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Nationwide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election

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2016 U.S. presidential election
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This page lists nationwide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the 2016 United States presidential election. The two major party candidates were chosen at the Democratic National Convention and Republican National Convention in July 2016.

Donald Trump won the general election of Tuesday, November 8, 2016. He lost the popular vote but won the electoral college.[1][2] Most polls correctly predicted a popular vote victory for Clinton, but overestimated the size of her lead, with the result that Trump's electoral college victory was a surprise to analysts. Retrospective analyses differ as to why the polls and commentators interpreting them were unable to correctly forecast the result of the election.[1][2] Two daily tracking polls, the UPI/CVoter poll and the University of Southern California/Los Angeles Times poll were the only polls that often incorrectly predicted a Trump popular vote victory or showed a nearly tied election.[3]

Aggregate polls

[edit]

Poll numbers verified as of November 8, 2016.

Race Poll model Hillary
Clinton
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Gary
Johnson
Libertarian 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Leading by
(points)
Two-way 270 to Win[4] 47.2% 43.6% — 3.6
BBC[5] 48.0% 44.0% 4.0
HuffPost Pollster[6] 47.3% 42.0% 5.3
New York Times[7] 45.9% 42.8% 3.1
Real Clear Politics[8] 46.8% 43.6% 3.2
TPM Polltracker[9] 48.8% 43.9% 4.9
Three-way FiveThirtyEight[10] 45.7% 41.8% 4.8% — 3.9
HuffPost Pollster[6] 45.7% 40.8% 5.0% 4.9
New York Times[7] 45.4% 42.3% 5.0% 3.1
TPM Polltracker[9] 46.0% 44.1% 4.9% 1.9
Four-way 270 to Win[4] 45.6% 42.5% 4.8% 2.1% 3.1
Real Clear Politics[11] 45.5% 42.2% 4.7% 1.9% 3.3
CNN Poll of Polls[12] 46.0% 42.0% 5.0% 2.0% 4.0
TPM Polltracker[9] 46.6% 43.8% 4.6% 2.7% 2.8
Election results (popular vote) 48.2% 46.1% 3.3% 1.1% 2.1

Individual polls

[edit]

Two-way race

[edit]

After convention nominations

[edit]
Poll source Date Hillary Clinton
Democratic 		Donald Trump
Republican 		Leading by
(points) 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error
UPI/CVoter[13] November 1–7, 2016 49% 46% 3 1,728 ± 3.0%
YouGov/The Economist[14] November 4–7, 2016 49% 45% 4 3,677 ± 1.7%
Bloomberg News/Selzer[15] November 4–6, 2016 46% 43% 3 799 ± 3.5%
ABC News/Washington Post[16] November 3–6, 2016 49% 46% 3 2,220 ± 2.5%
Fox News[17] November 3–6, 2016 48% 44% 4 1,295 ± 2.5%
IBD/TIPP[18] November 3–6, 2016 43% 42% 1 1,026 ± 3.1%
Monmouth University[19] November 3–6, 2016 50% 44% 6 802 ± 3.6%
Ipsos/Reuters[20] November 2–6, 2016 44% 39% 5 2,195 ± 2.4%
CBS News/New York Times[21] November 2–6, 2016 47% 43% 4 1,426 ± 3.0%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[22] October 31 – November 6, 2016 51% 44% 7 70,194 ± 1.0%
CCES/YouGov[23] October 4 – November 6, 2016 43% 39% 4 84,292 ±%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[24] November 3–5, 2016 48% 43% 5 1,282 ± 2.73%
ABC News/Washington Post[25] November 2–5, 2016 49% 45% 4 1,937 ± 2.5%
IBD/TIPP[26] November 2–5, 2016 45% 44% 1 903 ± 3.3%
UPI/CVoter[27] October 30 – November 5, 2016 49% 46% 3 1,572 ± 3.0%
USC/Los Angeles Times[28] October 30 – November 5, 2016 43% 48% 5 2,988 ± 4.5%
ABC News/Washington Post[29] November 1–4, 2016 49% 44% 5 1,685 ± 2.5%
IBD/TIPP[30] November 1–4, 2016 46% 43% 3 804 ± 3.5%
Ipsos/Reuters[31] October 31 – November 4, 2016 44% 40% 4 2,244 ± 2.4%
UPI/CVoter[32] October 29 – November 4, 2016 49% 48% 1 1,497 ± 3.0%
USC/Los Angeles Times[33] October 29 – November 4, 2016 43% 48% 5 2,987 ± 4.5%
Fox News[34] November 1–3, 2016 46% 45% 1 1,107 ± 3.0%
McClatchy/Marist[35] November 1–3, 2016 46% 44% 2 940 ± 3.2%
Ipsos/Reuters[36] October 30 – November 3, 2016 44% 39% 5 2,021 ± 2.6%
ABC News/Washington Post[37] October 31 – November 3, 2016 49% 45% 4 1,419 ± 3.0%
IBD/TIPP[38] October 30 – November 3, 2016 45% 44% 1 898 ± 3.3%
UPI/CVoter[39] October 28 – November 3, 2016 49% 48% 1 1,395 ± 3.0%
ABC News/Washington Post[40] October 30 – November 2, 2016 49% 46% 3 1,151 ± 3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters[41] October 29 – November 2, 2016 45% 39% 6 1,858 ± 2.6%
IBD/TIPP[42] October 29 – November 2, 2016 44% 44% Tied 867 ± 3.4%
UPI/CVoter[43] October 27 – November 2, 2016 49% 48% 1 1,329 ± 3.0%
ABC News/Washington Post[44] October 29 – November 1, 2016 49% 47% 2 1,167 ± 3.0%
CBS News/New York Times[45] October 28 – November 1, 2016 47% 44% 3 1,333 ± 3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters[46] October 28 – November 1, 2016 45% 39% 6 1,772 ± 3.0%
YouGov/The Economist[47] October 30 – November 1, 2016 48% 45% 3 1,233 ± 3.2%
IBD/TIPP[48] October 27 – November 1, 2016 44% 44% Tied 862 ± 3.4%
UPI/CVoter[49] October 26 – November 1, 2016 49% 48% 1 1,383 ±3.0%
USC/Los Angeles Times[50] October 26 – November 1, 2016 42% 48% 6 3,004 ± 4.5%
ABC News/Washington Post[51] October 28–31, 2016 48% 47% 1 1,182 ± 3.0%
IBD/TIPP[52] October 26–31, 2016 45% 44% 1 1,018 ± 3.2%
Politico/Morning Consult[53] October 29–30, 2016 46% 43% 3 1,772 ± 2.0%
Politico/Morning Consult[54] October 27–30, 2016 52% 47% 5 2,075 ± 3.0%
ABC News/Washington Post[55] October 27–30, 2016 48% 47% 1 1,167 ± 3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters[56] October 26–30, 2016 44% 39% 5 1,264 ± 3.0%
IBD/TIPP[57] October 25–30, 2016 45% 43% 2 993 ± 3.2%
UPI/CVoter[58] October 24–30, 2016 49% 48% 1 1,299 ±3.0%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[59] October 24–30, 2016 51% 44% 7 40,816 ± 1.0%
ABC News/Washington Post[60] October 26–29, 2016 49% 47% 2 1,165 ± 3.0%
IBD/TIPP[61] October 24–29, 2016 45% 41% 4 1,039 ± 3.3%
UPI/CVoter[62] October 23–29, 2016 48% 48% Tied 1,317 ± 3.0%
Morning Consult[63] October 27–28, 2016 46% 41% 5 1,794 ± 2.0%
ABC News/Washington Post[64] October 25–28, 2016 46% 45% 1 1,160 ± 3.0%
IBD/TIPP[65] October 23–28, 2016 46% 41% 5 1,013 ± 3.3%
ABC News/Washington Post[66] October 24–27, 2016 49% 46% 3 1,148 ± 3.0%
IBD/TIPP[67] October 22–27, 2016 45% 42% 3 973 ± 3.3%
Ipsos/Reuters[68] October 21–27, 2016 42% 36% 6 1,627 ± 3.0%
USC/Los Angeles Times[69] October 21–27, 2016 44% 46% 2 3,248 ± 4.5%
ABC News/Washington Post[70] October 23–26, 2016 50% 45% 5 1,150 ± 3.0%
YouGov/The Economist[71] October 22–26, 2016 49% 46% 3 1,376 ± 3.1%
IBD/TIPP[72] October 21–26, 2016 44% 42% 2 945 ± 3.3%
UPI/CVoter[73] October 20–26, 2016 49% 47% 2 1,363 ± 3.0%
Fox News[74] October 22–25, 2016 49% 44% 5 1,221 ± 2.5%
ABC News/Washington Post[75] October 22–25, 2016 51% 44% 7 1,135 ± 3.0%
Pew Research Center[76] October 20–25, 2016 50% 43% 7 2,120 ± 2.4%
IBD/TIPP[77] October 20–25, 2016 43% 41% 2 921 ± 3.3%
UPI/CVoter[78] October 19–25, 2016 49% 47% 2 1,349 ± 3.0%
USC/Los Angeles Times[79] October 19–25, 2016 44% 45% 1 3,145 ± 4.5%
CNBC[80] October 21–24, 2016 47% 37% 10 804 ± 3.5%
ABC News[81] October 21–24, 2016 51% 43% 8 1,119 ± 3.0%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[82] October 21–24, 2016 53% 41% 12 900 ± 3.27%
Associated Press/GFK[83] October 20–24, 2016 54% 41% 13 1,546 ± 2.75%
USA Today/Suffolk University[84] October 20–24, 2016 49% 39% 10 1,000 ± 3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters[85] October 20–24, 2016 43% 37% 6 1,170 ± 3.3%
IBD/TIPP[86] October 19–24, 2016 43% 42% 1 873 ± 3.6%
ABC News[87] October 20–23, 2016 53% 41% 12 1,155 ± 3.0%
CNN/ORC[88] October 20–23, 2016 51% 45% 6 779 ± 3.5%
IBD/TIPP[89] October 18–23, 2016 42% 42% Tied 815 ± 3.6%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[90] October 17–23, 2016 50% 44% 6 32,225 ± 1.0%
UPI/CVoter[91] October 17–23, 2016 49% 46% 3 1,414 ± 3.0%
ABC News[92] October 20–22, 2016 53% 41% 12 874 ± 3.5%
IBD/TIPP[93] October 17–22, 2016 42% 43% 1 783 ± 3.6%
IBD/TIPP[94] October 16–21, 2016 42% 42% Tied 791 ± 3.6%
Politico/Morning Consult[95] October 19–20, 2016 46% 40% 6 1,395 ± 3.0%
American Research Group[96] October 17–20, 2016 49% 42% 7 1,006 ± 3.0%
IBD/TIPP[97] October 15–20, 2016 43% 41% 2 789 ± 3.6%
USC/Los Angeles Times[98] October 14–20, 2016 44% 45% 1 3,001 ± 4.5%
Ipsos/Reuters[99] October 14–20, 2016 44% 40% 4 1,640 ± 3.0%
IBD/TIPP[100] October 14–19, 2016 43% 41% 2 779 ± 3.6%
Quinnipiac University[101] October 17–18, 2016 50% 44% 6 1,007 ± 3.1%
YouGov/The Economist[102] October 15–18, 2016 47% 43% 4 1,300 ± 4.0%
IBD/TIPP[103] October 13–18, 2016 44% 41% 3 782 ± 3.6%
Fox News[104] October 15–17, 2016 49% 42% 7 912 ± 3.0%
Bloomberg Politics[105] October 14–17, 2016 50% 41% 9 1,006 ± 3.1%
Ipsos/Reuters[106] October 13–17, 2016 43% 39% 4 1,190 ± 3.2%
Public Religion Research Institute/The Atlantic[107] October 12–17, 2016 51% 36% 15 692 ±4.4%
UPI/CVoter[108] October 11–17, 2016 51% 46% 5 1,326 ± 3.0%
Monmouth University[109] October 14–16, 2016 53% 41% 12 805 ± 3.5%
CBS News[110] October 12–16, 2016 51% 40% 11 1,411 ± 3.0%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[111] October 10–16, 2016 51% 43% 8 24,804 ± 1.0%
UPI/CVoter[112] October 10–16, 2016 50% 46% 4 1,325 ± 3.0%
Politico/Morning Consult[113] October 13–15, 2016 46% 41% 5 1,737 ± 2.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[114] October 10–13, 2016 51% 41% 10 905 ±3.3%
ABC News/Washington Post[115] October 10–13, 2016 50% 46% 4 740 ±4.0%
Franklin Pierce University/Boston Herald[116] October 9–13, 2016 46% 41% 5 1,001 ±3.1%
George Washington University[117] October 8–13, 2016 47% 39% 8 1,000 ± 3.1%
UPI/CVoter[118] October 7–13, 2016 50% 45% 5 1,482 ± 3.0%
Fox News[119] October 10–12, 2016 49% 41% 8 917 ± 3.0%
Politico/Morning Consult[120] October 10, 2016 46% 41% 5 1,757 ± 3.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[121] October 8–10, 2016 50% 40% 10 900 ± 3.5%
Ipsos/Reuters[122] October 6–10, 2016 44% 37% 7 2,363 ± 2.3%
UPI/CVoter[123] October 4–10, 2016 50% 44% 6 1,367 ± 3.0%
Pew Research Center[124] September 27 – October 10, 2016 53% 44% 9 3,616 ± 2.9%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[125] October 8–9, 2016 52% 38% 14 422 ± 4.6%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[126] October 3–9, 2016 51% 44% 7 23,329 ± 1.0%
UPI/CVoter[127] October 3–9, 2016 49% 44% 5 1,801 ± 3.0%
Politico/Morning Consult[128] October 8, 2016 45% 41% 4 1,390 ± 3.0%
YouGov/The Economist[129] October 7–8, 2016 48% 43% 5 1,300 ± 4.2%
Morning Consult[130] October 5–6, 2016 44% 42% 2 1,775 ± 2.0%
Quinnipiac University[131] October 5–6, 2016 50% 44% 6 1,064 ± 3.0%
Fox News[132] October 3–6, 2016 48% 44% 4 896 ± 3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters[133] September 30 – October 6, 2016 43% 38% 5 1,695 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[134] September 30 – October 6, 2016 48% 47% 1 1,774 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[135] September 28 – October 4, 2016 47% 48% 1 1,274 ± 3.0%
USC/Los Angeles Times[136] September 28 – October 4, 2016 43% 47% 4 2,369 ± 4.5%
YouGov/The Economist[137] October 1–3, 2016 48% 43% 5 911 ± 3.9%
Ipsos/Reuters[138] September 29 – October 3, 2016 44% 37% 7 1,928 ± 2.5%
Politico/Morning Consult[139] September 30 – October 2, 2016 46% 39% 7 1,778 ± 2.0%
Farleigh Dickinson/SSRS[140] September 28 – October 2, 2016 50% 40% 10 788 ± 4.4%
CBS News/New York Times[141] September 28 – October 2, 2016 49% 43% 6 1,501 ± 3.0%
CNN/ORC[142] September 28 – October 2, 2016 47% 42% 5 1,501 ± 2.5%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[143] September 26 – October 2, 2016 50% 44% 6 26,925 ± 1.0%
UPI/CVoter[144] September 26 – October 2, 2016 47% 49% 2 1,285 ± 3.0%
USC/Los Angeles Times[145] September 24–30, 2016 42% 47% 5 2,526 ± 4.5%
Fox News[146] September 27–29, 2016 49% 44% 5 911 ± 3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters[147] September 23–29, 2016 43% 38% 5 2,501 ± 2.0%
UPI/CVoter[148] September 23–29, 2016 47% 49% 2 1,236 ± 3.0%
Public Policy Polling[149] September 27–28, 2016 49% 45% 4 993 ± 3.2%
Ipsos/Reuters[150] September 27–28, 2016 42% 38% 4 1,336 ± 3.1%
Echelon Insights[151] September 26–27, 2016 47% 42% 5 1,833 ±%
Morning Consult[152] September 26–27, 2016 45% 41% 4 1,253 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[153] September 21–27, 2016 48% 48% Tied 1,239 ± 3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters[154] September 22–26, 2016 44% 38% 6 1,041 ± 3.5%
Quinnipiac University[155] September 22–25, 2016 47% 46% 1 1,115 ± 2.9%
Monmouth University[156] September 22–25, 2016 49% 46% 3 729 ± 3.6%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[157] September 19–25, 2016 51% 44% 7 13,598 ± 1.1%
USC/Los Angeles Times[158] September 19–25, 2016 42% 46% 4 2,726 ± 4.5%
UPI/CVoter[159] September 19–25, 2016 48% 47% 1 1,052 ± 3.0%
Morning Consult[160] September 22–24, 2016 44% 42% 2 1,712 ± 2.0%
Bloomberg/Selzer[161] September 21–24, 2016 46% 46% Tied 1,002 ± 3.1%
ABC News/Washington Post[162] September 19–22, 2016 49% 47% 2 651 ± 4.5%
Ipsos/Reuters[163] September 16–22, 2016 41% 37% 4 1,559 ± 3.0%
USC/Los Angeles Times[164] September 15–21, 2016 43% 45% 2 2,623 ± 2.3%
American Research Group[165] September 17–20, 2016 47% 44% 3 990 ± 3.2%
McClatchy/Marist[166] September 15–20, 2016 48% 41% 7 758 ± 3.6%
USC/Los Angeles Times[167] September 14–20, 2016 42% 46% 4 2,629 ± 2.3%
YouGov/Economist[168] September 18–19, 2016 45% 44% 1 936 ± 4.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[169] September 16–19, 2016 48% 41% 7 922 ± 3.23%
Ipsos/Reuters[170] September 15–19, 2016 39% 39% Tied 1,111 ± 3.4%
Associated Press/GFK[171] September 15–19, 2016 50% 44% 6 1,251 ± 2.5%
USC/Los Angeles Times[172] September 13–19, 2016 42% 47% 5 2,524 ± 2.2%
UPI/CVoter[173] September 12–18, 2016 48% 47% 1 1,203 ± 3.0%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[174] September 12–18, 2016 50% 45% 5 13,230 ± 1.2%
UPI/CVoter[175] September 10–16, 2016 47% 47% Tied 1,246 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[176] September 9–15, 2016 47% 48% 1 1,229 ± 3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters[177] September 9–15, 2016 42% 38% 4 1,579 ± 3.0%
USC/Los Angeles Times[178] September 9–15, 2016 41% 47% 6 2,497 ± 2.8%
Fox News[179] September 11–14, 2016 45% 46% 1 867 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[180] September 8–14, 2016 47% 48% 1 1,265 ± 3.0%
USC/Los Angeles Times[181] September 8–14, 2016 41% 47% 6 2,499 ± 3.1%
YouGov/Economist[182] September 10–13, 2016 46% 44% 2 1,087 ± 4.0%
CBS News/New York Times[183] September 9–13, 2016 46% 44% 2 1,433 ± 3%
Quinnipiac University[184] September 8–13, 2016 48% 43% 5 960 ± 3.2%
UPI/CVoter[185] September 7–13, 2016 47% 48% 1 1,245 ± 3.0%
USC/Los Angeles Times[186] September 7–13, 2016 42% 47% 5 2,550 ± 2.7%
Ipsos/Reuters[187] September 8–12, 2016 40% 39% 1 1,127 ± 3.3%
UPI/CVoter[188] September 6–12, 2016 46% 49% 3 1,232 ± 3.0%
Pew Research[189] August 16 – September 12, 2016 52% 44% 8 3,941 ± 2.6%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[190] September 5–11, 2016 48% 44% 4 16,220 ± 1.1%
UPI/CVoter[191] September 5–11, 2016 46% 49% 3 1,260 ± 3.0%
Morning Consult[192] September 6–8, 2016 44% 43% 1 1,710 ± 2.0%
ABC News/Washington Post[193] September 5–8, 2016 51% 43% 8 642 ± 4.5%
USC/Los Angeles Times[194] September 2–8, 2016 45% 44% 1 2,653 ± 2.4%
UPI/CVoter[195] September 2–8, 2016 46% 48% 2 1,256 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[196] September 1–7, 2016 47% 48% 1 1,226 ± 3.0%
YouGov/Economist[197] September 4–6, 2016 44% 42% 2 1,077 ± 4.7%
UPI/CVoter[198] August 31 – September 6, 2016 47% 47% Tied 1,262 ± 3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters[199] September 1–5, 2016 40% 38% 2 1,084 ± 3.5%
UPI/CVoter[200] August 30 – September 5, 2016 48% 46% 2 1,220 ± 3.0%
CNN/ORC[201] September 1–4, 2016 48% 49% 1 786 ± 3.5%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[202] August 29 – September 4, 2016 48% 42% 6 32,226 ± 1.0%
UPI/CVoter[203] August 29 – September 4, 2016 49% 47% 2 1,237 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[204] August 28 – September 3, 2016 49% 46% 3 1,242 ± 3.0%
Morning Consult[205] September 1–2, 2016 42% 40% 2 2,001 ± 2%
Ipsos/Reuters[206] August 26 – September 1, 2016 39% 40% 1 1,804 ± 3.0%
IBD/TIPP[207] August 26 – September 1, 2016 44% 43% 1 861 ± 3.4%
Fox News[208] August 28–30, 2016 48% 42% 6 1,011 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[209] August 24–30, 2016 49% 46% 3 1,162 ± 3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters[210] August 25–29, 2016 40% 39% 1 1,404 ± 3.0%
Suffolk University/USA Today[211] August 24–29, 2016 48% 41% 7 1,000 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[212] August 23–29, 2016 50% 47% 3 1,173 ± 3.0%
USC/Los Angeles Times[213] August 23–29, 2016 42% 45% 3 2,500 ± 2.5%
Public Policy Polling[214] August 26–28, 2016 48% 43% 5 881 ± 3.3%
Monmouth University[215] August 25–28, 2016 49% 42% 7 689 ± 3.5%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[216] August 22–28, 2016 48% 42% 6 24,104 ± 1.0%
UPI/CVoter[217] August 22–28, 2016 50% 47% 3 1,145 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[218] August 21–27, 2016 50% 47% 3 1,682 ± 3.0%
Morning Consult[219] August 24–26, 2016 43% 40% 3 2,007 ± 2%
Ipsos/Reuters[220] August 22–25, 2016 41% 36% 5 1,154 ± 3%
Ipsos/Reuters[221] August 20–24, 2016 42% 35% 7 1,049 ± 2.9%
UPI/CVoter[222] August 18–24, 2016 48% 49% 1 1,720 ± 3.0%
Quinnipiac University[223] August 18–24, 2016 51% 41% 10 1,496 ± 2.5%
USC/Los Angeles Times[224] August 18–24, 2016 44% 44% Tied 2,434 ± 2.3%
YouGov/Economist[225] August 19–23, 2016 47% 44% 3 1,080 ± 4.1%
UPI/CVoter[226] August 17–23, 2016 48% 48% Tied 1,737 ± 3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters[227] August 18–22, 2016 45% 33% 12 1,115 ± 3%
UPI/CVoter[228] August 16–22, 2016 48% 48% Tied 1,752 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[229] August 15–21, 2016 48% 47% 1 1,795 ± 3.0%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[230] August 15–21, 2016 50% 42% 8 17,451 ± 1.1%
American Research Group[231] August 17–20, 2016 47% 42% 5 994 ± 3.2%
Morning Consult[232] August 16–20, 2016 44% 38% 6 2,001 ± 2%
UPI/CVoter[233] August 14–20, 2016 48% 47% 1 1,191 ± 3.0%
USC/Los Angeles Times[234] August 14–20, 2016 43% 45% 2 2,385 ± 2.8%
Ipsos/Reuters[235] August 13–17, 2016 41% 36% 5 1,049 ± 2.8%
UPI/CVoter[236] August 11–17, 2016 50% 46% 4 1,009 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[237] August 9–16, 2016 51% 44% 7 1,069 ± 3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters[238] August 11–15, 2016 41% 35% 6 1,132 ± 3%
Normington, Petts & Associates[239] August 9–15, 2016 50% 40% 10 1,000 ± 3.1%
UPI/CVoter[240] August 9–15, 2016 51% 44% 7 1,035 ± 3.0%
Morning Consult[241] August 11–14, 2016 44% 37% 7 2,001 ± 2%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[242] August 8–14, 2016 50% 41% 9 15,179 ± 1.2%
UPI/CVoter[243] August 7–14, 2016 50% 45% 5 975 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[244] August 7–13, 2016 49% 46% 3 1,403 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[245] August 3–10, 2016 49% 45% 4 1,077 ± 3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters[246] August 6–10, 2016 42% 36% 6 974 ± 2.9%
YouGov/Economist[247] August 6–9, 2016 48% 41% 7 1,300 ± 4.2%
UPI/CVoter[248] August 3–9, 2016 48% 46% 2 1,002 ± 3.0%
Bloomberg Politics[249] August 5–8, 2016 50% 44% 6 749 ± 3.6%
Ipsos/Reuters[250] August 4–8, 2016 42% 35% 7 1,152 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[251] August 2–8, 2016 49% 45% 4 993 ± 3.0%
PSRAI[252] August 4–7, 2016 45% 39% 6 798 ± 3.9%
UPI/CVoter[253] August 1–7, 2016 49% 44% 5 1,407 ± 3.0%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[254] August 1–7, 2016 51% 41% 10 11,480 ± 1.2%
UPI/CVoter[255] July 31 – August 6, 2016 50% 43% 7 1,036 ± 3.0%
USC/Los Angeles Times[256] July 31 – August 6, 2016 45% 44% 1 2,146 ± 2.8%
Morning Consult[257] August 4–5, 2016 46% 37% 9 2,001 ± 2%
ABC News/Washington Post[258] August 1–4, 2016 51% 44% 7 1,002 ± 3.5%
Ipsos/Reuters[259] July 31 – August 4, 2016 42% 39% 3 1,154 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[260] July 29 – August 4, 2016 50% 44% 6 1,060 ± 3.0%
IBD/TIPP[261] July 29 – August 4, 2016 46% 39% 7 921 ± 3.4%
McClatchy/Marist[262] August 1–3, 2016 48% 33% 15 983 ± 3.1%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[263] July 31 – August 3, 2016 47% 38% 9 800 ± 3.46%
Ipsos/Reuters[264] July 30 – August 3, 2016 43% 39% 4 1,072 ± 3.5%
USC/Los Angeles Times[265] July 28 – August 3, 2016 45% 44% 1 2,175 ± 2.4%
UPI/CVoter[266] July 27 – August 2, 2016 49% 46% 3 989 ± 3.0%
Fox News[267] July 31 – August 2, 2016 49% 39% 10 1,022 ± 3%
USC/Los Angeles Times[268] July 27 – August 2, 2016 44% 45% 1 2,186 ± 2.2%
YouGov/Economist[269] July 31 – August 1, 2016 46% 43% 3 1,300 ± 4%
Ipsos/Reuters[270] July 28 – August 1, 2016 43% 35% 8 1,289 ± 3%
USC/Los Angeles Times[271] July 26 – August 1, 2016 43% 45% 2 2,171 ± 2.5%
CNN/ORC[272] July 29–31, 2016 52% 43% 9 1,003 ± 3%
CBS News[273] July 29–31, 2016 47% 41% 6 1,131 ± 3%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[274] July 25–31, 2016 50% 42% 8 12,742 ± 1.2%
Morning Consult[275] July 29–30, 2016 43% 40% 3 1,931 ± 2%
Public Policy Polling[276] July 29–30, 2016 50% 45% 5 1,276 ± 2.7%

