2025 Polish presidential election
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Presidential elections will be held in Poland by 18 May 2025 at the latest, though they can be held earlier should the office become vacated as a result of death, resignation or removal from office of the incumbent. Due to constitutional term limits allowing a president to serve only two terms, incumbent president Andrzej Duda is ineligible for re-election. Presidential elections in Poland must take place on a free day (Sunday or a holiday) between 75 and 100 days before the term's end.
Electoral system
[edit]The president is elected for a five-year term using the two-round system; if no candidate receives a majority of the vote in the first round, a run-off is held between the top two candidates. Presidents serve a five year term and can be re-elected once. The term of Andrzej Duda expires on 6 August 2025, and the president-elect will take the oath of office on that day, before the National Assembly (a joint session of Sejm and Senate).
Candidate selection
[edit]Declared candidates
[edit]Independents
[edit]Potential candidates
[edit]Law and Justice
[edit]- Mateusz Morawiecki, former Prime Minister (2017–2023), Deputy Prime Minister (2015–2017), Minister of Finance (2016–2018)[2]
- Beata Szydło, MEP for Lesser Poland and Świętokrzyskie (2019–present), former Prime Minister (2015–2017)[3]
- Elżbieta Witek, Marshal of the Sejm (2019–2023)[4]
- Zbigniew Ziobro, Minister of Justice (2005–2007, 2015–2023), leader of Solidary Poland[5]
- Marek Magierowski, Polish Ambassador to the United States (2021–present)[6]
- Agata Kornhauser-Duda, First Lady of Poland (2015–present)[7]
- Mariusz Błaszczak, Minister of the Council of Ministers (2006–2007), Chief of the Chancellery of Prime Minister (2007), Minister of the Interior and Administration (2015–2018), Minister of National Defence (2018–2023), Deputy Prime Minister (2022–2023)[8]
- Kacper Płażyński, Member of the Sejm from Gdańsk (2019–present)[9]
- Tobiasz Bocheński (pl), Łódź Voivode (2019–2023), Masovian Voivode (2023), MEP for Warsaw (2024–present) [10][11]
- Łukasz Schreiber, Minister of the Council of Ministers (2019–2023), Member of the Sejm from Bydgoszcz (2019–present)[12]
- Zbigniew Bogucki (pl), West Pomeranian Voivode (2020–2023), Member of the Sejm from Szczecin (2023–present)[12][13]
- Andrzej Śliwka (pl), Vice-Minister of State Assets (2020–2023), Member of the Sejm from Elbląg (2023–present)[12][14]
- Jarosław Margielski (pl), Mayor of Otwock (2018–present)[14]
- Lucjusz Nadbereżny (pl), Mayor of Stalowa Wola (2014–present), member of National Development Council (2015–present)[14]
- Waldemar Buda, Minister of Economic Development and Technology (2022–2023), MEP for Łódź (2024–present)[15]
- Patryk Jaki, Deputy Minister of Justice (2015–2019), MEP for Lesser Poland and Świętokrzyskie (2019–2024) and Silesia (2024–present)[16]
- Przemysław Czarnek, Minister of Education and Science (2020–2023), Lublin Voivode (2015–2019)[17]
- Karol Nawrocki, President of Institute of National Remembrance (2021–present)[18]
- Piotr Nowak, Minister of Development and Technology (2021–2022)[19]
Civic Platform
[edit]- Rafał Trzaskowski, Mayor of Warsaw (2018–present) and candidate for president in 2020
- Radosław Sikorski, Minister of Foreign Affairs (2007-2014, 2023–present)
