2024 United States presidential election in Hawaii
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The 2024 United States presidential election in Hawaii is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Hawaii voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Hawaii has 4 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[1]
Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden was running for reelection to a second term, and became the party's presumptive nominee, but withdrew from the race on July 21.[2][3] He then endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris, who launched her presidential campaign the same day.[4] The Republican nominee is former president Donald J. Trump.[5] Attorney Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has gathered enough signatures to appear on the ballot, as he announced in late February.[6]
Hawaii is a Pacific island state with its own unique culture separated from the mainland, and is majority Asian American. It is a deeply blue state and expected to be easily won by the Democratic Party ticket. A reliably blue state, Hawaii has only voted Republican in two presidential elections since gaining statehood.
Primary elections
[edit]Democratic caucuses
[edit]The Hawaii Democratic caucuses were held on March 6, 2024.
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
| Joe Biden (incumbent) | 1,032 | 66.0% | 15 | 15 | |
| Uncommitted | 455 | 29.1% | 7 | 7 | |
| Marianne Williamson | 50 | 3.2% | 0 | ||
| Dean Phillips | 15 | 1.0% | 0 | ||
| Jason Palmer | 6 | 0.4% | 0 | ||
| Armando Perez-Serrato | 5 | 0.3% | 0 | ||
| Total: | 1,563 | 100.00% | 22 | 9 | 31 |
Republican caucuses
[edit]The Hawaii Republican caucuses was held on March 12, 2024, alongside primaries in Idaho, Mississippi, Missouri, and Washington.
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
| Donald J. Trump | 4,348 | 97.08% | 19 | 0 | 19 |
| Nikki Haley (withdrawn) | 68 | 1.52% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) | 26 | 0.58% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) | 25 | 0.56% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 8 | 0.18% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ryan Binkley (withdrawn) | 2 | 0.04% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Doug Burgum (withdrawn) | 1 | 0.02% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| David Stuckenberg | 1 | 0.02% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total: | 4,479 | 100.00% | 19 | 0 | 19 |
General election
[edit]The Democratic Party of Hawaii attempted to disqualify the "ballot access petition" for Kennedy's newly created party, the We the People Party, on the November ballot, though the state Democratic Party was unsuccessful.[9]
Predictions
[edit]| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[10] | Solid D | December 19, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[11] | Solid D | April 26, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] | Safe D | June 29, 2023 |
| Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[13] | Safe D | December 14, 2023 |
| CNalysis[14] | Solid D | December 30, 2023 |
| CNN[15] | Solid D | January 14, 2024 |
| The Economist[16] | Safe D | June 12, 2024 |
| 538[17] | Solid D | June 11, 2024 |
| RCP[18] | Solid D | June 26, 2024 |
See also
[edit]- United States presidential elections in Hawaii
- 2024 United States presidential election
- 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries
- 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
- 2024 United States elections
References
[edit]- ^ Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved February 7, 2023.
- ^ Kinery, Emma (April 25, 2023). "Biden launches 2024 reelection campaign, promising to fulfill economic policy vision". CNBC.
- ^ Levine, Sam; Gambino, Lauren (July 22, 2024). "Joe Biden withdraws from presidential race after weeks of pressure to quit". The Guardian. ISSN 0261-3077. Retrieved July 22, 2024.
- ^ "Harris says she'll 'earn' nomination as Biden steps aside". The Washington Post. Retrieved July 22, 2024.
- ^ Gold, Michael; Nehamas, Nicholas (March 13, 2024). "Donald Trump and Joe Biden Clinch Their Party Nominations". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Archived from the original on March 13, 2024. Retrieved July 22, 2024.
- ^ Pellish, Aaron (February 27, 2024). "Super PAC supporting RFK Jr. says it has gathered enough signatures to put him on ballot in Arizona, Georgia | CNN Politics". CNN. Retrieved February 27, 2024.
- ^ "Hawaii Democratic Caucus Results". The New York Times. March 7, 2024. Retrieved March 7, 2024.
- ^ "Hawaii Presidential Caucuses". The AP. Retrieved March 11, 2024.
- ^ Pellish, Aaron (April 20, 2024). "RFK Jr. will appear on Hawaii ballot, third state to include him". CNN. Retrieved May 15, 2024.
- ^ "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "2024 presidential predictions". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. December 14, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN. Retrieved January 14, 2024.
- ^ "Trump v Biden: The Economist's presidential election prediction model". The Economist. Retrieved June 12, 2024.
- ^ Morris, G. Elliott (June 11, 2024). "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved June 11, 2024.
- ^ "2024 RCP Electoral College Map". RealClearPolitics. June 26, 2024. Retrieved June 26, 2024.
