2024 San Francisco mayoral election
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The 2024 San Francisco mayoral election will take place on November 5, 2024, to elect the mayor of San Francisco, California. It was originally scheduled for November 7, 2023, but following the passage of Proposition H in 2022, mayoral elections were rescheduled to coincide with presidential elections. The election will use ranked-choice voting.
Incumbent mayor London Breed is running for re-election to a second term in office. Breed is considered vulnerable, as polls have consistently shown her with low approval ratings. Breed has faced criticism for her handling of important issues in the city, including homelessness, crime, and drug addiction.[1]
Background
[edit]A survey was released by the San Francisco Controller in 2023 which reported the lowest safety rating since 1996, and the lowest government rating since 2002.[2] Polling in June reported that 64% of people did not believe London Breed should be reelected and she had a 66% disapproval rating.[3][4]
Candidates
[edit]- London Breed, incumbent mayor[5]
- Mark Farrell, former San Francisco supervisor from the 2nd district and former acting mayor[6]
- Henry Flynn, security guard[7]
- Keith Freedman, teacher[7]
- Dylan Hirsch-Shell, engineer[7]
- Daniel Lurie, founder and former CEO of Tipping Point Community[8]
- Nelson Mei, software engineer[7]
- Aaron Peskin, president of the San Francisco Board of Supervisors[9]
- Paul Robertson, teacher and candidate for mayor in 2019[10]
- Ahsha Safaí, San Francisco supervisor from 11th district[11]
- Shahram Shariati, transportation engineer[12]
- Jon Soderstrom, tour guide[13]
- Ellen Lee Zhou, social worker and candidate for mayor in 2018 and 2019[14]
Endorsements
[edit]London Breed
- State legislators
- Scott Wiener, state senator[15]
- Local officials
- Willie Brown, former mayor of San Francisco (1996–2004)[16]
- Joel Engardio, San Francisco supervisor[15]
- Rafael Mandelman, San Francisco supervisor[15]
- Paul Miyamoto, San Francisco Sheriff[15]
- Catherine Stefani, San Francisco supervisor[17]
- Organizations
- Political parties
- San Francisco Democratic Party[20]
Daniel Lurie
- Local officials
- Frank Jordan, former mayor of San Francisco (1992–1996)[21]
Aaron Peskin
- Organizations
Polling
[edit]| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
RCV round |
London Breed |
Mark Farrell |
Daniel Lurie |
Aaron Peskin |
Ahsha Safaí |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FM3 Research (D)[A] | July 9–18, 2024 | 1066 (LV) | ± 3.1% | BA[b] | 24% | 21% | 16% | 14% | 7% | – | 18% |
| 1 | 30% | 26% | 20% | 16% | 8% | – | – | ||||
| 2 | 33% | 27% | 21% | 19% | – | – | – | ||||
| 3 | 41% | 32% | 26% | – | – | – | – | ||||
| 4 | 51% | 49% | – | – | – | – | – | ||||
| Impact Research (D)[B] | June 1–6, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | BA[b] | 21% | 23% | 20% | 17% | 4% | 5% | 11% |
| 5 | 43% | 57% | – | – | – | – | – | ||||
| FM3 Research (D)[C] | May 10–16, 2024 | 866 (LV) | ± 3.5% | BA[b] | 19% | 20% | 17% | 12% | 4% | 1% | 28% |
| 5 | 45% | 55% | – | – | – | – | – | ||||
| FM3 Research (D)[A] | April 29–May 5, 2024 | 412 (RV) | ± 4.9% | BA[b] | 21% | 16% | 16% | 12% | 7% | – | 28% |
| 1 | 29% | 23% | 23% | 16% | 9% | – | – | ||||
| 2 | 30% | 26% | 24% | 20% | – | – | – | ||||
| 3 | 39% | 31% | 30% | – | – | – | – | ||||
| 4 | 51% | 49% | – | – | – | – | – | ||||
| Probolsky Research[D] | June 16–20, 2023 | 300 (RV) | ± 5.8% | – | 26% | – | – | – | 29% | – | 45% |
| Sextant Strategies & Research[E] | February 14–18, 2024 | 812 (LV) | ± 3.4% | – | 18% | 20% | 16% | – | 8% | – | 38% |
| David Binder Research (D)[F] | January 15–20, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | 26% | 15% | 21% | – | 10% | – | 28% |
Results
[edit]| 2024 San Francisco mayoral election | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Round 1 | |||
| Votes | % | |||
| London Breed (incumbent) | ||||
| Mark Farrell | ||||
| Henry Flynn | ||||
| Keith Freedman | ||||
| Dylan Hirsch-Shell | ||||
| Daniel Lurie | ||||
| Nelson Mei | ||||
| Aaron Peskin | ||||
| Paul Robertson | ||||
| Ahsha Safaí | ||||
| Shahram Shariati | ||||
| Jon Soderstrom | ||||
| Ellen Lee Zhou | ||||
| Total active votes | 100.00% | |||
| Source: San Francisco Department of Elections | ||||
Notes
[edit]- Partisan clients
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by GrowSF
- ^ Poll sponsored by Farrell's campaign
- ^ Poll sponsored by Neighbors for San Francisco, which endorsed Farrell and Lurie
- ^ Poll sponsored by the San Francisco Deputy Sheriff’s Association
- ^ Poll sponsored by the San Francisco Chronicle
- ^ Poll sponsored by Lurie's campaign
References
[edit]- ^ Knight, Heather (December 12, 2023). "The Challengers Weighing a Run at San Francisco's Mayor". The New York Times. Retrieved February 22, 2024.
