 596 (RV) | – | 43% | 51% | 6% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[35] | July 1–5, 2024 | 781 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 48% | 7% |
| Emerson College[36][D] | June 30 – July 2, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 46% | 12% |
| Remington Research Group (R)[37] | June 29 – July 1, 2024 | 638 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 49% | 9% |
| North Star Opinion Research (R)[38][F] | June 17–20, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 48% | 10% |
| Emerson College[39] | June 13–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 47% | 10% |
| 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48%[d] | 52% | – | ||
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[40] | June 11–13, 2024 | 750 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 47% | 13% |
| Fox News[41] | June 1–4, 2024 | 1,095 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 51% | 3% |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[42][G] | May 28 – June 4, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 50% | 6% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[43] | May 19–21, 2024 | 609 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 41% | 18% |
| 501 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 43% | 12% | ||
| CBS News/YouGov[44] | May 10–16, 2024 | 1,214 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 52% | 1% |
| Prime Group[45][H] | May 9–16, 2024 | 490 (RV) | – | 49% | 51% | – |
| Noble Predictive Insights[46] | May 7–14, 2024 | 1,003 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 41% | 44% | 15% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[47] | May 7–13, 2024 | 795 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 49% | 7% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[48] | May 6–13, 2024 | 527 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 44% | 45% | 11% |
| New York Times/Siena College[49] | April 28 – May 9, 2024 | 626 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 49% | 9% |
| 626 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 49% | 8% | ||
| Emerson College[50] | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 48% | 8% |
| 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48%[d] | 52% | – | ||
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[51] | April 8–15, 2024 | 801 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 49% | 9% |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[52][I] | April 7–11, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 44% | 48% | 8% |
| The Bullfinch Group[53][J] | March 29 – April 3, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 44% | 18%[e] |
| RABA Research[54] | March 28–31, 2024 | 503 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 36% | 39% | 25%[f] |
| Wall Street Journal[55] | March 17–24, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 47% | 11% |
| Echelon Insights[56][K] | March 12–19, 2024 | 401 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 45% | 51% | 4% |
| North Star Opinion Research[57][L] | March 14–17, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 46% | 12% |
| Emerson College[58] | March 12–15, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 48% | 8% |
| 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48%[d] | 52% | – | ||
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[59] | March 8–14, 2024 | 796 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 48% | 9% |
| Fox News[60] | March 7–11, 2024 | 1,121 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 49% | 6% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[61] | February 21–26, 2024 | 1,001 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 47% | 13% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[62] | February 12–20, 2024 | 798 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 49% | 8% |
| Emerson College[63] | February 16–19, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 46% | 11% |
| J.L. Partners[64] | January 29 – February 1, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 41% | 45% | 14% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[65] | January 16–21, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| The Bullfinch Group[66] | December 14–18, 2023 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 50% | 10% |
| VCreek/AMG (R)[67][M] | December 1–8, 2023 | 694 (RV) | – | 41% | 46% | 13% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[68] | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 796 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 46% | 12% |
| J.L. Partners[69] | November 27 – December 1, 2023 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 48% | 9% |
| Tulchin Research (D)[70] | November 13–20, 2023 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 42% | 42% | 16% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[71] | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 46% | 12% |
| Emerson College[72] | October 30 – November 4, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 43% | 16% |
| New York Times/Siena College[73] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 603 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 49% | 7% |
| Noble Predictive Insights[74] | October 25–31, 2023 | 1,010 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 38% | 46% | 16% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[75] | October 5–10, 2023 | 804 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 47% | 10% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[76] | October 7–9, 2023 | 627 (RV) | – | 39% | 44% | 16% |
| Emerson College[77] | August 2–4, 2023 | 1,337 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 43% | 45% | 13% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[78] | July 22–24, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 44% | 8% |
| Prime Group[79][N] | June 14–28, 2023 | 500 (RV) | – | 48% | 52% | – |
| 500 (RV) | – | 31% | 41% | 28%[g] | ||
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[80] | June 17–19, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 41% | 11% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[81] | May 15–17, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 44% | 10% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[82] | April 11–13, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 44% | 11% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[83][O] | March 13–14, 2023 | 1,001 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 50% | 11% |
| OH Predictive Insights[84] | January 31 – February 9, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 39% | 37% | 24% |
| Blueprint Polling (D)[85] | January 5–8, 2023 | 618 (V) | ± 3.9% | 35% | 38% | 27% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[86] | November 8–9, 2022 | 874 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 45% | 8% |
| Targoz Market Research[87] | November 2–6, 2022 | 560 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 45% | 53% | 2% |
| Emerson College[88] | October 30 – November 1, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 46% | 12% |
| Emerson College[89] | September 6–7, 2022 | 627 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 41% | 44% | 15% |
| Echelon Insights[90] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 773 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 43% | 47% | 10% |
| Blueprint Polling (D)[91] | May 12–16, 2022 | 608 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 41% | 18% |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[92][I] | November 11–16, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 51% | 6% |
| Bendixen/Amandi International[93] | June 17–23, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 44% | 5% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[94][C] | July 17–20, 2024 | 738 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 40% | 45% | 7% | – | 2% | 6% |
| Emerson College[95][D] | July 15–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 36% | 46% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 10%[h] |
| J.L. Partners[96] | July 10–11, 2024 | 513 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 40% | 46% | 4% | – | 2% | 8% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[97][E] | July 5–12, 2024 | 1,101 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 46% | 9% | 1% | 1% | 6% |
| YouGov[98][P] | July 4–12, 2024 | 900 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 37% | 44% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 11% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[99] | July 1–5, 2024 | 781 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 45% | 9% | 1% | 0% | 7% |
| North Star Opinion Research (R)[100][F] | June 17–20, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 32% | 42% | 13% | – | 3% | 10%[i] |
| Emerson College[101] | June 13–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 43% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 8% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[102] | June 11–13, 2024 | 750 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 37% | 41% | 10% | 2% | 1% | 9% |
| Fox News[103] | June 1–4, 2024 | 1,095 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 46% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 3% |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[104][Q] | May 28 – June 4, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 37% | 45% | 11% | 0% | 3% | 4% |
| Prime Group[105][H] | May 9–16, 2024 | 490 (RV) | – | 40% | 44% | 11% | 3% | 2% | – |
| Noble Predictive Insights[106] | May 7–14, 2024 | 1,003 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 36% | 43% | 8% | 1% | 2% | 10% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[107] | May 7–13, 2024 | 795 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 45% | 7% | 1% | 2% | 5% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[108] | May 6–13, 2024 | 527 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 37% | 41% | 10% | 2% | 1% | 9% |
| New York Times/Siena College[109] | April 28 – May 9, 2024 | 626 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 33% | 42% | 10% | 0% | 2% | 13% |
| 626 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 35% | 44% | 8% | 0% | 2% | 11% | ||
| Emerson College[110] | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 44% | 9% | 1% | 1% | 6% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[111] | April 8–15, 2024 | 801 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 46% | 7% | 2% | 0% | 5% |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[112][I] | April 7–11, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 37% | 42% | 10% | – | 2% | 9% |
| Wall Street Journal[113] | March 17–24, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 34% | 39% | 13% | 2% | 1% | 11%[j] |
| Emerson College[114] | March 12–15, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 38% | 46% | 7% | 1% | 2% | 6% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[115] | March 8–14, 2024 | 796 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 43% | 12% | 2% | 1% | 5% |
| Fox News[116] | March 7–11, 2024 | 1,121 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 43% | 10% | 1% | 2% | 5% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[117] | February 12–20, 2024 | 798 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 36% | 45% | 9% | 1% | 1% | 8% |
| Emerson College[118] | February 16–19, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 43% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 10% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[119] | January 16–21, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 35% | 43% | 10% | 1% | 1% | 10% |
| VCreek/AMG (R)[120][M] | December 1–8, 2023 | 694 (RV) | – | 32% | 40% | 9% | 3% | 2% | 14%[k] |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[121] | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 796 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 40% | 10% | 1% | 1% | 11% |
| J.L. Partners/Daily Mail[122] | November 27 – December 1, 2023 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 39% | 44% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 12%[l] |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1983 Labs[123] | June 28–30, 2024 | 492 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 33% | 48% | 8% | 11%[m] |
| P2 Insights[124][R] | June 11–20, 2024 | 650 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 36% | 47% | 7% | 10% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[125] | May 19–21, 2024 | 609 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 37% | 39% | 9% | 15% |
| 501 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 43% | 7% | 11% | ||
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[126] | May 2–4, 2024 | 625 (LV) | – | 42% | 44% | 7% | 7%[n] |
| Data Orbital[127] | April 27–29, 2024 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 38.8% | 38.1% | 13.5% | 9.6% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[128] | March 14–17, 2024 | 516 (LV) | – | 41% | 44% | 7% | 8% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[129] | December 28–30, 2023 | 808 (LV) | – | 35% | 41% | 10% | 14% |
| VCreek/AMG (R)[130][M] | December 1–8, 2023 | 694 (RV) | – | 35% | 40% | 16% | 9% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[131] | November 27–29, 2023 | 1,103 (LV) | – | 33% | 40% | 10% | 17% |
| New York Times/Siena College[132] | October 22– November 3, 2023 | 603 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 33% | 33% | 26% | 8% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[133] | October 7–9, 2023 | 627 (LV) | – | 37% | 42% | 8% | 12% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Star Opinion Research[134][L] | March 14–17, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 33% | 37% | 18% | 2% | 10% |
| J.L. Partners[135] | November 27 – December 1, 2023 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 34% | 39% | 4% | 1% | 22% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[136] | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 36% | 40% | 11% | 1% | 12% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Cornel West Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[137] | August 2–4, 2023 | 1,337 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 41% | 42% | 4% | 13% |
Hypothetical polling with other candidates
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[138] | November 27–29, 2023 | 1,103 (LV) | – | 33% | 25% | 19% | 6% | 17% |
Gavin Newsom vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Gavin Newsom Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[139][A] | July 10–11, 2024 | 596 (RV) | – | 44% | 51% | 5% |
| Emerson College[140] | February 16–19, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 34% | 47% | 19% |
Gretchen Whitmer vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Gretchen Whitmer Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[141][A] | July 10–11, 2024 | 596 (RV) | – | 45% | 49% | 6% |
JB Pritzker vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
JB Pritzker Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[142][A] | July 10–11, 2024 | 596 (RV) | – | 41% | 47% | 12% |
Josh Shapiro vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Josh Shapiro Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[143][A] | July 10–11, 2024 | 596 (RV) | – | 43% | 46% | 11% |
Pete Buttigieg vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Pete Buttigieg Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[144][A] | July 10–11, 2024 | 596 (RV) | – | 46% | 49% | 5% |
Mark Kelly vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Mark Kelly Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[145][C] | July 17–20, 2024 | 738 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 43% | 45% | 6% | 1% | 5% |
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VCreek/AMG (R)[146][M] | December 1–8, 2023 | 694 (RV) | – | 30% | 37% | 33% |
| New York Times/Siena College[147] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 603 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 37% | 46% | 17% |
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[148] | November 27–29, 2023 | 1,103 (LV) | – | 34% | 27% | 17% | 6% | 16% |
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Times/Siena College[149] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 603 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 46% | 12% |
| Noble Predictive Insights[150] | October 25 – 31, 2023 | 1,010 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 37% | 40% | 23% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[151] | July 22–24, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 39% | 46% | 12% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[152] | June 17–19, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 40% | 46% | 12% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[153] | May 15–17, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 47% | 10% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[154] | April 11–13, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 48% | 10% |
| OH Predictive Insights[155] | January 31 – February 9, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 35% | 36% | 29% |
| Blueprint Polling (D)[156] | January 5–8, 2023 | 618 (V) | ± 3.9% | 37% | 43% | 20% |
| Echelon Insights[157] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 773 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 43% | 43% | 14% |
Joe Biden vs. Mike Pence
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Mike Pence Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[158] | May 15–17, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 43% | 12% |
Arkansas
[edit]Hypothetical polling
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[159] | October 1–4, 2023 | 435 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 57% | 24% | 19% |
| Echelon Insights[160] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 7.7% | 58% | 33% | 9% |
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Echelon Insights[161] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 7.7% | 49% | 31% | 20% |
California
[edit]Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College/Inside California Elections[162][S] | November 11–14, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 38% | 15% |
Hypothetical polling with Joe Biden and Donald Trump
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Institute of California[163] | June 24 – July 2, 2024 | 1,261 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 55% | 30% | 15%[o] |
| Public Policy Institute of California[164] | May 23 – June 2, 2024 | 1,098 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 55% | 31% | 14%[p] |
| Public Policy Institute of California[165] | March 19–25, 2024 | 1,089 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 54% | 31% | 14% |
| Emerson College/Inside California Elections[166][S] | February 24–27, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 57% | 35% | 8% |
| UC Berkeley IGS[167] | February 22–26, 2024 | 6,536 (LV) | ± 1.5% | 52% | 34% | 14% |
| Emerson College/Inside California Elections[168][S] | February 16–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 55% | 33% | 12% |
| Public Policy Institute of California[169] | February 6–14, 2024 | 1,075 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 55% | 32% | 13% |
| Emerson College/Inside California Elections[170][S] | January 11–14, 2024 | 1,087 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 54% | 34% | 12% |
| UC Berkeley IGS[171] | January 1–4, 2024 | 4,471 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 56% | 37% | 19% |
| Emerson College/Inside California Elections[162][S] | November 11–14, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 37% | 13% |
| Public Policy Institute of California[172] | November 9–16, 2023 | 1,113 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 54% | 30% | 16% |
| UC Berkeley IGS[173] | October 24–30, 2023 | 4,506 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 46% | 31% | 23% |
| Public Policy Institute of California[174] | October 3–19, 2023 | 1,377 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 60% | 29% | 12% |
| Data Viewpoint[175] | October 1, 2023 | 533 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 67% | 33% | – |
| Public Policy Institute of California[176] | August 25 – September 5, 2023 | 1,146 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 57% | 26% | 17% |
| UC Berkeley IGS[177] | August 24–29, 2023 | 6,030 (RV) | ± 2.0% | 51% | 31% | 18% |
| Public Policy Institute of California[178] | June 7–29, 2023 | 1,089 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 57% | 31% | 12% |
| Public Policy Institute of California[179] | May 17–24, 2023 | 1,062 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 58% | 25% | 17% |
| UC Berkeley/Los Angeles Times[180] | February 14–20, 2023 | 5,149 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 59% | 29% | 12% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College/Inside California Elections[166][S] | February 24–27, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 32% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 8% |
| UC Berkeley IGS[167] | February 22–26, 2024 | 6,536 (LV) | ± 1.5% | 40% | 28% | 11% | 3% | 2% | 16% |
| Emerson College/Inside California Elections[168][S] | February 16–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 31% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 10% |
| Emerson College/Inside California Elections[170][S] | January 11–14, 2024 | 1,087 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 47% | 32% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 13% |
| UC Berkeley IGS[171] | January 1–4, 2024 | 4,471 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 47% | 31% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 11% |
| Emerson College/Inside California Elections[162][S] | November 11–14, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 31% | 8% | 1% | 2% | 15% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley IGS[173] | October 24–30, 2023 | 4,506 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 43% | 29% | 9% | 4% | 15% |
Hypothetical polling with other candidates
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley/Los Angeles Times[180] | February 14–20, 2023 | 5,149 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 56% | 34% | 10% |
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Data Viewpoint[175] | October 1, 2023 | 533 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 58% | 42% | – |
Gavin Newsom vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Gavin Newsom Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College/Inside California Elections[162][S] | November 11–14, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 53% | 35% | 13% |
Gavin Newsom vs. Ron DeSantis
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Gavin Newsom Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Probolsky Research[181] | August 4–9, 2022 | 900 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 55% | 38% | 7% |
Colorado
[edit]Hypothetical polling with Joe Biden and Donald Trump
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Global Strategy Group (D)[182][T] | June 17–24, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 40% | 10% |
| McLaughlin and Associates (R)[183] | June 9–11, 2024 | 725 (LV) | – | 45% | 43% | 12% |
| John Zogby Strategies[184] | April 13–21, 2024 | 529 (LV) | – | 49% | 43% | 8% |
| New Bridge Strategy (R)/Aspect Strategic (D)[185][U] | March 15–19, 2024 | 632 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 39% | 12% |
| Florida Atlantic University[186] | February 29 – March 3, 2024 | 170 (LV) | – | 48% | 44% | 8% |
| 179 (RV) | – | 48% | 43% | 9% | ||
| Emerson College[187] | January 23–28, 2024 | 1,856 (RV) | ± 2.2% | 41% | 35% | 24% |
| Global Strategy Group (D)[188][T] | January 22–28, 2024 | 801 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 49% | 41% | 10% |
| YouGov/University of Colorado Boulder[189] | December 1–18, 2023 | 800 (A) | ± 4.2% | 47% | 40% | 13% |
| Cygnal (R)/Aspect Strategies (D)[190][U] | November 26–27, 2023 | 652 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 45% | 36% | 19% |
| Emerson College[191] | October 1–4, 2023 | 477 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 38% | 20% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[192] | May 7–9, 2023 | 500 (LV) | – | 49% | 39% | 12% |
| Emerson College[193] | October 26–29, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 39% | 14% |
| Emerson College[194] | September 18–19, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 36% | 18% |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[195] | July 24–26, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 50% | 43% | 6% |
| Blueprint Polling (D)[196] | April 6–8, 2022 | 612 (V) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 43% | 14% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Global Strategy Group (D)[197][T] | June 17–24, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 42% | 36% | 12% | 2% | 3% | 5% |
Hypothetical polling with other candidates
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov/University of Colorado Boulder[198] | December 1–18, 2023 | 800 (A) | ± 4.2% | 46% | 33% | 21% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[199] | May 7–9, 2023 | 500 (LV) | – | 44% | 41% | 15% |
Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Generic Democrat |
Generic Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blueprint Polling (D)[200] | April 6–8, 2022 | 612 (V) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 42% | 16% |
Connecticut
[edit]Hypothetical polling
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[201] | October 19–21, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 40% | 11% |
| Emerson College[202] | September 7–9, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 36% | 15% |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[203] | July 26–27, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 52% | 39% | 9% |
| Emerson College[204] | May 10–11, 2022 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 38% | 11% |
Delaware
[edit]Hypothetical polling
Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[205][V] | April 13–21, 2024 | 310 (LV) | – | 46% | 42% | 12% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[205][V] | April 13–21, 2024 | 310 (LV) | – | 51% | 40% | 9% |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[205][V] | April 13–21, 2024 | 310 (LV) | – | 42% | 36% | 22% |
Florida
[edit]Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of North Florida[206] | July 24–27, 2024 | 774 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 49% | 42% | 9%[q] |
| Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Harris declares her candidacy for president. | ||||||
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[207][r] | July 15–16, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 39% | 12%[s] |
| Suffolk University[208] | September 15–18, 2022 | 500 (LV) | – | 46% | 44% | 10% |
| Victory Insights[209] | September 16–18, 2021 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 49% | 51% | – |
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[210] | July 31 – August 3, 2024 | 976 (LV) | – | 47% | 41% | 5% | – | 0% | 1% | 6% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[211] | July 22–24, 2024 | 572 (LV) | – | 47% | 39% | 5% | – | 0% | 1% | 8% |
Hypothetical polling with Donald Trump and Joe Biden
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[212][r] | July 15–16, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 44% | 6%[t] |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[213] | June 8–9, 2024 | 883 (A) | ± 3.3% | 46% | 42% | 13% |
| 771 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 49% | 43% | 8% | ||
| The Tyson Group (R)[214] | June 6–9, 2024 | 1,050 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 36% | 18% |
| Fox News[215] | June 1–4, 2024 | 1,075 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 46% | 4% |
| CBS News/YouGov[216] | May 10–16, 2024 | 1,209 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 54% | 45% | 1% |
| Prime Group[217][H] | May 9–16, 2024 | 486 (RV) | – | 53% | 47% | – |
| Cherry Communications (R)[218][W] | April 28 – May 7, 2024 | 609 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 42% | 7% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[219] | April 15–17, 2024 | 865 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 50% | 42% | 8% |
| 815 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 51% | 43% | 6% | ||
| Emerson College[220] | April 9–10, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 56% | 44% | – |
| St. Pete Polls[221] | March 11–13, 2024 | 1,963 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 48% | 42% | 10% |
| Cygnal (R)[222] | November 13–15, 2023 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 48% | 43% | 9% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[223] | October 27 – November 11, 2023 | 946 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 49% | 39% | 12% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[224] | October 7–9, 2023 | 1,100 (RV) | – | 44% | 39% | 17% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[225] | June 27 – July 1, 2023 | 933 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 49% | 39% | 2% |
| Metropolitan Research Services[226] | March 15–19, 2023 | 1,001 (RV) | – | 47% | 43% | 10% |
| Emerson College[227] | March 13–15, 2023 | 1,153 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 44% | 44% | 12% |
| University of North Florida[228] | February 25 – March 7, 2023 | 1,452 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 50% | 43% | 7% |
| Victory Insights[229] | November 16–17, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 49% | 51% | – |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[230] | November 8–9, 2022 | 1,224 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 40% | 11% |
| Florida Atlantic University[231] | October 12–16, 2022 | 719 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 45% | 41% | 14% |
| Suffolk University[232] | September 15–18, 2022 | 500 (LV) | – | 47% | 44% | 9% |
| Echelon Insights[233] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 815 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 49% | 41% | 10% |
| Suffolk University[234] | January 26–29, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 44% | 9% |
| Victory Insights[235] | September 16–18, 2021 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 49% | 51% | – |
| St. Pete Polls[236] | August 16–17, 2021 | 2,068 (RV) | ± 2.2% | 47% | 48% | 5% |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)[237] | August 4–10, 2021 | 700 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 42% | 50% | 8% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fox News[238] | June 1–4, 2024 | 1,075 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 40% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 3% |
| Prime Group[239][H] | May 9–16, 2024 | 486 (RV) | – | 48% | 39% | 9% | 3% | 1% | – |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[240] | June 8–9, 2024 | 883 (A) | ± 3.3% | 43% | 37% | 10% | 10% |
| 771 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 45% | 40% | 8% | 6% | ||
| Cherry Communications (R)[241][W] | April 28 – May 7, 2024 | 609 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 37% | 10% | 7% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[242] | May 2–4, 2024 | 586 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 38% | 6% | 9% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[243] | April 15–17, 2024 | 865 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 48% | 38% | 7% | 7% |
| 815 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 49% | 40% | 6% | 5% | ||
| USA Today/Ipsos[244] | April 5–7, 2024 | 1,014 (A) | ± 4.1% | 39% | 31% | 7% | 23% |
| Emerson College[245] | April 9–10, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 35% | 6% | 11%[u] |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[246] | March 14–17, 2024 | 815 (LV) | – | 46% | 39% | 7% | 8% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[247] | December 28–30, 2023 | 1,147 (LV) | – | 45% | 34% | 9% | 12% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[248] | November 27–29, 2023 | 897 (LV) | – | 44% | 34% | 9% | 13% |
| Cygnal (R)[249] | November 13–15, 2023 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 44% | 37% | 11% | 8% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[250] | October 7–9, 2023 | 1100 (LV) | – | 44% | 37% | 8% | 11% |
Hypothetical polling with other candidates
Donald Trump vs. Hillary Clinton
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suffolk University[251] | January 26–29, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 42% | 9% |
Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[252] | November 27–29, 2023 | 897 (LV) | – | 27% | 32% | 16% | 24% |
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[253] | November 27–29, 2023 | 897 (LV) | – | 38% | 34% | 12% | 16% |
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cygnal (R)[254] | November 13–15, 2023 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 46% | 43% | 11% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[255] | October 27 – November 11, 2023 | 946 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 47% | 39% | 15% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[256] | June 27 – July 1, 2023 | 933 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 49% | 36% | 15% |