Polls conducted in 2016

[edit]
Polls in 2016
Poll source Date Democratic
candidate 		% Republican
candidate 		% Leading
by % 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error
Ipsos/Reuters[277] July 25–29, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 35% 5 1,290 ± 2.4%
Rasmussen Reports[278] July 26–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 42% 1 1,000 ± 3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters[279] July 22–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 39% 2 963 ± 4.0%
USC/Los Angeles Times[280] July 20–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 47% 7 2,150 ± 3%
Economist/YouGov[281] July 23–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 42% 5 1,300 ± 4.5%
Morning Consult[282] July 22–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 44% 4 2,502 ± 2%
CBS News[283] July 22–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 44% 1 1,118 ± 4%
CNN/ORC[284] July 22–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 48% 3 882 ± 3.5%
University of Delaware[285] July 21–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 42% 4 818 ± 4%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[286] July 18–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 45% 1 12,931 ± 1.2%
USC/Los Angeles Times[280] July 18–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 45% 4 2,083 ± 3%
Echelon Insights[287] July 21–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 41% 4 912 ± ?%
Ipsos/Reuters[288] July 18–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 38% 3 1,036 ± 4.0%
USC/Los Angeles Times[289] July 16–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 44% 2 2,010 ± %
American Research Group[290] July 17–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 42% 1 990 ± 3.2%
Ipsos/Reuters[291] July 16–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 36% 4 1,522 ± 2.9%
Rasmussen Reports[292] July 18–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 43% 1 1,000 ± 3.0%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[293] July 13–18, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 43% 7 900 ± 3.27%
Economist/YouGov[294] July 15–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 41% 4 925 ± 4.5%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[295] July 11–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 45% 1 9,436 ± 1.4%
Morning Consult[296] July 14–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 39% 2 2,002 ± 2%
CNN/ORC[297] July 13–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 42% 7 872 ± 3.5%
icitizen[298] July 12–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 41% 5 1,000 ± %
ABC News/Washington Post[299] July 11–14, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 43% 4 1,003 ± 3.5%
USC/Los Angeles Times[300] July 8–14, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 43% 3 1,608 ± 3.0%
Rasmussen Reports[301] July 12–13, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 44% 7 1,000 ± 3.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[302] July 9–13, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 41% 5 1,000 ± 3.1%
CBS News/New York Times[303] July 8–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 40% Tied 1,358 ± 3.0%
The Economist/YouGov[304] July 9–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 43% 2 1,300 ± 4.2%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[305] July 4–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 44% 3 7,869 ± 1.4%
Morning Consult[306] July 8–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 41% 1 2,001 ± 2%
McClatchy-Marist[307] July 5–9, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 39% 3 1,053 ± 3%
Ipsos/Reuters[308] July 2–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 33% 11 1,345 ± 2.8%
Rasmussen Reports[309] July 5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 42% 2 1,000 ± 3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters[310] July 1–5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 33% 13 1,441 ± 3.0%
The Economist/YouGov[311] July 2–4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 42% 5 1,300 ± 3.9%
Morning Consult[312] June 30 – July 4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 40% 1 2,001 ± 2%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[313] June 27 – July 3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 43% 5 10,072 ± 1.3%
Ipsos/Reuters[314] June 27 – July 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 35% 9.4 1,080 ± 3.5%
Rasmussen Reports[315] June 28–29, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 43% 4 1,000 ± 3.0%
Suffolk University/USA Today[316] June 26–29, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 40% 5.2 1,000 ± 3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters[317] June 25–29, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 32% 10 1,247 ± 2.8%
IBD/TIPP[318] June 24–29, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 40% 4 837 ± 3.5%
One America News Network/Gravis Marketing[319] June 27–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 50% Tied 2,162 ± 2.1%
Public Policy Polling[320] June 27–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 44% 4 947 ± 3.2%
Fox News[321] June 26–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 38% 6 1,017 ± 3%
Morning Consult[322] June 24–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 39% 5 1,998 ± 2%
Quinnipiac University[323] June 21–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 40% 2 1,610 ± 2.4%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[324] June 20–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 41% 8 5,818 ± 1.8%
Pew Research[325] June 15–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 42% 9 1,655 ± 2.7%
Ipsos/Reuters[326] June 20–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 33% 14 1,201 ± 3.3%
ABC News/Washington Post[327] June 20–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 39% 12 1,001 ± 3.5%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[328] June 19–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 41% 5 1,000 ± 3.1%
Ipsos/Reuters[329] June 18–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 34% 10 1,339 ± 2.8%
Rasmussen Reports[330] June 20–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 39% 5 1,000 ± 3%
Economist/YouGov[331] June 18–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 39% 4 1,011 ± 4.2%
American Research Group[332] June 17–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 41% 9 987 ± 3.2%
Morning Consult[333] June 15–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 40% 2 3,891 ± 2%
CNN/ORC[334] June 16–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 42% 5 891 ± 3.5%
Monmouth University[335] June 15–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 40% 7 803 ± 3.5%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[336] June 13–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 42% 6 16,135 ± 1.1%
Reuters/Ipsos[337] June 13–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 35% 10.7 1,133 ± 3.4%
One America News Network/Gravis Marketing[338] June 16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 49% 2 2,197 ± 2.1%
Rasmussen Reports[339] June 14–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 39% 5 1,000 ± 3%
Ipsos/Reuters[340] June 11–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 32% 9 1,323 ± 2.8%
CNBC[341] June 11–13, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 35% 5 801 ± 3.5%
CBS News[342] June 9–13, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 37% 6 1,048 ± 3.0%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[343] June 6–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 42% 7 9,355 ± 1.4%
Bernie Sanders 52% Donald Trump 39% 13
Morning Consult[344] June 8–9, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 37% 5 1,362 ± 3%
Fox News[345] June 5–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 39% 3 1,004 ± 3%
Bernie Sanders 49% Donald Trump 38% 11
Ipsos/Reuters[346] June 4–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 34% 8 1,716 ± 2.7%
Rasmussen Reports[347] June 6–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 38% 4 1,000 ± 3%
Morning Consult[348] June 3–5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 40% 4 4,002 ± 2%
Bernie Sanders 51% Donald Trump 38% 13
YouGov/Economist[349] June 2–5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 41% 3 1,636 ± 3.2%
Bernie Sanders 48% Donald Trump 37% 11
IBD/TIPP[350] May 31 – June 5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 40% 5 828 ± 3.3%
Bernie Sanders 49% Donald Trump 39% 10
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[351] May 30 – June 5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 44% 4 9,240 ± 1.4%
Bernie Sanders 52% Donald Trump 40% 12
Rasmussen Reports[352] May 31 – June 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 38% 1 1,000 ± 3%
Ipsos/Reuters[353] May 28 – June 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 34% 9 1,332 ± 2.8%
Morning Consult[354] May 24–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 39% 3 4,002 ± 2%
Quinnipiac University[355] May 24–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 41% 4 1,561 ± 2.5%
Bernie Sanders 48% Donald Trump 39% 9
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[356] May 23–29, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 45% 2 12,969 ± 1.2%
Bernie Sanders 52% Donald Trump 40% 12
Ipsos/Reuters[357] May 21–25, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 36% 5 1,576 ± 2.8%
Rasmussen Reports[358] May 23–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 39% 1 1,000 ± 3.0%
YouGov/Economist[359] May 20–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 41% 1 2,000 ± 3.1%
Bernie Sanders 48% Donald Trump 39% 9
Morning Consult[360] May 19–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 35% 3 2,001 ± 2%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[361] May 16–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 43% 4 14,513 ± 1%
Bernie Sanders 53% Donald Trump 41% 12
American Research Group[362] May 17–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 46% Tie 2,001 ± 2%
ABC News/Washington Post[363] May 16–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 46% 2 829 ± 3.5%
Schoen Consulting[364] May 16–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 42% 2 1,000 ± 3%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[365] May 15–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 43% 3 1,000 ± 3.0%
Bernie Sanders 54% Donald Trump 39% 15
Rasmussen Reports[366] May 17–18, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 42% 5 1,000 ± 3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters[367] May 14–18, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 36% 5 1,677 ± 2.7%
Fox News[368] May 14–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 45% 3 1,021 ± 3%
Bernie Sanders 46% Donald Trump 42% 4
CBS News/New York Times[369] May 13–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 41% 6 1,300 ± 3%
Bernie Sanders 51% Donald Trump 38% 13
McLaughlin[370] May 11–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 42% 4 1,000 ± 3.1%
Morning Consult[371] May 11–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 40% 2 3,971 ± 2%
Bernie Sanders 50% Donald Trump 37% 13
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[372] May 9–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 45% 3 12,507 ± 1.2%
Bernie Sanders 53% Donald Trump 41% 12
Ipsos/Reuters[373] May 7–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 37% 4 1,611 ± 2.8%
Ipsos/Reuters[374] May 6–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 40% 1 1,289 ± 3.0%
Public Policy Polling[375] May 6–9, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 41% 6 1,222 ± 3.2%
Bernie Sanders 50% Donald Trump 39% 11
Ipsos/Reuters[376] April 30 – May 4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 36% 9 1,277 ± 3.1%
Morning Consult[377] April 29 – May 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 40% 5 1,976 ± 2.0%
CNN/ORC[378] April 28 – May 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 54% Donald Trump 41% 13 1,001 ± 3.5%
Rasmussen Reports[379] April 27–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 41% 2 1,000 ± 3.0%
Rasmussen Reports[380] April 25–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 38% Tied 1,000 ± 3.0%
GWU/Battleground[381] April 17–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 43% 3 1,000 ± 3.1%
Bernie Sanders 51% Donald Trump 40% 11
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[382] April 10–14, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 39% 11 1,000 ± 3.1%
Hillary Clinton 46% Ted Cruz 44% 2
Hillary Clinton 39% John Kasich 51% 12
Bernie Sanders 52% Ted Cruz 40% 12
Fox News[383] April 11–13, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 41% 7 1,021 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 44% 1
Hillary Clinton 40% John Kasich 49% 9
Bernie Sanders 53% Donald Trump 39% 14
Bernie Sanders 51% Ted Cruz 39% 12
Bernie Sanders 47% John Kasich 43% 4
CBS News[384] April 8–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 40% 10 1,098 ± 3.0%
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 42% 3
Hillary Clinton 41% John Kasich 47% 6
Bernie Sanders 53% Donald Trump 36% 17
Bernie Sanders 50% Ted Cruz 38% 12
Bernie Sanders 46% John Kasich 41% 5
IBD/TIPP[385] March 28 – April 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 35% 12 902 ± 3.3%
Hillary Clinton 44% Ted Cruz 39% 5
Hillary Clinton 38% John Kasich 45% 7
Bernie Sanders 53% Donald Trump 36% 17
Bernie Sanders 50% Ted Cruz 38% 12
Bernie Sanders 45% John Kasich 42% 3
McClatchy-Marist[386] March 29–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 41% 9 1,297 ± 2.7%
Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 47% Tied
Hillary Clinton 42% John Kasich 51% 9
Bernie Sanders 57% Donald Trump 37% 20
Bernie Sanders 53% Ted Cruz 41% 12
Bernie Sanders 52% John Kasich 41% 11
Public Policy Polling[387] March 24–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 41% 7 1,083 ± 3.0%
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 42% 3
Hillary Clinton 41% John Kasich 45% 4
Hillary Clinton 44% Paul Ryan 39% 5
Hillary Clinton 45% Mitt Romney 32% 13
Bernie Sanders 48% Donald Trump 40% 8
Bernie Sanders 48% Ted Cruz 41% 7
Bernie Sanders 41% John Kasich 44% 3
Bernie Sanders 45% Paul Ryan 38% 7
Bernie Sanders 48% Mitt Romney 31% 17
Bloomberg Politics[388] March 19–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 54% Donald Trump 36% 18 815 ± 5.1%
Hillary Clinton 51% Ted Cruz 42% 9
Hillary Clinton 43% John Kasich 47% 4
Quinnipiac University[389] March 16–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 40% 6 1,451 ± 2.6%
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 42% 3
Hillary Clinton 39% John Kasich 47% 8
Bernie Sanders 52% Donald Trump 38% 14
Bernie Sanders 50% Ted Cruz 39% 11
Bernie Sanders 44% John Kasich 45% 1
CBS News/New York Times[390] March 17–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 40% 10 1,058 ± 3.0%
Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 44% 3
Hillary Clinton 43% John Kasich 47% 4
Bernie Sanders 53% Donald Trump 38% 15
CNN/ORC[391] March 17–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 53% Donald Trump 41% 12 925 ± 3.0%
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 48% Tied
Hillary Clinton 45% John Kasich 51% 6
Bernie Sanders 58% Donald Trump 38% 20
Bernie Sanders 55% Ted Cruz 42% 13
Bernie Sanders 51% John Kasich 45% 6
Monmouth University[392] March 17–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 38% 10 848 ± 3.4%
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 40% 5
Hillary Clinton 39% John Kasich 45% 6
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[393] March 3–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 38% 13 1,200 ± 2.83%
Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 45% 2
Hillary Clinton 46% Marco Rubio 46% Tied
Bernie Sanders 55% Donald Trump 37% 18
ABC News/Washington Post[394] March 3–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 41% 9 864 ± 4%
Rasmussen Reports[395] February 29 – March 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 36% 5 1,000 ± 3%
CNN/ORC[396] February 24–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 52% Donald Trump 44% 8 920 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 49% 1
Hillary Clinton 47% Marco Rubio 50% 3
Bernie Sanders 55% Donald Trump 43% 12
Bernie Sanders 57% Ted Cruz 40% 17
Bernie Sanders 53% Marco Rubio 45% 8
Fox News[397] February 15–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 42% 5 1,031 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 46% 1
Hillary Clinton 44% Marco Rubio 48% 4
Hillary Clinton 44% John Kasich 47% 3
Hillary Clinton 45% Jeb Bush 46% 1
Bernie Sanders 53% Donald Trump 38% 15
Suffolk University/USA Today[398] February 11–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 45% 2 1,000 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 42% Marco Rubio 48% 6
Hillary Clinton 44% Ted Cruz 45% 1
Hillary Clinton 38% John Kasich 49% 11
Bernie Sanders 42% Marco Rubio 46% 4
Bernie Sanders 44% Ted Cruz 42% 2
Bernie Sanders 41% John Kasich 44% 3
Bernie Sanders 43% Donald Trump 44% 1
Quinnipiac University[399] February 10–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 43% 1 1,342 ± 2.7%
Hillary Clinton 43% Ted Cruz 46% 3
Hillary Clinton 41% Marco Rubio 48% 7
Hillary Clinton 43% Jeb Bush 44% 1
Hillary Clinton 39% John Kasich 47% 8
Bernie Sanders 48% Donald Trump 42% 6
Bernie Sanders 49% Ted Cruz 39% 10
Bernie Sanders 47% Marco Rubio 41% 6
Bernie Sanders 49% Jeb Bush 39% 10
Bernie Sanders 45% John Kasich 41% 4
Quinnipiac University[400] February 2–4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 41% 5 1,125 ± 2.9%
Hillary Clinton 41% Marco Rubio 48% 7
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 45% Tied
Bernie Sanders 49% Donald Trump 39% 10
Bernie Sanders 46% Ted Cruz 42% 4
Bernie Sanders 43% Marco Rubio 43% Tied
Public Policy Polling[401] February 2–3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 39% 7 1,236
Hillary Clinton 47% Ben Carson 44% 3
Hillary Clinton 46% Ted Cruz 44% 2
Hillary Clinton 44% Marco Rubio 46% 2
Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 40% 7
Bernie Sanders 46% Jeb Bush 40% 6
Bernie Sanders 44% Ben Carson 44% Tied
Bernie Sanders 44% Ted Cruz 42% 2
Bernie Sanders 43% Marco Rubio 45% 2
Bernie Sanders 46% Donald Trump 42% 4
CNN/ORC[402] January 21–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 47% 1 1,002 ± 3.0%
Hillary Clinton 47% Marco Rubio 50% 3
Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 50% 3
Bernie Sanders 50% Donald Trump 47% 3
Bernie Sanders 49% Marco Rubio 48% 1
Bernie Sanders 50% Ted Cruz 47% 3
Morning Consult[403] January 14–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Jeb Bush 39% 4 4060 ± 2.0%
Hillary Clinton 43% Chris Christie 39% 4
Hillary Clinton 42% Ben Carson 42% Tied
Hillary Clinton 43% Marco Rubio 41% 2
Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 42% 2
Hillary Clinton 43% Ted Cruz 41% 2
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[404] January 9–13, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 41% 10 800 ± 3.5%
Bernie Sanders 54% Donald Trump 39% 15
Morning Consult[405] January 8–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Jeb Bush 40% 3 2173 ± 2.0%
Hillary Clinton 43% Chris Christie 39% 4
Hillary Clinton 42% Ben Carson 41% 1
Hillary Clinton 43% Marco Rubio 40% 3
Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 44% 2
Hillary Clinton 44% Ted Cruz 40% 4
Gravis Marketing/One America News Network[406] January 10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 51% 2 2416 ± 2.0%
Hillary Clinton 50% Jeb Bush 50% Tied
Hillary Clinton 48% Marco Rubio 52% 4
Hillary Clinton 49% Rand Paul 51% 2
Hillary Clinton 50% Ted Cruz 50% Tied
Hillary Clinton 49% Ben Carson 51% 2
Hillary Clinton 50% Carly Fiorina 50% Tied
Fox News[407] January 4–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Jeb Bush 44% Tied 1006 3.0%
Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 47% 3
Hillary Clinton 43% Ted Cruz 50% 7
Hillary Clinton 41% Marco Rubio 50% 9

