2016 United States presidential election in Idaho
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| Elections in Idaho |
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The 2016 United States presidential election in Idaho was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Idaho voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, and her running mate Virginia Senator Tim Kaine. Idaho has four electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]
Trump was expected to win Idaho; Idaho is a Republican stronghold that has not voted for a Democratic candidate for president since Lyndon B. Johnson's national landslide in 1964, and even then it was Johnson's narrowest victory in the nation, winning by less than 2%. Trump ultimately carried the state with 59.25% of the vote, while Clinton received 27.48%. Third-party candidate Evan McMullin carried 6.75% of the popular vote, making Idaho his second-strongest state, only after neighboring Utah.[3] Trump got the lowest percentage of the vote for a Republican since 1996, and Clinton got the lowest percentage for a Democrat since 1984.
Primaries and Caucuses
[edit]Republican primary
[edit]
Ted Cruz
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
Donald Trump
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
Thirteen candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot. The only requirement to appear on the ballot was a filing fee of $1,000.[4]
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
| Ted Cruz | 100,889 | 45.44% | 20 | 0 | 20 |
| Donald Trump | 62,413 | 28.11% | 12 | 0 | 12 |
| Marco Rubio | 35,290 | 15.90% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| John Kasich | 16,514 | 7.44% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ben Carson (withdrawn) | 3,853 | 1.74% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jeb Bush (withdrawn) | 939 | 0.42% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rand Paul (withdrawn) | 834 | 0.38% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mike Huckabee (withdrawn) | 358 | 0.16% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 353 | 0.16% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Carly Fiorina (withdrawn) | 242 | 0.11% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rick Santorum (withdrawn) | 211 | 0.10% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lindsey Graham (withdrawn) | 80 | 0.04% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Peter Messina (withdrawn) | 28 | 0.01% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Unprojected delegates: | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Total: | 222,004 | 100.00% | 32 | 0 | 32 |
| Source: The Green Papers | |||||
Democratic caucuses
[edit]
 | This section should include a summary of 2016 Idaho Democratic presidential caucuses. (July 2016) |
| Candidate | Popular vote | Estimated delegates | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Count | Percentage | Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |
| Bernie Sanders | 18,640 | 78.04% | 18 | 2 | 20 |
| Hillary Clinton | 5,065 | 21.21% | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| Rocky De La Fuente | 4 | 0.02% | |||
| Uncommitted | 175 | 0.73% | 1 | 1 | |
| Total | 23,884 | 100% | 23 | 4 | 27 |
| Source: The Green Papers Idaho Democratic Party - Official Delegation for Pledged Delegates | |||||
Constitution primary
[edit]The Constitution Party of Idaho held its primary on March 8.
Scott Copeland
J.R. Myers
Patrick Anthony Ockander
Tie
No votes
| Idaho Constitution Party presidential primary, 2016[5][6][7] | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Popular vote | Pledged delegates | |
| Count | Percentage | ||
 Scott Copeland
|
250 | 51.7% | 8 |
| J.R. Myers | 139 | 28.7% | 0 |
| Patrick Anthony Ockander | 95 | 19.6% | 0 |
| Total: | 484 | 100% | 8 |
| Key: | Withdrew prior to contest |
Polling
[edit]
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Times[8] | Safe R | November 6, 2016 |
| CNN[9] | Safe R | November 4, 2016 |
| Cook Political Report[10] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| Electoral-vote.com[11] | Safe R | November 8, 2016 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[12] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| RealClearPolitics[14] | Safe R | November 8, 2016 |