| Emerson College[257] | March 13–15, 2023 | 1,153 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 46% | 43% | 11% |
| University of North Florida[258] | February 25 – March 7, 2023 | 1,452 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 51% | 42% | 8% |
| Cherry Communications[259] | February 10–19, 2023 | 608 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 38% | 13% |
| Victory Insights[260] | November 16–17, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 53% | 47% | – |
| Suffolk University[261] | September 15–18, 2022 | 500 (LV) | – | 52% | 44% | 4% |
| Echelon Insights[262] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 815 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 51% | 42% | 7% |
| Suffolk University[263] | January 26–29, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 52% | 44% | 4% |
| Victory Insights[264] | September 16–18, 2021 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 49% | 51% | – |
| The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R)[265] | September 11–12, 2021 | 1,144 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 55% | – |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)[266] | August 4–10, 2021 | 700 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 49% | 4% |
Ron DeSantis vs. Kamala Harris
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suffolk University[267] | September 15–18, 2022 | 500 (LV) | – | 52% | 40% | 8% |
| Victory Insights[268] | September 16–18, 2021 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 51% | 49% | – |
Ron DeSantis vs. Hillary Clinton
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suffolk University[269] | January 26–29, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 53% | 40% | 7% |
Georgia
[edit]Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trafalgar Group (R)/InsiderAdvantage (R)[270] | July 29–30, 2024 | – (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 49% | 4% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[271][A] | July 29–30, 2024 | 662 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 48% | 47% | 5% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[272] | July 24–28, 2024 | 799 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 47% | 5% |
| SoCal Research (R)[273][X] | July 25–26, 2024 | 505 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 50% | 4% |
| Emerson College[274] | July 22–23, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 46% | 48% | 6% |
| 800 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 49%[d] | 51% | – | ||
| Landmark Communications[275] | July 22, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 47% | 48% | 5% |
| Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Harris declares her candidacy for president. | ||||||
| University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs[276][Y] | July 9–18, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 46% | 51% | 3% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[277][v] | July 15–16, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 37% | 47% | 16% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[278] | July 12–15, 2024 | 640 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 42% | 46% | 12% |
| 549 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 43% | 49% | 8% | ||
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[279] | May 7–13, 2024 | 795 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 49% | 10% |
| Emerson College[280] | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 51% | 8% |
| New York Times/Siena College[281] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 629 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 44% | 45% | 11% |
| 629 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 44% | 47% | 9% | ||
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[282] | July 31 – August 3, 2024 | 1,128 (LV) | – | 44% | 46% | 3% | – | 1% | 0% | 6% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[283] | July 24–28, 2024 | 799 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 45% | 4% | – | 0% | 4% | 2% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[284] | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,180 (LV) | – | 42% | 47% | 3% | – | 1% | 0% | 7% |
| Emerson College[285] | July 22–23, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 43% | 46% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 5% |
| Landmark Communications[286] | July 22, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 44% | 46% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[287] | July 12–15, 2024 | 640 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 37% | 46% | 8% | 9% |
| 549 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 38% | 49% | 6% | 7% |
Hypothetical polling with Joe Biden and Donald Trump
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs[288][Y] | July 9–18, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 48% | 7% |
| Emerson College[289][D] | July 15–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 47% | 12% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[290][v] | July 15–16, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[291] | July 12–15, 2024 | 981 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 43% | 49% | 8% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[292][E] | July 5–12, 2024 | 1,015 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 48% | 9% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[293] | July 1–5, 2024 | 790 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
| Emerson College[294][D] | June 30 – July 2, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 47% | 11% |
| Emerson College[295] | June 13–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 45% | 14% |
| 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48%[d] | 52% | – | ||
| Quinnipiac University[296] | May 30 – June 3, 2024 | 1,203 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 44% | 49% | 7% |
| Prime Group[297][H] | May 9–16, 2024 | 470 (RV) | – | 49% | 51% | – |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[298] | May 7–13, 2024 | 795 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[299] | May 6–13, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| New York Times/Siena College[300] | April 28 – May 9, 2024 | 604 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 39% | 49% | 12% |
| 604 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 41% | 50% | 9% | ||
| North Star Opinion Research[301][L] | May 1–5, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 49% | 12% |
| Emerson College[302] | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49%[d] | 51% | – | ||
| Fox News[303] | April 11–16, 2024 | 1,128 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 51% | 4% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[304] | April 8–15, 2024 | 802 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 49% | 8% |
| Wall Street Journal[305] | March 17–24, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 44% | 13% |
| Echelon Insights[306][Z] | March 12–19, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 42% | 52% | 6% |
| Marist College[307] | March 11–14, 2024 | 1,177 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 51% | 2% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[308] | March 8–12, 2024 | 788 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 49% | 9% |
| CBS News/YouGov[309] | March 4–11, 2024 | 1,133 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 48% | 51% | 1% |
| Emerson College[310] | March 5–7, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 46% | 12% |
| 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48%[d] | 52% | – | ||
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[311] | February 12–20, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 49% | 8% |
| Emerson College[312] | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 48% | 10% |
| Fox News[313] | January 26–30, 2024 | 1,119 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 51% | 6% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[314] | January 16–21, 2024 | 798 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 49% | 10% |
| Atlanta Journal-Constitution[315] | January 3–11, 2024 | 1,007 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 37% | 45% | 18% |
| CNN/SSRS[316] | November 30 – December 7, 2023 | 1,068 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 44% | 49% | 7% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[317] | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 801 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 49% | 8% |
| J.L. Partners[318] | November 27 – December 1, 2023 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 44% | 46% | 10% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[319] | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 803 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 48% | 11% |
| Emerson College[320] | October 30 – November 4, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 47% | 14% |
| University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs[321][Y] | October 30 – November 3, 2023 | 1,002 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 45% | 11% |
| New York Times/Siena College[322] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 629 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 43% | 49% | 8% |
| Zogby Analytics[323] | October 9–12, 2023 | 628 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 49% | 51% | – |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[324] | October 5–10, 2023 | 801 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 48% | 9% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[325] | October 7–9, 2023 | 761 (LV) | – | 40% | 43% | 17% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[326] | September 8–11, 2023 | 1,061 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 38% | 47% | 15% |
| Prime Group[327][AA] | June 14–28, 2023 | 500 (RV) | – | 48% | 52% | – |
| 500 (RV) | – | 36% | 45% | 19%[w] | ||
| Cygnal (R)[328][AB] | June 5–7, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 41% | 42% | 17% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[329] | May 15–17, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 43% | 13% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[330] | April 25–27, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 43% | 13% |
| Emerson College[331] | November 28–30, 2022 | 888 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 44% | 43% | 13% |
| University of Massachusetts Lowell[332] | November 18–28, 2022 | 1,300 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 47% | 43% | 7% |
| Targoz Market Research[333] | November 2–6, 2022 | 579 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 52% | 5% |
| Emerson College[334] | October 28–31, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[335] | October 23–24, 2022 | 1,053 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 47% | 14% |
| Emerson College[336] | October 6–7, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 45% | 12% |
| Echelon Insights[337] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 751 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 45% | 8% |
| Emerson College[338] | August 28–29, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 46% | 51% | 3% |
| PEM Management Corporation (R)[339][AC] | July 22–24, 2022 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 40% | 48% | 12% |
| East Carolina University[340] | June 6–9, 2022 | 868 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 40% | 47% | 13% |
| Blueprint Polling (D)[341] | March 2–8, 2022 | 662 (V) | ± 3.9% | 36% | 50% | 14% |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[342][I] | November 11–16, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 48% | 7% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[343][D] | July 15–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 44% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 8% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[344][E] | July 5–12, 2024 | 1,015 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 44% | 10% | 1% | 0% | 6% |
| YouGov[345][P] | July 4–12, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 40% | 44% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 14% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[346] | July 1–5, 2024 | 790 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 44% | 7% | 1% | 0% | 6% |
| Emerson College[347] | June 13–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 45% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 10% |
| Quinnipiac University[348] | May 30 – June 3, 2024 | 1,203 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 37% | 43% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 7%[x] |
| Prime Group[349][H] | May 9–16, 2024 | 470 (RV) | – | 41% | 42% | 11% | 5% | 1% | – |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[350] | May 7–13, 2024 | 795 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 44% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 7% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[351] | May 6–13, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 42% | 10% | 2% | 1% | 7% |
| New York Times/Siena College[352] | April 28 – May 9, 2024 | 604 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 31% | 39% | 9% | 0% | 1% | 20%[y] |
| 604 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 34% | 42% | 8% | 0% | 0% | 16%[z] | ||
| Emerson College[353] | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 45% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 8% |
| Fox News[354] | April 11–16, 2024 | 1,128 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 46% | 7% | 1% | 2% | 5% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[355] | April 8–15, 2024 | 802 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 45% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 6% |
| Wall Street Journal[356] | March 17–24, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 35% | 38% | 8% | 2% | 1% | 16% |
| Emerson College[357] | March 5–7, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 44% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 11% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[358] | March 8–12, 2024 | 788 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 38% | 45% | 7% | 2% | 0% | 8% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[359] | February 12–20, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 38% | 45% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 9% |
| Emerson College[360] | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 36% | 45% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 11% |
| Fox News[361] | January 26–30, 2024 | 1,119 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 45% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 6% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[362] | January 16–21, 2024 | 798 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 44% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 11% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[363] | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 801 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 44% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 10% |
| J.L. Partners/Daily Mail[364] | November 27 – December 1, 2023 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 41% | 45% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 10%[aa] |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 Insights[365][R] | June 11–20, 2024 | 650 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 35% | 45% | 6% | 14% |
| University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs[366][Y] | June 11–20, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 38% | 43% | 9% | 10%[ab] |
| North Star Opinion Research[367][L] | May 1–5, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 33% | 41% | 13% | 13% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[368] | May 2–4, 2024 | 610 (LV) | – | 38% | 43% | 5% | 14% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[369] | March 14–17, 2024 | 760 (LV) | – | 41% | 44% | 6% | 9% |
| Marist College[370] | March 11–14, 2024 | 1,177 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 40% | 45% | 14% | 1% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[371] | December 28–30, 2023 | 953 (LV) | – | 34% | 42% | 8% | 16% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[372] | November 27–29, 2023 | 746 (LV) | – | 35% | 45% | 7% | 14% |
| New York Times/Siena College[373] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 629 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 29% | 36% | 24% | 1% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[374] | October 7–9, 2023 | 761 (LV) | – | 38% | 41% | 8% | 13% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CNN/SSRS[375] | November 30 – December 7, 2023 | 1068 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 34% | 42% | 15% | 6% | 4% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[376] | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 803 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 34% | 43% | 10% | 1% | 12% |
| Zogby Analytics[377] | October 9–12, 2023 | 628 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 36% | 44% | 15% | 5% | – |
Hypothetical polling with other candidates
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CNN/SSRS[378] | November 30 – December 7, 2023 | 1,068 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 43% | 49% | 8% |
| University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs[379][Y] | October 30 – November 3, 2023 | 1,002 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 41% | 43% | 16% |
| New York Times/Siena College[380] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 629 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 40% | 45% | 15% |
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[381] | November 27–29, 2023 | 746 (LV) | – | 35% | 27% | 17% | 5% | 15% |
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CNN/SSRS[382] | November 30 – December 7, 2023 | 1,068 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 48% | 45% | 7% |
| University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs[383][Y] | October 30 – November 3, 2023 | 1,002 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 43% | 42% | 15% |
| New York Times/Siena College[384] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 629 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 44% | 45% | 11% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[385] | May 15–17, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 45% | – |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[386] | April 25–27, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 47% | 11% |
| Emerson College[387] | November 28–30, 2022 | 888 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 43% | 47% | 10% |
| University of Massachusetts Lowell[388] | November 18–28, 2022 | 1,300 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
| Echelon Insights[389] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 751 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 42% | 11% |
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[390] | November 27–29, 2023 | 746 (LV) | – | 36% | 34% | 14% | 4% | 12% |
Joe Biden vs. Mike Pence
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Mike Pence Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[391] | May 15–17, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 43% | – |
Joe Biden vs. generic Republican
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Generic Republican |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cygnal (R)[392][AB] | June 5–7, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 38% | 48% | 14% |
Gavin Newsom vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Gavin Newsom Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[393] | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 32% | 51% | 17% |
Idaho
[edit]Hypothetical polling
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[394] | October 1–4, 2023 | 490 (RV) | ±4.4% | 55% | 26% | 19% |
Illinois
[edit]Hypothetical polling
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cor Strategies[395] | August 24–27, 2023 | 811 (RV) | – | 53% | 35% | 12% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[396] | October 1–4, 2023 | 468 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 43% | 34% | 23% |
| Cor Strategies[395] | August 24–27, 2023 | 811 (RV) | – | 55% | 35% | 10% |
| Emerson College[397] | October 20–24, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 37% | 14% |
| Public Policy Polling[398] | October 10–11, 2022 | 770 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 51% | 42% | 7% |
| Emerson College[399] | September 21–23, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 38% | 11% |
J. B. Pritzker vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
J. B. Pritzker Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[398] | October 10–11, 2022 | 770 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 51% | 42% | 7% |
Indiana
[edit]Hypothetical polling
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[400] | March 2–5, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 55% | 34% | 11% |
| Emerson College[401] | October 1–4, 2023 | 462 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 48% | 29% | 24% |
Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[402] | March 2–5, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44.5% | 28.7% | 26.8% |
Iowa
[edit]Hypothetical polling
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cygnal (R)[403][AD] | July 8–9, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 39% | 10% |
| Selzer & Co.[404][AE] | February 25–28, 2024 | 640 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 48% | 33% | 19%[ac] |
| Cygnal (R)[405][AD] | February 13–14, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 49% | 40% | 11% |
| John Zogby Strategies[406] | January 2–4, 2024 | 500 (LV) | – | 51% | 39% | 10% |
| Emerson College[407] | December 15–17, 2023 | 1,094 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 48% | 40% | 12% |
| Emerson College[408] | May 19–22, 2023 | 1,064 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 49% | 38% | 13% |
| Emerson College[409] | October 2–4, 2022 | 959 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 47% | 39% | 14% |
| Cygnal (R)[410][AD] | October 2–4, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 41% | 8% |
| Cygnal (R)[411][AD] | July 13–14, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 40% | 9% |
| Cygnal (R)[412][ad][AD] | February 20–22, 2022 | 610 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 53% | 38% | 9% |
| Selzer & Co.[413] | November 7–10, 2021 | 658 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 51% | 40% | 9% |
| Cygnal (R)[414][AD] | October 18–19, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 54% | 41% | 5% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selzer & Co.[415][AE] | June 9–14, 2024 | 632 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 50% | 32% | 9% | 2% | 7%[ae] |
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[416] | May 19–22, 2023 | 1,064 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 45% | 38% | 17% |
Kansas
[edit]Hypothetical polling
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[417] | October 1–4, 2023 | 487 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 31% | 22% |
| Emerson College[418] | October 27–29, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 37% | 13% |
| Emerson College[419] | September 15–18, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 52% | 36% | 12% |
| Echelon Insights[420] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 392 (LV) | ± 7.5% | 52% | 41% | 7% |
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Echelon Insights[420] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 392 (LV) | ± 7.5% | 50% | 39% | 11% |
Kentucky
[edit]Hypothetical polling
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[421] | October 1–3, 2023 | 450 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 55% | 26% | 19% |
| Public Policy Polling|Public Policy Polling|Public Policy Polling (D)[422] | August 9–10, 2023 | 737 (V) | – | 55% | 34% | 11% |
| co/efficient|co/efficient|co/efficient (R)[423] | May 18–19, 2023 | 987 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 57% | 33% | 10% |
Louisiana
[edit]Hypothetical polling
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Faucheux Strategies[424][AF] | April 22–26, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 52% | 38% | 10% |
| Echelon Insights[425] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 506 (LV) | ± 6.5% | 51% | 36% | 13% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Faucheux Strategies[426][AF] | April 22–26, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 33% | 10% | 2% | 1% | 6% |
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Echelon Insights[427] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 506 (LV) | ± 6.5% | 46% | 33% | 21% |
Maine
[edit]Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire[428] | July 23–25, 2024 | 1,445 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 54% | 45% | 1% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire[429] | July 23–25, 2024 | 1,445 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 48% | 40% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5%[af] |
Hypothetical polling
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pan Atlantic Research[430] | February 6–14, 2024 | 791 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 31% | 38% | 30%[ag] |
| Digital Research[431] | October 3 – November 2, 2023 | 614 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 36% | 35% | 29%[ah] |
| Emerson College[432] | September 19–20, 2022 | 1,164 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 51% | 40% | 9% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
RCV count |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Digital Research[433] | April 8–30, 2024 | 809 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 1 | 40% | 41% | 10% | 1% | 6% | 2% |
| 2 | 41% | 41% | 11% | 1% | 6% | – | ||||
| 3 | 41% | 42% | 11% | – | 6% | – | ||||
| 4 | 42% | 43% | 15% | – | – | – | ||||
| 5 | 51% | 49% | – | – | – | – |
Maine's 1st congressional district
[edit]Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pan Atlantic Research[434] | February 6–14, 2024 | 791 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 39% | 31% | 31%[ai] |
| Digital Research[435] | October 3 – November 2, 2023 | 307 (RV) | – | 43% | 27% | 30% |
Maine's 2nd congressional district
[edit]Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pan Atlantic Research[436] | February 6–14, 2024 | 791 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 45% | 25% | 30%[aj] |
| Digital Research[437] | October 3 – November 2, 2023 | 307 (RV) | – | 42% | 28% | 30% |
Maryland
[edit]Hypothetical polling
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[ak] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[438] | June 19–20, 2024 | 635 (V) | ± 3.9% | 56% | 30% | 15% |
| Emerson College[439] | May 6–8, 2024 | 1,115 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 56% | 35% | 9% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[440][AG] | May 6–7, 2024 | 719 (V) | ± 3.7% | 60% | 32% | 8% |
| Emerson College[162] | February 12–13, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 55% | 32% | 13% |
| Gonzales Research[441] | January 23 – February 2, 2024 | 815 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 53% | 32% | 15% |
| Gonzales Research[442] | September 18–28, 2023 | 818 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 56% | 30% | 13% |
| Gonzales Research[443] | May 30 – June 6, 2023 | 841 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 52% | 35% | 13% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[ak] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[439] | May 6–8, 2024 | 1,115 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 50% | 33% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 6% |
| Emerson College[162] | February 12−13, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 32% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 13% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[ak] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gonzales Research[441] | January 23 – February 2, 2024 | 815 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 45% | 28% | 18% | 9% |
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[ak] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gonzales Research[441] | January 23 – February 2, 2024 | 815 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 36% | 14% |
| Gonzales Research[442] | September 18–28, 2023 | 818 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 53% | 36% | 11% |
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[ak] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gonzales Research[442] | September 18–28, 2023 | 818 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 56% | 35% | 9% |
| Gonzales Research[443] | May 30 – June 6, 2023 | 841 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 51% | 37% | 12% |
Joe Biden vs. Vivek Ramaswamy
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[ak] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Vivek Ramaswamy Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gonzales Research[442] | September 18–28, 2023 | 818 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 56% | 29% | 15% |
Massachusetts
[edit]Hypothetical polling
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suffolk University[444][AH] | July 16–18, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 29% | 24% |
| University of New Hampshire[445] | May 16–20, 2024 | 526 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 68% | 32% | – |
| University of Massachusetts Lowell[446] | October 18–25, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 58% | 32% | 10% |
| Emerson College[447] | September 7–8, 2022 | 708 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 54% | 34% | 12% |
| University of Massachusetts Lowell[448] | June 7–15, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 60% | 31% | 9% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire[449] | May 16–20, 2024 | 526 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 55% | 26% | 10% | 1% | 2% | 6% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov/UMass Amherst[450] | May 17–30, 2024 | 700 (A) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 27% | 9% | 16% |
| Suffolk University[451][AH] | April 16–20, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 52% | 22% | 8% | 18% |
| Suffolk University[452] | February 2–5, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 26% | 9% | 21% |
| YouGov[453][AI] | October 13–20, 2023 | 700 (V) | ± 5.1% | 43% | 21% | 17% | 19% |
Michigan
[edit]Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[454][B] | July 23–29, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[455] | July 24–28, 2024 | 706 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 53% | 42% | 4% |
| SoCal Research[456][AJ] | July 25–26, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 49% | 5% |
| Fox News[457] | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,012 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 49% | 2% |
| Emerson College[458] | July 22–23, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 45% | 46% | 9% |
| 800 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 49%[d] | 51% | – | ||
| Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Harris declares her candidacy for president. | ||||||
| Public Policy Polling (D)[459][A] | July 11–12, 2024 | 568 (RV) | – | 46% | 48% | 6% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[460] | May 7–13, 2024 | 704 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| New York Times/Siena College[461] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 616 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
| 616 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 46% | 6% | ||
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[462] | July 31 – August 3, 2024 | 771 (LV) | – | 41% | 42% | 5% | – | 1% | 0% | 11% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[463] | July 24–28, 2024 | 706 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 39% | 5% | – | 1% | 2% | 2% |
| Fox News[464] | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,012 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 45% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 3% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[465] | July 22–24, 2024 | 512 (LV) | – | 41% | 44% | 7% | – | 0% | 0% | 8% |
| Glengariff Group[466][AK] | July 22–24, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 41% | 10% | – | 1% | 1% | 5% |
| Emerson College[467] | July 22–23, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 44% | 44% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 5% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[468][C] | July 17–18, 2024 | 650 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 41% | 46% | 5% | 1% | 7% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Civiqs[469][AL] | July 13–16, 2024 | 532 (RV) | ± 5.3% | 46% | 46% | 5% | 3% |