Polls conducted in 2015

[edit]
Polls in 2015
Poll source Date Democratic
candidate 		% Republican
candidate 		% Leading by % Sample
Size 		Margin of error
Rasmussen Reports[408] December 22–23, 2015 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 36% 1 1000 ± 3.0%
CNN/ORC[409] December 17–21, 2015 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 47% 2 927 ± 3.0%
Hillary Clinton 46% Marco Rubio 49% 3
Hillary Clinton 46% Ted Cruz 48% 2
Ipsos/Reuters[410] December 16–21, 2015 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 27% 12 1627 ± 2.8–3.7%
Emerson College Polling Society[411] December 17–20, 2015 Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 41% 5 754 ± 3.4%
Hillary Clinton 45% Marco Rubio 45% Tied
Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 46% 2
Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 45% 2
Quinnipiac University[412] December 16–20, 2015 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 40% 7 1140 ± 2.9%
Hillary Clinton 44% Marco Rubio 43% 1
Hillary Clinton 44% Ted Cruz 44% Tied
Bernie Sanders 51% Donald Trump 38% 13
Bernie Sanders 42% Marco Rubio 45% 3
Bernie Sanders 43% Ted Cruz 44% 1
Fox News[413] December 16–17, 2015 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 38% 11 1013 ± 3.0%
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 45% Tied
Hillary Clinton 43% Marco Rubio 45% 2
Hillary Clinton 46% Ben Carson 44% 2
Public Policy Polling[414] December 16–17, 2015 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 43% 3 1267 ± 2.8%
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 43% 2
Hillary Clinton 43% Marco Rubio 44% 1
Hillary Clinton 45% Ben Carson 45% Tied
Hillary Clinton 44% Jeb Bush 39% 5
Bernie Sanders 41% Donald Trump 43% 2
Bernie Sanders 41% Ted Cruz 42% 1
Bernie Sanders 39% Marco Rubio 42% 3
Bernie Sanders 41% Ben Carson 41% Tied
Bernie Sanders 41% Jeb Bush 42% 1
Morning Consult[415] December 11–15, 2015 Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 38% 8 4038 ± 2.0%
Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 35% 11
Hillary Clinton 45% Ben Carson 39% 6
Hillary Clinton 45% Marco Rubio 36% 9
Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 41% 5
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 37% 9
ABC News/Washington Post[416] December 10–13, 2015 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 44% 6 851 ± 3.5%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[417] December 6–9, 2015 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 40% 10 1000 ± 3.4%
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 45% 3
Hillary Clinton 46% Ben Carson 47% 1
Hillary Clinton 45% Marco Rubio 48% 3
Hillary Clinton 51% Jeb Bush 49% 2
Hillary Clinton 50% Marco Rubio 50% Tied
Hillary Clinton 51% Rand Paul 49% 2
Hillary Clinton 52% Ted Cruz 48% 4
Hillary Clinton 51% Ben Carson 49% 2
Hillary Clinton 52% Carly Fiorina 48% 4
Morning Consult[418] December 3–7, 2015
Hillary Clinton 41% Jeb Bush 41% Tied 2047 ± 2.0%
Hillary Clinton 40% Chris Christie 40% Tied
Hillary Clinton 40% Ben Carson 45% 5
Hillary Clinton 40% Marco Rubio 41% 1
Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 45% 5
Hillary Clinton 42% Ted Cruz 40% 2
USA Today/Suffolk University[419] December 2–6, 2015 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 44% 4 1000 ± 3.0%
Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 45% 2
Hillary Clinton 45% Marco Rubio 48% 3
Hillary Clinton 46% Ben Carson 45% 1
Saint Leo University Polling Institute[420] November 29 – December 3, 2015 Hillary Clinton 51% Ben Carson 38% 13 1007 ± 3.0%
Hillary Clinton 48% Marco Rubio 38% 10
Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 37% 14
Hillary Clinton 52% Ted Cruz 36% 16
Hillary Clinton 49% Jeb Bush 35% 14
Hillary Clinton 51% Carly Fiorina 32% 19
MSNBC/Telemundo/Marist[421] November 15 – December 2, 2015 Hillary Clinton 52% Donald Trump 41% 11 2360 ± 2.0%
Hillary Clinton 51% Ted Cruz 44% 7
Hillary Clinton 49% Jeb Bush 45% 4
Hillary Clinton 48% Marco Rubio 45% 3
Hillary Clinton 48% Ben Carson 47% 1
CNN/ORC[422] November 27 – December 1, 2015
Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 46% 3 1020 ± 3.0%
Hillary Clinton 47% Ben Carson 50% 3
Hillary Clinton 48% Marco Rubio 49% 1
Hillary Clinton 50% Ted Cruz 47% 3
Hillary Clinton 49% Jeb Bush 47% 2
Quinnipiac University[423] November 23–30, 2015
Hillary Clinton 46% Ben Carson 43% 3 1453 ± 2.6%
Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 41% 6
Hillary Clinton 45% Marco Rubio 44% 1
Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 42% 5
Bernie Sanders 47% Ben Carson 41% 6
Bernie Sanders 49% Donald Trump 41% 8
Bernie Sanders 44% Marco Rubio 43% 1
Bernie Sanders 49% Ted Cruz 39% 10
ABC News/Washington Post[424] November 16–19, 2015
Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 43% 3 1004 ± 3.5%
Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 42% 8
Hillary Clinton 49% Ben Carson 40% 9
Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 40% 7
Hillary Clinton 47% Marco Rubio 43% 4
Fox News[425] November 16–19, 2015
Bernie Sanders 41% Donald Trump 46% 5 1016 ± 3.0%
Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 46% 5
Hillary Clinton 42% Ben Carson 47% 5
Hillary Clinton 42% Marco Rubio 50% 8
Hillary Clinton 41% Ted Cruz 45% 4
Hillary Clinton 39% Jeb Bush 45% 6
Hillary Clinton 42% Carly Fiorina 42% Tied
Hillary Clinton 43% Chris Christie 46% 3
Public Policy Polling[426] November 16–17, 2015 Hillary Clinton 43% Jeb Bush 41% 2 1360 ± 2.7%
Hillary Clinton 46% Ben Carson 45% 1
Hillary Clinton 46% Ted Cruz 44% 2
Hillary Clinton 46% Carly Fiorina 41% 5
Hillary Clinton 43% Marco Rubio 45% 2
Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 44% 1
Bernie Sanders 39% Jeb Bush 42% 3
Bernie Sanders 39% Ben Carson 46% 7
Bernie Sanders 39% Ted Cruz 44% 5
Bernie Sanders 40% Carly Fiorina 42% 2
Bernie Sanders 38% Marco Rubio 44% 6
Bernie Sanders 41% Donald Trump 44% 3
McClatchy-Marist[427] October 29 – November 4, 2015 Hillary Clinton 56% Donald Trump 41% 15 540 ± 4.2%
Hillary Clinton 50% Ben Carson 48% 2
Hillary Clinton 50% Marco Rubio 45% 5
Hillary Clinton 52% Jeb Bush 44% 8
Hillary Clinton 53% Ted Cruz 43% 10
Hillary Clinton 53% Carly Fiorina 43% 10
Bernie Sanders 53% Donald Trump 41% 12
Bernie Sanders 45% Ben Carson 47% 2
Bernie Sanders 48% Marco Rubio 45% 3
Bernie Sanders 51% Jeb Bush 41% 10
Bernie Sanders 51% Ted Cruz 39% 12
Bernie Sanders 53% Carly Fiorina 39% 14
Quinnipiac University[428] October 29 – November 2, 2015 Hillary Clinton 40% Ben Carson 50% 10 1144 ± 2.9%
Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 43% 3
Hillary Clinton 41% Marco Rubio 46% 5
Hillary Clinton 43% Ted Cruz 46% 3
Hillary Clinton 41% Chris Christie 46% 5
Bernie Sanders 39% Ben Carson 51% 12
Bernie Sanders 46% Donald Trump 44% 2
Bernie Sanders 41% Marco Rubio 47% 6
Bernie Sanders 44% Ted Cruz 45% 1
Bernie Sanders 42% Chris Christie 45% 3
Morning Consult[429] October 29 – November 1, 2015 Hillary Clinton 45% Jeb Bush 39% 6 2350 ± 2.0%
Hillary Clinton 47% Rand Paul 37% 10
Hillary Clinton 43% Ben Carson 44% 1
Hillary Clinton 45% Marco Rubio 39% 6
Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 44% Tied
Hillary Clinton 46% Carly Fiorina 36% 10
Bay News 9/News 13/SurveyUSA[430] October 28 – November 1, 2015 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 47% 4 2712 ± 2.0%
Hillary Clinton 44% Ben Carson 47% 3
Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 44% 2
Hillary Clinton 46% Marco Rubio 45% 1
Hillary Clinton 48% Carly Fiorina 42% 6
Bernie Sanders 41% Donald Trump 50% 9
Bernie Sanders 40% Ben Carson 48% 8
Bernie Sanders 44% Jeb Bush 46% 2
Bernie Sanders 44% Marco Rubio 46% 2
Bernie Sanders 46% Carly Fiorina 43% 3
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[431] October 25–29, 2015 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 42% 8 847 ± 3.4%
Hillary Clinton 47% Ben Carson 47% Tied
Hillary Clinton 47% Marco Rubio 42% 5
Hillary Clinton 47% Jeb Bush 43% 4
Bernie Sanders 50% Donald Trump 41% 9
Bernie Sanders 46% Marco Rubio 41% 5
Hillary Clinton 50% Jeb Bush 50% Tied
Hillary Clinton 50% Marco Rubio 50% Tied
Hillary Clinton 53% Rand Paul 47% 6
Hillary Clinton 53% Ted Cruz 47% 6
Hillary Clinton 49% Ben Carson 51% 2
Hillary Clinton 52% Carly Fiorina 48% 4
Morning Consult[432] October 22–25, 2015 Hillary Clinton 41% Jeb Bush 41% Tied 1689 ± 2.0%
Hillary Clinton 44% Rand Paul 38% 6
Hillary Clinton 41% Ben Carson 42% 1
Hillary Clinton 43% Marco Rubio 38% 5
Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 43% Tied
Hillary Clinton 44% Carly Fiorina 37% 7
Saint Leo University Polling Institute[433] October 17–22, 2015 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 38% 9 1005 ± 3.0%
Hillary Clinton 46% Ben Carson 42% 4
Hillary Clinton 47% Carly Fiorina 36% 11
Hillary Clinton 46% Marco Rubio 39% 7
Hillary Clinton 45% Jeb Bush 34% 11
Rasmussen Reports[434] October 18–19, 2015 Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 38% 2 1000 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 40% Carly Fiorina 34% 6
Morning Consult[435] October 15–19, 2015 Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 37% 9 2017 ± 2.0%
Hillary Clinton 48% Rand Paul 35% 13
Hillary Clinton 43% Ben Carson 41% 2
Hillary Clinton 47% Marco Rubio 35% 12
Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 41% 3
Hillary Clinton 45% Carly Fiorina 34% 11
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[436] October 15–18, 2015 Hillary Clinton 47% Ben Carson 45% 2 400 ± 4.9%
Hillary Clinton 46% Marco Rubio 45% 1
Hillary Clinton 49% Ted Cruz 41% 8
Bernie Sanders 44% Ben Carson 43% 1
Bernie Sanders 45% Marco Rubio 41% 4
Bernie Sanders 50% Ted Cruz 38% 12
Emerson College Polling Society[437] October 15–18, 2015 Hillary Clinton 43% Jeb Bush 45% 2 783 ± 3.4%
Hillary Clinton 45% Ben Carson 48% 3
Hillary Clinton 45% Marco Rubio 44% 1
Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 46% 2
Bernie Sanders 42% Donald Trump 46% 4
Hillary Clinton 45% Carly Fiorina 44% 1
CNN/ORC[438] October 14–17, 2015 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 45% 5 956 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 47% Ben Carson 48% 1
Bernie Sanders 53% Donald Trump 44% 9
Bernie Sanders 46% Ben Carson 48% 2
Joe Biden 53% Donald Trump 43% 10
Joe Biden 52% Ben Carson 44% 8
Morning Consult[439] October 8–12, 2015 Hillary Clinton 41% Jeb Bush 41% Tied 2002 ± 2%
Hillary Clinton 43% Rand Paul 37% 6
Hillary Clinton 41% Ben Carson 43% 2
Hillary Clinton 43% Marco Rubio 39% 4
Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 41% 2
Hillary Clinton 41% Carly Fiorina 36% 5
Fox News[440] October 10–12, 2015 Hillary Clinton 39% Carly Fiorina 42% 3 1004 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 40% Jeb Bush 42% 2
Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 45% 5
Hillary Clinton 39% Ben Carson 50% 11
Joe Biden 50% Donald Trump 37% 13
Joe Biden 46% Jeb Bush 41% 5
Joe Biden 46% Carly Fiorina 42% 4
Joe Biden 46% Ben Carson 42% 4
Joe Biden 44% Marco Rubio 43% 1
Public Policy Polling[441] October 1–4, 2015 Hillary Clinton 42% Jeb Bush 43% 1 1338 ± 2.7%
Hillary Clinton 44% Ben Carson 48% 4
Joe Biden 42% Ben Carson 45% 3
Bernie Sanders 35% Ben Carson 46% 11
Hillary Clinton 46% Ted Cruz 42% 4
Hillary Clinton 44% Carly Fiorina 42% 1
Joe Biden 46% Carly Fiorina 40% 6
Bernie Sanders 38% Carly Fiorina 44% 6
Hillary Clinton 46% Mike Huckabee 39% 7
Hillary Clinton 42% John Kasich 39% 3
Hillary Clinton 43% Marco Rubio 43% Tied
Joe Biden 45% Marco Rubio 40% 5
Bernie Sanders 38% Marco Rubio 42% 4
Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 44% Tied
Joe Biden 48% Donald Trump 40% 8
Bernie Sanders 44% Donald Trump 44% Tied
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[442] September 20–24, 2015 Hillary Clinton 45% Jeb Bush 44% 1 1000 ± 3.10%
Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 39% 10
Hillary Clinton 45% Ben Carson 46% 1
Hillary Clinton 44% Carly Fiorina 45% 1
Joe Biden 48% Jeb Bush 40% 8
Joe Biden 56% Donald Trump 35% 21
Joe Biden 49% Ben Carson 41% 8
Joe Biden 47% Carly Fiorina 41% 6
Bernie Sanders 52% Donald Trump 36% 16
Quinnipiac University[443] September 17–24, 2015 Hillary Clinton 42% Jeb Bush 44% 2 1574 ± 2.5%
Hillary Clinton 42% Ben Carson 49% 7
Hillary Clinton 43% Carly Fiorina 44% 1
Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 43% 2
Joe Biden 46% Jeb Bush 41% 5
Joe Biden 45% Ben Carson 45% Tied
Joe Biden 46% Carly Fiorina 43% 3
Joe Biden 51% Donald Trump 40% 11
Bernie Sanders 44% Jeb Bush 44% Tied
Bernie Sanders 39% Ben Carson 49% 10
Bernie Sanders 43% Carly Fiorina 44% 1
Bernie Sanders 47% Donald Trump 42% 5