- Donald Tusk, Prime Minister of Poland (2007-2014, 2023–present), President of the European Council (2014-2019)
Poland 2050
[edit]Szymon Hołownia, Marshal of the Sejm (2023–present)
Polish People's Party
[edit]Władysław Kosiniak-Kamysz, Deputy Prime Minister of Poland and Minister of National Defence (2023–Present) and candidate for president in 2020
The Left
[edit]- Agnieszka Dziemianowicz-Bąk, Minister of Family, Labour and Social Policy (2023–present), Member of the Sejm (2019–present)[20]
- Włodzimierz Czarzasty, Deputy Marshal of the Sejm (2019–present), Member of the Sejm (2019–present), Co-Leader of New Left (2021–present)[21]
- Robert Biedroń, LGBT activist, Member of the European Parliament (2019–present), Co-Leader of New Left (2021–present), Member of the Sejm (2011–2014) and candidate for president in 2020[21]
- Adrian Zandberg, Member of the Sejm (2019–present), Co-Leader of Left Together[citation needed]
- Magdalena Biejat, Member of the Sejm (2019–2023), candidate for Mayor of Warsaw (2024) Member of the Senate (2023–present), Co-Leader of Left Together [citation needed]
- Krzysztof Gawkowski, Deputy Prime Minister of Poland and Minister of Digital Affairs (2023–present)[22]
Confederation Liberty and Independence
[edit]- Krzysztof Bosak, Member of the Sejm (2005–2007, 2019–present), Deputy Marshal of the Sejm(2023–present) and candidate for president in 2020[20]
- Sławomir Mentzen, Member of Sejm (2023–present), chairman of the New Hope party and candidate in 2019 European Parliament election in Poland[23]
- Grzegorz Braun, Member of Sejm (2019-2024) Member of the European Parliament (2024–present) and candidate for president in 2015[citation needed]
The Greens
[edit]- Sylwia Spurek, Member of the European Parliament (2019–present)[24]
Independents
[edit]- Jan Hartman, philosopher and opinion journalist[25]
Declined
[edit]Independents
[edit]- Dorota Gawryluk[citation needed]
- Jacek Siewiera[citation needed]
- Rajmund Andrzejczak[citation needed]
Opinion polls
[edit]Pre-campaign polls
[edit]Graphical Summary
[edit]
1st round
[edit]| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date |
Sample size |
Others | Don't know | Lead | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bocheński PiS |
Jaki PiS |
Morawiecki PiS |
Szydło PiS |
Witek PiS |
Trzaskowski PO |
Tusk PO |
Hołownia PL2050 |
Kosiniak-Kamysz PSL |
Biedroń NL |
Dziemianowicz-Bąk NL |
Scheuring-Wielgus NL |
Zandberg Razem |
Bosak Confederation |
Mentzen Confederation | ||||||
| United Surveys / WP.pl | 26–28 Jul 2024 | 1,000 | 27.6 | 32.4 | 11.2 | 7.9 | 15.6 | 5.3 | 4.8 | |||||||||||
| United Surveys / DGP, RMF | 26–28 Jul 2024 | 1,000 | 29.3 | 34.8 | 10.1 | 8.4 | 7.9 | 2.0 | 7.4 | 5.5 | ||||||||||
| IPSOS / DoRzeczy.pl | 1–3 Jul 2024 | 1,000 | 27 | 33 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 9 | 6 | |||||||||||
| 28 | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 8 | 4 | ||||||||||||||
| United Surveys / WP.pl | 7–9 Jun 2024 | 1,000 | 24.8 | 29.2 | 13.6 | 2.6 | 6.6 | 7.1[a] | 16.1 | 4.4 | ||||||||||
| United Surveys / WP.pl | 24–26 May 2024 | 1,000 | 25.6 | 29.2 | 10.2 | 3.4 | 7.9 | 8.2[b] | 15.5 | 3.6 | ||||||||||
| United Surveys / WP.pl | 10–12 May 2024 | 1,000 | 25.5 | 29.6 | 13.8 | 4.4 | 9.3 | 17.4 | 4.1 | |||||||||||
| OGB / Stan Polityki | 22–25 Apr 2024 | 804 | 7.20 | 26.15 | 29.34 | 5.77 | 12.74 | 3.42 | 1.22 | 6.71 | 5.90 | 1.55[c] | 3.19 | |||||||
