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Opinion polling for the 2019 United Kingdom general election

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Opinion polling for UK general elections
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Prior to the 2019 United Kingdom general election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions. Results of such polls are displayed in this list. Most of the pollsters listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules. Opinion polling about attitudes to the leaders of various political parties can be found in a separate article.

The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous general election, held on 8 June 2017, to the 2019 general election. The election was held on 12 December 2019.

Most opinion polls do not cover Northern Ireland, since its 18 seats were not contested by the political parties standing for election in the rest of the United Kingdom.

Graphical summaries

[edit]

The chart below depicts opinion polls conducted in the lead up to the 2019 UK general election using a 15-poll moving average. As discussed below, most of these polls do not include Northern Ireland. The larger circles at the end represent the actual results of the election.

Great Britain opinion polling; moving average is calculated from the last 15 polls.
  Conservatives
  Labour
  Liberal Democrats
  Brexit Party
  SNP & Plaid Cymru
  Greens
  Independent Group for Change
  UKIP
Polling for the 2019 UK general election campaign period (6 November 2019 onwards).
  Conservatives
  Labour
  Liberal Democrats
  Brexit Party
  SNP & Plaid Cymru
  Greens

National poll results

[edit]

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order. Most pollsters only include responses from within Great Britain, excluding Northern Ireland. However, some, such as Survation, do include Northern Ireland. The table below indicates whether a poll is Great Britain (GB)-only or United Kingdom (UK)-wide.

The campaigning period officially began on 6 November 2019.[1]

The various polls use a variety of methodologies. For example, in Kantar and Ipsos MORI polls, Change UK and the Brexit Party were spontaneous responses and not prompted by the pollster.[2][3] In YouGov polls before June 2019, only the Conservatives, Labour, and Liberal Democrats were prompted, the names of other parties being listed when "other" was selected.[4] YouGov polls conducted since June 2019 prompt for both the Greens and the Brexit Party, alongside the earlier list.[5] BMG polls also use two-stage questions in which the Conservatives, Labour, Liberal Democrats, the Brexit Party, the Greens, SNP, and Plaid Cymru are included on the initial prompt and the remaining parties provided after "another party" is selected. Prior to August 2019, BMG did not prompt the Brexit Party and the Greens initially.[6]

As the parties standing for each seat became known (including the 11 November announcement that the Brexit Party would not be contesting the 317 seats won by the Conservatives in 2017) the major pollsters began listing only those standing in a respondent's constituency as options.[7]