Fox News[444] September 20–22, 2015 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 42% 4 1013 ± 3%
MSNBC/Telemundo/Marist[445] August 26 – September 9, 2015 Hillary Clinton 50% Marco Rubio 44% 6 1115 ± 2.9%
Hillary Clinton 53% Donald Trump 40% 13
Hillary Clinton 49% Jeb Bush 45% 4
Hillary Clinton 52% Ted Cruz 41% 11
Joe Biden 50% Marco Rubio 42% 8
Joe Biden 56% Donald Trump 38% 18
Joe Biden 50% Jeb Bush 42% 8
Joe Biden 54% Ted Cruz 41% 13
ABC News/Washington Post[446] September 7–10, 2015 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 43% 3 1003 ± 4%
CNN/ORC[447] September 4–8, 2015 Hillary Clinton 47% Jeb Bush 49% 2 1012 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 48% Tied
Hillary Clinton 46% Ben Carson 51% 5
Joe Biden 52% Jeb Bush 44% 8
Joe Biden 54% Donald Trump 44% 10
Joe Biden 47% Ben Carson 50% 3
SurveyUSA[448] September 2–3, 2015 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 45% 5 1000 ± 3.3%
Bernie Sanders 40% Donald Trump 44% 4
Joe Biden 42% Donald Trump 44% 2
Al Gore 41% Donald Trump 44% 3
Public Policy Polling[449] August 28–30, 2015 Hillary Clinton 44% Ben Carson 44% Tied 1254 ± 2.8%
Hillary Clinton 45% Carly Fiorina 43% 2
Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 44% 2
Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 42% 4
Bernie Sanders 39% Carly Fiorina 38% 1
Bernie Sanders 42% Donald Trump 43% 1
Bernie Sanders 36% Ben Carson 42% 6
Bernie Sanders 40% Jeb Bush 41% 1
Joe Biden 47% Donald Trump 41% 6
Joe Biden 44% Jeb Bush 41% 3
Fox News[450] August 11–13, 2015 Hillary Clinton 47% Carly Fiorina 40% 7 1008 ± 3.0%
Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 42% 5
Hillary Clinton 44% Marco Rubio 46% 2
Hillary Clinton 42% Jeb Bush 44% 2
Morning Consult[451] August 7–9, 2015 Hillary Clinton 44% Jeb Bush 41% 3 2029 ± 2.0%
Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 41% 6
Hillary Clinton 48% Scott Walker 35% 13
Hillary Clinton 46% Rand Paul 39% 7
Hillary Clinton 46% Marco Rubio 39% 7
Gravis Marketing[452] August 5, 2015 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 50% Tied 1535 2.5%
Hillary Clinton 49% Jeb Bush 51% 2
Hillary Clinton 50% Scott Walker 50% Tied
Hillary Clinton 52% Marco Rubio 48% 4
Hillary Clinton 53% Rand Paul 47% 6
Hillary Clinton 53% Ted Cruz 47% 6
Hillary Clinton 52% Ben Carson 48% 4
Hillary Clinton 52% Rick Perry 48% 4
Hillary Clinton 54% Carly Fiorina 46% 8
McClatchy-Marist[453] July 22–28, 2015 Hillary Clinton 49% Jeb Bush 43% 6 964 ± 2.8%
Hillary Clinton 49% Ben Carson 39% 10
Hillary Clinton 50% Chris Christie 40% 10
Hillary Clinton 49% Ted Cruz 40% 9
Hillary Clinton 53% Carly Fiorina 35% 18
Hillary Clinton 53% Jim Gilmore 32% 21
Hillary Clinton 52% Lindsey Graham 35% 17
Hillary Clinton 50% Mike Huckabee 41% 9
Hillary Clinton 52% Bobby Jindal 36% 16
Hillary Clinton 49% John Kasich 39% 10
Hillary Clinton 50% George Pataki 37% 13
Hillary Clinton 48% Rand Paul 43% 5
Hillary Clinton 47% Rick Perry 40% 7
Hillary Clinton 47% Marco Rubio 42% 5
Hillary Clinton 51% Rick Santorum 39% 12
Hillary Clinton 54% Donald Trump 38% 16
Hillary Clinton 48% Scott Walker 41% 7
Quinnipiac University[454] July 23–28, 2015 Joe Biden 43% Jeb Bush 42% 1 1,644 ± 2.4%
Joe Biden 49% Donald Trump 37% 12
Joe Biden 43% Scott Walker 43% Tied
Hillary Clinton 41% Jeb Bush 42% 1
Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 36% 12
Hillary Clinton 44% Scott Walker 43% 1
Bernie Sanders 39% Jeb Bush 44% 5
Bernie Sanders 45% Donald Trump 37% 8
Bernie Sanders 37% Scott Walker 42% 5
CNN/ORC[455] July 22–25, 2015 Hillary Clinton 51% Jeb Bush 46% 5 898 ± 3.5%
Hillary Clinton 56% Donald Trump 40% 16
Hillary Clinton 53% Scott Walker 44% 9
Bernie Sanders 47% Jeb Bush 48% 1
Bernie Sanders 59% Donald Trump 38% 21
Bernie Sanders 48% Scott Walker 43% 5
Public Policy Polling[456] July 20–21, 2015 Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 41% 5 1,087 ± 3.0%
Hillary Clinton 47% Ben Carson 39% 8
Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 38% 8
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 40% 8
Hillary Clinton 47% Carly Fiorina 37% 10
Hillary Clinton 46% Mike Huckabee 40% 6
Hillary Clinton 45% Rand Paul 42% 5
Hillary Clinton 46% Marco Rubio 41% 5
Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 37% 13
Hillary Clinton 46% Scott Walker 41% 5
Bernie Sanders 37% Jeb Bush 44% 7
Bernie Sanders 36% Marco Rubio 41% 5
Bernie Sanders 47% Donald Trump 37% 10
Bernie Sanders 39% Scott Walker 40% 1
ABC News/Washington Post[457] July 16–19, 2015 Hillary Clinton 50% Jeb Bush 44% 6 815 ± 4.0%
CNN/ORC[458] June 26–28, 2015 Hillary Clinton 54% Jeb Bush 41% 13 1,017 ± 3.0%
Hillary Clinton 55% Chris Christie 39% 16
Hillary Clinton 56% Marco Rubio 40% 16
Hillary Clinton 59% Donald Trump 35% 24
Hillary Clinton 57% Scott Walker 40% 17
Zogby Analytics[459] June 23–25, 2015 Hillary Clinton 42% Jeb Bush 33% 9 1,341 ± ?
Hillary Clinton 44% Rand Paul 33% 9
Hillary Clinton 43% Marco Rubio 32% 11
Hillary Clinton 43% Scott Walker 33% 10
Fox News[460] June 21–23, 2015 Hillary Clinton 44% Michael Bloomberg 38% 6 1,005 ± 3.0%
Hillary Clinton 43% Jeb Bush 43% Tied
Hillary Clinton 46% Ben Carson 41% 5
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 42% 6
Hillary Clinton 45% Carly Fiorina 39% 6
Hillary Clinton 46% Rand Paul 42% 4
Hillary Clinton 48% Mitt Romney 42% 6
Hillary Clinton 45% Marco Rubio 44% 1
Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 42% 6
Hillary Clinton 47% Scott Walker 41% 6
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[461] June 14–18, 2015 Hillary Clinton 48% Jeb Bush 40% 8 1,000 ± 3.1%
Hillary Clinton 50% Marco Rubio 40% 10
Hillary Clinton 51% Scott Walker 37% 14
Public Policy Polling[462] June 11–14, 2015 Hillary Clinton 45% Jeb Bush 41% 4 1,129 ± 2.9%
Hillary Clinton 46% Ben Carson 43% 3
Hillary Clinton 45% Chris Christie 41% 4
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 42% 6
Hillary Clinton 46% Carly Fiorina 40% 6
Hillary Clinton 47% Mike Huckabee 42% 5
Hillary Clinton 47% Rand Paul 40% 7
Hillary Clinton 46% Marco Rubio 43% 3
Hillary Clinton 46% Scott Walker 42% 4
Lincoln Chafee 27% Scott Walker 39% 12
Martin O'Malley 31% Scott Walker 39% 8
Bernie Sanders 32% Scott Walker 40% 8
Jim Webb 28% Scott Walker 39% 11
CNN/ORC[463] May 29–31, 2015 Hillary Clinton 51% Jeb Bush 43% 8 1,025 ± 3.0%
Hillary Clinton 52% Ted Cruz 43% 9
Hillary Clinton 48% Rand Paul 47% 1
Hillary Clinton 49% Marco Rubio 46% 3
Hillary Clinton 49% Scott Walker 46% 3
ABC News/Washington Post[464] May 28–31, 2015 Hillary Clinton 47% Jeb Bush 44% 3 836 ± 4.0%
Quinnipiac University[465] May 19–26, 2015 Hillary Clinton 47% Jeb Bush 37% 10 1,711 ± 2.4%
Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 37% 9
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 37% 11
Hillary Clinton 47% Mike Huckabee 40% 7
Hillary Clinton 46% Rand Paul 42% 4
Hillary Clinton 45% Marco Rubio 41% 4
Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 32% 18
Hillary Clinton 46% Scott Walker 38% 8
Fox News[466] May 9–12, 2015 Hillary Clinton 44% Jeb Bush 45% 1 1,006 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 48% Ben Carson 42% 6
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 43% 5
Hillary Clinton 49% Carly Fiorina 37% 12
Hillary Clinton 47% Mike Huckabee 44% 3
Hillary Clinton 48% John Kasich 40% 8
Hillary Clinton 47% Marco Rubio 43% 4
Hillary Clinton 48% Scott Walker 42% 6
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[467] April 26–30, 2015 Hillary Clinton 49% Jeb Bush 43% 6 1,000 ± 3.1%
Hillary Clinton 47% Rand Paul 44% 3
Hillary Clinton 49% Marco Rubio 43% 6
Hillary Clinton 50% Scott Walker 40% 10
Joe Biden 40% Jeb Bush 48% 8
The Economist/YouGov[468] April 25–27, 2015 Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 34% 12 854 ± ?
Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 34% 12
Hillary Clinton 48% Mike Huckabee 34% 14
Fox News[469] April 19–21, 2015 Hillary Clinton 45% Jeb Bush 41% 4 1,012 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 42% 5
Hillary Clinton 46% Rand Paul 43% 3
Hillary Clinton 46% Marco Rubio 42% 4
Hillary Clinton 46% Scott Walker 40% 6
Quinnipiac University[470] April 16–21, 2015 Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 39% 7 1,353 ± 2.7%
Hillary Clinton 45% Chris Christie 40% 5
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 41% 7
Hillary Clinton 47% Mike Huckabee 42% 5
Hillary Clinton 46% Rand Paul 42% 4
Hillary Clinton 45% Marco Rubio 43% 2
Hillary Clinton 46% Scott Walker 41% 5
CNN/ORC[471] April 16–19, 2015 Hillary Clinton 56% Jeb Bush 39% 17 1,018 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 60% Ben Carson 36% 24
Hillary Clinton 58% Chris Christie 39% 19
Hillary Clinton 60% Ted Cruz 36% 24
Hillary Clinton 58% Mike Huckabee 37% 21
Hillary Clinton 58% Rand Paul 39% 19
Hillary Clinton 55% Marco Rubio 41% 14
Hillary Clinton 59% Scott Walker 37% 22
Rasmussen Reports[472] April 9 & 12, 2015 Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 38% 9 1,000 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 47% Rand Paul 37% 10
Fox News[473] March 29–31, 2015 Hillary Clinton 45% Jeb Bush 45% Tied 1,025 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 42% 6
Hillary Clinton 47% Rand Paul 45% 2
Hillary Clinton 47% Marco Rubio 43% 4
Hillary Clinton 48% Scott Walker 42% 6
Public Policy Polling[474] March 26–31, 2015 Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 40% 6 989 ± 3.1%
Hillary Clinton 47% Ben Carson 42% 5
Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 37% 9
Hillary Clinton 49% Ted Cruz 43% 6
Hillary Clinton 48% Mike Huckabee 41% 7
Hillary Clinton 46% Rand Paul 42% 4
Hillary Clinton 48% Rick Perry 39% 9
Hillary Clinton 46% Marco Rubio 43% 3
Hillary Clinton 46% Scott Walker 42% 4
Joe Biden 40% Scott Walker 46% 6
Elizabeth Warren 39% Scott Walker 43% 4
ABC News/Washington Post[475] March 26–29, 2015 Hillary Clinton 53% Jeb Bush 41% 12 ? ± 4%
Hillary Clinton 56% Ted Cruz 39% 17
Hillary Clinton 54% Marco Rubio 39% 15
Hillary Clinton 54% Scott Walker 40% 14
CNN/ORC[476] March 13–15, 2015 Hillary Clinton 55% Jeb Bush 40% 15 1,009 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 56% Ben Carson 40% 16
Hillary Clinton 55% Chris Christie 40% 15
Hillary Clinton 55% Mike Huckabee 41% 14
Hillary Clinton 54% Rand Paul 43% 11
Hillary Clinton 55% Marco Rubio 42% 13
Hillary Clinton 55% Scott Walker 40% 15
McClatchy-Marist[477] March 1–4, 2015 Hillary Clinton 49% Jeb Bush 42% 7 1,036 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 53% Ted Cruz 39% 14
Hillary Clinton 51% Rand Paul 40% 11
Hillary Clinton 51% Rick Perry 42% 9
Hillary Clinton 49% Marco Rubio 42% 7
Hillary Clinton 48% Scott Walker 44% 4
Quinnipiac University[478] February 26 – March 2, 2015 Hillary Clinton 45% Jeb Bush 42% 3 1,286 ± 2.7%
Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 39% 7
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 38% 10
Hillary Clinton 47% Mike Huckabee 40% 7
Hillary Clinton 47% Rand Paul 41% 6
Hillary Clinton 46% Marco Rubio 41% 5
Hillary Clinton 48% Scott Walker 39% 9
Rasmussen Reports[479] February 28 – March 1, 2015 Hillary Clinton 45% Jeb Bush 36% 9 1,000 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 47% Ben Carson 36% 11
Hillary Clinton 46% Scott Walker 41% 5
Public Policy Polling[480] February 20–22, 2015 Hillary Clinton 50% Jeb Bush 40% 10 691 ± 3.7%
Hillary Clinton 48% Ben Carson 40% 8
Hillary Clinton 48% Chris Christie 40% 8
Hillary Clinton 50% Ted Cruz 40% 10
Hillary Clinton 50% Mike Huckabee 41% 9
Hillary Clinton 47% Rand Paul 40% 7
Hillary Clinton 48% Rick Perry 41% 7
Hillary Clinton 48% Marco Rubio 41% 7
Hillary Clinton 48% Scott Walker 40% 8
Joe Biden 39% Jeb Bush 45% 6
Elizabeth Warren 41% Jeb Bush 43% 2
Fox News[481] January 25–27, 2015 Hillary Clinton 48% Jeb Bush 43% 5 1,009 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 48% Chris Christie 42% 6
Hillary Clinton 47% Rand Paul 44% 3
Hillary Clinton 46% Mitt Romney 46% Tied
Public Policy Polling[482] January 20–21, 2015 Hillary Clinton 45% Jeb Bush 41% 4 861 ± ?
Hillary Clinton 45% Chris Christie 40% 5
Hillary Clinton 46% Rand Paul 39% 7
Hillary Clinton 47% Mitt Romney 43% 4
Hillary Clinton 45% Scott Walker 42% 3
ABC News/Washington Post[483] January 12–15, 2015 Hillary Clinton 54% Jeb Bush 41% 13 843 ± 4%
Hillary Clinton 53% Chris Christie 40% 13
Hillary Clinton 56% Mike Huckabee 39% 17
Hillary Clinton 54% Rand Paul 41% 13
Hillary Clinton 55% Mitt Romney 40% 15
The Economist/YouGov[484] January 10–12, 2015 Hillary Clinton 43% Jeb Bush 32% 11 1,000 ± 4.8%
Greenberg Quinlan Roser Research[485] January 5–11, 2015 Hillary Clinton 52% Jeb Bush 40% 12 950 ± 3.2%
Hillary Clinton 49% Mitt Romney 43% 6