| United Surveys / WP.pl | 6–7 Apr 2024 | 1,000 | 22.4 | 8.6 | 29.0 | 17.1 | 3.3 | 3.8 | 4.7 | 11.2 | 6.6 | |||||||||
| IPSOS / OKO.press, TOK FM | 22–26 Feb 2024 | 1,000 | 25 | 26 | 16 | 4 | 10 | 3[d] | 9 | 1 | ||||||||||
| United Surveys / WP.pl | 23–25 Feb 2024 | 1,000 | 25.9 | 30.8 | 23.1 | 4.5 | 8.0 | 7.7 | 4.9 | |||||||||||
| Pollster / SE.pl | 11 Feb 2024 | 1,060 | 20.92 | 32.53 | 25.21 | 5.45 | 2.65 | 7.66 | 5.58[e] | 7.32 | ||||||||||
| United Surveys / WP.pl | 10–11 Feb 2024 | 1,000 | 24.3 | 9.0 | 22.2 | 24.8 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 6.5 | 10.0 | 0.5 | |||||||||
| IBRiS / Radio Zet | 9–10 Feb 2024 | 1,070 | 16.1 | 28.3 | 24.0 | 5.2[f] | 26.4 | 4.3 | ||||||||||||
| IBRiS / Onet | 26–27 Jan 2024 | 1,070 | 24.9 | 25.8 | 24.6 | 4.3 | 3.5 | 8.0 | 8.9 | 0.9 | ||||||||||
| Pollster / SE.pl | 17 Dec 2023 | 1,033 | 27 | 30 | 20 | 5 | 18 | 3 | ||||||||||||
| United Surveys / DGP, RMF | 8–10 Dec 2023 | 1,000 | 9.9 | 1.2 | 24.5 | 0.9 | 11.9 | 1.2 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 35.7[g] | 6.6 | 12.6 | ||||||
| IBRiS / Onet | 24–25 Nov 2023 | 29.9 | 34.6 | 11.7 | 6.3 | 1.5 | 7.2 | 8.9 | 4.7 | |||||||||||
| 21.4 | 25.6 | 16.7 | 8.6 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 11.7 | 4.2 | |||||||||||||
| United Surveys / WP.pl | 17–19 Nov 2023 | 1,000 | 19.0 | 7.7 | 33.8 | 13.4 | 4.5 | 8.3 | 10.6 | 2.7 | 14.8 | |||||||||
2nd round
[edit]Jaki v. Trzaskowski
[edit]| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date |
Sample size |
Don't know | Lead | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaki PiS |
Trzaskowski PO | |||||
| IPSOS / DoRzeczy.pl | 1–3 Jul 2024 | 1,000 | 39 | 49 | 12 | 10 |
Morawiecki v. Trzaskowski
[edit]| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date |
Sample size |
Don't know | Lead | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morawiecki PiS |
Trzaskowski PO | |||||
| IPSOS / DoRzeczy.pl | 1–3 Jul 2024 | 1,000 | 38 | 48 | 14 | 10 |
| Pollster | 15 Jun 2024 | 38 | 62 | 24 |
Bocheński v. Trzaskowski
[edit]| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date |
Sample size |
Don't know | Lead | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bocheński PiS |
Trzaskowski PO | |||||
| OGB / Stan Polityki | 22–25 Apr 2024 | 804 | 44.59 | 55.41 | 10.82 |
Notes
[edit]- ^ Dorota Gawryluk (ind.) – 7.1
- ^ Dorota Gawryluk (ind.) – 8.2
- ^ Magdalena Biejat (Razem) – 1.55
- ^ Krzysztof Stanowski (ind.) – 3
- ^ Dorota Gawryluk (ind.) – 1.89, Krzysztof Stanowski (ind.) – 1.11
- ^ Krzysztof Stanowski (ind.) – 3.2, Dorota Gawryluk (ind.) – 0.2
- ^ Mariusz Błaszczak (PiS) – 2.6, Adam Bodnar (ind.) – 1.4, Kacper Płażyński (PiS) – 1.3, Jarosław Kaczyński (PiS) – 1.3
References
[edit]- ^ "Krzysztof Stanowski chce wystartować w wyborach prezydenckich. "Nie chcę wygrać"". Rzeczpospolita. 2024-03-02. Archived from the original on 2024-02-03. Retrieved 2024-08-06.
- ^ PAP/rs (2021-05-02). "Sondaż: Mateusz Morawiecki powinien być kandydatem Zjednoczonej Prawicy na prezydenta". WNP. Archived from the original on 2021-02-05. Retrieved 2021-07-15.
- ^ Makarewicz, Błażej (25 November 2020). "Beata Szydło kandydatką w wyborach prezydenckich w 2025 roku?". Radio ZET. Archived from the original on 2020-11-28.
- ^ ""SE": Kaczyński już myśli, kogo PiS ma wystawić w wyborach prezydenckich". 13 November 2021.