2019

[edit]
For events during the year, see 2019 in the United Kingdom.
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Area Sample
size 		Con Lab Lib Dem SNP Plaid Cymru Green Brexit UKIP Change UK Other Lead
2019 general election 12 Dec UK – 43.6% 32.1% 11.6% 3.9% 0.5% 2.7% 2.0% 0.1% 0.0% 3.1% 11.5%
GB 44.7% 33.0% 11.8% 4.0% 0.5% 2.8% 2.1% 0.1% 0.0% 1.0% 11.7%
Survation 10–11 Dec GB 2,395 45% 34% 9% 4% 1% 3% 3% – – 1% 11%
Panelbase 10–11 Dec GB 3,174 43% 34% 11% 4% 0% 3% 4% – – – 9%
Opinium Archived 11 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine 10–11 Dec GB 3,005 45% 33% 12% 4% 0% 2% 2% – – 1% 12%
Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 9–11 Dec GB 2,213 44% 33% 12% 4% 1% 3% 2% – – 6% 11%
Deltapoll 9–11 Dec GB 1,818 45% 35% 10% 4% 0% 3% 4% – – 0% 10%
Kantar Archived 11 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine 9–11 Dec GB 2,815 44% 32% 13% 4% 0% 3% 3% – – 1% 12%
BMG/The Independent 6–11 Dec GB 1,660 41% 32% 14% – – 3% 4% – – 6% 9%
SavantaComRes/The Daily Telegraph 9–10 Dec GB 2,051 41% 36% 12% 4% – 2% 3% – – 2% 5%
Number Cruncher Politics/Bloomberg 8–10 Dec GB 1,009 43% 33% 12% 4% 1% 3% 3% – – 1% 10%
YouGov (MRP) 4–10 Dec GB 105,612 43% 34% 12% 3% 0% 3% 3% – – 2% 9%
FocalData (MRP) 27 Nov–10 Dec GB 21,213 42% 34% 14% 3% 1% 3% 3% – – 1% 8%
ICM Research/Reuters 6–9 Dec GB 2,011 42% 36% 12% 3% 0% 2% 3% 0% – 1% 6%
SavantaComRes/Remain United[a] 6–8 Dec GB 6,073 43% 36% 12% 4% 0% 2% 3% – – 1% 7%
Qriously 5–8 Dec UK 2,222 43% 30% 12% 2% – 4% 3% – – 5% 13%
Survation/Good Morning Britain 5–7 Dec UK 1,012 45% 31% 11% 3% 1% 2% 4% – – 3% 14%
Deltapoll/The Mail on Sunday 5–7 Dec GB 1,533 44% 33% 11% 4% 0% 2% 3% 1% – 1% 11%
YouGov/The Sunday Times 5–6 Dec GB 1,680 43% 33% 13% 4% 0% 3% 3% – – 1% 10%
BMG/The Independent 4–6 Dec GB 1,542 41% 32% 14% 3% 0% 4% 4% 0% 0% 1% 9%
Opinium/The Observer 4–6 Dec GB 2,002 46% 31% 13% 4% 0% 2% 3% – – 1% 15%
Panelbase 4–6 Dec GB 2,033 43% 34% 13% 4% 1% 2% 3% – – 0% 9%
SavantaComRes/The Sunday Telegraph 4–5 Dec GB 2,034 41% 33% 12% 4% – 2% 3% – – 5% 8%
SavantaComRes/Remain United[a] 2–5 Dec GB 2,005 42% 36% 11% 3% – 2% 4% – – 1% 6%
Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 2–4 Dec GB 1,545 44% 32% 13% 4% 1% 3% 2% – – 1% 12%
SavantaComRes/The Daily Telegraph 2–3 Dec GB 2,041 42% 32% 12% 4% – 2% 3% – – 5% 10%
YouGov/The Times/Sky News 2–3 Dec GB 1,699 42% 33% 12% 5% 0% 4% 4% – – 1% 9%
ICM Research 29 Nov–2 Dec GB 2,029 42% 35% 13% 3% 0% 2% 3% – – 1% 7%
Kantar Archived 3 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine 28 Nov–2 Dec GB 1,096 44% 32% 15% 3% 1% 3% 2% – – 1% 12%
Deltapoll/The Mail on Sunday 28–30 Nov GB 1,528 45% 32% 15% 3% 0% 1% 3% 0% – 0% 13%
Survation/Good Morning Britain 26–30 Nov UK 1,065 42% 33% 11% 3% 1% 4% 3% – – 3% 9%
YouGov/The Sunday Times 28–29 Nov GB 1,680 43% 34% 13% 4% 0% 3% 2% – – 1% 9%
Opinium/The Observer 27–29 Nov GB 2,018 46% 31% 13% 4% 0% 3% 2% – – 2% 15%