Polls conducted in 2014

[edit]
Polls in 2014
Poll source Date Democratic
candidate 		% Republican
candidate 		% Leading by % Sample
Size 		Margin of error
CNN/ORC[486] December 18–21 Hillary Clinton 54% Jeb Bush 41% 13 1,011 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 56% Ben Carson 35% 21
Hillary Clinton 56% Chris Christie 39% 17
Hillary Clinton 60% Ted Cruz 35% 25
Hillary Clinton 59% Mike Huckabee 38% 21
Hillary Clinton 58% Rand Paul 38% 20
Hillary Clinton 56% Paul Ryan 41% 15
Fox News[487] December 7–9 Hillary Clinton 49% Jeb Bush 42% 7 1,043 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 52% Chris Christie 40% 12
Hillary Clinton 53% John Kasich 37% 16
Hillary Clinton 51% Rand Paul 40% 11
McClatchy-Marist[488] December 3–9 Hillary Clinton 53% Jeb Bush 40% 13 923 ± 3.2%
Hillary Clinton 53% Chris Christie 41% 12
Hillary Clinton 54% Rand Paul 40% 14
Hillary Clinton 53% Mitt Romney 41% 12
Bloomberg Politics/Selzer & Co.[489] December 3–5 Hillary Clinton 43% Jeb Bush 37% 6 753 ± 3.6%
Hillary Clinton 42% Chris Christie 36% 6
Hillary Clinton 46% Ted Cruz 33% 13
Hillary Clinton 45% Rand Paul 37% 8
Hillary Clinton 45% Mitt Romney 39% 6
Quinnipiac University[490] November 18–23 Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 41% 5 1,623 ± 2.4%
Hillary Clinton 43% Chris Christie 42% 1
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 37% 11
Hillary Clinton 46% Mike Huckabee 41% 5
Hillary Clinton 46% Rand Paul 41% 5
Hillary Clinton 44% Mitt Romney 45% 1
Hillary Clinton 46% Paul Ryan 42% 4
McClatchy-Marist[491] September 24–29 Hillary Clinton 53% Jeb Bush 42% 11 884 ± 3.3%
Hillary Clinton 51% Chris Christie 42% 11
Hillary Clinton 52% Rand Paul 43% 9
McClatchy-Marist[492] August 4–7 Hillary Clinton 48% Jeb Bush 41% 7 806 ± 3.5%
Hillary Clinton 47% Chris Christie 41% 6
Hillary Clinton 48% Rand Paul 42% 6
Fox News[493] July 20–22 Hillary Clinton 52% Jeb Bush 39% 13 1,057 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 50% Chris Christie 40% 10
Hillary Clinton 54% John Kasich 35% 19
Hillary Clinton 52% Rand Paul 41% 11
CNN/ORC[494] July 18–20 Hillary Clinton 55% Mitt Romney 42% 13 899 ± 3%
Quinnipiac University[495] June 24–30 Hillary Clinton 48% Jeb Bush 41% 7 1,446 ± 2.6%
Hillary Clinton 47% Chris Christie 38% 9
Hillary Clinton 49% Mike Huckabee 40% 9
Hillary Clinton 49% Rand Paul 40% 9
Hillary Clinton 48% Paul Ryan 41% 7
Rasmussen[496] June 14–17 & 20–21 Hillary Clinton 45% Ben Carson 38% 7 1,000 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 47% Chris Christie 33% 14
Hillary Clinton 50% Ted Cruz 37% 13
Hillary Clinton 46% Rand Paul 39% 7
Hillary Clinton 50% Rick Perry 36% 14
Hillary Clinton 47% Marco Rubio 36% 11
Bloomberg Politics/Selzer & Co.[497] June 6–9 Hillary Clinton 47% Jeb Bush 38% 9 723
Hillary Clinton 45% Chris Christie 38% 7
Hillary Clinton 47% Rand Paul 38% 9
Hillary Clinton 47% Marco Rubio 36% 11
Saint Leo University[498] May 28 – June 4 Hillary Clinton 53% Jeb Bush 35% 18 802 ± 3.5%
Hillary Clinton 52% Chris Christie 34% 18
Hillary Clinton 54% Ted Cruz 30% 24
Hillary Clinton 55% Rand Paul 34% 21
Hillary Clinton 54% Paul Ryan 33% 21
Hillary Clinton 53% Marco Rubio 31% 22
ABC News/Washington Post[499] May 29 – June 1 Hillary Clinton 53% Rand Paul 43% 10 1,002 ± 3.5%
Public Policy Polling[500] June 2 Hillary Clinton 49% Marco Rubio 42% 7 735 ± 3.6%
ABC News/Washington Post[501] April 24–27 Hillary Clinton 53% Jeb Bush 41% 12 855 ± 3.5%
Fairleigh Dickinson University[502] April 21–27 Hillary Clinton 49% Jeb Bush 33% 16 1,051 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 36% 10
Hillary Clinton 49% Mike Huckabee 36% 13
Hillary Clinton 48% Rand Paul 37% 11
Hillary Clinton 46% Paul Ryan 38% 8
Fox News[503] April 13–15 Hillary Clinton 51% Jeb Bush 42% 9 1,012 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 50% Chris Christie 42% 8
Hillary Clinton 51% Rand Paul 42% 9
McClatchy-Marist[504] April 7–10 Hillary Clinton 55% Jeb Bush 39% 16 1,036 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 53% Chris Christie 42% 11
Hillary Clinton 54% Ted Cruz 39% 15
Hillary Clinton 53% Mike Huckabee 40% 13
Hillary Clinton 54% Rand Paul 40% 14
Hillary Clinton 54% Marco Rubio 38% 16
Hillary Clinton 51% Paul Ryan 43% 8
Public Policy Polling[505] March 6–9 Hillary Clinton 47% Jeb Bush 44% 3 1,152 ± 2.9%
Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 42% 4
Hillary Clinton 51% Ted Cruz 40% 11
Hillary Clinton 49% Mike Huckabee 42% 7
Hillary Clinton 47% Rand Paul 42% 5
Hillary Clinton 48% Mitt Romney 43% 5
Hillary Clinton 48% Marco Rubio 40% 8
Hillary Clinton 48% Paul Ryan 43% 5
Joe Biden 41% Mike Huckabee 46% 5
Elizabeth Warren 33% Mike Huckabee 44% 11
Bloomberg Politics/Selzer & Co.[506] March 7–10 Hillary Clinton 52% Chris Christie 39% 13 678 ± >3.1%
Rasmussen[507] March 4–5 Hillary Clinton 47% Jeb Bush 33% 14 1,000 ± 3%
Fox News[508] March 2–4 Hillary Clinton 51% Jeb Bush 38% 13 1,002 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 49% Chris Christie 38% 11
Hillary Clinton 52% Ted Cruz 36% 16
McClatchy-Marist[509] February 4–9 Hillary Clinton 58% Jeb Bush 38% 20 970 ± 3.1%
Hillary Clinton 58% Chris Christie 37% 21
Hillary Clinton 56% Ted Cruz 39% 17
Hillary Clinton 55% Mike Huckabee 41% 14
Hillary Clinton 62% Sarah Palin 35% 27
Hillary Clinton 58% Rand Paul 38% 20
Hillary Clinton 53% Mitt Romney 44% 9
Hillary Clinton 58% Marco Rubio 37% 21
Hillary Clinton 52% Paul Ryan 44% 8
CNN/ORC[510] January 31 – February 2 Hillary Clinton 57% Jeb Bush 37% 20 900 ± 3.5%
Hillary Clinton 55% Chris Christie 39% 16
Hillary Clinton 56% Mike Huckabee 39% 16
Hillary Clinton 57% Rand Paul 39% 18
Hillary Clinton 55% Paul Ryan 40% 15
Public Policy Polling[511] January 23–26 Hillary Clinton 45% Jeb Bush 43% 2 845 ± 3.4%
Hillary Clinton 45% Chris Christie 43% 2
Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 41% 6
Hillary Clinton 46% Mike Huckabee 43% 3
Hillary Clinton 46% Rand Paul 43% 3
Hillary Clinton 46% Paul Ryan 44% 2
Joe Biden 35% Chris Christie 46% 11
Elizabeth Warren 34% Chris Christie 43% 9
ABC News/Washington Post[512] January 20–23 Hillary Clinton 53% Chris Christie 41% 12 873 ± 3.5%
Quinnipiac University[513] January 15–19 Hillary Clinton 49% Jeb Bush 38% 11 1,933 ± 2.2%
Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 38% 8
Hillary Clinton 50% Ted Cruz 35% 15
Hillary Clinton 49% Rand Paul 39% 10
NBC News/Marist Poll[514] January 12–14 Hillary Clinton 50% Chris Christie 37% 13 1,039 ± 3%