- ^ "SONDAŻ. Wybory prezydenckie 2025. Kto kandydatem Zjednoczonej Prawicy? Jest faworyt".
- ^ "Sondaż wyborczy – wybory prezydenckie (kwiecień 2022)". StanPolityki.pl. 27 April 2022.
- ^ "Kto z PiS wygra wybory prezydenckie 2025? Agata Duda jako kandydat - Planeta". 8 September 2020.
- ^ "Rafał Trzaskowski i Mariusz Błaszczak rywalami w wyścigu o prezydenturę?". Rzeczpospolita (in Polish). Retrieved 2023-09-19.
- ^ Wróblewski, Michał (2023-11-14). "Nowy kandydat PiS na prezydenta? Kacper Płażyński komentuje plotki i mówi o oddaniu władzy". wiadomosci.wp.pl (in Polish). Retrieved 2024-02-07.
- ^ "Tobiasz Bocheński: to ma być Duda 2.0. Kim jest polityk lansowany jako "nowa broń PiS"". Polityka.pl (in Polish). Retrieved 2024-01-02.
- ^ "Przyszły kandydat PiS na prezydenta? Tobiasz Bocheński w WP komentuje spekulacje". WP.pl (in Polish). 26 November 2023. Retrieved 2023-11-26.
- ^ a b c "Jarosław Kaczyński rozpoczął casting na prezydenta. Dla PiS to gra o wszystko [ANALIZA]". wiadomosci.onet.pl (in Polish). Retrieved 2024-02-07.
- ^ "Kogo PiS może wystawić w wyborach prezydenckich? Dwa zaskakujące nazwiska". wiadomosci.onet.pl (in Polish). Retrieved 2024-04-09.
- ^ a b c "PiS w tajemnicy szuka prezydenta. Ujawniamy kulisy - są nowe nazwiska". gazetapl (in Polish). 2024-04-16. Retrieved 2024-04-17.
- ^ "Waldemar Buda to nowy Andrzej Duda i twarz PiS? Rewelacyjny wynik posła z Łodzi". Onet Łódź (in Polish). 2024-06-10. Retrieved 2024-06-11.
- ^ "Kto zostanie kandydatem PiS na prezydenta? Ziobryści wskazują zaskakujące nazwisko". wiadomosci.onet.pl (in Polish). Retrieved 2024-06-19.
- ^ "PiS szuka kandydata na prezydenta. Kto na liście nazwisk?". www.tvp.info (in Polish). Retrieved 2024-08-06.
- ^ "To on będzie kandydatem PiS na prezydenta? "Zaszczyt"". www.tvp.info (in Polish). Retrieved 2024-08-06.
- ^ Wróblewski, Michał (2024-06-18). "Lista kandydatów PiS na prezydenta. Znamy nazwiska. To jeszcze nie koniec". wiadomosci.wp.pl (in Polish). Retrieved 2024-08-06.
- ^ a b "Sondaż prezydencki IBSP. Trzaskowski i Hołownia w drugiej turze. Porażka Beaty Szydło - Wiadomości". wiadomosci.radiozet.pl (in Polish). 16 February 2021. Archived from the original on 2021-02-16. Retrieved 2021-05-05.
- ^ a b Opas, Radosław (2021-02-12). "Sondaż. Rafał Trzaskowski lub Szymon Hołownia na prezydenta?". wiadomosci.wp.pl (in Polish). Retrieved 2021-05-05.
- ^ "Czy Lewica przegrała rzeczywiście przez współpracę z Tuskiem?". Galopujący major (in Polish). 2024-04-08. Retrieved 2024-04-17.
- ^ "Wybory prezydenckie w Polsce odbędą się w 2025 roku. Bukmacherzy jednak już przewidują, kto zostanie kandydatem poszczególnych partii". Newsweek (in Polish). 2022-02-17. Retrieved 2023-01-23.
- ^ "Spurek wystartuje? "Polska zasługuje na prezydentkę feministkę i wegankę"". Wiadomosci.wp.pl.
- ^ Jan Hartman [@JanHartman1] (February 5, 2024). "Rozważam start w wyborach prezydenckich. Poszukuję sponsora oraz niedrogiego specjalisty od TikToka. Tylko poważne propozycje" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
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