| Fox News[15] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
Results
[edit]| 2016 United States presidential election in Idaho | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Popular vote | Percentage | ||
| Republican | Donald Trump | 409,055 | 59.25% | ||
| Democratic | Hillary Clinton | 189,765 | 27.48% | ||
| Independent | Evan McMullin | 46,476 | 6.73% | ||
| Libertarian | Gary Johnson | 28,331 | 4.10% | ||
| Green | Jill Stein | 8,496 | 1.23% | ||
| National Constitution | Darrell L. Castle | 4,403 | 0.64% | ||
| Constitution | Scott Copeland | 2,356 | 0.34% | ||
| Reform | Roque De La Fuente | 1,373 | 0.20% | ||
| Other/Write-in | 178 | 0.03% | |||
| Total | 690,433 | 100.00% | |||
| Source: Idaho Secretary of State Election Division New York Times | |||||
By county
[edit]| County | Donald Trump Republican |
Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Evan McMullin Independent |
Various candidates Other parties |
Margin | Total | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Ada | 93,752 | 47.91% | 75,677 | 38.68% | 11,226 | 5.74% | 15,014 | 7.67% | 18,075 | 9.23% | 195,669 |
| Adams | 1,556 | 71.28% | 415 | 19.01% | 80 | 3.66% | 132 | 6.05% | 1,141 | 52.27% | 2,183 |
| Bannock | 17,180 | 51.41% | 10,342 | 30.95% | 3,449 | 10.32% | 2,445 | 7.32% | 6,838 | 20.46% | 33,416 |
| Bear Lake | 2,203 | 75.24% | 255 | 8.71% | 366 | 12.50% | 104 | 3.55% | 1,837 | 62.74% | 2,928 |
| Benewah | 3,103 | 74.15% | 770 | 18.40% | 61 | 1.46% | 251 | 5.99% | 2,333 | 55.75% | 4,185 |
| Bingham | 10,907 | 65.61% | 2,924 | 17.59% | 2,002 | 12.04% | 792 | 4.76% | 7,983 | 48.02% | 16,625 |
| Blaine | 3,340 | 31.15% | 6,416 | 59.83% | 289 | 2.69% | 679 | 6.33% | -3,076 | -28.68% | 10,724 |
| Boise | 2,673 | 70.08% | 777 | 20.37% | 112 | 2.94% | 252 | 6.61% | 1,896 | 49.71% | 3,814 |
| Bonner | 13,343 | 63.71% | 5,819 | 27.78% | 372 | 1.78% | 1,409 | 6.73% | 7,524 | 35.93% | 20,943 |
| Bonneville | 26,699 | 60.38% | 8,930 | 20.19% | 6,022 | 13.62% | 2,570 | 5.81% | 17,769 | 40.19% | 44,221 |
| Boundary | 3,789 | 73.39% | 933 | 18.07% | 130 | 2.52% | 311 | 6.02% | 2,856 | 55.32% | 5,163 |
| Butte | 914 | 74.31% | 160 | 13.01% | 114 | 9.27% | 42 | 3.41% | 754 | 61.30% | 1,230 |
| Camas | 410 | 69.49% | 110 | 18.64% | 33 | 5.59% | 37 | 6.28% | 300 | 50.85% | 590 |
| Canyon | 47,222 | 64.88% | 16,883 | 23.20% | 4,216 | 5.79% | 4,464 | 6.13% | 30,339 | 41.68% | 72,785 |
| Caribou | 2,275 | 74.96% | 271 | 8.93% | 372 | 12.26% | 117 | 3.85% | 1,903 | 62.70% | 3,052 |
| Cassia | 5,949 | 72.74% | 1,036 | 12.67% | 853 | 10.43% | 340 | 4.16% | 4,913 | 60.07% | 8,178 |
| Clark | 203 | 71.73% | 44 | 15.55% | 23 | 8.13% | 13 | 4.59% | 159 | 56.18% | 283 |
| Clearwater | 2,852 | 75.03% | 704 | 18.52% | 72 | 1.89% | 173 | 4.56% | 2,148 | 56.51% | 3,801 |
| Custer | 1,777 | 73.61% | 427 | 17.69% | 82 | 3.40% | 128 | 5.30% | 1,350 | 55.92% | 2,414 |
| Elmore | 5,816 | 68.25% | 1,814 | 21.29% | 376 | 4.41% | 516 | 6.05% | 4,002 | 46.96% | 8,522 |
| Franklin | 3,901 | 70.94% | 385 | 7.00% | 912 | 16.58% | 301 | 5.48% | 2,989 | 54.36% | 5,499 |
| Fremont | 4,090 | 71.57% | 651 | 11.39% | 751 | 13.14% | 223 | 3.90% | 3,339 | 58.43% | 5,715 |
| Gem | 5,980 | 75.18% | 1,229 | 15.45% | 357 | 4.49% | 388 | 4.88% | 4,751 | 59.73% | 7,954 |
| Gooding | 3,743 | 72.11% | 930 | 17.92% | 293 | 5.64% | 225 | 4.33% | 2,813 | 54.19% | 5,191 |
| Idaho | 6,441 | 78.23% | 1,196 | 14.53% | 165 | 2.00% | 431 | 5.24% | 5,245 | 63.70% | 8,233 |
| Jefferson | 8,436 | 73.52% | 976 | 8.51% | 1,560 | 13.59% | 503 | 4.38% | 6,876 | 59.93% | 11,475 |
| Jerome | 4,644 | 68.79% | 1,329 | 19.69% | 419 | 6.21% | 359 | 5.31% | 3,315 | 49.10% | 6,751 |
| Kootenai | 44,449 | 67.03% | 16,264 | 24.53% | 1,557 | 2.35% | 4,040 | 6.09% | 28,185 | 42.50% | 66,310 |
| Latah | 7,265 | 39.98% | 8,093 | 44.53% | 696 | 3.83% | 2,119 | 11.66% | -828 | -4.55% | 18,173 |
| Lemhi | 3,011 | 73.51% | 733 | 17.90% | 139 | 3.39% | 213 | 5.20% | 2,278 | 55.61% | 4,096 |
| Lewis | 1,202 | 75.60% | 270 | 16.98% | 17 | 1.07% | 101 | 6.35% | 932 | 58.62% | 1,590 |
| Lincoln | 1,184 | 67.73% | 360 | 20.59% | 102 | 5.84% | 102 | 5.84% | 824 | 47.14% | 1,748 |
| Madison | 8,941 | 56.99% | 1,201 | 7.66% | 4,669 | 29.76% | 877 | 5.59% | 4,272 | 27.23% | 15,688 |
| Minidoka | 4,887 | 71.13% | 1,167 | 16.98% | 463 | 6.74% | 354 | 5.15% | 3,720 | 54.15% | 6,871 |