Polls conducted in 2013

[edit]
Polls in 2013
Poll source Date Democratic
candidate 		% Republican
candidate 		% Leading by % Sample
Size 		Margin of error
CNN/ORC[515] December 16–19 Hillary Clinton 58% Jeb Bush 37% 21 950 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 48% 2
Hillary Clinton 57% Ted Cruz 39% 19
Hillary Clinton 55% Mike Huckabee 40% 15
Hillary Clinton 54% Rand Paul 41% 13
Hillary Clinton 56% Rick Perry 39% 17
Hillary Clinton 56% Marco Rubio 37% 19
Hillary Clinton 52% Paul Ryan 44% 8
Hillary Clinton 57% Rick Santorum 38% 19
Public Policy Polling[516] December 12–15 Hillary Clinton 48% Jeb Bush 43% 5 1,316 ± 2.7%
Hillary Clinton 42% Chris Christie 45% 3
Hillary Clinton 49% Ted Cruz 41% 8
Hillary Clinton 48% Mike Huckabee 42% 6
Hillary Clinton 48% Rand Paul 43% 5
Joe Biden 35% Chris Christie 49% 14
Howard Dean 29% Chris Christie 51% 22
John Kerry 35% Chris Christie 46% 11
Elizabeth Warren 33% Chris Christie 49% 16
Quinnipiac University[517] December 3–9 Hillary Clinton 48% Jeb Bush 39% 9 2,692 ± 1.9%
Hillary Clinton 41% Chris Christie 42% 1
Hillary Clinton 50% Ted Cruz 37% 13
Hillary Clinton 48% Rand Paul 41% 7
McClatchy-Marist[518] December 3–5 Hillary Clinton 53% Jeb Bush 41% 12 1,173 ± 2.9%
Hillary Clinton 48% Chris Christie 45% 3
Hillary Clinton 57% Ted Cruz 35% 22
Hillary Clinton 59% Sarah Palin 36% 23
Hillary Clinton 55% Rand Paul 40% 15
Hillary Clinton 58% Rick Perry 37% 21
Hillary Clinton 52% Marco Rubio 42% 10
Hillary Clinton 56% Paul Ryan 40% 16
Quinnipiac University[519] November 6–11 Hillary Clinton 42% Chris Christie 43% 1 2,545 ± 1.9%
Hillary Clinton 51% Ted Cruz 36% 15
Hillary Clinton 49% Rand Paul 40% 9
Hillary Clinton 49% Paul Ryan 40% 9
NBC News[520] November 7–10 Hillary Clinton 44% Chris Christie 34% 10 1,003 ± 3.6%
Rasmussen[521] November 7–8 Hillary Clinton 43% Chris Christie 41% 2 1,000 ± 3%
Public Policy Polling[522] October 29–31 Hillary Clinton 48% Jeb Bush 39% 9 649 ± 3.8%
Hillary Clinton 44% Chris Christie 39% 5
Hillary Clinton 50% Ted Cruz 33% 17
Hillary Clinton 49% Rand Paul 37% 12
Joe Biden 42% Jeb Bush 43% 1
Joe Biden 38% Chris Christie 45% 7
Joe Biden 46% Ted Cruz 36% 10
Joe Biden 45% Rand Paul 38% 7
Quinnipiac University[523] September 23–29 Hillary Clinton 49% Chris Christie 36% 13 1,497 ± 2.5%
Hillary Clinton 54% Ted Cruz 31% 23
Hillary Clinton 53% Rand Paul 36% 17
Rasmussen[524] September 16–17 Joe Biden 35% Chris Christie 39% 4 1,000 ± 3%
Monmouth University[525] July 25–30 Hillary Clinton 47% Jeb Bush 37% 10 850 ± 3.4%
Hillary Clinton 43% Chris Christie 39% 4
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 32% 16
Hillary Clinton 47% Marco Rubio 36% 11
Public Policy Polling[526] July 19–21 Hillary Clinton 44% Jeb Bush 41% 3 800 ± 3.5%
Hillary Clinton 43% Chris Christie 42% 1
Hillary Clinton 47% Rand Paul 39% 8
Hillary Clinton 45% Marco Rubio 40% 5
Hillary Clinton 46% Paul Ryan 44% 2
Joe Biden 41% Jeb Bush 45% 4
Joe Biden 39% Chris Christie 45% 6
Joe Biden 43% Rand Paul 43% Tied
Joe Biden 42% Marco Rubio 42% Tied
Joe Biden 43% Paul Ryan 46% 3
McClatchy-Marist[527] July 15–18 Hillary Clinton 48% Jeb Bush 40% 8 491 ± 4.4%
Hillary Clinton 47% Chris Christie 41% 6
Hillary Clinton 50% Rand Paul 38% 12
Hillary Clinton 52% Rick Perry 36% 16
Hillary Clinton 50% Marco Rubio 38% 12
Hillary Clinton 53% Paul Ryan 37% 16
Quinnipiac University[528] June 28 – July 8 Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 40% 6 2,014 ± 2.2%
Hillary Clinton 50% Rand Paul 38% 12
Joe Biden 35% Chris Christie 46% 11
Joe Biden 42% Rand Paul 42% Tied
Quinnipiac University[529] May 22–28 Hillary Clinton 48% Jeb Bush 40% 8 1,419 ± 2.6%
Hillary Clinton 49% Rand Paul 41% 8
Joe Biden 38% Jeb Bush 44% 6
Joe Biden 39% Rand Paul 43% 4
Public Policy Polling[530] May 6–9 Hillary Clinton 47% Chris Christie 44% 3 1,099 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 51% Rand Paul 41% 10
Hillary Clinton 51% Marco Rubio 41% 10
Joe Biden 40% Chris Christie 49% 9
Joe Biden 46% Rand Paul 44% 2
Joe Biden 46% Marco Rubio 45% 1
Public Policy Polling[531] March 27–30 Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 42% 4 1,247 ± 2.8%
Hillary Clinton 49% Rand Paul 43% 6
Hillary Clinton 49% Marco Rubio 42% 7
Hillary Clinton 50% Paul Ryan 43% 7
Joe Biden 40% Chris Christie 49% 9
Joe Biden 47% Rand Paul 43% 4
Joe Biden 46% Marco Rubio 44% 2
Joe Biden 48% Paul Ryan 45% 3
McClatchy-Marist[532] March 25–27 Hillary Clinton 54% Jeb Bush 38% 16 519 ± 4.3%
Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 43% 3
Hillary Clinton 52% Rand Paul 41% 11
Hillary Clinton 52% Marco Rubio 40% 12
Joe Biden 49% Jeb Bush 41% 8
Joe Biden 43% Chris Christie 46% 3
Joe Biden 50% Rand Paul 41% 9
Joe Biden 53% Marco Rubio 39% 14
Quinnipiac University[533] February 27 – March 4 Hillary Clinton 45% Chris Christie 37% 8 1,944 ± 2.2%
Hillary Clinton 50% Marco Rubio 34% 16
Hillary Clinton 50% Paul Ryan 38% 12
Joe Biden 40% Chris Christie 43% 3
Joe Biden 45% Marco Rubio 38% 7
Joe Biden 45% Paul Ryan 42% 3
Andrew Cuomo 28% Chris Christie 45% 17
Andrew Cuomo 37% Marco Rubio 37% Tie
Andrew Cuomo 37% Paul Ryan 42% 5
Public Policy Polling[534] January 31 – February 3 Hillary Clinton 49% Jeb Bush 43% 6 800 ± 3.5%
Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 41% 5
Hillary Clinton 49% Marco Rubio 41% 8
Hillary Clinton 50% Paul Ryan 44% 6
Joe Biden 48% Jeb Bush 45% 3
Joe Biden 44% Chris Christie 44% Tie
Joe Biden 48% Marco Rubio 43% 5
Joe Biden 49% Paul Ryan 45% 4
Purple Strategies[535] December 8–10, 2012 Hillary Clinton 53% Paul Ryan 36% 17 1,000 ± 3.1%

Three-way race

[edit]
Poll source Date Hillary Clinton
Democratic 		Donald Trump
Republican 		Gary Johnson
Libertarian 		Leading by
(points) 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error
Google Consumer Surveys[536] November 1–7, 2016 38% 36% 5% 2 26,574 ± 0.65%
Angus Reid Institute[537] November 1–4, 2016 48% 44% 6% 4 1,151 ± 2.9%
RAND American Life Panel[538] October 20 – November 1, 2016 44% 35% 8% 9 2,269 ± 1.9%
Google Consumer Surveys[539] October 20–24, 2016 39% 34% 6% 5 21,240 ±0.73%
Public Policy Polling[540] October 20–21, 2016 46% 40% 5% 6 990 ±3.18%
Google Consumer Surveys[541] October 15–19, 2016 39% 34% 6% 5 22,826 ±0.70%
Google Consumer Surveys[542] October 10–14, 2016 38% 33% 7% 5 19,900 ±0.75%
Public Religion Research Institute/The Atlantic[543] September 28 – October 2, 2016 47% 41% 3% 6 609 ±3.6%
Google Consumer Surveys[544] September 27 – October 3, 2016 39% 34% 7% 5 22,006 ±0.71%
Google Consumer Surveys[545] September 14–20, 2016 36% 35% 8% 1 20,864 ±0.73%
Polls up to August 2, when three-way polls paused
Poll source Date Democratic
candidate 		% Republican
candidate 		% Libertarian
candidate 		% Lead
margin
Fox News[267]

Sample size: 1,022
Margin of error: ±3%

July 31 – August 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 35% Gary Johnson 12% 9
Penn Schoen Berland[546]

Sample size: 1,000
Margin of error: ±3%

July 29 – August 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 15% 5
CBS News[273]

Sample size: 1,131
Margin of error: ±3%

July 29–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 10% 5
Morning Consult[275]

Sample size: 1,931
Margin of error: ±2%

July 29–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 11% 5
Morning Consult[282]

Sample size: 2,502
Margin of error: ±2%

July 22–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 10% 4
CBS News[283]

Sample size: 1,118 adults
Margin of error ±4%

July 22–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 12% 1
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[293]

Sample size: 900
Margin of error: ±3.27%

July 13–18, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 11% 3
Morning Consult[296]

Sample size: 2,002
Margin of error: ±2%

July 14–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 35% Gary Johnson 11% 3
CBS News/New York Times[303]

Sample size: 1,358
Margin of error: ±3%

July 8–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 12% Tied
Morning Consult[306]

Sample size: 2,001
Margin of error: ±2%

July 8–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 12% 2
Rasmussen Reports[547]

Sample size: 1,000
Margin of error: ±3%

July 5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 9% 2
Morning Consult[312]

Sample size: 2,001
Margin of error: ±2%

June 30 – July 4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 11% 1
Fox News[321]

Sample size: 1,017
Margin of error: ±3%

June 26–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 10% 5
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[548]

Sample size: 900
Margin of error: ±3.27%

June 23–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 8% 11
The Economist/YouGov[549]

Sample size: 1,300
Margin of error: ±3.9%

June 24–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 35% Gary Johnson 8% 5
Morning Consult[322]

Sample size: 4001
Margin of error: ±2%

June 24–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 11% 3
Pew Research[325]

Sample size: 1,655
Margin of error: ±2.7%

June 15–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 11% 9
Morning Consult[550]

Sample size: 3891
Margin of error: ±2%

June 15–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 10% Tied
CBS News[342]

Sample size: 1048
Margin of error: ± 3.0%

June 9–13, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 32% Gary Johnson 11% 7
Bloomberg Politics[551]

Sample size: 750
Margin of error: ± 3.6%

June 10–13, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 9% 12
Morning Consult[552]

Sample size: 1004
Margin of error: ± 3%

June 8–9, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 33% Gary Johnson 10% 6
Fox News[553]

Sample size: 1004
Margin of error: ± 3%

June 5–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 12% 3
Rasmussen Report[347]

Sample size: 1000
Margin of error: ± 3%

June 6–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 8% 1
Morning Consult[554]

Sample size: 2001
Margin of error: ± 2%

June 1–4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 35% Gary Johnson (identified as Independent) 10% 2
Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson (identified as Libertarian) 10% 1
Morning Consult[360]

Sample size: 2001
Margin of error: ± 2%

May 19–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 35% Gary Johnson 10% 3
Fox News[368]

Sample size: 1,021
Margin of error: ± 3.0%

May 14–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 10% 3
Monmouth University[392]

Sample size: 848
Margin of error ±3.4%

March 17–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 34% Gary Johnson 11% 8
Poll source Date Democratic
candidate 		% Republican
candidate 		% Third
candidate 		% Lead
margin
ABC News/Washington Post[363]

Sample size: 823
Margin of error: ± 3.5%

May 16–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 35% Mitt Romney 22% 2
Public Policy Polling[387]

Sample size: 1,083
Margin of error ±3.0%

March 24–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 37% Deez Nuts 10% 5
Bernie Sanders 43% Donald Trump 37% Deez Nuts 8% 6
Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 35% Rick Perry 12% 9
Bernie Sanders 43% Donald Trump 34% Rick Perry 12% 9
Quinnipiac University[555]

Sample size: 1,342
Margin of error ±2.7%

February 10–15, 2016 Bernie Sanders 38% Donald Trump 38% Michael Bloomberg 12% Tied
Bernie Sanders 39% Ted Cruz 33% Michael Bloomberg 14% 6
Suffolk University/USA Today[556]

Sample size: 1,000
Margin of error ± 3%

February 11–15, 2016 Bernie Sanders 30% Donald Trump 37% Michael Bloomberg 16% 7
Quinnipiac University[400]

Sample size: 1,125
Margin of error ±2.9%

February 2–4, 2016 Bernie Sanders 35% Donald Trump 36% Michael Bloomberg 15% 1
Bernie Sanders 37% Ted Cruz 36% Michael Bloomberg 15% 1
Public Policy Polling[557]

Sample size: 1,236
Margin of error

February 2–3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 37% Michael Bloomberg 11% 4
Bernie Sanders 36% Donald Trump 39% Michael Bloomberg 13% 3
Luntz Global[558]

Sample size: 900
Margin of error ±3.3%

January 26–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 33% Donald Trump 37% Michael Bloomberg 29% 4
Hillary Clinton 37% Ted Cruz 35% Michael Bloomberg 28% 2
Hillary Clinton 35% Marco Rubio 38% Michael Bloomberg 28% 3
Morning Consult[559]

Sample size: 1,439
Margin of error ±3%

January 21–24, 2016 Bernie Sanders 35% Donald Trump 34% Michael Bloomberg 12% 1
Bernie Sanders 36% Ted Cruz 28% Michael Bloomberg 11% 8
Bernie Sanders 36% Marco Rubio 29% Michael Bloomberg 10% 7
Morning Consult[560]

Sample size: 4,060
Margin of error ±2%

January 14–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Ted Cruz 34% Michael Bloomberg 11% 4
Hillary Clinton 38% Marco Rubio 33% Michael Bloomberg 10% 5
Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 37% Michael Bloomberg 13% 1
Saint Leo University Polling Institute[561] November 29 – December 3, 2015 Hillary Clinton 45.4% Ted Cruz 19.9% Donald Trump 26.1% 19.3
Hillary Clinton 44.8% Carly Fiorina 14.9% Donald Trump 29.6% 15.2
Hillary Clinton 44.0% Ben Carson 20.1% Donald Trump 25.7% 18.3
Hillary Clinton 43.3% Marco Rubio 21.8% Donald Trump 25.9% 17.4
Hillary Clinton 43.3% Jeb Bush 19.6% Donald Trump 29.5% 13.8
Saint Leo University Polling Institute[433]

Margin of error ±6.0%
Sample size: 1005

October 17–22, 2015 Hillary Clinton 42.7% Jeb Bush 22.8% Donald Trump 24.2% 18.5
Hillary Clinton 43.7% Carly Fiorina 22.6% Donald Trump 23.8% 19.9
Hillary Clinton 43.1% Ben Carson 27.9% Donald Trump 20.2% 15.2
Hillary Clinton 43.7% Marco Rubio 24.6% Donald Trump 22.9% 19.1
Hillary Clinton 44.9% Ted Cruz 18.6% Donald Trump 24.1% 20.8
Public Policy Polling[562]
Margin of error: ±2.8%
Sample size: 1254 		August 28–30, 2015 Hillary Clinton 42% Jeb Bush 23% Donald Trump 27% 15
Fox News[450]

Sample size: 1008

August 11–13, 2015 Hillary Clinton 42% Carly Fiorina 24% Donald Trump 25% 17
Hillary Clinton 42% Marco Rubio 30% Donald Trump 22% 12
Hillary Clinton 42% Jeb Bush 29% Donald Trump 23% 13
McClatchy-Marist[453]
Margin of error: ±2.8%
Sample size: 964 		July 22–28, 2015 Hillary Clinton 44% Jeb Bush 29% Donald Trump 20% 15
Public Policy Polling[456]
Margin of error: ±4.0%
Sample size: 1,087 		July 20–21, 2015 Hillary Clinton 43% Jeb Bush 25% Donald Trump 23% 18
ABC News/Washington Post[457]
Margin of error: ±4.0%
Sample size: 815 		July 16–19, 2015 Hillary Clinton 47% Jeb Bush 30% Donald Trump 20% 17