Hypothetical polling with Joe Biden and Donald Trump
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[470][C] | July 17–18, 2024 | 650 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 46% | 49% | 5% |
| EPIC-MRA[471] | July 13–17, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 49% | 9% |
| Emerson College[472][D] | July 15–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 45% | 13% |
| Marketing Resource Group[473] | July 11–13, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 39% | 25%[al] |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[474][A] | July 11–12, 2024 | 568 (RV) | – | 46% | 47% | 7% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[475][E] | July 5–12, 2024 | 1,025 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 46% | 8% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[476] | July 1–5, 2024 | 694 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 43% | 9% |
| Emerson College[477][D] | June 30 – July 2, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 45% | 12% |
| Remington Research Group (R)[478] | June 29 – July 1, 2024 | 584 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 45% | 13% |
| EPIC-MRA[479] | June 21–26, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 49% | 6% |
| Emerson College[480] | June 13–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 46% | 9% |
| 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49%[d] | 51% | – | ||
| Mitchell Research[481][AM] | June 3, 2024 | 697 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[482] | May 30–31, 2024 | 723 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
| 636 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 47% | 46% | 7% | ||
| Mitchell Research[483][AM] | May 20–21, 2024 | 697 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 49% | 4% |
| KAConsulting (R)[484][AN] | May 15–19, 2024 | 600 (RV) | – | 44% | 45% | 11% |
| Prime Group[485][H] | May 9–16, 2024 | 482 (RV) | – | 52% | 48% | – |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[486] | May 7–13, 2024 | 704 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 45% | 9% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[487] | May 6–13, 2024 | 606 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
| New York Times/Siena College[488] | April 28 – May 9, 2024 | 616 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 49% | 9% |
| 616 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 46% | 7% | ||
| Emerson College[489] | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 45% | 11% |
| 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48%[d] | 52% | – | ||
| CBS News/YouGov[490] | April 19–25, 2024 | 1,262 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 51% | 49% | – |
| Fox News[491] | April 11–16, 2024 | 1,126 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 49% | 5% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[492] | April 8–15, 2024 | 708 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 45% | 8% |
| Marketing Resource Group[493] | April 8–11, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 42% | 22%[am] |
| The Bullfinch Group[494] | March 29 – April 3, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 39% | 19% |
| Spry Strategies[495] | March 25–28, 2024 | 709 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 44% | 48% | 8% |
| Wall Street Journal[496] | March 17–24, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 48% | 7% |
| Echelon Insights[497][AO] | March 12–19, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 45% | 51% | 4% |
| Emerson College[498] | March 14–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 45% | 11% |
| 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50%[d] | 50% | – | ||
| CNN/SSRS[499] | March 13–18, 2024 | 1,097 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 42% | 50% | 8% |
| Mitchell Research[500][AM] | March 15–16, 2024 | 627 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| Quinnipiac University[501] | March 8–12, 2024 | 1,487 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 45% | 48% | 7% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[502] | March 8–12, 2024 | 698 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
| North Star Opinion Research[503][AP] | February 22–25, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 43% | 13% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[504] | February 12–20, 2024 | 702 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 46% | 10% |
| Emerson College[505] | February 20–24, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 46% | 10% |
| EPIC-MRA[506] | February 13–18, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 45% | 14% |
| Fox News[507] | February 8–12, 2024 | 1,106 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[508] | January 16–21, 2024 | 703 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 47% | 7% |
| Target Insyght[509] | January 4–10, 2024 | 800 (RV) | – | 45% | 41% | 14% |
| Glengariff Group[510][AK] | January 2–6, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 47% | 14% |
| John Zogby Strategies[511] | January 2–4, 2024 | 602 (LV) | – | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| CNN/SSRS[512] | November 29 – December 6, 2023 | 1,197 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 40% | 50% | 10% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[513] | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 703 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 46% | 12% |
| EPIC-MRA[514] | November 10–16, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 46% | 13% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[515] | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 700 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 43% | 14% |
| Emerson College[516] | October 30 – November 4, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 41% | 16% |
| New York Times/Siena College[517] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 616 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 48% | 9% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[518] | October 5–10, 2023 | 706 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 44% | 12% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[519] | October 7–9, 2023 | 820 (LV) | – | 41% | 41% | 17% |
| Marketing Resource Group[520] | October 2–8, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 35% | 42% | 22% |
| Emerson College[521] | October 1–4, 2023 | 468 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 44% | 43% | 8% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[522][AQ] | September 26–27, 2023 | 679 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 48% | 44% | 8% |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research[523] | September 7–12, 2023 | 700 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 43% | 11% |
| EPIC-MRA[524] | August 6–11, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 45% | 9% |
| Emerson College[525] | August 1–2, 2023 | 1,121 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 44% | 44% | 13% |
| Mitchell Research[526][AM] | July 11–13, 2023 | 639 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 43% | 13% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[527][AR] | Jul 8–10, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.38% | 45% | 44% | 9% |
| Prime Group[528][AS] | June 14–28, 2023 | 500 (RV) | – | 50% | 50% | – |
| 500 (RV) | – | 40% | 43% | 17%[an] | ||
| EPIC-MRA[529] | June 8–14, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 44% | 12% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[530][AR] | April 17–19, 2023 | 500 (V) | ± 3.6% | 45% | 42% | 12% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[531][AT] | December 6–7, 2022 | 763 (V) | ± 3.6% | 50% | 43% | 7% |
| EPIC-MRA[532] | November 30 – December 6, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 43% | 10% |
| Emerson College[533] | October 28–31, 2022 | 900 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| Emerson College[534] | October 12–14, 2022 | 580 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 44% | 12% |
| EPIC-MRA[535] | September 15–19, 2022 | 600 (LV) | – | 48% | 44% | 8% |
| Blueprint Polling (D)[536] | August 15–16, 2022 | 611 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 41% | 19% |
| Blueprint Polling (D)[537] | February 1–4, 2022 | 632 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 38% | 40% | 22% |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[538][I] | November 11–16, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 53% | 6% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Trafalgar Group (R)[539] | July 15–17, 2024 | 1,091 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 43% | 45% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 6% |
| EPIC-MRA[540] | July 13–17, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 43% | 8% | 2% | 2% | 9% |
| Emerson College[541][D] | July 15–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 43% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 8% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[542][E] | July 5–12, 2024 | 1,025 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 44% | 7% | 0% | 1% | 5%[ao] |
| YouGov[543][P] | July 4–12, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 40% | 42% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 12% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[544] | July 1–5, 2024 | 694 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 39% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 7%[ap] |
| EPIC-MRA[545] | June 21–26, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 42% | 10% | 2% | 2% | 6% |
| Emerson College[546] | June 13–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 44% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 7% |
| Mitchell Research[547][AM] | June 3, 2024 | 697 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 45% | 46% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 4% |
| Mitchell Research[548][AM] | May 20–21, 2024 | 697 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 45% | 46% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| KAConsulting (R)[549][AN] | May 15–19, 2024 | 600 (RV) | – | 41% | 42% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 7%[aq] |
| Prime Group[550][H] | May 9–16, 2024 | 482 (RV) | – | 44% | 42% | 10% | 2% | 2% | – |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[551] | May 7–13, 2024 | 704 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 40% | 7% | 1% | 2% | 8% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[552] | May 6–13, 2024 | 606 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 43% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 6% |
| New York Times/Siena College[553] | April 28 – May 9, 2024 | 616 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 38% | 9% | 0% | 1% | 16%[ar] |
| 616 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 39% | 7% | 0% | 1% | 11%[ar] | ||
| Emerson College[554] | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 43% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 8% |
| Fox News[555] | April 11–16, 2024 | 1,126 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 42% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 5% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[556] | April 8–15, 2024 | 708 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 40% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 8% |
| Marketing Resource Group[557] | April 8–11, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 34% | 37% | 13% | 2% | 1% | 13% |
| Wall Street Journal[558] | March 17–24, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 37% | 39% | 12% | 2% | 2% | 8% |
| Emerson College[559] | March 14–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 43% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 10% |
| Mitchell Research[560][AM] | March 15–16, 2024 | 627 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 42% | 44% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 6% |
| Quinnipiac University[561] | March 8–12, 2024 | 1,487 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 36% | 41% | 10% | 3% | 4% | 6% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[562] | March 8–12, 2024 | 698 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 40% | 9% | 3% | 2% | 6% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[563] | February 12–20, 2024 | 702 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 41% | 9% | 1% | 1% | 8% |
| Emerson College[564] | February 20–24, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 42% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 11% |
| Fox News[565] | February 8–12, 2024 | 1,106 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 42% | 11% | 2% | 3% | 5% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[566] | January 16–21, 2024 | 703 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 37% | 43% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 10% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[567] | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 703 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 35% | 39% | 10% | 2% | 1% | 13% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Civiqs[568][AL] | July 13–16, 2024 | 532 (RV) | ± 5.3% | 43% | 46% | 5% | 6% |
| 1983 Labs[569] | June 28–30, 2024 | 563 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 41% | 45% | 5% | 9%[as] |
| P2 Insights[570][R] | June 11–20, 2024 | 650 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 40% | 43% | 8% | 9% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[571] | May 30–31, 2024 | 723 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 41% | 39% | 11% | 9% |
| 636 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 44% | 43% | 8% | 5% | ||
| Spry Strategies[572] | March 25–28, 2024 | 709 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 40% | 43% | 9% | 8% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[573] | March 14–17, 2024 | 616 (LV) | – | 39% | 41% | 6% | 14% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[574] | December 28–30, 2023 | 832 (LV) | – | 37% | 39% | 9% | 15% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[575] | November 27–29, 2023 | 874 (LV) | – | 38% | 39% | 9% | 13% |
| New York Times/Siena College[576] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 616 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 31% | 34% | 26% | 9% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[577] | October 7–9, 2023 | 820 (LV) | – | 38% | 40% | 7% | 15% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[578][C] | July 17–18, 2024 | 650 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 44% | 45% | 5% | 3% | 3% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[579] | May 2–4, 2024 | 650 (LV) | – | 37% | 43% | 7% | 1% | 12% |
| CBS News/YouGov[580] | April 19–25, 2024 | 1,262 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 43% | 9% | 3% | 0% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CNN/SSRS[581] | March 13–18, 2024 | 1,097 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 34% | 40% | 18% | 4% | 4% |
| CNN/SSRS[582] | November 29 – December 6, 2023 | 1,197 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 31% | 39% | 20% | 6% | 4% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[583] | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 700 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 37% | 10% | 2% | 13% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Cornel West Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[584] | August 1–2, 2023 | 1,121 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 41% | 43% | 4% | 11% |
Hypothetical polling with other candidates
Gavin Newsom vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Gavin Newsom Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[585][A] | July 11–12, 2024 | 568 (RV) | – | 44% | 45% | 11% |
| Glengariff Group[586][AK] | January 2–6, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 45% | 15% |
Gretchen Whitmer vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Gretchen Whitmer Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fox News[587] | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,012 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 52% | 46% | 2% |
| Glengariff Group[588][AK] | July 22–24, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 40% | 17% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[589][A] | July 11–12, 2024 | 568 (RV) | – | 52% | 45% | 3% |
| Emerson College/The Hill[590] | Mar 14–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 45% | 5% |
| Glengariff Group[591][AK] | January 2–6, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 45% | 6% |
| Marketing Resource Group[592] | October 2–8, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 40% | 13% |
Gretchen Whitmer vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Gretchen Whitmer Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[593][C] | July 17–18, 2024 | 650 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 46% | 45% | 5% | 1% | 3% |
JB Pritzker vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
JB Pritzker Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[594][A] | July 11–12, 2024 | 568 (RV) | – | 39% | 45% | 16% |
Josh Shapiro vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Josh Shapiro Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fox News[595] | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,012 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 48% | 5% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[596][A] | July 11–12, 2024 | 568 (RV) | – | 43% | 46% | 11% |
Pete Buttigieg vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Pete Buttigieg Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[597][A] | July 11–12, 2024 | 568 (RV) | – | 43% | 48% | 9% |
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fox News[598] | February 8–12, 2024 | 1,106 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 43% | 15% |
| Glengariff Group[599][AK] | January 2–6, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 34% | 44% | 22% |
| CNN/SSRS[600] | November 29 – December 6, 2023 | 1,197 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 38% | 50% | 12% |
| EPIC-MRA[601] | November 10–16, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 47% | 17% |
| New York Times/Siena College[602] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 616 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 36% | 46% | 18% |
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West. vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fox News[603] | February 8–12, 2024 | 1,106 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 35% | 26% | 23% | 3% | 3% | 33% |
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[604] | November 27–29, 2023 | 874 (LV) | – | 37% | 25% | 18% | 20% |
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CNN/SSRS[605] | November 29 – December 6, 2023 | 1,197 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 42% | 49% | 9% |
| New York Times/Siena College[606] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 616 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 43% | 13% |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research[607] | September 7–12, 2023 | 700 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 48% | 42% | 10% |
| Mitchell Research[608][AM] | July 11–13, 2023 | 639 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 31% | 25% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[609][AR] | July 8–10, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.38% | 44% | 46% | 7% |
| EPIC-MRA[610] | June 8–14, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 45% | 11% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[611][AR] | April 17–19, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 45% | 12% |
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[612] | November 27–29, 2023 | 874 (LV) | – | 39% | 30% | 13% | 2% | 15% |
Minnesota
[edit]Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris DFL |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harris announces Tim Walz as her running mate | ||||||
| SurveyUSA[613][AU] | July 23–25, 2024 | 656 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 50% | 40% | 10%[at] |
| Fox News[614] | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,071 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 52% | 46% | 2% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris DFL |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[615] | July 31 – August 3, 2024 | 538 (LV) | – | 46% | 41% | 3% | – | 0% | 0% | 10% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[616] | July 22–24, 2024 | 475 (LV) | – | 44% | 41% | 6% | – | 1% | 0% | 8% |
| Fox News[617] | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,071 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 41% | 7% | 1% | 1% | – | 3% |
Hypothetical polling with Joe Biden and Donald Trump
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden DFL |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[618] | June 13–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
| 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 51%[d] | 49% | – | ||
| SurveyUSA[619][AU] | June 12–16, 2024 | 626 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 47% | 41% | 12%[au] |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[620][I] | June 9–11, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
| SurveyUSA[621][AU] | May 8–11, 2024 | 625 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 44% | 42% | 14%[av] |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[622][I] | April 29 – May 1, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 49% | 5% |
| SurveyUSA[623][AU] | April 3–7, 2024 | 608 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 44% | 42% | 14%[aw] |
| SurveyUSA[624][AU] | February 23–28, 2024 | 1,603 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 42% | 38% | 20% |
| SurveyUSA[625][AU] | January 24–29, 2024 | 1,594 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 42% | 39% | 19% |
| Embold Research/MinnPost[626] | November 14–17, 2023 | 1,519 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 45% | 42% | 13% |
| Emerson College[627] | October 1–4, 2023 | 477 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 40% | 38% | 22% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[628] | May 6–8, 2023 | 500 (LV) | – | 48% | 40% | 12% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden DFL |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[629] | June 13–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 42% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 9% |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[630][I] | June 9–11, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 37% | 41% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 11% |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[631][I] | April 29 – May 1, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 40% | 9% | 1% | 1% | 9% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden DFL |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason-Dixon[632][AV] | June 3–5, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 45% | 41% | 6% | 9% |
Hypothetical polling with other candidates
Gretchen Whitmer vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Gretchen Whitmer DFL |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fox News[633] | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,071 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 46% | 5% |
Josh Shapiro vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Josh Shapiro DFL |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fox News[634] | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,071 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 45% | 6% |
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden DFL |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[635] | May 6–8, 2023 | 500 (LV) | – | 45% | 43% | 12% |
Mississippi
[edit]Hypothetical polling
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Echelon Insights[636] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 409 (LV) | ± 7.8% | 54% | 36% | 10% |
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Echelon Insights[637] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 409 (LV) | ± 7.8% | 49% | 37% | 14% |
Missouri
[edit]Hypothetical polling
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[638] | June 17–19, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 53% | 40% | 7% |
| Emerson College[639] | January 23–28, 2024 | 1,830 (RV) | ± 2.2% | 49% | 32% | 19% |
| Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[640] | October 10–11, 2023 | 806 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 52% | 39% | 9% |
| SurveyUSA[641] | October 27 – November 1, 2022 | 991 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 52% | 34% | 14% |
| Emerson College[642] | October 26–28, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 53% | 37% | 9% |
| Emerson College[643] | September 23–27, 2022 | 1,160 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 51% | 37% | 12% |
| SurveyUSA[644] | September 14–18, 2022 | 830 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 52% | 35% | 13% |
| SurveyUSA[645] | July 24–27, 2022 | 1,981 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 51% | 35% | 14% |
| SurveyUSA[646] | May 11–15, 2022 | 1,412 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 50% | 35% | 15% |
| Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[647] | September 18–20, 2021 | 1,014 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 55% | 36% | 9% |
| Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[648] | April 21–22, 2021 | 933 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 53% | 38% | 9% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[649] | June 17–19, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 35% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 6% |
Montana
[edit]Hypothetical polling
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remington Research Group (R)[650] | June 29 – July 1, 2024 | 570 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 56% | 36% | 8% |
| Torchlight Strategies (R)[651][AW] | June 22–26, 2024 | 649 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 51% | 35% | 14%[ax] |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[652][AX] | June 11–13, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 57% | 37% | 6% |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[653][AY] | June 3–5, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 54% | 36% | 10% |
| Emerson College[654][AZ] | February 26 – March 2, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 56% | 35% | 9% |
| SurveyUSA[655][BA] | February 12–15, 2024 | 549 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 51% | 29% | 20% |
| Emerson College[656] | October 1–4, 2023 | 447 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 49% | 28% | 23% |
| Change Research/Future Majority (D)[657] | September 16–19, 2023 | 1,451 (RV) | – | 54% | 37% | 9% |
| J.L. Partners[658] | August 12–17, 2023 | 741 (LV) | – | 51% | 39% | 10% |
| Echelon Insights[659] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 320 (LV) | ± 6.6% | 49% | 36% | 15% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[660][AZ] | February 26 – March 2, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 28% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 13% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Cornel West
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Cornel West Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Change Research/Future Majority (D)[661] | September 16–19, 2023 | 1,451 (RV) | – | 51% | 30% | 7% | 12% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Joe Manchin vs. Cornel West
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Joe Manchin Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Change Research/Future Majority (D)[662] | September 16–19, 2023 | 1,451 (RV) | – | 49% | 28% | 6% | 4% | 13% |
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.L. Partners[663] | August 12–17, 2023 | 741 (LV) | – | 50% | 36% | 14% |
| Echelon Insights[664] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 320 (LV) | ± 6.6% | 42% | 35% | 23% |
Nebraska
[edit]Hypothetical polling
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torchlight Strategies (R)[665][BB] | July 8–11, 2024 | 698 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 52% | 33% | 15%[ay] |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[666] | April 24–25, 2024 | 737 (V) | ± 3.6% | 57% | 34% | 9% |
| Change Research (D)[667][BC] | November 13–16, 2023 | 1,048 (LV) | – | 53% | 35% | 12% |
| Emerson College[668] | October 1–4, 2023 | 423 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 47% | 31% | 23% |
Nebraska's 2nd congressional district
[edit]Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torchlight Strategies (R)[669][BB] | July 8–11, 2024 | 300 (LV) | – | 42% | 42% | 16%[az] |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[670] | April 24–25, 2024 | – | – | 43% | 46% | 11% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[671] | April 24–25, 2024 | – | – | 34% | 37% | 9% | 4% | 4% | 12% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iron Light Intelligence[672][BD] | May 17–22, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 42% | 37% | 13% | 8% |
Nevada
[edit]Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[673][B] | July 23–29, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 46% | 9% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[674] | July 24–28, 2024 | 454 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 47% | 45% | 7% |
| Biden announces his withdrawal; Harris declares her candidacy for president. | ||||||
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[675] | July 15–16, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 40% | 50% | 10% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[676] | May 7–13, 2024 | 459 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| Emerson College[677] | February 16–19, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 48% | 13% |
| New York Times/Siena College[678] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 611 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 48% | 10% |
| 611 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 50% | 8% | ||
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[679] | July 31 – August 3, 2024 | 470 (LV) | – | 40% | 40% | 5% | – | 1% | 0% | 14% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[680] | July 24–28, 2024 | 454 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 43% | 43% | 7% | – | 1% | 3% | 3% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[681] | July 22–24, 2024 | 435 (LV) | – | 43% | 45% | 5% | – | 1% | 0% | 6% |
Hypothetical polling with Joe Biden and Donald Trump
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[682] | July 15–16, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 42% | 49% | 9% |
| Emerson College[683][D] | July 15–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 46% | 13% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[684][E] | July 5–12, 2024 | 761 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 50% | 5% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[685] | July 1–5, 2024 | 452 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 43% | 48% | 9% |
| Emerson College[686][D] | June 30 – July 2, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 47% | 12% |
| Remington Research Group (R)[687] | June 29 – July 1, 2024 | 601 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 47% | 13% |
| National Public Affairs[688] | June 28 – July 1, 2024 | 817 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 39% | 49% | 12%[ba] |
| Emerson College[689] | June 13–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 46% | 11% |
| 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50%[d] | 50% | – | ||
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[690][BE] | June 12–18, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 48% | 7% |
| Fox News[691] | June 1–4, 2024 | 1,069 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 50% | 5% |
| The Tyson Group[692][BF] | May 22–25, 2024 | 601 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[693] | May 19–21, 2024 | 522 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 42% | 50% | 8% |
| 494 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 43% | 51% | 6% | ||
| Prime Group[694][H] | May 9–16, 2024 | 468 (RV) | – | 50% | 50% | – |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[695] | May 7–13, 2024 | 459 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[696] | May 6–13, 2024 | 402 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 40% | 49% | 11% |
| New York Times/Siena College[697] | April 28 – May 9, 2024 | 614 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 50% | 12% |
| 614 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 51% | 11% | ||
| Emerson College[698] | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 45% | 11% |