BMG/The Independent 27–29 Nov GB 1,663 39% 33% 13% 4% 0% 5% 4% 0% 0% 1% 6%
SavantaComRes/The Sunday Telegraph 27–28 Nov GB 2,025 43% 33% 13% 3% – 3% 4% – – 1% 10%
Panelbase 27–28 Nov GB 2,010 42% 34% 13% 3% 0% 3% 4% – – 1% 8%
SavantaComRes/The Daily Telegraph 25–26 Nov GB 2,034 41% 34% 13% 3% – 2% 5% – – 1% 7%
YouGov/The Times/Sky News 25–26 Nov GB 1,678 43% 32% 13% 4% 0% 2% 4% – – 1% 11%
ICM Research 22–25 Nov GB 2,004 41% 34% 13% 3% 1% 3% 4% 0% – 1% 7%
Kantar[permanent dead link] 21–25 Nov GB 1,097 43% 32% 14% 4% 0% 4% 3% – – 0% 11%
Deltapoll/The Mail on Sunday 21–23 Nov GB 1,519 43% 30% 16% 4% 0% 3% 3% – – 0% 13%
Survation/Good Morning Britain 20–23 Nov UK 1,010 41% 30% 15% 3% 1% 3% 5% – – 4% 11%
YouGov/The Sunday Times 21–22 Nov GB 1,677 42% 30% 16% 4% 0% 4% 3% – – 1% 12%
Opinium/The Observer Archived 10 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine 20–22 Nov GB 2,003 47% 28% 12% 5% 0% 3% 3% – – 2% 19%
Panelbase 20–22 Nov GB 2,028 42% 32% 14% 3% 1% 3% 3% – – 2% 10%
SavantaComRes/Sunday Express 20–21 Nov GB 2,038 42% 32% 15% 3% 0% 2% 5% – – 1% 10%
BMG 19–21 Nov GB 1,663 41% 28% 18% 2% 0% 5% 3% – – 1% 13%
YouGov 12–20 Nov GB 11,277 43% 29% 15% 4% 1% 3% 4% – – 2% 14%
SavantaComRes/The Daily Telegraph 18–19 Nov GB 1,628 42% 31% 15% 4% 0% 2% 5% – – 1% 11%
YouGov/The Times 18–19 Nov GB 1,606 42% 30% 15% 4% 0% 4% 4% – – 1% 12%
Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 15–19 Nov GB 1,128 44% 28% 16% 4% 1% 3% 3% – – 1% 16%
YouGov 17–18 Nov GB 1,634 43% 29% 15% 4% 1% 3% 3% – – 3% 14%
ICM Research 15–18 Nov GB 2,010 42% 32% 13% 3% 0% 3% 5% – – 2% 10%
Kantar Archived 23 November 2019 at the Wayback Machine 14–18 Nov GB 1,176 45% 27% 16% 4% 1% 3% 2% – – 1% 18%
Survation/Good Morning Britain 14–16 Nov UK 1,010 42% 28% 13% 3% 1% 3% 5% – – 4% 14%
Deltapoll/The Mail on Sunday 14–16 Nov GB 1,526 45% 30% 11% 3% 0% 2% 6% 2% 0% 0% 15%
15 Nov Nominations for candidates close (final candidates announced)
YouGov/The Sunday Times 14–15 Nov GB 1,670 45% 28% 15% 4% 0% 3% 4% – – 2% 17%
Opinium/The Observer Archived 28 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine 13–15 Nov GB 2,008 44% 28% 14% 4% 1% 3% 6% – – 0% 16%
BMG/The Independent 12–15 Nov GB 1,506 37% 29% 16% 2% 0% 5% 9% – – 0% 8%
SavantaComRes/The Sunday Telegraph 13–14 Nov GB 2,052 41% 33% 14% 3% 0% 2% 5% – – 1% 8%
Panelbase 13–14 Nov GB 1,021 43% 30% 15% 4% 0% 2% 5% – – 0% 13%
SavantaComRes/The Daily Telegraph 11–12 Nov GB 2,022 40% 30% 16% 4% 0% 3% 7% – – 1% 10%
YouGov/The Times/Sky News 11–12 Nov GB 1,619 42% 28% 15% 3% 1% 4% 4% – – 4% 14%
ICM Research 8–11 Nov GB 2,035 39% 31% 15% 3% 0% 3% 8% – – 2% 8%
Kantar Archived 13 November 2019 at the Wayback Machine 7–11 Nov GB 1,165 37% 27% 17% 3% 1% 3% 9% 1% 1% 1% 10%
ComRes/Britain Elects 8–10 Nov GB 2,014 37% 29% 17% 4% 0% 3% 9% – – 1% 8%
Deltapoll/The Mail on Sunday 6–9 Nov GB 1,518 41% 29% 16% 3% 0% 2% 6% 1% 0% 1% 12%