- ^ "San Franciscans say they feel less safe than in over 20 years, city survey shows". San Francisco Chronicle. April 13, 2023. Archived from the original on August 17, 2023.
- ^ "Is S.F. Mayor Breed at risk of losing reelection? Here's what experts say". San Francisco Chronicle. July 31, 2023. Archived from the original on September 19, 2023.
- ^ "Supervisor Ahsha Safaí Wins in a Head-to-Head Election Contest with Mayor Breed". Probolsky Research. June 23, 2023. Archived from the original on September 29, 2023.
- ^ Morris, J. D.; Moench, Mallory (March 23, 2023). "S.F. Mayor Breed may have a challenger in next year's election. Here's who is looking to run". San Francisco Chronicle. Retrieved March 24, 2023.
- ^ Knight, Heather (February 13, 2024). "Will Voters in San Francisco Go for a Different Kind of Mayor?". The New York Times. Retrieved February 13, 2024.
- ^ a b c d Dickey, Megan Rose (June 17, 2024). "What to know about San Francisco's mayoral race". Axios. Retrieved June 20, 2024.
- ^ Shanks, Adam (September 26, 2023). "Officially official: Lurie joins SF mayoral field". San Francisco Examiner. Retrieved December 10, 2023.
- ^ "Sup. Aaron Peskin says he's running for San Francisco mayor". KTVU. April 3, 2024. Retrieved April 4, 2024.
- ^ "Candidates - November 5, 2024, Consolidated General Election". SF.gov. City and County of San Francisco. Retrieved May 22, 2024.
- ^ Gaus, Annie; Ege, Mike (May 8, 2023). "Mayor London Breed Gets a Reelection Challenger". The San Francisco Standard. Retrieved May 9, 2023.
- ^ Ege, Mike (January 15, 2024). "Get To Know the Longshots Running for San Francisco Mayor". The San Francisco Standard.
- ^ Bajko, Matthew (June 19, 2024). "Gay underdogs qualify for San Francisco mayoral race". Bay Area Reporter. Retrieved June 20, 2024.
- ^ Han, Li (April 11, 2024). "This far-right, MAGA candidate could decide the race for San Francisco mayor". The San Francisco Standard.
- ^ a b c d Koehn, Josh (May 18, 2024). "Mayor Breed kicks off reelection campaign, drop-kicks foes". The San Francisco Standard. Retrieved July 18, 2024.
- ^ Korte, Lara; Gardiner, Dustin (October 24, 2023). "London Breed's power play". Politico. Retrieved October 27, 2023.
- ^ Shanks, Adam (July 18, 2024). "Stefani endorses Farrell, Breed in mayor's race". San Francisco Examiner. Retrieved July 18, 2024.
- ^ Chou, Lauren (July 24, 2023). "EMILYs List Endorses London Breed for Reelection as Mayor of San Francisco, California". EMILYs List. Retrieved July 25, 2023.
- ^ "Your 2024 Gun Sense Candidates". gunsensevoter.org. Retrieved July 25, 2024.
- ^ Aldo Toledo, S.F. Democratic Party gives sole election endorsement to Mayor Breed. Here’s why that’s a big deal, San Francisco Chronicle (July 24, 2024).
- ^ Justice, Tiffany (March 28, 2024). "SF mayor candidate Daniel Lurie gets big endorsement". KRON-TV. Retrieved March 28, 2024.
- ^ "NUHW endorses Aaron Peskin for San Francisco mayor". Retrieved June 19, 2024.
- ^ Eskenazi, Joe (July 16, 2024). "SEIU 1021, SF's largest union, sole-endorses Aaron Peskin". Mission Local. Retrieved July 18, 2024.
External links
[edit]- Official campaign websites