| 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49%[d] | 51% | – | ||
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[699] | April 8–15, 2024 | 450 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 43% | 51% | 6% |
| Wall Street Journal[700] | March 17–24, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 48% | 8% |
| Echelon Insights[701][BG] | March 12–19, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.8% | 44% | 51% | 5% |
| Emerson College[702] | March 12–15, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 44% | 15% |
| 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49%[d] | 51% | – | ||
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[703] | March 8–15, 2024 | 447 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 44% | 46% | 10% |
| Noble Predictive Insights[704] | February 27 – March 5, 2024 | 829 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 40% | 45% | 15% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[705] | February 12–20, 2024 | 445 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 42% | 48% | 10% |
| Emerson College[706] | February 16–19, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 46% | 14% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[707] | January 16–21, 2024 | 457 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 40% | 48% | 12% |
| Emerson College[708] | January 5–8, 2024 | 1,294 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
| Change Research/Future Majority (D)[709] | December 3–7, 2023 | (RVs) | – | 40% | 44% | 14% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[710] | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 451 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[711] | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 437 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 43% | 46% | 11% |
| Emerson College[712] | October 30 – November 4, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 46% | 14% |
| New York Times/Siena College[713] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 611 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 41% | 52% | 7% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[714] | October 5–10, 2023 | 503 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 43% | 11% |
| CNN[715] | September 29 – October 3, 2023 | 1,251 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 46% | 45% | 9% |
| Vote TXT[716] | May 15–19, 2023 | 412 (RV) | – | 41% | 48% | 11% |
| Prime Group[717][BH] | June 14–28, 2023 | 500 (RV) | – | 51% | 49% | – |
| 500 (RV) | – | 39% | 39% | 22%[bb] | ||
| Noble Predictive Insights[718] | April 18–26, 2023 | 613 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 40% | 12% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[719] | April 17–20, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 45% | 9% |
| OH Predictive Insights[720] | January 30 – February 6, 2023 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 40% | 42% | 18% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R) | November 8–9, 2022 | 679 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 45% | 14% |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research[721] | October 24–27, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 47% | 48% | 5% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[BI] | October 13–17, 2022 | 707 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 37% | 49% | 14% |
| Emerson College | September 8–10, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 43% | 17% |
| Emerson College | July 7–10, 2022 | 2,000 (RV) | ± 2.1% | 40% | 43% | 17% |
| Blueprint Polling (D)[722] | March 21–24, 2022 | 671 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 34% | 44% | 22% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[723][D] | July 15–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 43% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 8%[bc] |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[724][E] | July 5–12, 2024 | 761 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 47% | 8% | 2% | 1% | 3% |
| YouGov[725][P] | July 4–12, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 42% | 46% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 8% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[726] | July 1–5, 2024 | 452 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 39% | 45% | 6% | 2% | 0% | 8%[bd] |
| National Public Affairs[727] | June 28 – July 1, 2024 | 817 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 33% | 42% | 12% | 3% | 2% | 8% |
| Emerson College[728] | June 13–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 42% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 8% |
| Fox News[729] | June 1–4, 2024 | 1,069 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 45% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 4% |
| The Tyson Group[730][BJ] | May 22–25, 2024 | 601 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 37% | 40% | 9% | 1% | 2% | 11% |
| Prime Group[731][H] | May 9–16, 2024 | 468 (RV) | – | 43% | 44% | 10% | 3% | 0% | – |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[732] | May 7–13, 2024 | 459 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 39% | 44% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 7% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[733] | May 6–13, 2024 | 402 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 35% | 43% | 10% | 2% | 3% | 7% |
| New York Times/Siena College[734] | April 28 – May 9, 2024 | 614 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 27% | 41% | 12% | 0% | 2% | 18%[be] |
| 614 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 30% | 44% | 11% | 0% | 1% | 14%[be] | ||
| Emerson College[735] | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 42% | 8% | 2% | 1% | 11% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[736] | April 8–15, 2024 | 450 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 34% | 48% | 7% | 2% | 3% | 6% |
| Wall Street Journal[737] | March 17–24, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 33% | 37% | 15% | 2% | 2% | 11%[be] |
| Emerson College[738] | March 12–15, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 36% | 41% | 9% | 1% | 2% | 11% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[739] | March 8–15, 2024 | 447 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 36% | 42% | 11% | 1% | 1% | 11% |
| Noble Predictive Insights[740] | February 27 – March 5, 2024 | 829 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 33% | 40% | 11% | 4% | 2% | 10% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[741] | February 12–20, 2024 | 445 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 37% | 44% | 9% | 1% | 0% | 9% |
| Emerson College[742] | February 16–19, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 34% | 44% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 14% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[743] | January 16–21, 2024 | 457 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 31% | 43% | 12% | 1% | 2% | 11% |
| Emerson College[744] | January 5–8, 2024 | 1,294 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 39% | 42% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 12% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[745] | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 451 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 37% | 42% | 11% | 2% | 1% | 7% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 Insights[746][R] | June 11–20, 2024 | 650 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 37% | 40% | 8% | 15% |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[747][BE] | June 12–18, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 37% | 44% | 10% | 9% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[748] | May 19–21, 2024 | 522 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 40% | 44% | 9% | 7% |
| 494 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 40% | 46% | 8% | 6% | ||
| Iron Light Intelligence[749][BK] | May 17–21, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 34% | 37% | 15% | 14% |
| New York Times/Siena College[750] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 611 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 31% | 38% | 23% | 8% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[751] | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 437 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 35% | 39% | 11% | 1% | 14% |
Hypothetical polling with other candidates
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Times/Siena College[752] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 611 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 37% | 46% | 17% |
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Times/Siena College[753] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 611 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 41% | 45% | 14% |
| Vote TXT[754] | May 15–19, 2023 | 412 (RV) | – | 36% | 46% | 17% |
| Noble Predictive Insights[755] | April 18–26, 2023 | 613 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 42% | 15% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[756] | April 17–20, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 41% | 44% | 10% |
| OH Predictive Insights[757] | January 30 – February 6, 2023 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 36% | 42% | 22% |
| Emerson College | July 7–10, 2022 | 2,000 (RV) | ± 2.1% | 38% | 43% | 19% |
Gavin Newsom vs. Ron DeSantis
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Gavin Newsom Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Susquehanna Polling & Research[758] | October 24–27, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 42% | 46% | 12% |
Gavin Newsom vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Gavin Newsom Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[759] | February 16–19, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 32% | 49% | 19% |
New Hampshire
[edit]Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[439] | July 26–28, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 46% | 4% |
| 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 52%[d] | 48% | – | ||
| University of New Hampshire[760] | July 23–25, 2024 | 2,875 (LV) | ± 1.8% | 53% | 46% | 1% |
| Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Harris declares her candidacy for president. | ||||||
| The Trafalgar Group (R)[761] | December 10–12, 2021 | 1,041 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 48% | 6% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[439] | July 26–28, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 41% | 6% | 0% | 1% | – | 4% |
| Saint Anselm College[762] | July 24–25, 2024 | 2,083 (RV) | ± 2.1% | 50% | 44% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire[760] | July 23–25, 2024 | 2,875 (LV) | ± 1.8% | 49% | 43% | 4% | 8% |
| Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Harris declares her candidacy for president. | |||||||
| NHJournal/Praecones Analytica[763] | July 19–21, 2024 | 601 (V) | – | 39% | 40% | 21% | – |
Hypothetical polling
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other/ Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire[764] | May 16–20, 2024 | 1,140 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 52% | 48% | – |
| Marist College[765] | January 15–17, 2024 | 1,157 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 52% | 45% | 3% |
| Emerson College[162] | November 10–13, 2023 | 917 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 47% | 42% | 11% |
| University of New Hampshire/CNN[766] | September 14–18, 2023 | 2,108 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 52% | 40% | 8% |
| Emerson College[166] | August 9–11, 2023 | 837 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 48% | 41% | 11% |
| Saint Anselm College[767] | June 21–23, 2023 | 1,065 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 40% | 11% |
| Emerson College[168] | March 3–5, 2023 | 1,025 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 38% | 20% |
| co/efficient[768] | January 25–26, 2023 | 1,179 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 40% | 39% | 21% |
| Emerson College[769] | October 30 – November 1, 2022 | 850 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 45% | 41% | 14% |
| University of Massachusetts Lowell[770] | October 14–25, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 49% | 43% | 8% |
| Emerson College[771] | October 18–19, 2022 | 727 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 44% | 43% | 13% |
| Emerson College[772] | September 14–15, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 46% | 43% | 11% |
| University of New Hampshire[170] | June 16–20, 2022 | 845 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 50% | 43% | 8% |
| The Trafalgar Group (R)[761] | December 10–12, 2021 | 1,041 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 48% | – |
| Saint Anselm College[773][AC] | May 7–10, 2021 | 1,267 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 50% | 43% | – |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Anselm College[774] | June 28–29, 2024 | 1,746 (RV) | ± 2.3% | 42% | 44% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 8% |
| University of New Hampshire[764] | May 16–20, 2024 | 1,140 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 44% | 41% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 9% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NHJournal/Praecones Analytica[763] | July 19–21, 2024 | 601 (V) | – | 39% | 40% | 21% | – |
| NHJournal/Praecones Analytica[775] | May 15–20, 2024 | 862 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 37% | 37% | 15% | 11% |
| University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov[776] | May 6–14, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 42% | 36% | 11% | 11% |
| Marist College[765] | January 15–17, 2024 | 1,157 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 44% | 41% | 12% | 3% |
| Saint Anselm College[777] | December 18–19, 2023 | 1,711 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 49% | 39% | 8% | 4% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[162] | November 10–13, 2023 | 917 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 40% | 37% | 8% | 1% | 14% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Cornel West Green |
Other /
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[166] | August 9–11, 2023 | 837 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 44% | 39% | 5% | 13% |
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Other /
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marist College[765] | January 15–17, 2024 | 1,157 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| Emerson College[162] | November 10–13, 2023 | 917 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 39% | 45% | 16% |
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marist College[765] | January 15–17, 2024 | 1,157 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 51% | 42% | – | 7% |
| Emerson College[162] | November 10–13, 2023 | 917 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 46% | 38% | – | 16% |
| University of New Hampshire/CNN[766] | September 14–18, 2023 | 2,108 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 50% | 33% | 15%[bf] | 5% |
| Saint Anselm College[767] | June 21–23, 2023 | 1,065 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 40% | 10 | 2% |
| Emerson College[168] | March 3–5, 2023 | 1,025 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 37% | 14% | 7% |
| University of New Hampshire[170] | June 16–20, 2022 | 845 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
Joe Biden vs. Vivek Ramaswamy
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Vivek Ramaswamy Republican |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire/CNN[766] | September 14–18, 2023 | 2,018 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 49% | 20% | 15%[bg] | 5% |
Joe Biden vs. Tim Scott
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Tim Scott Republican |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire/CNN[766] | September 14–18, 2023 | 2,018 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 47% | 34% | 14%[bh] | 5% |
Joe Biden vs. Chris Christie
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Chris Christie Republican |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire/CNN[766] | September 14–18, 2023 | 2,018 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 44% | 20% | 27%[bi] | 10% |
Joe Biden vs. Mike Pence
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Mike Pence Republican |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire/CNN[766] | September 14–18, 2023 | 2,018 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 49% | 20% | 25%[bj] | 5% |
Joe Biden vs. Chris Sununu
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Chris Sununu Republican |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[168] | March 3–5, 2023 | 1,025 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 36% | 44% | 14% | 6% |
| co/efficient[768] | January 25–26, 2023 | 1,179 (LV) | ± 3.15% | 36% | 48% | – | 16% |
| Praecones Analytica[778] | April 14–16, 2022 | 503 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 36% | 53% | – | 12% |
Bernie Sanders vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Bernie Sanders Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[162] | November 10–13, 2023 | 917 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 47.6% | 42.5% | 9.8% |
Elizabeth Warren vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Elizabeth Warren Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[162] | November 10–13, 2023 | 917 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 45% | 43% | 12% |
New Jersey
[edit]Hypothetical polling
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United 2024 (R)[779] | July 1–2, 2024 | 477 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 41% | 43% | 16% |
| co/efficient (R)[780] | June 26–27, 2024 | 810 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 40% | 41% | 20%[bk] |
| Emerson College[781] | March 26–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 39% | 15% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United 2024 (R)[782] | July 1–2, 2024 | 477 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 43% | 43% | 8% | — | 3% | 3% |
| Emerson College[783] | March 26–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 36% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 13% |
New Mexico
[edit]Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[784] | July 31 – August 3, 2024 | 493 (LV) | – | 44% | 37% | 8% | – | 0% | 0% | 11% |
Hypothetical polling
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1892 Polling (R)[785][BL] | June 19–24, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 47% | 5% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[786][BM] | June 13–14, 2024 | 555 (V) | ± 4.2% | 48% | 41% | 11% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[787] | August 23–24, 2023 | 767 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 41% | 10% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[788] | May 6–8, 2023 | 500 (LV) | – | 49% | 38% | 13% |
| Emerson College[789] | October 25–28, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 38% | 14% |
| Emerson College[790] | September 8–11, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 41% | 12% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver vs. Randall Terry
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Randall Terry Constitution |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1892 Polling (R)[791][BL] | June 19–24, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 42% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 3% |
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[792] | August 23–24, 2023 | 767 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 43% | 9% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[793] | May 6–8, 2023 | 500 (LV) | – | 45% | 43% | 12% |
New York
[edit]Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siena College[794] | July 28 – August 1, 2024 | 1,199 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 53% | 39% | 8% |
| SoCal Research[795][X] | July 18–19, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 52% | 41% | 7% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siena College[796] | July 28 – August 1, 2024 | 1,199 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 37% | 7% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 10% |
Hypothetical polling
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SoCal Research[797][X] | July 18–19, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 52% | 41% | 7% |
| Siena College[798] | June 12–13 & 16–17, 2024 | 805 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 47% | 39% | 14% |
| Emerson College[799][S] | May 28–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 41% | 11% |
| 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 55%[d] | 45% | – | ||
| Siena College[800] | May 13–15, 2024 | 1,191 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 47% | 38% | 15% |
| Slingshot Strategies (D)[801] | May 2–3, 2024 | 1,059 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 56% | 37% | 17% |
| Siena College[802] | April 15–17, 2024 | 806 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 47% | 37% | 16% |
| Siena College[803] | February 12–14, 2024 | 806 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 48% | 36% | 16% |
| Siena College[804] | January 14–17, 2024 | 807 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 46% | 37% | 17% |
| Siena College[805] | November 12–15, 2023 | 803 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 46% | 36% | 18% |
| Siena College[806] | October 15–19, 2023 | 1,225 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 46% | 37% | 17% |
| Siena College[807] | August 13–16, 2023 | 803 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 34% | 19% |
| Siena College[808] | June 20–25, 2023 | 817 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 50% | 28% | 21% |
| SurveyUSA[809] | November 3–6, 2022 | 918 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 46% | 34% | 20% |
| Emerson College[810][S] | October 20–24, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 40% | 13% |
| SurveyUSA[811] | October 14–18, 2022 | 1,018 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 37% | 21% |
| Emerson College[812] | September 4–6, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 53% | 37% | 10% |
| SurveyUSA[813] | August 17–21, 2022 | 715 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 49% | 29% | 22% |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[814] | August 7–9, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 52% | 40% | 8% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siena College[815] | February 12–14, 2024 | 806 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 42% | 32% | 13% | 6% | 7% |
| Siena College[816] | January 14–17, 2024 | 807 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 41% | 32% | 13% | 3% | 11% |
| Siena College[817] | November 12–15, 2023 | 803 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 37% | 28% | 18% | 5% | 11% |
| Siena College[818] | October 15–19, 2023 | 1,225 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 38% | 31% | 13% | 5% | 12% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[819][S] | May 28–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44.1% | 37.6% | 5.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 10.5% |
North Carolina
[edit]Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[820] | July 24–28, 2024 | 706 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 46% | 6% |
| Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Harris declares her candidacy for president. | ||||||
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[821] | May 7–13, 2024 | 704 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 40% | 10% |
| Emerson College[822] | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 41% | 9% |
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[823] | July 31 – August 3, 2024 | 714 (LV) | – | 44% | 41% | 4% | – | 0% | 1% | 10% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[820] | July 24–28, 2024 | 706 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 44% | 5% | – | 0% | 4% | 2% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[824] | July 22–24, 2024 | 586 (LV) | – | 46% | 43% | 4% | – | 0% | 0% | 7% |
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling|Public Policy Polling|Public Policy Polling (D)[825][C] | July 17–20, 2024 | 573 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 48% | 44% | 2% | 2% | 4% |
Hypothetical polling with Donald Trump and Joe Biden
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[825][C] | July 17–20, 2024 | 573 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 50% | 46% | 4% |
| Emerson College[14][D] | July 15–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 41% | 11% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[826] | July 1–5, 2024 | 696 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 43% | 11% |
| Spry Strategies[827] | June 7–11, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 44% | 8% |
| East Carolina University[828] | May 31 – June 3, 2024 | 1,332 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 48% | 43% | 9% |
| North Star Opinion Research (R)[829][F] | May 29 – June 2, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 41% | 10% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[830][BN] | May 26–27, 2024 | 1,053 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 43% | 6% |
| Change Research (D)[831][BO] | May 13–18, 2024 | 835 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 45% | 43% | 12% |
| Prime Group[832][H] | May 9–16, 2024 | 472 (RV) | – | 51% | 49% | – |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[833] | May 7–13, 2024 | 704 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 42% | 9% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[834] | May 6–13, 2024 | 601 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 41% | 11% |
| High Point University[835] | May 5–9, 2024 | 804 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 44% | 42% | 14% |
| Emerson College[836] | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 42% | 11% |
| 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 52%[d] | 48% | – | ||
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[837] | April 8–15, 2024 | 703 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 41% | 8% |
| Mason-Dixon[838] | April 9–13, 2024 | 635 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 43% | 8% |
| Quinnipiac University[839] | April 4–8, 2024 | 1,401 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 48% | 46% | 6% |
| High Point University[840] | March 22–30, 2024 | 829(RV) | ± 3.4% | 45% | 42% | 14% |
| Wall Street Journal[841] | March 17–24, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 43% | 8% |
| Marist College[842] | March 11–14, 2024 | 1,197 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 51% | 48% | 1% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[843] | March 8–12, 2024 | 699 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 43% | 8% |
| SurveyUSA[844][BP] | March 3–9, 2024 | 598 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 50% | 45% | 5% |
| Cygnal (R)[845][BQ] | March 6–7, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 40% | 15% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[846] | February 12–20, 2024 | 704 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 50% | 41% | 9% |
| Emerson College[822] | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 44% | 9% |
| Fox News[847] | February 8–12, 2024 | 1,099 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 45% | 5% |
| Meredith College[848] | January 26–31, 2024 | 760 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 39% | 17% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[849] | January 16–21, 2024 | 706 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 39% | 12% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[850] | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 704 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 40% | 11% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[851] | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 702 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 39% | 13% |
| Meredith College[852] | November 1–5, 2023 | 755 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 39% | 40% | 22%[bl] |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[853] | October 5–10, 2023 | 702 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 43% | 10% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[854] | October 7–9, 2023 | 736 (LV) | – | 43% | 38% | 20% |
| Change Research (D)[855][BR] | September 1–5, 2023 | 914 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 46% | 42% | 12% |
| Prime Group[856][BS] | June 14–28, 2023 | 500 (RV) | – | 54% | 46% | – |
| 500 (RV) | – | 45% | 37% | 18%[bm] | ||
| Opinion Diagnostics[857] | June 5–7, 2023 | 902 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 43% | 40% | 18% |
| Cygnal (R)[858][BQ] | March 26–27, 2023 | 605 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 45% | 12% |
| Differentiators (R)[859][BT] | January 9–12, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 45% | 48% | 7% |
| Emerson College[860] | October 27–29, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 40% | 9% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[861] | October 7–8, 2022 | 606 (RV) | – | 44% | 44% | 12% |
| SurveyUSA[862] | September 28 – October 2, 2022 | 918 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 43% | 45% | 12% |
| Emerson College[863] | September 15–16, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 42% | 11% |
| East Carolina University[864] | September 7–10, 2022 | 1,020 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 46% | 45% | 9% |
| Blueprint Polling (D)[865] | August 4–6, 2022 | 656 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 45% | 39% | 17% |
| PEM Management Corporation (R)[866][AC] | July 22–24, 2022 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 48% | 41% | 11% |
| East Carolina University[867] | May 19–20, 2022 | 635 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 46% | 37% | 16% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[825][C] | July 17–20, 2024 | 573 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 48% | 42% | 2% | – | 2% | 6% |
| Emerson College[14][D] | July 15–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 38% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 7%[bn] |
| YouGov[868][P] | July 4–12, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 44% | 40% | 4% | 0% | 1% | 11% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[826] | July 1–5, 2024 | 696 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 40% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 9%[bo] |
| North Star Opinion Research (R)[829][F] | May 29 – June 2, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 32% | 9% | 3% | 2% | 10% |
| Prime Group[832][H] | May 9–16, 2024 | 472 (RV) | – | 45% | 42% | 11% | 2% | 1% | – |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[833] | May 7–13, 2024 | 704 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 38% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 7% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[834] | May 6–13, 2024 | 601 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 36% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 8% |
| Emerson College[836] | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 37% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 9% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[837] | April 8–15, 2024 | 703 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 38% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 8% |
| Quinnipiac University[839] | April 4–8, 2024 | 1,401 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 41% | 38% | 12% | 3% | 3% | 3% |
| Wall Street Journal[841] | March 17–24, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 34% | 10% | 2% | 1% | 11% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[843] | March 8–12, 2024 | 699 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 39% | 7% | 1% | 0% | 8% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[846] | February 12–20, 2024 | 704 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 45% | 35% | 9% | 1% | 1% | 9% |
| Emerson College[822] | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 37% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 10% |
| East Carolina University[869] | February 9–12, 2024 | 1,207 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 47% | 44% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 5% |
| Fox News[847] | February 8–12, 2024 | 1,099 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 37% | 8% | 1% | 2% | 6% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[870] | January 16–21, 2024 | 706 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 32% | 9% | 1% | 1% | 12% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[871] | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 704 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 34% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 11% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spry Strategies[827] | June 7–11, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 37% | 8% | 10% |