Four-way race

[edit]
Poll source Date Hillary Clinton
Democratic 		Donald Trump
Republican 		Gary Johnson
Libertarian 		Jill Stein
Green 		Leading by
(points) 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error
YouGov/The Economist[14] November 4–7, 2016 45% 41% 5% 2% 4 3,677 ± 1.7%
Insights West[563] November 4–7, 2016 49% 45% 4% 1% 4 940 ± 3.2%
Bloomberg News/Selzer[15] November 4–6, 2016 44% 41% 4% 2% 3 799 ± 3.5%
Gravis Marketing[564] November 3–6, 2016 47% 43% 3% 2% 4 16,639 ± 0.8%
ABC News/Washington Post[16] November 3–6, 2016 47% 43% 4% 1% 4 2,220 ± 2.5%
Fox News[17] November 3–6, 2016 48% 44% 3% 2% 4 1,295 ± 2.5%
IBD/TIPP[18] November 3–6, 2016 41% 43% 6% 2% 2 1,026 ± 3.1%
Monmouth University[19] November 3–6, 2016 50% 44% 4% 1% 6 802 ± 3.6%
Ipsos/Reuters[20] November 2–6, 2016 42% 39% 6% 3% 3 2,195 ± 2.4%
CBS News/New York Times[21] November 2–6, 2016 45% 41% 5% 2% 4 1,426 ± 3.0%
Rasmussen Reports[565] November 2–6, 2016 45% 43% 4% 2% 2 1,500 ± 2.5%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[22] October 31– November 6, 2016 47% 41% 6% 3% 6 70,194 ± 1.0%
Politico/Morning Consult[566] November 4–5, 2016 45% 42% 8% 2% 3 1,482 ± 3.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[24] November 3–5, 2016 44% 40% 6% 2% 4 1,282 ± 2.73%
ABC News/Washington Post[25] November 2–5, 2016 47% 43% 4% 2% 4 1,937 ± 2.5%
IBD/TIPP[26] November 2–5, 2016 43% 44% 5% 2% 1 903 ± 3.3%
Franklin Pierce University/Boston Herald[567] November 1–5, 2016 48% 44% 4% 2% 4 1,009 ± 3.1%
ABC News/Washington Post[29] November 1–4, 2016 48% 43% 4% 2% 5 1,685 ± 2.5%
IBD/TIPP[30] November 1–4, 2016 44% 44% 5% 2% Tied 804 ± 3.5%
Ipsos/Reuters[31] October 31 – November 4, 2016 43% 39% 6% 2% 4 2,244 ± 2.4%
Rasmussen Reports[568] November 1–3, 2016 44% 44% 4% 1% Tied 1,500 ± 2.5%
Fox News[34] November 1–3, 2016 45% 43% 5% 2% 2 1,107 ± 3.0%
McClatchy/Marist[35] November 1–3, 2016 44% 43% 6% 2% 1 940 ± 3.2%
IBD/TIPP[38] October 30 – November 3, 2016 44% 44% 4% 2% Tied 898 ± 3.3%
ABC News/Washington Post[37] October 31 – November 3, 2016 47% 43% 4% 2% 4 1,419 ± 3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters[36] October 30 – November 3, 2016 44% 37% 6% 2% 7 2,021 ± 2.6%
Gravis Marketing/Breitbart News[569] November 1–2, 2016 47% 45% 3% 1% 2 2,435 ± 2.0%
Rasmussen Reports[570] October 31 – November 2, 2016 42% 45% 4% 1% 3 1,500 ± 2.5%
ABC News/Washington Post[40] October 30 – November 2, 2016 47% 44% 3% 2% 3 1,151 ± 3.0%
IBD/TIPP[42] October 29 – November 2, 2016 44% 44% 4% 2% Tied 867 ± 3.4%
Ipsos/Reuters[41] October 29 – November 2, 2016 45% 37% 5% 2% 8 1,858 ± 2.6%
Rasmussen Reports[571] October 30 – November 1, 2016 44% 44% 5% 2% Tied 1,500 ± 2.5%
YouGov/Economist[47] October 30 – November 1, 2016 46% 43% 4% 2% 3 1,233 ± 3.2%
ABC News/Washington Post[44] October 29 – November 1, 2016 47% 45% 3% 2% 2 1,167 ± 3.0%
CBS News/New York Times[45] October 28 – November 1, 2016 45% 42% 5% 4% 3 862 ± 3.4%
Ipsos/Reuters[46] October 28 – November 1, 2016 45% 37% 5% 2% 8 1,772 ± 3.0%
IBD/TIPP[48] October 27 – November 1, 2016 44% 44% 4% 2% Tied 862 ± 3.4%
ABC News/Washington Post[51] October 28–31, 2016 46% 46% 3% 2% Tied 1,167 ± 3.0%
Rasmussen Reports[572] October 27–31, 2016 45% 45% 5% 2% Tied 1,500 ± 2.5%
IBD/TIPP[52] October 26–31, 2016 45% 44% 4% 2% 1 1,018 ± 3.2%
Politico/Morning Consult[53] October 29–30, 2016 42% 39% 7% 5% 3 1,772 ±2.0%
ABC News/Washington Post[55] October 27–30, 2016 45% 46% 3% 2% 1 1,167 ± 3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters[56] October 26–30, 2016 43% 37% 6% 1% 6 1,264 ± 3.0%
Rasmussen Reports[573] October 26–30, 2016 45% 42% 5% 2% 3 1,500 ± 2.5%
IBD/TIPP[57] October 25–30, 2016 45% 44% 4% 2% 1 993 ± 3.2%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[59] October 24–30, 2016 47% 41% 6% 3% 6 40,816 ±1.0%
ABC News/Washington Post[60] October 26–29, 2016 46% 45% 4% 2% 1 1,165 ± 3.0%
IBD/TIPP[61] October 24–29, 2016 44% 42% 6% 2% 2 1,039 ± 3.3%
Red Oak Strategic/Google Consumer Surveys[574] October 27–28, 2016 37% 37% 6% 2% Tied 943 ± 3.7%
Morning Consult[63] October 27–28, 2016 42% 39% 8% 4% 3 1,794 ± 2.0%
ABC News/Washington Post[64] October 25–28, 2016 46% 45% 4% 2% 1 1,160 ± 3.0%
IBD/TIPP[65] October 23–28, 2016 45% 41% 7% 2% 4 1,013 ± 3.3%
Rasmussen Reports[575] October 25–27, 2016 45% 45% 3% 2% Tied 1,500 ±2.5%
ABC News/Washington Post[66] October 24–27, 2016 47% 45% 4% 2% 2 1,148 ±3.0%
IBD/TIPP[67] October 22–27, 2016 44% 41% 7% 2% 3 973 ± 3.3%
Gravis Marketing/Breitbart[576] October 25–26, 2016 46% 45% 3% 1% 1 1,824 ±2.3%
Rasmussen Reports[577] October 24–26, 2016 45% 44% 4% 1% 1 1,500 ±2.5%
ABC News/Washington Post[70] October 23–26, 2016 48% 44% 4% 1% 4 1,150 ±3.0%
YouGov/Economist[71] October 22–26, 2016 46% 41% 4% 2% 5 1,376 ±3.1%
Saint Leo University[578] October 22–26, 2016 45% 34% 6% 2% 11 1,050 ±%
IBD/TIPP[72] October 21–26, 2016 43% 41% 8% 2% 2 945 ± 3.3%
Rasmussen Reports[579] October 23–25, 2016 44% 43% 4% 1% 1 1,500 ±2.5%
Fox News[74] October 22–25, 2016 44% 41% 7% 3% 3 1,221 ±2.5%
ABC News/Washington Post[75] October 22–25, 2016 48% 42% 5% 1% 6 1,135 ±3.0%
Pew Research Center[76] October 20–25, 2016 46% 40% 6% 3% 6 2,120 ± 2.4%
IBD/TIPP[77] October 20–25, 2016 42% 41% 8% 3% 1 921 ± 3.3%
CNBC[80] October 21–24, 2016 43% 34% 7% 2% 9 804 ± 3.5%
ABC News[81] October 21–24, 2016 49% 40% 5% 2% 9 1,119 ±3.0%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[82] October 21–24, 2016 50% 38% 5% 2% 12 900 ± 3.27%
Associated Press/GFK[83] October 20–24, 2016 51% 37% 6% 2% 14 1,546 ± 2.75%
USA Today/Suffolk University[84] October 20–24, 2016 47% 38% 4% 2% 9 1,000 ±3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters[85] October 20–24, 2016 42% 38% 7% 2% 4 1,170 ±3.3%
Rasmussen Reports[580] October 20–24, 2016 43% 42% 5% 2% 1 1,500 ±2.5%
IBD/TIPP[86] October 19–24, 2016 42% 41% 8% 3% 1 873 ± 3.6%
ABC News[87] October 20–23, 2016 50% 38% 5% 2% 12 1,155 ±3.0%
CNN/ORC[88] October 20–23, 2016 49% 44% 3% 2% 5 779 ±3.5%
Rasmussen Reports[581] October 19–23, 2016 41% 43% 5% 3% 2 1,500 ±2.5%
IBD/TIPP[89] October 18–23, 2016 41% 41% 7% 3% Tied 815 ± 3.6%
Centre College[582] October 18–23, 2016 45% 40% 6% 1% 5 569 ±4.1%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[90] October 17–23, 2016 46% 41% 7% 3% 5 32,225 ± 1.0%
ABC News[92] October 20–22, 2016 50% 38% 5% 2% 12 1,391 ±3.5%
IBD/TIPP[93] October 17–22, 2016 41% 43% 7% 3% 2 783 ± 3.6%
IBD/TIPP[94] October 16–21, 2016 40% 42% 7% 4% 2 791 ±3.6%
Politico/Morning Consult[95] October 19–20, 2016 42% 36% 9% 4% 6 1,395 ±3.0%
Rasmussen Reports[583] October 18–20, 2016 41% 43% 5% 3% 2 1,500 ±2.5%
Ipsos/Reuters[99] October 14–20, 2016 43% 39% 6% 2% 4 1,640 ±3.0%
Rasmussen Reports[584] October 17–19, 2016 40% 43% 6% 3% 3 1,500 ±2.5%
IBD/TIPP[100] October 14–19, 2016 40% 41% 7% 5% 1 779 ±3.6%
Quinnipiac University[101] October 17–18, 2016 47% 40% 7% 1% 7 1,007 ±3.1%
YouGov/Economist[102] October 15–18, 2016 42% 38% 6% 1% 4 1,300 ±3.9%
IBD/TIPP[103] October 13–18, 2016 40% 41% 8% 6% 1 782 ±3.6%
Fox News[104] October 15–17, 2016 45% 39% 5% 3% 6 912 ±3.0%
Bloomberg Politics[105] October 14–17, 2016 47% 38% 8% 3% 9 1,006 ±3.1%
Rasmussen Reports[585] October 13–17, 2016 42% 41% 7% 2% 1 1,500 ±2.5%
Ipsos/Reuters[106] October 13–17, 2016 42% 38% 6% 2% 4 1,190 ±3.2%
Monmouth University[109] October 14–16, 2016 50% 38% 5% 2% 12 805 ±3.5%
CBS News[110] October 12–16, 2016 47% 38% 8% 3% 9 1,411 ±3.0%
Rasmussen Reports[586] October 12–16, 2016 43% 41% 5% 2% 2 1,500 ±2.5%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[111] October 10–16, 2016 46% 40% 8% 4% 6 24,804 ± 1.0%
Politico/Morning Consult[113] October 13–15, 2016 42% 36% 10% 3% 6 1,737 ±2.0%
SurveyUSA/Boston Globe[587] October 11–14, 2016 46% 36% 5% 2% 10 845 ±3.4%
Rasmussen Reports[588] October 11–13, 2016 41% 43% 6% 2% 2 1,500 ±2.5%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[114] October 10–13, 2016 48% 37% 7% 2% 11 1,000 ±3.1%
ABC News/Washington Post[115] October 10–13, 2016 47% 43% 5% 2% 4 740 ±4.0%
Franklin Pierce University/Boston Herald[116] October 9–13, 2016 46% 41% 6% 2% 5 1,011 ±3.1%
George Washington University[117] October 8–13, 2016 47% 39% 8% 2% 8 1,000 ±3.1%
Fox News[119] October 10–12, 2016 45% 38% 7% 3% 7 917 ±3.0%
Rasmussen Reports[589] October 10–12, 2016 41% 43% 6% 2% 2 1,500 ±2.5%
Insights West[590] October 10–11, 2016 47% 41% 7% 3% 6 953 ±3.2%
Rasmussen Reports[591] October 9–11, 2016 43% 39% 7% 2% 4 1,500 ±2.5%
Politico/Morning Consult[120] October 10, 2016 42% 37% 10% 3% 5 1,757 ±3.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[121] October 8–10, 2016 45% 36% 8% 2% 9 806 ±3.5%
Rasmussen Reports[592] October 6–10, 2016 44% 39% 7% 2% 5 1,500 ±2.5%
Ipsos/Reuters[122] October 6–10, 2016 44% 37% 6% 2% 7 2,363 ±2.3%
Pew Research[124] September 27 – October 10, 2016 46% 39% 10% 4% 7 3,616 ± 2.9%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[125] October 8–9, 2016 46% 35% 9% 2% 11 422 ±4.6%
Rasmussen Reports[593] October 5–9, 2016 45% 38% 7% 2% 7 1,500 ±2.5%
Public Religion Research Institute/The Atlantic[594] October 5–9, 2016 49% 38% 2% 0% 11 886 ±3.9%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[126] October 3–9, 2016 46% 41% 8% 3% 5 23,329 ±1.0%
Politico/Morning Consult[128] October 8, 2016 42% 38% 8% 3% 4 1,390 ±3.0%
YouGov/Economist[129] October 7–8, 2016 44% 38% 5% 1% 6 1,300 ±4.3%
Morning Consult[130] October 5–6, 2016 41% 39% 9% 3% 2 1,775 ±2.0%
Quinnipiac University[131] October 5–6, 2016 45% 40% 6% 2% 5 1,064 ±3.0%
Rasmussen Reports[595] October 4–6, 2016 43% 42% 7% 2% 1 1,500 ±2.5%
Fox News[132] October 3–6, 2016 44% 42% 6% 2% 2 896 ±3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters[133] September 30 – October 6, 2016 42% 37% 8% 2% 5 1,695 ±3.0%
Rasmussen Reports[596] October 3–5, 2016 41% 43% 8% 3% 2 1,500 ±2.5%
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing[597] October 3, 2016 44% 44% 5% 1% Tied 1,690 ±2.5%
YouGov/Economist[137] October 1–3, 2016 43% 40% 5% 3% 3 911 ±3.9%
Ipsos/Reuters[138] September 29 – October 3, 2016 42% 36% 8% 2% 6 1,239 ±3.2%
Rasmussen Reports[598] September 29 – October 3, 2016 42% 41% 9% 2% 1 1,500 ±2.5%
Politico/Morning Consult[139] September 30 – October 2, 2016 42% 36% 9% 3% 6 1,778 ±2.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson University[140] September 28 – October 2, 2016 45% 36% 11% 3% 9 385 ±5.0%
CBS News/New York Times[141] September 28 – October 2, 2016 45% 41% 8% 3% 4 1,217 ±3.0%
CNN/ORC[142] September 28 – October 2, 2016 47% 42% 7% 2% 5 N/A ±N/A%
Rasmussen Reports[599] September 28 – October 2, 2016 43% 40% 8% 2% 3 1,500 ±2.5%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[143] September 26 – October 2, 2016 46% 40% 9% 3% 6 26,925 ±1.0%
Fox News[146] September 27–29, 2016 43% 40% 8% 4% 3 911 ±3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters[147] September 23–29, 2016 42% 38% 7% 3% 4 2,501 ±2.0%
Rasmussen Reports[600] September 26–28, 2016 42% 41% 7% 2% 1 1,500 ±2.5%
Morning Consult[152] September 26–27, 2016 41% 38% 8% 4% 3 1,253 ±3.0%
Public Religion Research Institute[601] September 1–27, 2016 49% 41% 4% 1% 8 2,010 ±2.8%
Ipsos/Reuters[154] September 22–26, 2016 42% 38% 7% 2% 4 1,041 ±3.5%
Quinnipiac University[155] September 22–25, 2016 44% 43% 8% 2% 1 1,115 ±2.9%
Monmouth University[156] September 22–25, 2016 46% 42% 8% 2% 4 729 ±3.6%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[157] September 19–25, 2016 45% 40% 10% 3% 5 13,598 ±1.1%
Morning Consult[160] September 22–24, 2016 38% 39% 9% 4% 1 1,712 ±2.0%
YouGov/Economist[602] September 22–24, 2016 44% 41% 5% 2% 3 948 ±3.8%
Bloomberg/Selzer[161] September 21–24, 2016 41% 43% 8% 4% 2 1,002 ±3.1%
ABC News/Washington Post[162] September 19–22, 2016 46% 44% 5% 1% 2 651 ±4.5%
Franklin Pierce University/Boston Herald[603] September 18–22, 2016 45% 43% 6% 2% 2 1,017 ±3.1%
Ipsos/Reuters[163] September 16–22, 2016 39% 37% 7% 2% 2 1,559 ±3.0%
Rasmussen Reports[604] September 20–21, 2016 39% 44% 8% 2% 5 1,000 ±3.0%
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing[citation needed] September 20, 2016 44% 40% 5% 2% 4 1,560 ±2.5%
McClatchy/Marist[166] September 15–20, 2016 45% 39% 10% 4% 6 758 ±3.6%
YouGov/Economist[168] September 18–19, 2016 40% 38% 7% 2% 2 936 ±4.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[169] September 16–19, 2016 43% 37% 9% 3% 6 922 ±3.2%
iCitizen[605] September 15–19, 2016 42% 37% 5% 3% 5 1,000 ±3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters[170] September 15–19, 2016 37% 39% 7% 2% 2 1,111 ±3.4%
Associated Press/GFK[171] September 15–19, 2016 45% 39% 9% 2% 6 1,251 ±2.5%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[174] September 12–18, 2016 45% 40% 10% 4% 5 13,230 ±1.2%
Morning Consult[606] September 15–16, 2016 42% 40% 8% 3% 2 1,639 ±2.0%
Saint Leo University[607] September 12–16, 2016 46% 41% 9% 4% 5 1,005 ±3.0%
Fox News[179] September 11–14, 2016 41% 40% 8% 3% 1 867 ±3.0%
Rasmussen Reports[608] September 12–13, 2016 40% 42% 7% 2% 2 1,000 ±3.0%
Emerson College[609] September 11–13, 2016 41% 43% 9% 2% 2 800 ±3.4%
YouGov/Economist[182] September 10–13, 2016 42% 40% 5% 3% 2 1,087 ±4.0%
CBS News/New York Times[183] September 9–13, 2016 42% 42% 8% 4% Tied 1,433 ±3.0%
Quinnipiac University[184] September 8–13, 2016 41% 39% 13% 4% 2 960 ±3.2%
Ipsos/Reuters[187] September 8–12, 2016 39% 39% 8% 2% Tied 1,127 ±3.3%
Pew Research[189] August 16 – September 12, 2016 45% 38% 10% 4% 2 3,941 ±2.6%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[190] September 5–11, 2016 42% 40% 11% 4% 2 16,220 ±1.1%
Gravis Marketing/Breitbart[citation needed] September 7–8, 2016 43% 40% 7% 1% 3 2,348 ±2.0%
Morning Consult[192] September 6–8, 2016 43% 41% 10% 3% 2 1,710 ±2.0%
ABC News/Washington Post[193] September 5–8, 2016 46% 41% 9% 2% 5 642 ±4.5%
Rasmussen Reports[610] September 6–7, 2016 43% 39% 9% 2% 4 1,000 ±3.0%
YouGov/Economist[197] September 4–6, 2016 40% 38% 7% 5% 2 1,077 ±4.7%
Ipsos/Reuters[199] September 1–5, 2016 40% 38% 8% 3% 2 1,084 ±3.5%
CNN/ORC[201] September 1–4, 2016 43% 45% 7% 2% 2 786 ±3.5%
Franklin Pierce University/Boston Herald[611] August 31 – September 4, 2016 44% 41% 8% 3% 3 1,025 ±3.1%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[202] August 29 – September 4, 2016 41% 37% 12% 4% 4 32,226 ±1.0%
Morning Consult[205] September 1–2, 2016 38% 36% 9% 4% 2 2,001 ±2.0%
George Washington University[612] August 28 – September 1, 2016 42% 40% 11% 3% 2 1,000 ±3.1%
Ipsos/Reuters[206] August 26 – September 1, 2016 39% 39% 7% 2% Tied 1,804 ±3.0%
IBD/TPP[207] August 26 – September 1, 2016 39% 39% 12% 3% Tied 861 ±3.4%
Rasmussen Reports[613] August 29–30, 2016 39% 40% 7% 3% 1 1,000 ±3.0%
Fox News[208] August 28–30, 2016 41% 39% 9% 4% 2 1,011 ±3.0%
YouGov/Economist[614] August 27–29, 2016 42% 37% 7% 3% 5 1,119 ±4.0%
Ipsos/Reuters[210] August 25–29, 2016 40% 38% 6% 2% 2 1,404 ±3.0%
Suffolk University/USA Today[211] August 25–29, 2016 42% 35% 9% 4% 7 1,000 ±3.0%
Monmouth University[215] August 25–28, 2016 43% 36% 8% 2% 7 689 ±3.5%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[216] August 22–28, 2016 41% 37% 11% 5% 4 24,104 ±1.0%
Morning Consult[219] August 24–26, 2016 39% 37% 8% 3% 2 2,007 ±2.0%
Ipsos/Reuters[220] August 22–25, 2016 39% 36% 7% 3% 3 1,154 ±3.0%
Rasmussen Reports[615] August 23–24, 2016 42% 38% 9% 2% 4 1,000 ±3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters[221] August 20–24, 2016 39% 36% 7% 2% 3 1,049 ±2.9%
Quinnipiac University[223] August 18–24, 2016 45% 38% 10% 4% 7 1,498 ±2.5%
Gravis Marketing[616] August 22–23, 2016 42% 41% 4% 1% 1 1,493 ±2.5%
YouGov/Economist[225] August 19–23, 2016 42% 38% 6% 4% 4 1,080 ±4.1%
Ipsos/Reuters[227] August 18–22, 2016 41% 33% 7% 2% 8 1,115 ±3.0%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[230] August 15–21, 2016 43% 38% 11% 5% 5 17,451 ±1.1%
Morning Consult[232] August 16–20, 2016 39% 36% 8% 4% 3 2,001 ±2.0%
Ipsos/Reuters[235] August 13–17, 2016 39% 35% 7% 2% 4 1,049 ±2.8%
Rasmussen Reports[617] August 15–16, 2016 41% 39% 9% 3% 2 1,000 ±3.0%
YouGov/Economist[618] August 11–16, 2016 41% 35% 7% 3% 6 1,076 ±4.1%
Pew Research[619] August 9–16, 2016 41% 37% 10% 4% 4 1,567 ±2.8%
Normington, Petts & Associates[239] August 9–15, 2016 45% 37% 8% 4% 8 1,000 ±3.1%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[242] August 8–14, 2016 43% 37% 11% 4% 6 15,179 ±1.2%
Zogby Analytics[620] August 12–13, 2016 38% 36% 8% 5% 2 1,277 ±2.8%
Morning Consult[241] August 11–14, 2016 39% 33% 9% 4% 6 2,001 ±2.0%
Ipsos/Reuters[246] August 6–10, 2016 40% 35% 7% 3% 5 974 ±2.9%
Rasmussen Reports[621] August 9–10, 2016 43% 40% 8% 2% 3 1,000 ±3.0%
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing[citation needed] August 9, 2016 42% 37% 9% 3% 5 2,832 ±1.8%
YouGov/Economist[247] August 6–9, 2016 42% 36% 9% 2% 6 1,300 ±4.2%
Bloomberg Politics[249] August 5–8, 2016 44% 40% 9% 4% 4 749 ±3.6%
Princeton Survey[252] August 4–7, 2016 45% 39% 2% 1% 6 1,000 ±3.9%
Monmouth University[622] August 4–7, 2016 46% 34% 7% 2% 12 803 ±3.5%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[254] August 1–7, 2016 44% 38% 10% 4% 6 11,480 ±1.2%
Morning Consult[257] August 4–5, 2016 41% 33% 9% 5% 8 2,001 ±2.0%
ABC News/Washington Post[258] August 1–4, 2016 45% 37% 8% 4% 8 1,002 ±3.5%
Ipsos/Reuters[259] July 31 – August 4, 2016 42% 40% 6% 3% 2 1,154 ±3.0%
IBD/TPP[261] July 29 – August 4, 2016 39% 35% 12% 5% 4 851 ±3.4%
McClatchy/Marist[262] August 1–3, 2016 45% 31% 10% 6% 14 983 ±3.1%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[263] July 31 – August 3, 2016 43% 34% 10% 5% 9 800 ±3.5%
Ipsos/Reuters[264] July 30 – August 3, 2016 42% 38% 6% 2% 4 1,072 ±3.5%
Rasmussen Reports[623] August 1–2, 2016 44% 40% 6% 3% 4 1,000 ±3.0%
The Economist/YouGov[269] July 31 – August 1, 2016 41% 36% 8% 4% 5 1,300 ±4.0%
CNN/ORC[272] July 29–31, 2016 45% 37% 9% 5% 8 894 ±3.5%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[274] July 25–31, 2016 43% 38% 9% 4% 5 12,742 ±1.2%
Public Policy Polling[276] July 29–30, 2016 46% 41% 6% 2% 5 1,276 ±2.7%
RABA Research[624] July 29, 2016 46% 31% 7% 2% 15 956 ±3.2%
Ipsos/Reuters[277] July 25–29, 2016 37% 37% 5% 1% Tied 1,788 ±2.4%
YouGov/Economist[281] July 23–24, 2016 40% 38% 5% 3% 2 1,300 ±4.5%
CNN/ORC[284] July 22–24, 2016 39% 44% 9% 3% 5 882 ±3.5%
University of Delaware[625] July 21–24, 2016 46% 42% 1% 1% 4 818 ±4.0%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[286] July 18–24, 2016 39% 41% 10% 5% 2 12,931 ±1.2%
RABA Research[626] July 22, 2016 39% 34% 8% 3% 5 909 ±3.3%
Echelon Insights[627] July 21–22, 2016 40% 39% 3% 2% 1 912 ±N/A%
Ipsos/Reuters[291] July 16–20, 2016 39% 35% 7% 3% 4 1,522 ±2.9%
YouGov/Economist[628] July 15–17, 2016 40% 37% 5% 4% 3 1,300 ±4.2%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[295] July 11–17, 2016 39% 40% 10% 5% 1 9,436 ±1.4%
Monmouth University[629] July 14–16, 2016 45% 43% 5% 1% 2 688 ±3.7%
Franklin Pierce University/Boston Herald[630] July 13–16, 2016 44% 41% 7% 2% 3 1,007 ±3.1%
CNN/ORC[297] July 13–16, 2016 42% 37% 13% 5% 5 872 ±3.5%
icitizen[298] July 11–14, 2016 39% 35% 9% 3% 4 1,000 ±N/A%
ABC News/Washington Post[299] July 11–14, 2016 42% 38% 8% 5% 4 1,003 ±3.5%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[302] July 9–13, 2016 41% 35% 11% 6% 6 1,000 ±3.1%
The Economist/YouGov[304] July 9–11, 2016 40% 37% 5% 2% 3 1,300 ±4.2%
AP-GfK[631] July 7–11, 2016 40% 36% 6% 2% 4 837 ±3.3%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[305] July 4–10, 2016 40% 38% 11% 6% 2 7,869 ±1.4%
Raba Research[632] July 7–9, 2016 41% 29% 9% 2% 12 781 ±3.5%
McClatchy/Marist[307] July 5–9, 2016 40% 35% 10% 5% 5 1,249 ±3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters[308] July 2–6, 2016 42% 33% 6% 4% 9 1,345 ±2.8%
The Economist/YouGov[311] July 2–4, 2016 42% 37% 4% 3% 5 1,300 ±3.9%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[313] June 27 – July 3, 2016 41% 38% 9% 5% 3 10,072 ±1.3%
Suffolk University/USA Today[316] June 26–29, 2016 39% 35% 8% 3% 4 1,000 ±3.0%
Ipsos/Reuters[317] June 25–29, 2016 42% 31% 5% 4% 11 1,247 ±2.8%
IBD/TIPP[318] June 24–29, 2016 37% 36% 9% 5% 1 837 ±3.5%
Public Policy Polling[320] June 27–28, 2016 45% 41% 5% 2% 4 947 ±3.2%
Quinnipiac University[323] June 21–27, 2016 39% 37% 8% 4% 2 1,610 ±2.4%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[324] June 20–26, 2016 42% 36% 9% 5% 6 5,818 ±1.8%
ABC News/Washington Post[327] June 20–23, 2016 47% 37% 7% 3% 10 836 ±4.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[328] June 19–23, 2016 39% 38% 10% 6% 1 1,000 ±3.1%
Ipsos/Reuters[329] June 18–22, 2016 43% 34% 6% 5% 9 1,339 ±2.8%
CNN/ORC[334] June 16–19, 2016 42% 38% 9% 7% 4 891 ±3.5%
Monmouth University[335] June 15–19, 2016 42% 36% 9% 4% 6 803 ±3.5%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[336] June 13–19, 2016 42% 38% 9% 5% 4 16,135 ±1.1%
Ipsos/Reuters[633] June 11–15, 2016 39% 29% 6% 4% 10 1,323 ±2.8%
NBC/Survey Monkey[343] June 6–12, 2016 42% 38% 9% 5% 4 10,604 ±1.3%
SurveyUSA[634] June 8, 2016 39% 36% 6% 4% 3 1,408 ±2.7%
Zogby[635] May 30 – June 5, 2016 40% 34% 6% 2% 6 837 ±3.5%
NBC News[636] May 30 – June 5, 2016 39% 40% 9% 4% 1 9,240 ±1.4%
Quinnipiac University[637] May 24–30, 2016 40% 38% 5% 3% 2 1,561 ±2.5%