| Nez Perce | 10,699 | 62.20% | 4,828 | 28.07% | 352 | 2.05% | 1,322 | 7.68% | 5,871 | 34.13% | 17,201 |
| Oneida | 1,531 | 74.03% | 184 | 8.90% | 271 | 13.10% | 82 | 3.97% | 1,260 | 60.93% | 2,068 |
| Owyhee | 3,052 | 77.76% | 591 | 15.06% | 108 | 2.75% | 174 | 4.43% | 2,461 | 62.70% | 3,925 |
| Payette | 6,489 | 74.55% | 1,507 | 17.31% | 314 | 3.61% | 394 | 4.53% | 4,982 | 57.24% | 8,704 |
| Power | 1,666 | 60.41% | 699 | 25.34% | 233 | 8.45% | 160 | 5.80% | 967 | 35.07% | 2,758 |
| Shoshone | 3,297 | 64.39% | 1,384 | 27.03% | 87 | 1.70% | 352 | 6.88% | 1,913 | 37.36% | 5,120 |
| Teton | 2,167 | 43.55% | 2,159 | 43.39% | 327 | 6.57% | 323 | 6.49% | 8 | 0.16% | 4,976 |
| Twin Falls | 19,828 | 66.37% | 6,233 | 20.86% | 2,065 | 6.91% | 3,813 | 5.86% | 13,595 | 45.51% | 29,874 |
| Valley | 2,906 | 54.33% | 1,913 | 35.76% | 194 | 3.63% | 326 | 6.28% | 993 | 18.57% | 5,349 |
| Washington | 3,283 | 73.69% | 776 | 17.42% | 175 | 3.93% | 221 | 4.96% | 2,507 | 56.27% | 4,455 |
| Totals | 409,055 | 59.25% | 189,765 | 27.48% | 46,476 | 6.73% | 45,137 | 6.54% | 219,290 | 31.77% | 690,433 |
Legend
- Democratic — +>15%
- Democratic — +10-12.5%
- Democratic — +7.5-10%
- Democratic — +5-7.5%
- Democratic — +2.5-5%
- Democratic — +0-2.5%
- Republican — +0-2.5%
- Republican — +2.5-5%
- Republican — +5-7.5%
- Republican — +7.5-10%
- Republican — +10-12.5%
- Republican — +12.5-15%
- Republican — +>15%
Results by congressional district
[edit]Trump won both congressional districts.[16]
| District | Trump | Clinton | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 63.7% | 25.4% | Raúl Labrador |
| 2nd | 54.5% | 29.8% | Mike Simpson |
See also
[edit]- United States presidential elections in Idaho
- Presidency of Donald Trump
- 2016 Democratic Party presidential debates and forums
- 2016 Democratic Party presidential primaries
- 2016 Republican Party presidential debates and forums
- 2016 Republican Party presidential primaries
References
[edit]- ^ Secretary of State: Lawerence Denney. "Nov 08, 2016 General Election Results". www.sos.idaho.gov. Retrieved May 16, 2020.
- ^ "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved November 25, 2020.
- ^ "2016 Presidential Election Statistics". Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. Retrieved March 5, 2018.
- ^ "Idaho Republican Party State Rules" (PDF). June 2015. Archived from the original (PDF) on April 30, 2016. Retrieved January 7, 2024.
- ^ "Mar 08, 2016 Presidential Primary Election Results United States - by County". sos.idaho.gov. Idaho Secretary Of State. Retrieved November 25, 2016.
- ^ Gr, The; Inquirer (March 10, 2016). "Scott Copeland wins Idaho Constitution Party primary". The Grand Inquirer. Archived from the original on November 26, 2016. Retrieved November 26, 2016.
- ^ Gr, The; Inquirer (March 2, 2016). "Patrick Ockander drops out of Constitution Party presidential race, endorses J.R. Myers and Ted Cruz". The Grand Inquirer. Archived from the original on November 26, 2016. Retrieved November 26, 2016.
- ^ "Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours". Los Angeles Times. November 6, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
- ^ Chalian, David (November 4, 2016). "Road to 270: CNN's new election map". CNN. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
- ^ "2016 Electoral Scorecard". The Cook Political Report. November 7, 2016. Archived from the original on February 16, 2017. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
- ^ "2016 Electoral Map Prediction". Electoral-vote.com. November 8, 2016. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
- ^ "Presidential Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved August 16, 2021.
- ^ Sabato, Larry J. (November 7, 2016). "2016 President". University of Virginia Center for Politics. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
- ^ "2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
- ^ "Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge". Fox News. November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
- ^ "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts". Daily Kos. Retrieved August 11, 2020.
External links
[edit]- RNC 2016 Republican Nominating Process Archived November 8, 2016, at the Wayback Machine
- Green papers for 2016 primaries, caucuses, and conventions
- Decision Desk Headquarter Results for Idaho