| Change Research (D)[872][BO] | May 13–18, 2024 | 835 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 41% | 38% | 11% | 10% |
| Cygnal (R)[873][BU] | May 4–5, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 38% | 9% | 10% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[874] | May 2–4, 2024 | 700 (LV) | – | 44% | 37% | 7% | 12% |
| Meeting Street Insights (R)[875][BV] | April 25–28, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 40% | 35% | 11% | 14%[bp] |
| Meredith College[876] | April 11–17, 2024 | 711 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 41% | 39% | 9% | 11% |
| Cygnal (R)[877][BQ] | April 7–8, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 39% | 7% | 11% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[878] | March 14–17, 2024 | 642 (LV) | – | 43% | 39% | 8% | 10% |
| Marist College[842] | March 11–14, 2024 | 1,197 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 46% | 43% | 11% | – |
| North Star Opinion Research[879][BW] | January 30 – February 4, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 32% | 16% | 13% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[880] | December 28–30, 2023 | 1,220 (LV) | – | 37% | 33% | 11% | 19% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[881] | November 27–29, 2023 | 620 (LV) | – | 44% | 35% | 8% | 13% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[854] | October 7–9, 2023 | 736 (LV) | – | 41% | 38% | 9% | 14% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[882] | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 702 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 33% | 9% | 2% | 14% |
Hypothetical polling with other candidates
Donald Trump vs. Roy Cooper vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Roy Cooper Democratic |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[825][C] | July 17–20, 2024 | 573 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 45% | 41% | 3% | 2% | 9% |
Donald Trump vs. Gavin Newsom
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gavin Newsom Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[822] | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 34% | 17% |
Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fox News[847] | February 8–12, 2024 | 1,099 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 41% | 13% |
Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Carolina University[869] | February 9–12, 2024 | 1,207 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 32% | 40% | 10% | 2% | 0% | 16% |
| Fox News[847] | February 8–12, 2024 | 1,099 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 31% | 33% | 19% | 2% | 2% | 13% |
Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[881] | November 27–29, 2023 | 620 (LV) | – | 36% | 33% | 12% | 18% |
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opinion Diagnostics[857] | June 5–7, 2023 | 902 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 46% | 40% | 13% |
| Cygnal (R)[858][BQ] | March 26–27, 2023 | 605 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 41% | 15% |
| Differentiators (R)[859][BT] | January 9–12, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 49% | 44% | 7% |
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[881] | November 27–29, 2023 | 620 (LV) | – | 38% | 34% | 12% | 4% | 12% |
Mike Pence vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Mike Pence Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cygnal (R)[858][BQ] | March 26–27, 2023 | 605 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 41% | 20% |
North Dakota
[edit]Hypothetical polling
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Opinion Strategies[883][bq] | June 15–19, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.38% | 62% | 28% | 10% |
| Emerson College[884] | October 1–4, 2023 | 419 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 54% | 17% | 28% |
Key
- A – all adults
- RV – registered voters
- LV – likely voters
- V – unclear
Ohio
[edit]Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[885][BE] | July 23–28, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 52% | 42% | 6% |
| Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Harris declares her candidacy for president. | ||||||
| Ohio Northern University[886] | March 6–11, 2024 | 1,241 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 51% | 38% | 11% |
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr., vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[887][BE] | July 23–28, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 39% | 9% | – | 1% | 1% | 2% |
Hypothetical polling with Donald Trump and Joe Biden
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remington Research Group (R)[888] | June 29 – July 1, 2024 | 611 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 41% | 8% |
| National Public Affairs[889] | May 28–29, 2024 | 801 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 54% | 46% | – |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[890] | March 13–15, 2024 | 818 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 51% | 40% | 9% |
| Ohio Northern University[891] | March 6–11, 2024 | 1,241 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 50% | 38% | 12% |
| Emerson College[892][BX] | March 7–10, 2024 | 1,300 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 55% | 45% | – |
| Emerson College[893][BX] | January 23–25, 2024 | 1,844 (RV) | ± 2.3% | 47% | 36% | 17% |
| Emerson College/WJW-TV[894] | November 10–13, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 38% | 12% |
| Data for Progress (D)[895] | October 31 – November 2, 2023 | 597 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 43% | 6% |
| Ohio Northern University[896] | October 16–19, 2023 | 668 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 45% | 40% | 15%[br] |
| Emerson College[897] | October 2–4, 2023 | 438 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 45% | 33% | 23% |
| Change Research/Future Majority (D)[898] | September 16–19, 2023 | 1,559 (RV) | – | 48% | 43% | 9% |
| Ohio Northern University[899] | July 17–26, 2023 | 675 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 49% | 39% | 12% |
| Targoz Market Research[900] | November 2–6, 2022 | 505 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 57% | 40% | 3% |
| Emerson College[901] | October 30 – November 1, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 38% | 12% |
| Ohio Northern University/Lucid[902] | October 11–15, 2022 | 668 (LV) | – | 55% | 35% | 10% |
| Emerson College[903] | October 6–7, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 40% | 12% |
| Emerson College[904] | September 12–13, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 40% | 10% |
| Echelon Insights[905] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 831 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 49% | 41% | 10% |
| Emerson College[906] | August 15–16, 2022 | 925 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 53% | 39% | 8% |
| PEM Management Corporation (R)[907][AC] | July 22–24, 2022 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 42% | 44% | 14% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr., vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marist College[908] | June 3–6, 2024 | 1,137 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 48% | 41% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 4% |
| National Public Affairs[909] | May 28–29, 2024 | 801 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 40% | 7% | 2% | 3% | – |
| East Carolina University[910] | March 8–11, 2024 | 1,298 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 48% | 38% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 7% |
| Emerson College[911][BX] | March 7–10, 2024 | 1,300 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 47% | 38% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 7% |
| Emerson College/WJW-TV[912] | November 10–13, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 31% | 8% | 1% | 2% | 13% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden. vs. Robert F Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert F Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio Northern University[913] | March 6–11, 2024 | 1,241 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 44% | 32% | 13% | 11% |
| Ohio Northern University | October 16–19, 2023 | 668 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 42% | 35% | 11% | 12%[bs] |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Cornel West
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Cornel West Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Change Research/Future Majority (D)[914] | September 16–19, 2023 | 1,559 (RV) | – | 45% | 36% | 9% | 10% |
| Suffolk University[915] | July 9–12, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 38% | 2% | 16% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Joe Manchin vs. Cornel West
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Joe Manchin Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Change Research/Future Majority (D)[916] | September 16–19, 2023 | 1,559 (RV) | – | 42% | 34% | 6% | 6% | 12% |
Hypothetical polling with other candidates
Donald Trump vs. Gretchen Whitmer
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gretchen Whitmer Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio Northern University[917] | March 6–11, 2024 | 1,241 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 51% | 34% | 15% |
Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio Northern University | October 16–19, 2023 | 668 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 34% | 36% | 30%[bt] |
| Ohio Northern University[918] | July 17–26, 2023 | 675 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 38% | 38% | 24% |
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio Northern University | October 16–19, 2023 | 668 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 38% | 41% | 21%[bu] |
| Ohio Northern University[919] | July 17–26, 2023 | 675 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 41% | 39% | 20% |
| Emerson College[920] | October 6–7, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 38% | 13% |
| Emerson College[921] | September 12–13, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 38% | 14% |
| Echelon Insights[922] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 831 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 46% | 40% | 14% |
Ron Desantis vs. Joe Biden vs. Cornel West
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Ron Desantis Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Cornel West Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suffolk University[923] | July 9–12, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 39% | 37% | 2% | 22% |
Chris Christie vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Chris Christie Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio Northern University[924] | July 17–26, 2023 | 675 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 33% | 39% | 28% |
Mike Pence vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Mike Pence Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio Northern University | October 16–19, 2023 | 668 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 38% | 38% | 24%[bv] |
| Ohio Northern University[925] | July 17–26, 2023 | 675 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 37% | 38% | 25% |
Tim Scott vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Tim Scott Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio Northern University[926] | July 17–26, 2023 | 675 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 38% | 39% | 23% |
Generic Republican vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Generic Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Causeway Solutions[927] | May 19–27, 2023 | 1,639 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 45% | 33% | 22% |
Donald Trump vs. Gavin Newsom
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gavin Newsom Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio Northern University[928] | March 6–11, 2024 | 1,241 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 51% | 33% | 16% |
Oklahoma
[edit]Hypothetical polling
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cygnal (R)[929] | April 11–12, 2024 | 615 (LV) | ± 3.83% | 61% | 30% | 9% |
| Emerson College[930] | October 1–3, 2023 | 447 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 55% | 27% | 18% |
| Emerson College[931] | October 25–28, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 59% | 30% | 11% |
| SoonerPoll[932] | October 4–6, 2022 | 301 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 53% | 41% | 6% |
| Echelon Insights[933] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 522 (LV) | ± 6.3% | 63% | 30% | 7% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cygnal (R)[934] | April 11–12, 2024 | 615 (LV) | ± 3.83% | 56% | 24% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 10% |
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Echelon Insights[935] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 522 (LV) | ± 6.3% | 53% | 28% | 19% |
Oregon
[edit]Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoffman Research[936] | July 24–26, 2024 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 49% | 44% | 7% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoffman Research[937] | July 24–26, 2024 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 45% | 40% | 7% | 1% | 7% |
Hypothetical polling
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[938] | October 31 – November 1, 2022 | 975 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 51% | 35% | 14% |
| Emerson College[939] | September 30 – October 1, 2022 | 796 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 50% | 41% | 9% |
Pennsylvania
[edit]Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[836][BY] | July 29 – August 1, 2024 | 600 (LV) | – | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[940][A] | July 29–30, 2024 | 627 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 47% | 48% | 5% |
| GQR Research (D)[941] | July 26–30, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 50% | 46% | 4%[bw] |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[942][B] | July 23–29, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 48% | 45% | 7% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[847] | July 24–28, 2024 | 804 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 50% | 4% |
| The Bullfinch Group[881][BZ] | July 23–25, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 47% | 5% |
| Fox News[943] | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,034 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 49% | 2% |
| Emerson College[944] | July 22–23, 2024 | 850 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 46% | 48% | 6% |
| 850 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 49%[d] | 51% | – | ||
| Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Harris declares her candidacy for president. | ||||||
| North Star Opinion Research[945][CA] | July 20–23, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 47% | 9% |
| SoCal Research[946][X] | July 20–21, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 50% | 4% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[947] | July 15–16, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 40% | 47% | 13% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[827][A] | July 11–12, 2024 | 537 (RV) | – | 45% | 51% | 4% |
| New York Times/Siena College[948] | July 9–11, 2024 | 872 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 48% | 6% |
| 872 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 48% | 5% | ||
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[826] | May 7–13, 2024 | 812 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 50% | 7% |
| Emerson College[869] | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 49% | 11% |
| New York Times/Siena College[820] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| 600 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 44% | 48% | 8% | ||
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[949] | July 31 – August 3, 2024 | 743 (LV) | – | 44% | 46% | 3% | – | 0% | 0% | 7% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[847] | July 24–28, 2024 | 804 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 46% | 3% | – | 1% | 4% | 2% |
| The Bullfinch Group[881][BZ] | July 23–25, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 44% | 6% | – | 1% | 1% | 4% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[950] | July 22–24, 2024 | 851 (LV) | – | 42% | 46% | 5% | – | 0% | 0% | 7% |
| Fox News[943] | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,034 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 43% | 7% | 1% | 1% | – | 3% |
| Emerson College[944] | July 22–23, 2024 | 850 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 44% | 46% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 5% |
| Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Harris declares her candidacy for president. | ||||||||||
| Public Policy Polling (D)[858][C] | July 17–18, 2024 | 624 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 43% | 45% | 4% | – | 2% | – | 6% |
| New York Times/Siena College[948] | July 9–11, 2024 | 872 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 40% | 42% | 7% | 0% | 3% | – | 8% |
| 872 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 42% | 43% | 6% | 0% | 2% | – | 7% | ||
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[836][BY] | July 29 – August 1, 2024 | 600 (LV) | – | 45% | 45% | 4% | 6% |
| Susquehanna Polling and Research (R)[951] | July 22–28, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 43% | 3% | 7% |
| Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Harris declares her candidacy for president. | |||||||
| Civiqs[857][AL] | July 13–16, 2024 | 536 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 44% | 46% | 5% | 5% |
Hypothetical polling with Joe Biden and Donald Trump
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SoCal Research[946][X] | July 20–21, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 50% | 4% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[858][C] | July 17–18, 2024 | 624 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 44% | 49% | 7% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[947] | July 15–16, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 45% | 49% | 6% |
| Emerson College[822][D] | July 15–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 48% | 9% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[827][A] | July 11–12, 2024 | 537 (RV) | – | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[952][E] | July 5–12, 2024 | 1,041 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| New York Times/Siena College[948] | July 9–11, 2024 | 872 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 44% | 48% | 8% |
| 872 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 45% | 48% | 7% | ||
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[953] | July 1–5, 2024 | 794 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 51% | 5% |
| Emerson College[954][D] | June 30 – July 2, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 48% | 9% |
| Remington Research Group (R)[955] | June 29 – July 1, 2024 | 673 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 48% | 9% |
| Cygnal (R)[956] | June 27–28, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 48% | 8% |
| Commonwealth Foundation[957] | June 14–19, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.46% | 45% | 44% | 12% |
| Emerson College[843] | June 13–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
| 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49%[d] | 51% | – | ||
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[837] | May 30–31, 2024 | 1,012 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 43% | 45% | 12% |
| 923 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 47% | 8% | ||
| KAConsulting (R)[958][AN] | May 15–19, 2024 | 600 (RV) | – | 44% | 44% | 12% |
| Prime Group[846][H] | May 9–16, 2024 | 487 (RV) | – | 51% | 49% | – |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[826] | May 7–13, 2024 | 812 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 48% | 6% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[825] | May 6–13, 2024 | 730 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 45% | 48% | 7% |
| New York Times/Siena College/Philadelphia Inquirer[841] | April 28 – May 9, 2024 | 1,023 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| 1,023 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 45% | 48% | 7% | ||
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[959][CB] | April 24–30, 2024 | 1,398 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 49% | 6% |
| Emerson College[960] | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
| 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49%[d] | 51% | – | ||
| CBS News/YouGov[961] | April 19–25, 2024 | 1,288 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 49% | 50% | 1% |
| Muhlenberg College[839] | April 15–25, 2024 | 417 (RV) | ± 6.0% | 41% | 44% | 15% |
| Fox News[14] | April 11–16, 2024 | 1,141 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[962] | April 8–15, 2024 | 803 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
| The Bullfinch Group[963][CC] | March 29 – April 3, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 44% | 18%[bx] |
| Franklin & Marshall College[832] | March 20–31, 2024 | 870 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 38% | 14% |
| Wall Street Journal[833] | March 17–24, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| Echelon Insights[964][CD] | March 12–19, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 45% | 49% | 6% |
| CNN/SSRS[965] | March 13–18, 2024 | 1,132 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 46% | 46% | 8% |
| Emerson College[966] | March 10–13, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 47% | 10% |
| 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48%[d] | 52% | – | ||
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[859] | March 8–12, 2024 | 807 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
| Fox News[829] | March 7–11, 2024 | 1,149 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 49% | 4% |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research[967] | February 27 – March 7, 2024 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 50% | 45% | 5% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[968] | February 12–20, 2024 | 803 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 49% | 8% |
| Emerson College[869] | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 45% | 12% |
| Chism Strategies[969] | February 6–8, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 32% | 40% | 28% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[970] | January 22–25, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 42% | 48% | 10% |
| Franklin & Marshall College[971] | January 17–28, 2024 | 507 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 43% | 42% | 15% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[972] | January 16–21, 2024 | 795 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 48% | 7% |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research[973] | January 15–21, 2024 | 745 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 39% | 14% |
| Quinnipiac University[834] | January 4–8, 2024 | 1,680 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 49% | 46% | 5%[by] |
| The Bullfinch Group[974] | December 14–18, 2023 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
| Change Research/Future Majority (D)[975] | December 3–7, 2023 | (RVs) | – | 40% | 46% | 14% |
| Muhlenberg College[976] | November 20 – December 13, 2023 | 421 (RV) | ± 6.0% | 42% | 41% | 17% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[977] | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 799 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 46% | 10% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[978] | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 805 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| Emerson College[979] | October 30 – November 4, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 46% | 11% |
| 816 (LV) | – | 45% | 49% | 6% | ||
| New York Times/Siena College[820] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 44% | 48% | 8% |
| Franklin & Marshall College[980] | October 11–22, 2023 | 873 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 44% | 42% | 14% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[981] | October 5–10, 2023 | 807 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 46% | 9% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[982] | October 7–9, 2023 | 900 (LV) | – | 43% | 42% | 15% |
| Emerson College[983] | October 1–4, 2023 | 430 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 36% | 45% | 19% |
| Quinnipiac University[984] | September 28 – October 2, 2023 | 1,725 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[985][CE] | September 25–26, 2023 | 673 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 48% | 45% | 7% |
| Prime Group[986][CF] | June 14–28, 2023 | 500 (RV) | – | 50% | 50% | – |
| 500 (RV) | – | 38% | 43% | 19%[bz] | ||
| Quinnipiac University[987] | June 22–26, 2023 | 1,584 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[854] | April 11–13, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 42% | 12% |
| Franklin & Marshall College[988] | March 27 – April 7, 2023 | 643 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 36% | 35% | 29% |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research[989] | February 19–26, 2023 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 48% | 41% | 11% |
| Targoz Market Research[990] | November 2–6, 2022 | 631 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 46% | 52% | 2% |
| Emerson College[991] | October 28–31, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 44% | 12% |
| Emerson College[992] | September 23–26, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 46% | 9% |
| Echelon Insights[993] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 828 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 43% | 9% |
| Emerson College[994] | August 22–23, 2022 | 1,034 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 47% | 11% |
| PEM Management Corporation (R)[995][AC] | July 22–24, 2022 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 42% | 44% | 14% |
| Blueprint Polling (D)[996] | July 19–21, 2022 | 712 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 42% | 41% | 17% |
| Blueprint Polling (D)[997] | February 15–16, 2022 | 635 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 45% | 40% | 15% |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[998][I] | November 11–16, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 51% | 4% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[822][D] | July 15–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 46% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 8% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[952][E] | July 5–12, 2024 | 1,041 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 46% | 6% | 1% | 2% | 3% |
| YouGov[999][P] | July 4–12, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 40% | 43% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 12% |
| New York Times/Siena College[948] | July 9–11, 2024 | 872 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 38% | 41% | 8% | 0% | 2% | 11% |
| 872 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 40% | 42% | 7% | 0% | 2% | 9% | ||
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[953] | July 1–5, 2024 | 794 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 44% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 6% |
| Cygnal (R)[956] | June 27–28, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 38% | 42% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 7% |
| Emerson College[843] | June 13–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 45% | 5% | 0% | 1% | 12% |
| Marist College[1000] | June 3–6, 2024 | 1,181 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 45% | 47% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 3%[ca] |
| KAConsulting (R)[958][AN] | May 15–19, 2024 | 600 (RV) | – | 39% | 41% | 9% | 1% | 3% | 7%[cb] |
| Prime Group[846][H] | May 9–16, 2024 | 487 (RV) | – | 45% | 42% | 9% | 2% | 2% | – |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[826] | May 7–13, 2024 | 812 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 45% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 3% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[825] | May 6–13, 2024 | 730 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 40% | 43% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 6% |
| New York Times/Siena College/Philadelphia Inquirer[841] | April 28 – May 9, 2024 | 1,023 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 36% | 40% | 10% | 0% | 1% | 13%[cc] |
| 1,023 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 37% | 41% | 9% | 0% | 1% | 12%[cc] | ||
| Emerson College[960] | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 45% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 7% |
| Fox News[14] | April 11–16, 2024 | 1,141 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 44% | 8% | 1% | 2% | 3% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[962] | April 8–15, 2024 | 803 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 43% | 8% | 0% | 1% | 6% |
| Wall Street Journal[833] | March 17–24, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 41% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 10% |
| Emerson College[966] | March 10–13, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 44% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 9% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[859] | March 8–12, 2024 | 807 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 38% | 44% | 7% | 0% | 1% | 10% |
| Fox News[829] | March 7–11, 2024 | 1,149 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 42% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 3% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[968] | February 12–20, 2024 | 803 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 36% | 45% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 9% |
| Emerson College[869] | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 42% | 8% | 2% | 1% | 10% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[1001] | January 16–21, 2024 | 795 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 43% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 8% |
| Quinnipiac University[834] | January 4–8, 2023 | 1,680 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 41% | 39% | 11% | 2% | 4% | 3%[cd] |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[1002] | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 799 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 38% | 39% | 9% | 1% | 1% | 12% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[858][C] | July 17–18, 2024 | 624 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 42% | 46% | 4% | 2% | 6% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[1003] | May 2–4, 2024 | 635 (LV) | – | 41% | 43% | 7% | 0% | 9% |
| Franklin & Marshall College[832] | March 20–31, 2024 | 870 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 40% | 9% | 3% | 8% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[1004] | March 14–17, 2024 | 775 (LV) | – | 41% | 44% | 7% | 1% | 7% |
| Franklin & Marshall College[971] | January 17–28, 2024 | 494 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 42% | 37% | 8% | 2% | 11% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Civiqs[857][AL] | July 13–16, 2024 | 536 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 42% | 46% | 6% | 6% |
| 1983 Labs[1005] | June 28–30, 2024 | 741 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 41% | 46% | 3% | 10%[ce] |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[837] | May 30–31, 2024 | 1,012 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 41% | 39% | 8% | 12% |
| 923 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 43% | 42% | 7% | 8% | ||
| Muhlenberg College[839] | April 15–25, 2024 | 417 (RV) | ± 6.0% | 35% | 35% | 18% | 12% |
| The Bullfinch Group[1006][BZ] | March 22–26, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 41% | 7% | 8% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[1007] | December 28–30, 2023 | 1,069 (LV) | – | 39% | 40% | 9% | 12% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[842] | November 27–29, 2023 | 887 (LV) | – | 37% | 44% | 7% | 10% |
| New York Times/Siena College[1008] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.6 | 35% | 35% | 23% | 7% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[982] | October 7–9, 2023 | 900 (LV) | – | 39% | 39% | 9% | 13% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CNN/SSRS[965] | March 13–18, 2024 | 1,132 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 38% | 40% | 16% | 4% | 4% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[1009] | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 805 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 38% | 41% | 8% | 1% | 12% |