Five-way race

[edit]
Poll source Date Hillary Clinton
Democratic 		Donald Trump
Republican 		Gary Johnson
Libertarian 		Jill Stein
Green 		Evan McMullin
Independent 		Leading by
(points) 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error
Saint Leo University[578] October 22–26, 2016 42% 31% 6% 1% 5% 11 1,050 –
Public Policy Polling[149] September 27–28, 2016 44% 40% 6% 1% 2% 4 933 ±3.2%
Echelon Insights[151] September 26–27, 2016 44% 39% 6% 2% 1% 5 1,833 –
Public Policy Polling[214] August 26–28, 2016 42% 37% 6% 4% 1% 5 881 ±3.3%

Post-election analysis

[edit]

BBC News discussed whether polling should be abandoned due to its perceived failure.[1] Forbes magazine contributor astrophysicist Ethan Siegel performed a scientific analysis and raised whether the statistical population sampled for the polling was inaccurate, and cited the cautionary adage "Garbage in, garbage out".[2] He concluded there may have been sampling bias on the part of the pollsters.[2] Siegel compared the 2016 election to the failure of prognosticator Arthur Henning in the "Dewey Defeats Truman" incident from the 1948 presidential election.[2] Despite all this, however, nationwide polling was not far off from the actual popular vote result, and in fact very few states had results that deviated from the margin of error in the polling average. In a FiveThirtyEight article, Nate Silver defended the performance of the polls in 2016 as historically average, and argued that "Media organizations need to do a better job of informing their readers about the uncertainties associated with polling".[638]

A particular case was the USC/Los Angeles Times Daybreak tracking poll, which was different from other polls as it had Donald Trump in the lead more often than not.[639] The poll's findings caused skepticism, especially from other pollsters and media outlets, who have denounced it and often criticized the LA Times for running it.[640] Before the election, Nate Silver deemed as positive the fact that the poll allowed people to assign themselves a probability of voting for either candidate instead of saying they're 100 percent sure, saying if people are "going to browbeat a pollster, [let's] do it to a pollster who is doing things cheaply—some of the robopolls qualify—and not one that’s trying to move the ball forward, like the LA Times poll."[641] The LA Times concluded after the preliminary results of the election were published: "That doesn't necessarily mean that a poll conducted online, the way the Daybreak poll is, necessarily will be more accurate than polls conducted by phone. But it is yet another indication that polling needs more, diverse ways to look at public opinion, not fewer."[642]

See also

[edit]

General election polling

Democratic primary polling

Republican primary polling

After the election

References

[edit]
  1. ^ a b c Peter Barnes, Senior elections and political analyst, BBC News (11 November 2016), "Reality Check: Should we give up on election polling?", BBC News, archived from the original on 12 November 2016, retrieved 12 November 2016{{citation}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)
  2. ^ a b c d e Ethan Siegel (9 November 2016), "The Science Of Error: How Polling Botched The 2016 Election", Forbes magazine, archived from the original on 12 November 2016, retrieved 12 November 2016
  3. ^ "A Quick and Dirty Guide to Polls for the 2016 Election". 13 October 2016. Archived from the original on 2016-11-13. Retrieved 2016-11-14.
  4. ^ a b "National 2016 Presidential Election Polls". Archived from the original on 2016-11-06.
  5. ^ BBC
  6. ^ a b "2016 General Election: Trump vs. Clinton". Archived from the original on 2016-10-02.
  7. ^ a b New York Times
  8. ^ Real Clear Politics
  9. ^ a b c TPM Polltracker
  10. ^ FiveThirtyEight
  11. ^ Real Clear Politics
  12. ^ CNN Poll of Polls
  13. ^ "UPI/CVoter poll: Clinton holds slim lead over Trump in last poll before election day". Team CVoter. UPI. November 7, 2016. Archived from the original on November 8, 2016. Retrieved November 7, 2016.
  14. ^ a b "The Economist/YouGov Poll (Likely Voters)" (PDF). The Economist. YouGov. November 7, 2016. Archived (PDF) from the original on November 8, 2016. Retrieved November 8, 2016.
  15. ^ a b "Bloomberg Politics National Poll". Selzer & Company. Bloomberg News. November 7, 2016. Archived from the original on November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 7, 2016.
  16. ^ a b "Post-ABC Tracking Poll, Nov. 3-6, 2016". Langer Research Associates. ABC News/The Washington Post. November 7, 2016. Archived from the original on November 10, 2016. Retrieved November 7, 2016.
  17. ^ a b "Fox News Poll results 11/7/16". Anderson Robbins Research/Shaw & Company Research. Fox News. November 7, 2016. Archived from the original on November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 7, 2016.
  18. ^ a b "Trump Lead Widens To 2, His Biggest Yet, Despite 'November Surprise': IBD/TIPP Poll". TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence. Investor's Business Daily/TIPP. November 7, 2016. Archived from the original on November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 7, 2016.
  19. ^ a b "Clinton Leads by 6 Points". Monmouth University. November 7, 2016. Archived from the original on November 8, 2016. Retrieved November 7, 2016.
  20. ^ a b "Core Political Daily Tracker" (PDF). Ipsos. Real Clear Politics. November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 8, 2016.
  21. ^ a b "CBS News poll: State of the race the day before Election Day". SSRS of Media, PA. CBS News/New York Times. November 7, 2016. Archived from the original on November 8, 2016. Retrieved November 7, 2016.
  22. ^ a b "NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey". SurveyMonkey. NBC News. November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 7, 2016.
  23. ^ "Cooperative Congressional Election Study: Clinton leads Trump by 4". Cooperative Congressional Election Study. YouGov. November 7, 2016. Archived from the original on November 8, 2016. Retrieved November 8, 2016.
  24. ^ a b "NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey". Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies. NBC News/Wall Street Journal. November 6, 2016. Archived from the original on November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 6, 2016.
  25. ^ a b "Post-ABC Tracking Poll, Nov. 2-5, 2016". Langer Research Associates. ABC News/The Washington Post. November 7, 2016. Archived from the original on November 10, 2016. Retrieved November 7, 2016.
  26. ^ a b "Trump Leads Clinton By 1 Point With 2 Days Left — IBD/TIPP Poll". TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence. Investor's Business Daily/TIPP. November 6, 2016. Archived from the original on November 6, 2016. Retrieved November 6, 2016.
  27. ^ "UPI/CVoter poll: Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump by 3.3 points". Team CVoter. UPI. November 6, 2016. Archived from the original on November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 6, 2016.
  28. ^ "Where the presidential race stands today". UNDERSTANDING AMERICA STUDY. USC/LA Times. November 5, 2016. Archived from the original on November 6, 2016. Retrieved November 5, 2016.
  29. ^ a b "Post-ABC Tracking Poll, Nov. 1-4, 2016". Langer Research Associates. ABC News/The Washington Post. November 6, 2016. Archived from the original on November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 6, 2016.
  30. ^ a b "Despite Email Scandal, Clinton-Trump A Tossup With 3 Days Left — IBD/TIPP Poll". TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence. Investor's Business Daily/TIPP. November 5, 2016. Retrieved November 5, 2016.
  31. ^ a b "Core Political Daily Tracker" (PDF). Ipsos. Huffington Post. November 5, 2016. Archived (PDF) from the original on November 6, 2016. Retrieved November 6, 2016.
  32. ^ "UPI/CVoter poll: Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump by 1.25 points". Team CVoter. UPI. November 5, 2016. Archived from the original on November 6, 2016. Retrieved November 6, 2016.
  33. ^ "Where the presidential race stands today". UNDERSTANDING AMERICA STUDY. USC/LA Times. November 4, 2016. Archived from the original on November 6, 2016. Retrieved November 4, 2016.
  34. ^ a b "Fox News Poll results 11/4/16". Anderson Robbins Research/Shaw & Company Research. Fox News. November 4, 2016. Archived from the original on November 5, 2016. Retrieved November 5, 2016.
  35. ^ a b "McClatchy-Marist Poll of 1,587 National Adults". Marist. McClatchy. November 4, 2016. Archived from the original on November 5, 2016. Retrieved November 4, 2016.
  36. ^ a b "Core Political Daily Tracker" (PDF). Ipsos. Real Clear Politics. November 4, 2016. Archived (PDF) from the original on November 5, 2016. Retrieved November 5, 2016.
  37. ^ a b "Post-ABC Tracking poll". Langer Research Associates. ABC News/The Washington Post. November 5, 2016. Archived from the original on June 24, 2018. Retrieved November 5, 2016.
  38. ^ a b "Trump And Clinton Remain Deadlocked Amid New Clinton Scandal Revelations: IBD/TIPP Poll". TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence. Investor's Business Daily/TIPP. November 4, 2016. Archived from the original on November 4, 2016. Retrieved November 4, 2016.
  39. ^ "UPI/CVoter poll: Clinton, Trump remain locked in dead heat". Team CVoter. UPI. November 4, 2016. Archived from the original on November 5, 2016. Retrieved November 5, 2016.
  40. ^ a b "Hint of Momentum for Clinton, With Issues a Defining Factor" (PDF). Langer Research Associates. ABC News/The Washington Post. November 4, 2016. Archived (PDF) from the original on November 4, 2016. Retrieved November 4, 2016.
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