Hypothetical polling with other candidates
Gavin Newsom vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Gavin Newsom Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[827][A] | July 11–12, 2024 | 537 (RV) | – | 42% | 51% | 7% |
| Emerson College[869] | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 33% | 48% | 19% |
Gretchen Whitmer vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Gretchen Whitmer Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fox News[943] | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,034 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 49% | 3% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[827][A] | July 11–12, 2024 | 537 (RV) | – | 42% | 50% | 8% |
JB Pritzker vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
JB Pritzker Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[827][A] | July 11–12, 2024 | 537 (RV) | – | 37% | 50% | 13% |
Josh Shapiro vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Josh Shapiro Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fox News[943] | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,034 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 54% | 44% | 2% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[827][A] | July 11–12, 2024 | 537 (RV) | – | 47% | 46% | 7% |
| Muhlenberg College[1010] | November 20 – December 13, 2023 | 421 (RV) | ± 6.0% | 48% | 37% | 15% |
Josh Shapiro vs. Donald Trump vs Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Josh Shapiro Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[858][C] | July 17–18, 2024 | 624 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 47% | 43% | 3% | 1% | 6% |
Pete Buttigieg vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Pete Buttigieg Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[827][A] | July 11–12, 2024 | 537 (RV) | – | 41% | 50% | 9% |
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muhlenberg College[976] | November 20 – December 13, 2023 | 421 (RV) | ± 6.0% | 33% | 38% | 29% |
| New York Times/Siena College[1011] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 39% | 49% | 12% |
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[842] | November 27–29, 2023 | 887 (LV) | – | 36% | 26% | 18% | 7% | 13% |
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muhlenberg College[976] | November 20 – December 13, 2023 | 421 (RV) | ± 6.0% | 41% | 39% | 20% |
| New York Times/Siena College[1011] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 43% | 47% | 10% |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)[1012] | May 2–8, 2023 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 48% | 39% | 12% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[854] | April 11–13, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 45% | 13% |
| Echelon Insights[993] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 828 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 42% | 12% |
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[842] | November 27–29, 2023 | 887 (LV) | – | 37% | 34% | 13% | 3% | 12% |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Ron DeSantis
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)[1012] | May 2–8, 2023 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 42% | 38% | 20% |
Rhode Island
[edit]Hypothetical polling
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire[1013] | May 16–20, 2024 | 538 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 60% | 40% | – |
| Fleming & Associates[1014] | September 29 – October 2, 2022 | 402 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 49% | 32% | 19% |
| Echelon Insights[1015] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 373 (LV) | ± 6.1% | 51% | 37% | 12% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire[1016] | May 16–20, 2024 | 538 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 52% | 33% | 6% | 1% | 0% | 8% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Embold Research[1017][CG] | June 5–14, 2024 | 1,450 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 40% | 33% | 12% | 15% |
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Echelon Insights[1018] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 373 (LV) | ± 6.1% | 47% | 36% | 17% |
South Carolina
[edit]Hypothetical polling
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[1019] | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,197 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 37% | 12% |
| The Citadel[1020] | February 5–11, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 54% | 35% | 11% |
| Winthrop University[1021] | February 2–10, 2024 | 1,717 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 50% | 35% | 15% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[1022] | February 1–8, 2024 | 679 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 52% | 34% | 14% |
| 643 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 54% | 36% | 10% | ||
| Echelon Insights[1023] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 51% | 39% | 10% |
| Blueprint Polling (D)[1024] | August 24–25, 2022 | 721 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 34% | 20% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein vs. Joe Manchin
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Joe Manchin Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Citadel[1025] | February 5–11, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 49% | 32% | 9% | 3% | 4% | 3% |
Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Citadel[1026] | February 5–11, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 50% | 28% | 22% |
| Winthrop University[1027] | February 2–10, 2024 | 1,717 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 47% | 29% | 24% |
Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein vs. Joe Manchin
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Joe Manchin Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Citadel[1028] | February 5–11, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 41% | 25% | 20% | 3% | 4% | 7% |
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Echelon Insights[1029] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 42% | 42% | 16% |
South Dakota
[edit]Hypothetical polling
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[1030] | January 23–28, 2024 | 1,777 (RV) | ± 2.2% | 55% | 26% | 18% |
| Emerson College[1031] | October 1–4, 2023 | 432 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 50% | 28% | 22% |
| Emerson College[1032] | October 19–21, 2022 | 1,500 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 53% | 33% | 14% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason-Dixon[1033][CH] | May 10–13, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 50% | 31% | 11% | 8% |
Tennessee
[edit]Hypothetical polling
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Targoz Market Research[1034][CI] | March 15 – April 2, 2024 | 974 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 55% | 31% | 14% |
| Targoz Market Research[1035][CI] | December 14–28, 2023 | 929 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 63% | 31% | 5% |
| Siena College[1036][CJ] | November 5–10, 2023 | 805 (A) | – | 49% | 20% | 31% |
| Targoz Market Research[166][CI] | October 5–16, 2023 | 872 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 61% | 30% | 9% |
| Emerson College[1037] | October 1–4, 2023 | 410 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 55% | 22% | 23% |
| Targoz Market Research[168][CI] | June 14–22, 2023 | 1,046 (V) | ± 2.9% | 54% | 34% | 11% |
| SSRS/Vanderbilt University[1038] | April 19–23, 2023 | 502 (RV) | – | 42% | 26% | 31% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SSRS/Vanderbilt University[1039] | April 26 – May 9, 2024 | 1,003 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 47% | 29% | 8% | 16%[cf] |
| Targoz Market Research[1034][CI] | March 15 – April 2, 2024 | 974 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 47% | 28% | 15% | 10% |
| Targoz Market Research[1035][CI] | December 14–28, 2023 | 933 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 51% | 25% | 16% | 8% |
| SSRS/Vanderbilt University[1040] | November 14 – December 2, 2023 | 1,005 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 45% | 26% | 12% | 17% |
| Targoz Market Research[166][CI] | October 5–16, 2023 | 872 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 48% | 23% | 19% | 10% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Joe Manchin as an Independent
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Joe Manchin Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Targoz Market Research[166][CI] | October 5–16, 2023 | 844 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 53% | 23% | 6% | 18% |
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Targoz Market Research[168][CI] | June 14–22, 2023 | 977 (V) | ± 2.9% | 52% | 36% | 11% |
| SSRS/Vanderbilt University[1038] | April 19–23, 2023 | 502 (RV) | – | 33% | 24% | 40% |
Texas
[edit]Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov[1041][CK] | January 11–24, 2024 | 1,500 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 52% | 39% | 9% |
| Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation[1042] | May 8–17, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 46% | 39% | 15%[cg] |
Hypothetical polling with Donald Trump and Joe Biden
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ActiVote[1043] | June 25 – July 18, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 54% | 46% | – |
| Remington Research Group (R)[1044] | June 29 – July 1, 2024 | 589 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 39% | 12% |
| Manhattan Institute[1045] | June 25–27, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 52% | 41% | 7% |
| UT Tyler[1046] | June 11–20, 2024 | 1,144 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 40% | 14% |
| 931 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 48% | 43% | 9% | ||
| YouGov[1047][CL] | May 31 – June 9, 2024 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 46% | 39% | 15%[ch] |
| YouGov[1048][CL] | April 12–22, 2024 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 48% | 40% | 12%[ci] |
| Cygnal (R)[1049] | April 4–6, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 51% | 42% | 7% |
| Marist College[1050] | March 18–21, 2024 | 1,117 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 55% | 44% | 1% |
| UT Tyler[1051] | February 18–26, 2024 | 1,167 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 46% | 42% | 12% |
| YouGov[1052][CL] | February 2–12, 2024 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 48% | 41% | 11%[cj] |
| University of Houston[1053] | January 11–24, 2024 | 1,145 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 49% | 40% | 11% |
| Emerson College[1054][CM] | January 13–15, 2024 | 1,315 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 49% | 41% | 10% |
| YouGov[1055][CL] | December 1–10, 2023 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 45% | 39% | 16% |
| YouGov[1056][CL] | October 5–17, 2023 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 45% | 37% | 18% |
| Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation[1057] | May 8–17, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 44% | 42% | 14%[ck] |
| CWS Research (R)[1058] | April 17–21, 2023 | 677 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 45% | 42% | 13% |
| Emerson College[1059] | October 17–19, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 40% | 13% |
| Emerson College[1060] | September 20–22, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 40% | 11% |
| Echelon Insights[1061] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 813 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 43% | 9% |
| Blueprint Polling (D)[1062] | June 8–10, 2022 | 603 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 38% | 17% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov[1063][CN] | June 20 – July 1, 2024 | 1,484 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 49% | 40% | 5% | – | 2% | 4%[cl] |
| Manhattan Institute[1064] | June 25–27, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 36% | 7% | 1% | 0% | 11%[cm] |
| UT Tyler[1065] | June 11–20, 2024 | 1,144 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 38% | 12% | – | 1% | 3%[cn] |
| 931 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 47% | 41% | 8% | – | 1% | 3%[co] | ||
| YouGov[1066][CL] | May 31 – June 9, 2024 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 43% | 34% | 8% | 2% | 2% | 11% |
| YouGov[1067][CL] | April 12–22, 2024 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 45% | 36% | 8% | 2% | 2% | 7% |
| Texas Lyceum[1068] | April 12–21, 2024 | 926 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 41% | 31% | 11% | 1% | 1% | 15%[cp] |
| Cygnal (R)[1069] | April 4–6, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 46% | 37% | 8% | 1% | 2% | 6% |
| UT Tyler[1070] | February 18–26, 2024 | 1,167 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 41% | 37% | 13% | 6% | 3% | – |
| YouGov[1071][CL] | February 2–12, 2024 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 45% | 36% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 8% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[1072] | February 1–3, 2024 | 605 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 35% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 13% |
| Emerson College[1073][CM] | January 13–15, 2024 | 1,315 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 46% | 36% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 11% |
| YouGov[1074][CL] | December 1–10, 2023 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 42% | 34% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 12% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation[1075] | April 5–10, 2024 | 1,600 (LV) | ± 2.45% | 46% | 34% | 9% | 11%[cq] |
| Marist College[1076] | March 18–21, 2024 | 1,117 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 48% | 36% | 15% | 1% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation[1077] | April 5–10, 2024 | 1,600 (LV) | ± 2.45% | 48% | 36% | 3% | 13%[cr] |
| YouGov[1078][CK] | January 11–24, 2024 | 1,500 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 49% | 40% | 3% | 8%[cs] |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Manchin vs. Cornel West
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Joe Manchin No Labels |
Cornel West Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National Public Affairs[1079] | February 6–8, 2024 | 807 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 42% | 35% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 9% |
Hypothetical polling with other candidates
Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UT Tyler[1080] | February 18–26, 2024 | 1,167 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 42% | 36% | 22% |
| YouGov[1081][CL] | February 2–12, 2024 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 31% | 40% | 29%[ct] |
| YouGov[1082][CK] | January 11–24, 2024 | 1,500 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 43% | 39% | 18% |
| YouGov[1083][CL] | December 1–10, 2023 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 33% | 36% | 31% |
| YouGov[1084][CL] | October 5–17, 2023 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 32% | 34% | 34% |
Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UT Tyler[1085] | February 18–26, 2024 | 1,167 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 33% | 36% | 20% | 7% | 3% | 1% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[1086] | February 1–3, 2024 | 605 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 30% | 32% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 24% |
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov[1087][CL] | December 1–10, 2023 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 39% | 37% | 24% |
| YouGov[1088][CL] | October 5–17, 2023 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 39% | 38% | 24% |
| Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation[1089] | May 8–17, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 44% | 42% | 14%[cu] |
| CWS Research (R)[1090] | April 17–21, 2023 | 677 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 44% | 40% | 16% |
| Echelon Insights[1091] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 813 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 41% | 15% |
Ron DeSantis vs. Kamala Harris
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation[1092] | May 8–17, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 45% | 40% | 15%[cv] |
Vivek Ramaswamy vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Vivek Ramaswamy Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov[1093][CL] | December 1–10, 2023 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 34% | 37% | 30% |
| YouGov[1094][CL] | October 5–17, 2023 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 33% | 36% | 32% |
Mike Pence vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Mike Pence Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov[1095][CL] | October 5–17, 2023 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 29% | 36% | 36% |
Tim Scott vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Tim Scott Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov[1096][CL] | October 5–17, 2023 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 33% | 34% | 33% |
Utah
[edit]Hypothetical polling
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deseret News/Hinckley Institute of Politics[1097] | June 4–7, 2024 | 857 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 57% | 25% | 18% |
| Noble Predictive Insights[1098] | April 8–16, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 54% | 26% | 20% |
| Deseret News/Hinckley Institute of Politics[1099] | January 16–21, 2024 | 801 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 33% | 24% |
| Emerson College[1100] | October 25–28, 2022 | 825 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 34% | 19% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deseret News/Hinckley Institute of Politics[1097] | June 4–7, 2024 | 857 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 49% | 20% | 21% | 11% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noble Predictive Insights[1098] | April 8–16, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 23% | 13% | 1% | 1% | 15% |
Virginia
[edit]Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[1101] | July 14–15, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[1102] | July 12–13, 2024 | 617 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 45% | 41% | 14% |
| 544 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 46% | 42% | 12% | ||
| New York Times/Siena College[1103] | July 9–12, 2024 | 661 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 48% | 44% | 8% |
| 661 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 44% | 7% | ||
| SoCal Research[1104][X] | July 6–11, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 2.1% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Times/Siena College[1105] | July 9–12, 2024 | 661 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 41% | 38% | 9% | 0% | 1% | 11% |
| 661 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 39% | 7% | 0% | 1% | 10% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[1106] | July 12–13, 2024 | 617 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 41% | 37% | 10% | 12% |
| 544 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 43% | 38% | 10% | 9% |
Hypothetical polling with Joe Biden and Donald Trump
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[1107] | July 14–15, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 45% | 12% |
| 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50%[d] | 50% | – | ||
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[1108] | July 12–13, 2024 | 617 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 45% | 41% | 14% |
| 544 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 47% | 42% | 11% | ||
| New York Times/Siena College[1109] | July 9–12, 2024 | 661 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 46% | 44% | 10% |
| 661 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 45% | 7% | ||
| SoCal Research[1110][X] | July 6–11, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 2.1% | 47% | 44% | 9% |
| Fox News[1111] | June 1–4, 2024 | 1,107 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Roanoke College[1112] | May 12–21, 2024 | 711 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 42% | 42% | 16% |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[1113][I] | April 29 – May 1, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 48% | 44% | 8% |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[1114][CO] | April 26–28, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 42% | 16% |
| Virginia Commonwealth University[1115] | December 28, 2023 – January 13, 2024 | 812 (A) | ± 5.4% | 43% | 40% | 17% |
| Mason-Dixon[1116] | December 15–19, 2023 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 43% | 8% |
| Roanoke College[1117] | November 12–20, 2023 | 686 (A) | ± 4.3% | 48% | 44% | 8% |
| Change Research/Future Majority (D)[1118] | September 16–19, 2023 | 1,437 (RV) | – | 47% | 42% | 11% |
| Research America Inc.[1119][CP] | September 5–11, 2023 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 37% | 26% |
| Roanoke College[1120] | August 6–15, 2023 | 702 (A) | ± 4.2% | 51% | 42% | 17% |
| Virginia Commonwealth University[1121] | July 14–25, 2023 | 804 (A) | ± 5.4% | 43% | 40% | 17% |
| Roanoke College[1122] | May 14–23, 2023 | 678 (A) | ± 4.4% | 54% | 38% | 8% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[1123] | May 7–9, 2023 | 500 (LV) | – | 48% | 41% | 11% |
| Roanoke College[1124] | February 12–21, 2023 | 590 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 47% | 46% | 6% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[1125] | July 14–15, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 38% | 43% | 8% | 2% | 2% | 7% |
| New York Times/Siena College[1126] | July 9–12, 2024 | 661 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 38% | 36% | 9% | 0% | 2% | 15% |
| 661 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 40% | 38% | 7% | 0% | 2% | 13% | ||
| Virginia Commonwealth University[1127] | June 24 – July 3, 2024 | 809 (A) | ± 4.8% | 36% | 39% | 9% | 1% | 2% | 13%[cw] |
| Fox News[1128] | June 1–4, 2024 | 1,107 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 41% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 4% |
| Roanoke College[1129] | May 12–21, 2024 | 711 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 40% | 38% | 8% | 1% | 3% | 10% |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[1130][I] | April 29 – May 1, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 40% | 37% | 8% | 1% | 2% | 12% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[1131] | July 12–13, 2024 | 617 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 41% | 38% | 11% | 10% |
| 544 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 42% | 39% | 10% | 9% | ||
| co/efficient (R)[1132] | June 11–12, 2024 | 851 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 41% | 41% | 7% | 11% |
| Mason-Dixon[1133] | December 15–19, 2023 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 36% | 14% | 8% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Cornel West Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Change Research/Future Majority (D)[1134] | September 16–19, 2023 | 1,437 (RV) | – | 40% | 39% | 7% | 14% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Joe Manchin vs. Cornel West
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Manchin Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Change Research/Future Majority (D)[1135] | September 16–19, 2023 | 1,437 (RV) | – | 37% | 37% | 7% | 5% | 14% |
Hypothetical polling with other candidates
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia Commonwealth University[1136] | December 28, 2023 – January 13, 2024 | 812 (A) | ± 5.4% | 38% | 43% | 19% |
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia Commonwealth University[1137] | December 28, 2023 – January 13, 2024 | 812 (A) | ± 5.4% | 42% | 39% | 19% |
| Research America Inc.[1138][CP] | September 5–11, 2023 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 30% | 31% |
| Virginia Commonwealth University[1139] | July 14–25, 2023 | 804 (A) | ± 5.46% | 41% | 41% | 18% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[1140] | May 7–9, 2023 | 500 (LV) | – | 44% | 44% | 12% |
| Roanoke College[1141] | February 12–21, 2023 | 590 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 43% | 48% | 8% |
Joe Biden vs. Glenn Youngkin
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Glenn Youngkin Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research America Inc.[1142][CP] | September 5–11, 2023 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 34% | 29% |
| Virginia Commonwealth University[1143] | July 14–25, 2023 | 804 (A) | ± 5.46% | 37% | 44% | 19% |
| Roanoke College[1144] | February 12–21, 2023 | 590 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 39% | 55% | 6% |
Vermont
[edit]Hypothetical polling
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample
size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research[1145] | February 29 – March 3, 2024 | 117 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 58% | 28% | 14% |
| Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research[1146] | February 29 – March 3, 2024 | 111 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 59% | 28% | 13% |
Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] | Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[1147] | April 13 – 21, 2024 | 272 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 47% | 42% | - |
Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample
size[c] |
Margin of error |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[1148] | April 13 – 21, 2024 | 272 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 52% | 29% | - |
Washington
[edit]Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA[1149][cx] | July 10–13, 2024 | 708 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 51% | 36% | 13% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[1150][CQ] | July 24–25, 2024 | 581 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 52% | 38% | 6% | 4% |
Hypothetical polling
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA[1151][cy] | July 10–13, 2024 | 708 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 50% | 36% | 14% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[1152][CQ] | May 15–16, 2024 | 615 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 55% | 39% | 6% |
| The Independent Center[1153] | April 16–23, 2024 | 250 (RV) | ± 6.2% | 45% | 46% | 9% |
| Echelon Insights[1154][CR] | March 18–21, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 48% | 37% | 15% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[1155][CQ] | February 13–14, 2024 | 797 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 54% | 38% | 8% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[1156][CQ] | November 14–15, 2023 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 52% | 38% | 10% |
| Crosscut/Elway[1157] | October 30 – November 3, 2023 | 403 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 39% | 29% | 31%[cz] |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[1158][CQ] | June 7–8, 2023 | 773 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 53% | 36% | 11% |
| Emerson College[1159] | September 30 – October 1, 2022 | 782 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 49% | 39% | 12% |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[1160] | August 15–17, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 54% | 41% | 6% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crosscut/Elway[1161] | October 30 – November 3, 2023 | 403 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 37% | 25% | 9% | 3% | 26%[da] |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cascade PBS/Elway Research[1162] | May 13–16, 2024 | 403 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 42% | 34% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 17% |
| The Independent Center[1163] | April 16–23, 2024 | 250 (RV) | ± 6.2% | 35% | 40% | 13% | 1% | 4% | 8% |
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[1164][CQ] | June 7–8, 2023 | 773 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 51% | 39% | 10% |
West Virginia
[edit]Hypothetical polling
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[1165] | October 1–4, 2023 | 539 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 59% | 23% | 18% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Jill Stein Mountain |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaplan Strategies[1166] | June 4, 2024 | 464 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 55% | 28% | 2% | 15% |
Wisconsin
[edit]Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marquette University Law School[1167] | July 24 – August 1, 2024 | 877 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 47% | 44% | 9% |
| 877 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 49%[d] | 50% | 1% | ||
| 801 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 49% | 45% | 6% | ||
| 801 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 50%[d] | 49% | 1% | ||
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[1168][B] | July 23–29, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 48% | 46% | 6% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[1169] | July 24–28, 2024 | 700 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 47% | 4% |
| Fox News[1170] | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,046 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 50% | 1% |
| Emerson College[1171] | July 22–23, 2024 | 845 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
| 845 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 51%[d] | 49% | – | ||
| Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Harris declares her candidacy for president. | ||||||
| Public Policy Polling (D)[1172][A] | July 10–11, 2024 | 548 (RV) | – | 48% | 49% | 3% |
| North Star Opinion Research[1173][CA] | July 6–10, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 48% | 5% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[1174] | May 7–13, 2024 | 693 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 49% | 10% |
| Emerson College[1175] | February 20–24, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| New York Times/Siena College[1176] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 603 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
| 603 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 46% | 48% | 6% | ||
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[1177] | July 31 – August 3, 2024 | 597 (LV) | – | 43% | 43% | 3% | – | 0% | 0% | 11% |
| Marquette University Law School[1178] | July 24 – August 1, 2024 | 877 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 45% | 43% | 8% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| 801 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 46% | 45% | 6% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[1179] | July 24–28, 2024 | 700 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 45% | 6% | – | 0% | 3% | 2% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[1180] | July 22–24, 2024 | 523 (LV) | – | 44% | 44% | 5% | – | 1% | 1% | 5% |
| Fox News[1181] | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,046 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 46% | 5% | 1% | 1% | – | 1% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[1182] | July 22–23, 2024 | 845 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 45% | 45% | 3% | 1% | 6% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Civiqs[1183][AL] | July 13–16, 2024 | 514 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 48% | 48% | 2% | 2% |
Hypothetical polling with Joe Biden and Donald Trump
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[1184][D] | July 15–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 48% | 9% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[1185][CS] | July 11–12, 2024 | 653 (V) | ± 3.8% | 47% | 46% | 7% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[1186][E] | July 5–12, 2024 | 1,020 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 48% | 6% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[1187][A] | July 10–11, 2024 | 548 (RV) | – | 47% | 47% | 6% |
| North Star Opinion Research[1188][CA] | July 6–10, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 46% | 10% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[1189] | July 1–5, 2024 | 695 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 44% | 9% |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[1190][BE] | June 28 – July 2, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 50% | 5% |
| Emerson College[1191][D] | June 30 – July 2, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| Remington Research Group (R)[1192] | June 29 – July 1, 2024 | 593 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 49% | 8% |
| Marquette University Law School[1193] | June 12–20, 2024 | 871 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 44% | 44% | 12% |
| 871 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 50%[d] | 50% | – | ||
| 784 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 47% | 44% | 9% | ||
| 784 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 51%[d] | 49% | – | ||
| Emerson College[1194] | June 13–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49%[d] | 51% | – | ||
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[1195] | May 30–31, 2024 | 338 (RV) | ± 5.3% | 40% | 38% | 22%[db] |
| 290 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 40% | 41% | 19%[dc] | ||
| KAConsulting (R)[1196][AN] | May 15–19, 2024 | 600 (RV) | – | 45% | 45% | 10% |
| Prime Group[1197][H] | May 9–16, 2024 | 488 (RV) | – | 51% | 49% | – |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[1198] | May 7–13, 2024 | 693 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[1199] | May 6–13, 2024 | 503 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 45% | 9% |
| New York Times/Siena College[1200] | April 28 – May 9, 2024 | 614 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 45% | 8% |
| 614 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 47% | 7% | ||
| Quinnipiac University[1201] | May 2–6, 2024 | 1,457 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 50% | 44% | 6% |
| Emerson College[1202] | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
| 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48%[d] | 52% | – | ||
| CBS News/YouGov[1203] | April 19–25, 2024 | 1,226 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 49% | 50% | 1% |
| Fox News[1204] | April 11–16, 2024 | 1,198 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[1205] | April 8–15, 2024 | 702 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 48% | 8% |
| Marquette University Law School[1206] | April 3–10, 2024 | 814 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 49% | 51% | – |
| 736 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 49% | 51% | – | ||
| North Star Opinion Research[1207][L] | April 6–9, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
| Wall Street Journal[1208] | March 17–24, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 46% | 8% |
| Echelon Insights[1209][CT] | March 12–19, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 47% | 46% | 7% |
| Emerson College/The Hill[1210] | March 14–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 46% | 11% |
| 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48%[d] | 52% | – | ||
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[1211] | March 8–14, 2024 | 697 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 45% | 9% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[1212] | February 12–20, 2024 | 702 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 46% | 12% |
| Emerson College[1213] | February 20–24, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 45% | 13% |
| Kaplan Strategies[1214] | February 23, 2024 | 941 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 39% | 41% | 20% |
| Marquette University Law School[1215] | January 24–31, 2024 | 930 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 49% | 49% | 2% |
| 808 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 49% | 50% | 1% | ||
| Fox News[1216] | January 26–30, 2024 | 1,172 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[1217] | January 16–21, 2024 | 697 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 49% | 7% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[1218] | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 681 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 45% | 14% |
| J.L. Partners[1219] | November 27 – December 1, 2023 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 45% | 41% | 14% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[1220] | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 675 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
| Emerson College[1221] | October 30 - November 4, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 43% | 44% | 13% |
| 819 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 45% | 10% | ||
| New York Times/Siena College[1222] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 603 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 47% | 45% | 8% |
| Marquette University Law School[1223] | October 26 – November 2, 2023 | 908 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 50% | 48% | 1% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[1224] | October 5–10, 2023 | 700 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 46% | 10% |
| Emerson College[1225] | October 1–4, 2023 | 532 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 40% | 42% | 19% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[1226][CU] | September 25–26, 2023 | 673 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 48% | 44% | 8% |
| Prime Group[1227][CV] | June 14–28, 2023 | 500 (RV) | – | 53% | 47% | – |
| 500 (RV) | – | 37% | 40% | 23%[dd] | ||
| Marquette University Law School[1228] | June 8–13, 2023 | 913 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 52% | 43% | 4% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[1229] | April 17–20, 2023 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 43% | 9% |
| Emerson College[1230] | October 27–29, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 43% | 13% |
| Emerson College[1231] | September 16–18, 2022 | 860 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 45% | 44% | 11% |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[1232][I] | November 11–16, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 52% | 6% |
| Marquette University Law School[1233] | October 26–31, 2021 | 805 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 45% | 41% | 14% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Trafalgar Group (R)[1234] | July 15–17, 2024 | 1,087 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 43% | 46% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 7% |
| Emerson College[1235][D] | July 15–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 46% | 4% | 0% | 1% | 6%[de] |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[1236][E] | July 5–12, 2024 | 1,020 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 45% | 7% | 0% | 1% | 5%[df] |
| YouGov[1237][P] | July 4–12, 2024 | 900 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 38% | 43% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 13% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[1238] | July 1–5, 2024 | 695 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 39% | 10% | 1% | 1% | 8% |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[1239][BE] | June 28 – July 2, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 44% | 9% | – | 3% | 6%[dg] |
| Marquette University Law School[1240] | June 12–20, 2024 | 871 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 40% | 43% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 3%[dh] |
| 784 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 42% | 44% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 2%[di] | ||
| Emerson College[1241] | June 13–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 44% | 6% | 0% | 1% | 7% |
| J.L. Partners[1242] | June 5–10, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 44% | 44% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
| KAConsulting (R)[1243][AN] | May 15–19, 2024 | 600 (RV) | – | 42% | 42% | 7% | 1% | 2% | 6%[dj] |
| Prime Group[1244][H] | May 9–16, 2024 | 488 (RV) | – | 44% | 44% | 7% | 3% | 2% | – |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[1245] | May 7–13, 2024 | 693 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 43% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 7% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[1246] | May 6–13, 2024 | 503 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 41% | 41% | 9% | 1% | 1% | 7% |
| New York Times/Siena College[1247] | April 28 – May 9, 2024 | 614 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 38% | 9% | 0% | 1% | 14%[cc] |
| 614 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 40% | 8% | 0% | 0% | 13%[cc] | ||
| Quinnipiac University[1248] | May 2–6, 2024 | 1,457 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 40% | 39% | 12% | 1% | 4% | 4% |
| Emerson College[1249] | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 45% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 7% |
| Fox News[1250] | April 11–16, 2024 | 1,198 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 41% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 3% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[1251] | April 8–15, 2024 | 702 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 44% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 5% |
| Marquette University Law School[1252] | April 3–10, 2024 | 814 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 40% | 41% | 13% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| 736 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 41% | 42% | 12% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| North Star Opinion Research[1253][L] | April 6–9, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 37% | 13% | 2% | 4% | 9% |
| Wall Street Journal[1254] | March 17–24, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 38% | 10% | 1% | 1% | 9% |
| Emerson College/The Hill[1255] | March 14–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 43% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 10% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[1256] | March 8–14, 2024 | 697 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 41% | 10% | 1% | 1% | 8% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[1257] | February 12–20, 2024 | 702 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 35% | 41% | 10% | 1% | 1% | 12% |
| Emerson College[1258] | February 20–24, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 41% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 13% |
| Marquette University Law School[1259] | January 24–31, 2024 | 930 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 37% | 40% | 16% | 2% | 4% | 1% |
| 808 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 39% | 41% | 13% | 2% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Fox News[1260] | January 26–30, 2024 | 1,172 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 42% | 7% | 1% | 2% | 11% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[1261] | January 16–21, 2024 | 697 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 35% | 43% | 10% | 0% | 2% | 10% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[1262] | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 681 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 34% | 40% | 10% | 1% | 3% | 13% |
| J.L. Partners/Daily Mail[1263] | November 27 – December 1, 2023 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 42% | 37% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 12%[dk] |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Civiqs[1264][AL] | July 13–16, 2024 | 514 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 47% | 47% | 3% | 3% |
| North Star Opinion Research[1265][CA] | July 6–10, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 38% | 11% | 15%[dl] |
| P2 Insights[1266][R] | June 11–20, 2024 | 650 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 42% | 45% | 4% | 9% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[1267] | May 30–31, 2024 | 338 (RV) | ± 5.3% | 38% | 31% | 13% | 18% |
| 290 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 40% | 35% | 12% | 13% | ||
| New York Times/Siena College[1268] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 603 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 37% | 35% | 22% | 6% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[1269] | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 675 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 38% | 13% | 2% | 11% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBS News/YouGov[1270] | April 19–25, 2024 | 1,226 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 44% | 48% | 8% | 0% |
Hypothetical polling with other candidates
Gavin Newsom vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Gavin Newsom Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[1271][A] | July 10–11, 2024 | 548 (RV) | – | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Emerson College[1272] | February 20–24, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 36% | 45% | 19% |
Gretchen Whitmer vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Gretchen Whitmer Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fox News[1273] | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,046 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 50% | 4% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[1274][A] | July 10–11, 2024 | 548 (RV) | – | 47% | 46% | 7% |
JB Pritzker vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
JB Pritzker Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[1275][A] | July 10–11, 2024 | 548 (RV) | – | 47% | 47% | 6% |
Josh Shapiro vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Josh Shapiro Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fox News[1276] | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,046 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 49% | 5% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[1277][A] | July 10–11, 2024 | 548 (RV) | – | 46% | 44% | 10% |
Pete Buttigieg vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Pete Buttigieg Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[1278][A] | July 10–11, 2024 | 548 (RV) | – | 47% | 46% | 7% |
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marquette University Law School[1279] | January 24–31, 2024 | 930 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 41% | 57% | 2% |
| 808 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 42% | 57% | 1% | ||
| New York Times/Siena College[1280] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 603 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 39% | 53% | 8% |
| Marquette University Law School[1281] | October 26 – November 2, 2023 | 908 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 44% | 53% | 3% |
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Times/Siena College[1282] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 603 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 44% | 48% | 8% |
| Marquette University Law School[1283] | October 26 – November 2, 2023 | 908 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 48% | 50% | 1% |
| Marquette University Law School[1284] | June 8–13, 2023 | 913 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 49% | 47% | 4% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[1285] | April 17–20, 2023 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
Wyoming
[edit]Hypothetical polling
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[1286] | October 1–4, 2023 | 478 (RV) | ±4.5% | 68% | 15% | 18% |
See also
[edit]
- Nationwide opinion polling for the 2024 United States presidential election
- 2024 United States elections
Notes
[edit]- ^ a b c Unlike the other 48 states and Washington, D.C., which award all of their electors to the candidate who receives the most votes in that state, Maine and Nebraska award two electors to the winner of the statewide vote and one each to the candidate who receives the most votes in each congressional district.
- ^ The boundaries of Nebraska's 2nd congressional district have since changed due to redistricting.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao ap aq ar as at au av aw ax ay az ba bb bc bd be bf bg bh bi bj bk bl bm bn bo bp bq br bs bt bu bv bw bx by bz ca cb cc cd ce cf cg ch ci cj ck cl cm cn co cp cq cr cs ct cu cv cw cx cy cz da db dc dd de df dg dh di dj dk dl dm dn do dp dq dr ds dt du dv dw dx dy dz ea eb ec ed ee ef eg eh ei ej ek el em en eo ep eq er es et eu ev ew ex ey ez fa fb fc fd fe ff fg fh fi fj fk fl fm fn fo fp fq fr fs ft fu fv fw fx fy fz ga gb gc gd ge gf gg gh gi gj gk gl gm gn go gp gq gr gs gt gu gv gw gx gy gz ha hb hc hd he hf hg hh hi hj hk hl hm hn ho hp hq hr hs ht hu hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if ig ih ii ij ik il im in io ip iq ir is it iu iv iw ix iy iz ja jb jc jd je jf jg jh ji jj jk jl jm jn jo jp jq jr js jt ju jv jw jx jy jz ka kb kc Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af With voters who lean towards a given candidate
- ^ Independent/Third party candidate with 13%
- ^ "Someone else" with 15%
- ^ No Labels candidate
- ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
- ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 2%
- ^ Lars Mapstead (L) with 3%
- ^ Joe Manchin with 4%
- ^ "Someone else" with 12%
- ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 2%
- ^ Jill Stein (G) with 2%
- ^ "Someone else" with 11%
- ^ "Someone else" with 13%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 4%
- ^ a b Poll conducted for WTVT
- ^ "Another candidate" with 7%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 3%
- ^ Cornel West & Jill Stein with 1%
- ^ a b Poll conducted for WAGA-TV
- ^ No Labels candidate
- ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 3%
- ^ Lars Mapstead (L) with 1%
- ^ Lars Mapstead (L) with 2%
- ^ "Someone else" with 10%
- ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
- ^ "Someone else" with 15%
- ^ Archived February 28, 2022, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ "Someone else" with 3%, "would not vote" with 1%
- ^ "Another Candidate" with 1%
- ^ Other candidate with 21%
- ^ Other candidate with 10%
- ^ Other candidate with 23%
- ^ Other candidate with 19%
- ^ a b c d e f Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ "Someone else" with 14%
- ^ "Someone else" with 14%
- ^ No Labels candidate
- ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
- ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
- ^ Lars Mapstead (L) with 1%
- ^ a b Lars Mapstead (L) with 1%
- ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
- ^ "Other" with 4%
- ^ "Other" with 6%
- ^ "Other" with 9%
- ^ "Other" with 11%
- ^ "Someone else" with 7%
- ^ "Someone else" with 11%
- ^ "Someone else" with 12%
- ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 0%
- ^ No Labels candidate
- ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
- ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
- ^ a b c Lars Mapstead (L) with 2%
- ^ Donald Trump with 10%; "Another candidate" with 5%
- ^ Donald Trump with 9%; "Another candidate" with 6%
- ^ Donald Trump with 10%; "Another candidate" with 4%
- ^ Donald Trump with 16%; "Another candidate" with 11%
- ^ Donald Trump with 15%; "Another candidate" with 10%
- ^ Kennedy or other third-party candidate with 7%; Undecided with 13%
- ^ "Someone else" with 17%
- ^ No Labels candidate
- ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
- ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
- ^ Jill Stein (G) with 2%; Charles Ballay (L) with 2%
- ^ Poll sponsored by Brighter Future Alliance
- ^ Some Other Candidate at 5%; Undecided at 10%
- ^ Some Other Candidate at 2%; Undecided at 10%
- ^ Some Other Candidate at 8%; Undecided at 22%
- ^ Some Other Candidate at 5%; Undecided at 16%
- ^ Some Other Candidate at 8%; Undecided at 16%
- ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 2%
- ^ Independent/Third party candidate with 12%
- ^ "Undecided" & "Wouldn't vote" with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ No Labels candidate
- ^ Chase Oliver (L) with >1%
- ^ Lars Mapstead with 1%
- ^ a b c d Lars Mapstead (L) with 0%
- ^ "Undecided" with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
- ^ "Some other candidate" with 8%
- ^ "Don't know" with 9%; "Libertarian candidate" with 4%"; "Green Party candidate" with 2%"
- ^ "Someone else" with 9%
- ^ "Someone else" with 6%
- ^ "Someone else" with 7%
- ^ "Don't know" with 8%; "Libertarian candidate" with 4%"; "Green Party candidate" with 2%"
- ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 0%
- ^ "Someone else" with 2%; Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
- ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 3%
- ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 3%
- ^ "Someone else" with 5%
- ^ Jill Stein (G) with 2%; Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
- ^ Undecided with 10%; Chase Oliver (L) with 3%
- ^ Libertarian candidate with 1%
- ^ "Someone else" with 21%
- ^ "Don't know" with 9%; "Libertarian candidate" with 3%"; "Green Party candidate" with 2%"
- ^ "Don't know" with 10%; "Libertarian candidate" with 3%"; "Green Party candidate" with 2%"
- ^ "Undecided" with 6%; "Wouldn't vote" with 3%; "Someone else" & "Refused" with 2%
- ^ Poll sponsored by The Seattle Times, KING-TV, & University of Washington Information School
- ^ Poll sponsored by The Seattle Times, KING-TV, & University of Washington Information School
- ^ "Someone else" with 22%; "Undecided" with 8%; "I would not vote" with 1%
- ^ "Undecided" with 14%; "Someone else" with 11%; "I would not vote" with 2%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 12%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 11%
- ^ No Labels candidate
- ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
- ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
- ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
- ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 2%
- ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
- ^ Lars Mapstead (L) with 1%
- ^ "Someone else" with 12%
- ^ Jill Stein (G) with 3%; Chase Oliver (L) with 2%; "Other" with 1%
- Partisan clients
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae Poll conducted for Progress Action Fund, which supports Democratic candidates
- ^ a b c d e Poll conducted for Competitiveness Coalition
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p Poll conducted for Clean and Prosperous America PAC
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t Poll sponsored by Democrats for the Next Generation PAC Cite error: The named reference "DNext" was defined multiple times with different content (see the help page).
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l Poll sponsored by The Heartland Institute
- ^ a b c d Poll sponsored by American Greatness
- ^ Poll commissioned by AARP
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC, which opposes Trump
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m Poll sponsored by Trump's campaign
- ^ Poll sponsored by Independent Center
- ^ Poll sponsored by The Heritage Foundation
- ^ a b c d e f Poll sponsored by League of American Workers
- ^ a b c d Poll sponsored by Americas PAC
- ^ Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC
- ^ Poll sponsored by College Republicans United
- ^ a b c d e f g Poll conducted for The Times, Stanford University, Arizona State University, and Yale University
- ^ Poll commissioned by AARP
- ^ a b c d e Poll sponsored by Building America's Future, which supports Republican candidates
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m Poll sponsored by Nexstar Media Group
- ^ a b c Poll sponsored by ProgressNow Colorado
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by the Colorado Polling Institute
- ^ a b c Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by Florida Chamber of Commerce
- ^ a b c d e f g Poll sponsored by On Point Politics
- ^ a b c d e f Poll sponsored by The Atlanta Journal-Constitution
- ^ Poll sponsored by The Heritage Foundation
- ^ Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by Hardworking Americans PAC
- ^ a b c d e Poll conducted for the John Bolton Super PAC
- ^ a b c d e f This poll was sponsored by the Iowans for Tax Relief Foundation
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by the Des Moines Register & Mediacom Iowa
- ^ a b Poll commissioned by The Times-Picayune/The New Orleans Advocate
- ^ This poll was commissioned by EMILY's List, which supports Biden.
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by The Boston Globe
- ^ Poll sponsored by the University of Massachusetts Amherst Department of Political Science & WCVB
- ^ Poll sponsored by Red Eagle Politics
- ^ a b c d e f Poll commissioned by The Detroit News & WDIV-TV
- ^ a b c d e f Poll conducted for Rust Belt Rising, which supports Democratic candidates
- ^ a b c d e f g h Poll commissioned by MIRS
- ^ a b c d e f Poll conducted for Vapor Technology Association
- ^ Poll sponsored by The Heritage Foundation
- ^ Poll sponsored by League of American Workers
- ^ Poll commissioned by Save My Country Action Fund
- ^ a b c d Poll commissioned by Citizens Awareness Project
- ^ Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC
- ^ Poll sponsored by Progress Michigan, a sponsor for the Democratic Party
- ^ a b c d e f Poll sponsored by KSTP-TV, WDIO-TV, & KAAL-TV
- ^ Poll sponsored by KARE11, Minnesota Public Radio & the Star Tribune
- ^ Poll commissioned by Common Sense for America PAC, which supports Republican candidates
- ^ Poll sponsored by the Montana Republican Party
- ^ Poll conducted by More Jobs, Less Government which supports Republican candidates
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by Nexstar Media Group
- ^ Poll sponsored by KULR-TV
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by the campaign of U.S. Senator Deb Fischer, who has endorsed Trump
- ^ Poll sponsored by Nebraska Railroaders for Public Safety
- ^ Poll commissioned by League of American Workers
- ^ a b c d e f Poll commissioned by AARP
- ^ Poll sponsored by Breaking Battlegrounds
- ^ Poll sponsored by The Heritage Foundation
- ^ Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC
- ^ Poll sponsored by Capitol Resource Institute
- ^ Poll sponsored by Breaking Battlegrounds
- ^ Poll commissioned by League of American Workers
- ^ a b Poll commissioned by the National Republican Senatorial Committee
- ^ Poll commissioned by the New Mexico Political Report
- ^ Poll sponsored by NumbersUSA
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by Carolina Forward
- ^ Poll sponsored by WRAL-TV
- ^ a b c d e Poll sponsored by the John Locke Foundation
- ^ Poll sponsored by Carolina Forward
- ^ Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by NC Values Coalition, a sponsor of the Republican Party
- ^ Poll sponsored by The Carolina Journal
- ^ Poll sponsored by Carolina Partnership for Reform & Carolina Leadership Coalition
- ^ Poll sponsored by the League of American Workers
- ^ a b c Poll sponsored by Nexstar Media Group
- ^ a b Poll commissioned by Early Vote Action PAC
- ^ a b c Poll sponsored by Commonwealth Foundation
- ^ a b c d Poll sponsored by American Greatness
- ^ Poll commissioned by AARP
- ^ Poll sponsored by Independent Center
- ^ Poll sponsored by The Heritage Foundation
- ^ Poll commissioned by Save My Country Action Fund
- ^ Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC
- ^ Poll sponsored by Salve Regina University
- ^ Poll sponsored by South Dakota News Watch & Chiesman Center for Democracy at the University of South Dakota
- ^ a b c d e f g h i Poll sponsored by the Beacon Center of Tennessee
- ^ Poll sponsored by The Tennessean
- ^ a b c Poll sponsored by the Hobby School of Public Affairs at the University of Houston
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r Poll sponsored by the Texas Politics Project at the University of Texas
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by Nexstar Media Group
- ^ Poll sponsored by the University of Houston and Texas Southern University
- ^ Poll sponsored by Virginians Against Neighborhood Slot Machines
- ^ a b c Poll sponsored by the Center for Leadership and Media Studies at the University of Mary Washington
- ^ a b c d e f This poll was sponsored by the Northwest Progressive Institute
- ^ Poll sponsored by Concerned Taxpayers of Washington State PAC
- ^ Poll conducted for Protect Our Care
- ^ Poll sponsored by The Heritage Foundation
- ^ Poll commissioned by Save My Country Action Fund
- ^ Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC
References
[edit]- ^ Montanaro, Domenico (2024-08-05). "Harris has momentum, but the race is still tight. Here are the paths to the presidency". NPR. Retrieved 2024-08-06.
- ^ "2022 Cook PVI: State Map and List". Cook Political Report. December 15, 2017. Archived from the original on July 13, 2022. Retrieved July 12, 2022.
- ^ "Federal Elections 2020" (PDF). Federal Election Commission. July 2023.
- ^ Gonzales, Nathan. "2024 Presidential Ratings (May 8, 2024)". Inside Elections. Retrieved May 26, 2024.
- ^ "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". Cook Political Report. July 9, 2024. Retrieved July 9, 2024.
- ^ "2024 CNalysis Pres. Forecast". CNalysis. July 15, 2024. Archived from the original on December 25, 2023. Retrieved August 6, 2024.
- ^ Kondik, Kyle (August 6, 2024). "Electoral College Rating Changes". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved August 6, 2024.
- ^ "Road to 270". CNN. January 31, 2024. Archived from the original on January 30, 2024. Retrieved January 31, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Presidential Forecast". Decision Desk HQ/The Hill. Retrieved July 10, 2024.
- ^ Morris, G. Elliott (July 4, 2024). "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved July 19, 2024.
- ^ "Trump v Biden: The Economist's presidential election prediction model". The Economist. Retrieved July 19, 2024.
- ^ WPA Intelligence
- ^ "Data for Progress (D)" (PDF).
- ^ a b c d e f "Alaska Survey Research" (PDF). Cite error: The named reference "auto" was defined multiple times with different content (see the help page).
- ^ "x.com".
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ Public Opinion Strategies (R)
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ InsiderAdvantage (R)
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ New York Times/Siena College
- ^ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ InsiderAdvantage (R)
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Rasmussen Reports (R)
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Remington Research Group (R)
- ^ North Star Opinion Research (R)
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Rasmussen Reports (R)
- ^ Fox News
- ^ Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
- ^ Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University
- ^ CBS News/YouGov
- ^ Prime Group
- ^ Noble Predictive Insights
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
- ^ New York Times/Siena College
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)
- ^ The Bullfinch Group
- ^ RABA Research
- ^ Wall Street Journal
- ^ Echelon Insights
- ^ North Star Opinion Research
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Fox News
- ^ Rasmussen Reports (R)
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ J.L. Partners
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ The Bullfinch Group
- ^ VCreek/AMG (R)
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ J.L. Partners
- ^ Tulchin Research (D)
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ New York Times/Siena College
- ^ Noble Predictive Insights
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Public Opinion Strategies (R)
- ^ Prime Group
- ^ Public Opinion Strategies (R)
- ^ Public Opinion Strategies (R)
- ^ Public Opinion Strategies (R)
- ^ Rasmussen Reports (R)
- ^ OH Predictive Insights
- ^ Blueprint Polling (D)
- ^ Rasmussen Reports (R)
- ^ Targoz Market Research
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Echelon Insights
- ^ Blueprint Polling (D)
- ^ Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)
- ^ Bendixen/Amandi International
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ J.L. Partners
- ^ Rasmussen Reports (R)
- ^ YouGov
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ North Star Opinion Research (R)
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Rasmussen Reports (R)
- ^ Fox News
- ^ Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
- ^ Prime Group
- ^ Noble Predictive Insights
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
- ^ New York Times/Siena College
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)
- ^ Wall Street Journal
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Fox News
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ VCreek/AMG (R)
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ J.L. Partners/Daily Mail
- ^ 1983 Labs
- ^ P2 Insights
- ^ Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University
- ^ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
- ^ Data Orbital
- ^ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
- ^ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
- ^ VCreek/AMG (R)
- ^ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
- ^ New York Times/Siena College
- ^ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
- ^ North Star Opinion Research
- ^ J.L. Partners
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ VCreek/AMG (R)
- ^ New York Times/Siena College
- ^ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
- ^ New York Times/Siena College
- ^ Noble Predictive Insights
- ^ Public Opinion Strategies (R)
- ^ Public Opinion Strategies (R)
- ^ Public Opinion Strategies (R)
- ^ Public Opinion Strategies (R)
- ^ OH Predictive Insights
- ^ Blueprint Polling (D)
- ^ Echelon Insights
- ^ Public Opinion Strategies (R)
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Echelon Insights
- ^ Echelon Insights
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l Emerson College/Inside California Elections Cite error: The named reference "emersoncollegepolling.com" was defined multiple times with different content (see the help page).
- ^ Public Policy Institute of California
- ^ Public Policy Institute of California
- ^ Public Policy Institute of California
- ^ a b c d e f g Emerson College/Inside California Elections Cite error: The named reference "ReferenceA" was defined multiple times with different content (see the help page).
- ^ a b UC Berkeley IGS
- ^ a b c d e f g Emerson College/Inside California Elections Cite error: The named reference "ReferenceB" was defined multiple times with different content (see the help page).
- ^ Public Policy Institute of California
- ^ a b c d Emerson College/Inside California Elections Cite error: The named reference "ReferenceC" was defined multiple times with different content (see the help page).
- ^ a b UC Berkeley IGS
- ^ Public Policy Institute of California
- ^ a b UC Berkeley IGS
- ^ Public Policy Institute of California
- ^ a b Data Viewpoint
- ^ Public Policy Institute of California
- ^ UC Berkeley IGS
- ^ Public Policy Institute of California
- ^ Public Policy Institute of California
- ^ a b UC Berkeley/Los Angeles Times
- ^ Probolsky Research
- ^ Global Strategy Group (D)
- ^ McLaughlin and Associates (R)
- ^ John Zogby Strategies
- ^ New Bridge Strategy (R)/Aspect Strategic (D)
- ^ Florida Atlantic University
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Global Strategy Group (D)
- ^ YouGov/University of Colorado Boulder
- ^ Cygnal (R)/Aspect Strategies (D)
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Public Opinion Strategies (R)
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ McLaughlin & Associates (R)
- ^ Blueprint Polling (D)
- ^ Global Strategy Group (D)
- ^ YouGov/University of Colorado Boulder
- ^ Public Opinion Strategies (R)
- ^ Blueprint Polling (D)
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ McLaughlin & Associates (R)
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ a b c John Zogby Strategies
- ^ University of North Florida
- ^ InsiderAdvantage (R)
- ^ Suffolk University
- ^ Victory Insights
- ^ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
- ^ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
- ^ InsiderAdvantage (R)
- ^ Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University
- ^ The Tyson Group (R)
- ^ Fox News
- ^ CBS News/YouGov
- ^ Prime Group
- ^ Cherry Communications (R)
- ^ Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ St. Pete Polls
- ^ Cygnal (R)
- ^ Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University
- ^ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
- ^ Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University
- ^ Metropolitan Research Services
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ University of North Florida
- ^ Victory Insights
- ^ Rasmussen Reports (R)
- ^ Florida Atlantic University
- ^ Suffolk University
- ^ Echelon Insights
- ^ Suffolk University
- ^ Victory Insights
- ^ St. Pete Polls
- ^ Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)
- ^ Fox News
- ^ Prime Group
- ^ Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University
- ^ Cherry Communications (R)
- ^ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
- ^ Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University
- ^ USA Today/Ipsos
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
- ^ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
- ^ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
- ^ Cygnal (R)
- ^ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
- ^ Suffolk University
- ^ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
- ^ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
- ^ Cygnal (R)
- ^ Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University
- ^ Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ University of North Florida
- ^ Cherry Communications
- ^ Victory Insights
- ^ Suffolk University
- ^ Echelon Insights
- ^ Suffolk University
- ^ Victory Insights
- ^ The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R)
- ^ Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)
- ^ Suffolk University
- ^ Victory Insights
- ^ Suffolk University
- ^ Trafalgar Group (R)/InsiderAdvantage (R)
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ SoCal Research (R)
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Landmark Communications
- ^ University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs
- ^ InsiderAdvantage (R)
- ^ Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ New York Times/Siena College
- ^ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Landmark Communications
- ^ Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University
- ^ University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ InsiderAdvantage (R)
- ^ Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University
- ^ Rasmussen Reports (R)
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Quinnipiac University
- ^ Prime Group
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
- ^ New York Times/Siena College
- ^ North Star Opinion Research
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Fox News
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Wall Street Journal
- ^ Echelon Insights
- ^ Marist College
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ CBS News/YouGov
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Fox News
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Atlanta Journal-Constitution
- ^ CNN/SSRS
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ J.L. Partners
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs
- ^ New York Times/Siena College
- ^ Zogby Analytics
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
- ^ Rasmussen Reports (R)
- ^ Prime Group
- ^ Cygnal (R)
- ^ Public Opinion Strategies (R)
- ^ Public Opinion Strategies (R)
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ University of Massachusetts Lowell
- ^ Targoz Market Research
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Rasmussen Reports (R)
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Echelon Insights
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ PEM Management Corporation (R)
- ^ East Carolina University
- ^ Blueprint Polling (D)
- ^ Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Rasmussen Reports (R)
- ^ YouGov
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Quinnipiac University
- ^ Prime Group
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
- ^ New York Times/Siena College
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Fox News
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Wall Street Journal
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Fox News
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ J.L. Partners/Daily Mail
- ^ P2 Insights
- ^ University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs
- ^ North Star Opinion Research
- ^ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
- ^ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
- ^ Marist College
- ^ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
- ^ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
- ^ New York Times/Siena College
- ^ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
- ^ CNN/SSRS
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Zogby Analytics
- ^ CNN/SSRS
- ^ University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs
- ^ New York Times/Siena College
- ^ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
- ^ CNN/SSRS
- ^ University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs
- ^ New York Times/Siena College
- ^ Public Opinion Strategies (R)
- ^ Public Opinion Strategies (R)
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ University of Massachusetts Lowell
- ^ Echelon Insights
- ^ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
- ^ Public Opinion Strategies (R)
- ^ Cygnal (R)
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ a b Illinoisans Share Who They Support for President (Republican & Democrat Poll), retrieved 2023-09-02
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ a b Public Policy Polling
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Cygnal (R)
- ^ Selzer & Co.
- ^ Cygnal (R)
- ^ John Zogby Strategies
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Cygnal (R)
- ^ Cygnal (R)
- ^ Cygnal (R)
- ^ Selzer & Co.
- ^ Cygnal (R)
- ^ Selzer & Co.
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ a b Echelon Insights
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ co/efficient (R)
- ^ Faucheux Strategies
- ^ Echelon Insights
- ^ Faucheux Strategies
- ^ Echelon Insights
- ^ University of New Hampshire
- ^ University of New Hampshire
- ^ Pan Atlantic Research
- ^ Digital Research
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Digital Research
- ^ Pan Atlantic Research
- ^ Digital Research
- ^ Pan Atlantic Research
- ^ Digital Research
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ a b c d Emerson College Cite error: The named reference "Emerson College" was defined multiple times with different content (see the help page).
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ a b c Gonzales Research
- ^ a b c d Gonzales Research
- ^ a b Gonzales Research
- ^ Suffolk University
- ^ University of New Hampshire
- ^ University of Massachusetts Lowell
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ University of Massachusetts Lowell
- ^ University of New Hampshire
- ^ YouGov/UMass Amherst
- ^ Suffolk University
- ^ Suffolk University
- ^ YouGov
- ^ Public Opinion Strategies (R)
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ SoCal Research
- ^ Fox News
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ New York Times/Siena College
- ^ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Fox News
- ^ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
- ^ Glengariff Group
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ Civiqs
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ EPIC-MRA
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Marketing Resource Group
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ Rasmussen Reports (R)
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Remington Research Group (R)
- ^ EPIC-MRA
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Mitchell Research
- ^ Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University
- ^ Mitchell Research
- ^ KAConsulting (R)
- ^ Prime Group
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
- ^ New York Times/Siena College
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ CBS News/YouGov
- ^ Fox News
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Marketing Resource Group
- ^ The Bullfinch Group
- ^ Spry Strategies
- ^ Wall Street Journal
- ^ Echelon Insights
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ CNN/SSRS
- ^ Mitchell Research
- ^ Quinnipiac University
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ North Star Opinion Research
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ EPIC-MRA
- ^ Fox News
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Target Insyght
- ^ Glengariff Group
- ^ John Zogby Strategies
- ^ CNN/SSRS
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ EPIC-MRA
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ New York Times/Siena College
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
- ^ Marketing Resource Group
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ Susquehanna Polling & Research
- ^ EPIC-MRA
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Mitchell Research
- ^ Public Opinion Strategies (R)
- ^ Prime Group
- ^ EPIC-MRA
- ^ Public Opinion Strategies (R)
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ EPIC-MRA
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ EPIC-MRA
- ^ Blueprint Polling (D)
- ^ Blueprint Polling (D)
- ^ Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)
- ^ The Trafalgar Group (R)
- ^ EPIC-MRA
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Rasmussen Reports (R)
- ^ YouGov
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ EPIC-MRA
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Mitchell Research
- ^ Mitchell Research
- ^ KAConsulting (R)
- ^ Prime Group
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
- ^ New York Times/Siena College
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Fox News
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Marketing Resource Group
- ^ Wall Street Journal
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Mitchell Research
- ^ Quinnipiac University
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Fox News
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Civiqs
- ^ 1983 Labs
- ^ P2 Insights
- ^ Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University
- ^ Spry Strategies
- ^ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
- ^ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
- ^ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
- ^ New York Times/Siena College
- ^ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
- ^ CBS News/YouGov
- ^ CNN/SSRS
- ^ CNN/SSRS
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ Glengariff Group
- ^ Fox News
- ^ Glengariff Group
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ Emerson College/The Hill
- ^ Glengariff Group
- ^ Marketing Resource Group
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ Fox News
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ Fox News
- ^ Glengariff Group
- ^ CNN/SSRS
- ^ EPIC-MRA
- ^ New York Times/Siena College
- ^ Fox News
- ^ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
- ^ CNN/SSRS
- ^ New York Times/Siena College
- ^ Susquehanna Polling & Research
- ^ Mitchell Research
- ^ Public Opinion Strategies (R)
- ^ EPIC-MRA
- ^ Public Opinion Strategies (R)
- ^ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
- ^ SurveyUSA
- ^ Fox News
- ^ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
- ^ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
- ^ Fox News
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ SurveyUSA
- ^ McLaughlin & Associates (R)
- ^ SurveyUSA
- ^ McLaughlin & Associates (R)
- ^ SurveyUSA
- ^ SurveyUSA
- ^ SurveyUSA
- ^ Embold Research/MinnPost
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Public Opinion Strategies (R)
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ McLaughlin & Associates (R)
- ^ McLaughlin & Associates (R)
- ^ Mason-Dixon
- ^ Fox News
- ^ Fox News
- ^ Public Opinion Strategies (R)
- ^ Echelon Insights
- ^ Echelon Insights
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
- ^ SurveyUSA
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ SurveyUSA
- ^ SurveyUSA
- ^ SurveyUSA
- ^ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
- ^ Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Remington Research Group (R)
- ^ Torchlight Strategies (R)
- ^ Public Opinion Strategies (R)
- ^ Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ SurveyUSA
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Change Research/Future Majority (D)
- ^ J.L. Partners
- ^ Echelon Insights
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Change Research/Future Majority (D)
- ^ Change Research/Future Majority (D)
- ^ J.L. Partners
- ^ Echelon Insights
- ^ Torchlight Strategies (R)
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ Change Research (D)
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Torchlight Strategies (R)
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ Iron Light Intelligence
- ^ Public Opinion Strategies (R)
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ InsiderAdvantage (R)
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ New York Times/Siena College
- ^ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
- ^ InsiderAdvantage (R)
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Rasmussen Reports (R)
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Remington Research Group (R)
- ^ National Public Affairs
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
- ^ Fox News
- ^ The Tyson Group
- ^ Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University
- ^ Prime Group
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
- ^ New York Times/Siena College
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Wall Street Journal
- ^ Echelon Insights
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Noble Predictive Insights
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Change Research/Future Majority (D)
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ New York Times/Siena College
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ CNN
- ^ Vote TXT
- ^ Prime Group
- ^ Noble Predictive Insights
- ^ Public Opinion Strategies (R)
- ^ OH Predictive Insights
- ^ Susquehanna Polling & Research
- ^ Blueprint Polling (D)
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Rasmussen Reports (R)
- ^ YouGov
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ National Public Affairs
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Fox News
- ^ The Tyson Group
- ^ Prime Group
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
- ^ New York Times/Siena College
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Wall Street Journal
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Noble Predictive Insights
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ P2 Insights
- ^ Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
- ^ Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University
- ^ Iron Light Intelligence
- ^ New York Times/Siena College
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ New York Times/Siena College
- ^ New York Times/Siena College
- ^ Vote TXT
- ^ Noble Predictive Insights
- ^ Public Opinion Strategies (R)
- ^ OH Predictive Insights
- ^ Susquehanna Polling & Research
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ a b University of New Hampshire
- ^ a b The Trafalgar Group (R)
- ^ Saint Anselm College
- ^ a b NHJournal/Praecones Analytica
- ^ a b University of New Hampshire
- ^ a b c d Marist College
- ^ a b c d e f University of New Hampshire/CNN
- ^ a b Saint Anselm College
- ^ a b co/efficient
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ University of Massachusetts Lowell
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Saint Anselm College
- ^ Saint Anselm College
- ^ NHJournal/Praecones Analytica
- ^ University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov
- ^ Saint Anselm College
- ^ Praecones Analytica
- ^ United 2024 (R)
- ^ co/efficient (R)
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ United 2024 (R)
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
- ^ 1892 Polling (R)
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ Public Opinion Strategies (R)
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ 1892 Polling (R)
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ Public Opinion Strategies (R)
- ^ Siena College
- ^ SoCal Research
- ^ Siena College
- ^ SoCal Research
- ^ Siena College
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Siena College
- ^ Slingshot Strategies (D)
- ^ Siena College
- ^ Siena College
- ^ Siena College
- ^ Siena College
- ^ Siena College
- ^ Siena College
- ^ Siena College
- ^ SurveyUSA
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ SurveyUSA
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ SurveyUSA
- ^ McLaughlin & Associates (R)
- ^ Siena College
- ^ Siena College
- ^ Siena College
- ^ Siena College
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ a b c d "Kamala Harris Wipes Out Trump's Swing-State Lead in Election Dead Heat". July 30, 2024 – via www.bloomberg.com. Cite error: The named reference "auto2" was defined multiple times with different content (see the help page).
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ a b c d e f Mumford, Camille (February 21, 2024). "North Carolina 2024 Poll: Trump 47%, Biden 44%". Emerson Polling. Cite error: The named reference "auto6" was defined multiple times with different content (see the help page).
- ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (31 July – 3 August 2024)". August 6, 2024.
- ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (22-24 July 2024)". July 25, 2024.
- ^ a b c d e f "Public Policy Polling (D)" (PDF). Cite error: The named reference "auto17" was defined multiple times with different content (see the help page).
- ^ a b c d e "Biden Narrows Gap With Trump in Swing States Despite Debate Loss". July 6, 2024 – via www.bloomberg.com. Cite error: The named reference "auto22" was defined multiple times with different content (see the help page).
- ^ a b c d e f g h i "Poll: Lawfare backfires on Biden, as Trump stays strong in NC". Cite error: The named reference "auto19" was defined multiple times with different content (see the help page).
- ^ "ECU Center for Survey Research - Trump leads Biden by 5 points in North Carolina; Gubernatorial election remains close with Stein up 1 on Robinson; Trump guilty verdict has little impact on NC voter intentions for November". surveyresearch-ecu.reportablenews.com.
- ^ a b c d "North Star Opinion Research (R)" (PDF). Cite error: The named reference "auto23" was defined multiple times with different content (see the help page).
- ^ "North Carolina Voters Want Stronger Immigration Enforcement". www.rasmussenreports.com.
- ^ "x.com".
- ^ a b c d "Prime Group" (PDF). Cite error: The named reference "auto4" was defined multiple times with different content (see the help page).
- ^ a b c d "Half of Swing-State Voters Fear Violence Around US Election". May 22, 2024 – via www.bloomberg.com. Cite error: The named reference "auto8" was defined multiple times with different content (see the help page).
- ^ a b c d "A Unique Election Driven by a Traditional Issue". Cook Political Report. May 24, 2024. Cite error: The named reference "auto5" was defined multiple times with different content (see the help page).
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- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
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- ^ Public Opinion Strategies
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- ^ National Public Affairs
- ^ Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University
- ^ Ohio Northern University
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Emerson College/WJW-TV
- ^ Data for Progress (D)
- ^ Ohio Northern University
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Change Research/Future Majority (D)
- ^ Ohio Northern University
- ^ Targoz Market Research
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Ohio Northern University/Lucid
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Echelon Insights
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ PEM Management Corporation (R)
- ^ Marist College
- ^ National Public Affairs
- ^ East Carolina University
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- ^ Emerson College/WJW-TV
- ^ Ohio Northern University
- ^ Change Research/Future Majority (D)
- ^ Suffolk University
- ^ Change Research/Future Majority (D)
- ^ Ohio Northern University
- ^ Ohio Northern University
- ^ Ohio Northern University
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Echelon Insights
- ^ Suffolk University
- ^ Ohio Northern University
- ^ Ohio Northern University
- ^ Ohio Northern University
- ^ Causeway Solutions
- ^ Ohio Northern University
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- ^ Emerson College
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- ^ SoonerPoll
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- ^ University of New Hampshire
- ^ Fleming & Associates
- ^ Echelon Insights
- ^ University of New Hampshire
- ^ Embold Research
- ^ Echelon Insights
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ The Citadel
- ^ Winthrop University
- ^ Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University
- ^ Echelon Insights
- ^ Blueprint Polling (D)
- ^ The Citadel
- ^ The Citadel
- ^ Winthrop University
- ^ The Citadel
- ^ Echelon Insights
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Mason-Dixon
- ^ a b Targoz Market Research
- ^ a b Targoz Market Research
- ^ Siena College
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ a b SSRS/Vanderbilt University
- ^ SSRS/Vanderbilt University
- ^ SSRS/Vanderbilt University
- ^ YouGov
- ^ Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation
- ^ ActiVote
- ^ Remington Research Group (R)
- ^ Manhattan Institute
- ^ UT Tyler
- ^ YouGov
- ^ YouGov
- ^ Cygnal (R)
- ^ Marist College
- ^ UT Tyler
- ^ YouGov
- ^ University of Houston
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ YouGov
- ^ YouGov
- ^ Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation
- ^ CWS Research (R)
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Echelon Insights
- ^ Blueprint Polling (D)
- ^ YouGov
- ^ Manhattan Institute
- ^ UT Tyler
- ^ YouGov
- ^ YouGov
- ^ Texas Lyceum
- ^ Cygnal (R)
- ^ UT Tyler
- ^ YouGov
- ^ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ YouGov
- ^ Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation
- ^ Marist College
- ^ Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation
- ^ YouGov
- ^ National Public Affairs
- ^ UT Tyler
- ^ YouGov
- ^ YouGov
- ^ YouGov
- ^ YouGov
- ^ UT Tyler
- ^ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
- ^ YouGov
- ^ YouGov
- ^ Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation
- ^ CWS Research (R)
- ^ Echelon Insights
- ^ Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation
- ^ YouGov
- ^ YouGov
- ^ YouGov
- ^ YouGov
- ^ a b Deseret News/Hinckley Institute of Politics
- ^ a b Noble Predictive Insights
- ^ Deseret News/Hinckley Institute of Politics
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University
- ^ New York Times/Siena College
- ^ SoCal Research
- ^ New York Times/Siena College
- ^ Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University
- ^ New York Times/Siena College
- ^ SoCal Research
- ^ Fox News
- ^ Roanoke College
- ^ McLaughlin & Associates (R)
- ^ Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
- ^ Virginia Commonwealth University
- ^ Mason-Dixon
- ^ Roanoke College
- ^ Change Research/Future Majority (D)
- ^ Research America Inc.
- ^ Roanoke College
- ^ Virginia Commonwealth University
- ^ Roanoke College
- ^ Public Opinion Strategies (R)
- ^ Roanoke College
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ New York Times/Siena College
- ^ Virginia Commonwealth University
- ^ Fox News
- ^ Roanoke College
- ^ McLaughlin & Associates (R)
- ^ Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University
- ^ co/efficient (R)
- ^ Mason-Dixon
- ^ Change Research/Future Majority (D)
- ^ Change Research/Future Majority (D)
- ^ Virginia Commonwealth University
- ^ Virginia Commonwealth University
- ^ Research America Inc.
- ^ Virginia Commonwealth University
- ^ Public Opinion Strategies (R)
- ^ Roanoke College
- ^ Research America Inc.
- ^ Virginia Commonwealth University
- ^ Roanoke College
- ^ Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research
- ^ Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research
- ^ John Zogby Strategies
- ^ John Zogby Strategies
- ^ SurveyUSA
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ SurveyUSA
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ The Independent Center
- ^ Echelon Insights
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ Crosscut/Elway
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ McLaughlin & Associates (R)
- ^ Crosscut/Elway
- ^ Cascade PBS/Elway Research
- ^ The Independent Center
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Kaplan Strategies
- ^ Marquette University Law School
- ^ Public Opinion Strategies (R)
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Fox News
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ North Star Opinion Research
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ New York Times/Siena College
- ^ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
- ^ Marquette University Law School
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
- ^ Fox News
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Civiqs
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ Rasmussen Reports (R)
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ North Star Opinion Research
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Remington Research Group (R)
- ^ Marquette University Law School
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University
- ^ KAConsulting (R)
- ^ Prime Group
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
- ^ New York Times/Siena College
- ^ Quinnipiac University
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ CBS News/YouGov
- ^ Fox News
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Marquette University Law School
- ^ North Star Opinion Research
- ^ Wall Street Journal
- ^ Echelon Insights
- ^ Emerson College/The Hill
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Kaplan Strategies
- ^ Marquette University Law School
- ^ Fox News
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ J.L. Partners
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ New York Times/Siena College
- ^ Marquette University Law School
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ Prime Group
- ^ Marquette University Law School
- ^ Public Opinion Strategies (R)
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)
- ^ Marquette University Law School
- ^ The Trafalgar Group (R)
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Rasmussen Reports (R)
- ^ YouGov
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
- ^ Marquette University Law School
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ J.L. Partners
- ^ KAConsulting (R)
- ^ Prime Group
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
- ^ New York Times/Siena College
- ^ Quinnipiac University
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Fox News
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Marquette University Law School
- ^ North Star Opinion Research
- ^ Wall Street Journal
- ^ Emerson College/The Hill
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Marquette University Law School
- ^ Fox News
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ J.L. Partners/Daily Mail
- ^ Civiqs
- ^ North Star Opinion Research
- ^ P2 Insights
- ^ Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University
- ^ New York Times/Siena College
- ^ Bloomberg/Morning Consult
- ^ CBS News/YouGov
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Fox News
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ Fox News
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ Marquette University Law School
- ^ New York Times/Siena College
- ^ Marquette University Law School
- ^ New York Times/Siena College
- ^ Marquette University Law School
- ^ Marquette University Law School
- ^ Public Opinion Strategies (R)
- ^ Emerson College