YouGov/The Sunday Times 7–8 Nov GB 1,598 39% 26% 17% 4% 0% 4% 10% – – 0% 13%
Survation 6–8 Nov UK 2,037 35% 29% 17% 4% 1% 1% 10% – – 3% 6%
Opinium/The Observer Archived 18 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine 6–8 Nov GB 2,001 41% 29% 15% 5% 1% 2% 6% – – 0% 12%
Panelbase 6–8 Nov GB 1,046 40% 30% 15% 4% 0% 3% 8% – – 0% 10%
BMG/The Independent 5–8 Nov GB 1,504 37% 29% 16% 2% 0% 7% 9% – – 0% 8%
YouGov/The Times/Sky 5–6 Nov GB 1,667 36% 25% 17% 4% 1% 5% 11% – – 1% 11%
6 Nov Parliament dissolved and official campaign period begins
ComRes/Remain United 30 Oct–5 Nov GB 6,097 36% 29% 17% 4% 1% 3% 11% 0% 0% 0% 7%
YouGov/The Times 1–4 Nov GB 3,284 38% 25% 16% 4% 1% 5% 11% 0% 0% 0% 13%
ICM Research/Reuters 1–4 Nov GB 2,047 38% 31% 15% 3% 0% 3% 9% 1% 0% 1% 7%
Deltapoll/The Mail on Sunday 31 Oct–2 Nov GB 1,500 40% 28% 14% 3% 1% 2% 11% 1% 0% 0% 12%
Opinium/The Observer Archived 3 November 2019 at the Wayback Machine 30 Oct–1 Nov GB 2,004 42% 26% 16% 4% 1% 2% 9% 0% 0% 1% 16%
YouGov/The Sunday Times 30 Oct–1 Nov GB 1,834 39% 27% 16% 5% 1% 4% 7% 0% 0% 1% 12%
ComRes/Sunday Express 30–31 Oct GB 2,032 36% 28% 17% 4% 0% 3% 10% 0% 0% 1% 8%
ORB/The Sunday Telegraph Archived 3 November 2019 at the Wayback Machine 30–31 Oct GB 2,025 36% 28% 14% 5% 0% 4% 12% 0% 0% 1% 8%
Panelbase 30–31 Oct GB 1,008 40% 29% 14% 3% 0% 3% 9% 0% 0% 1% 11%
30 Oct The House of Commons votes for an early general election
YouGov/The Times 29–30 Oct GB 1,750 36% 21% 18% 4% 1% 6% 13% 0% 0% 1% 15%
Survation/Daily Mail 29–30 Oct UK 1,010 34% 26% 19% 4% 0% 1% 12% 0% 0% 4% 8%
29 Oct Richard Braine resigns as leader of UKIP[8]
Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 25–28 Oct GB 1,007 41% 24% 20% 4% 1% 3% 7% 0% 0% 0% 17%
YouGov 17–28 Oct GB 11,590 36% 22% 19% 4% 1% 6% 12% 0% 0% 0% 14%
YouGov/The Times 24–25 Oct GB 1,672 36% 23% 18% 4% 1% 6% 12% 0% 0% 0% 13%
Opinium/The Observer Archived 19 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine 23–25 Oct GB 2,001 40% 24% 15% 5% 0% 3% 10% 1% 0% 1% 16%
YouGov/The Times 20–21 Oct GB 1,689 37% 22% 19% 3% 1% 7% 11% 1% 0% 0% 15%
Deltapoll 18–21 Oct GB 2,017 37% 24% 19% 4% 1% 3% 11% 1% 0% 0% 13%
Panelbase 17–18 Oct GB 1,008 36% 27% 17% 4% 0% 3% 11% 0% 0% 0% 9%
Survation/Daily Mail 17–18 Oct UK 1,025 32% 24% 21% 4% 1% 2% 13% 0% 0% 4% 8%
ComRes/Britain Elects 16–17 Oct GB 2,067 33% 29% 18% 4% 1% 4% 12% 0% 0% 0% 4%
Opinium/The Observer Archived 12 November 2019 at the Wayback Machine 15–17 Oct GB 2,001 37% 24% 16% 4% 1% 4% 12% 2% 0% 1% 13%
YouGov/The Times 14–15 Oct GB 1,625 37% 22% 18% 4% 1% 5% 11% 1% 0% 0% 15%
Kantar[permanent dead link] 10–15 Oct GB 1,184 39% 25% 18% 3% 1% 3% 8% 1% 0% 1% 14%
Panelbase/The Sunday Times 9–11 Oct GB 2,013 33% 30% 17% 4% 0% 3% 12% 0% 0% 0% 3%
ComRes/Daily Express 9–10 Oct GB 2,018 33% 27% 18% 4% 0% 4% 12% 0% 0% 2% 6%
YouGov/The Times 8–9 Oct GB 1,616 35% 22% 20% 4% 1% 6% 12% 0% 1% 0% 13%
ICM Research/Represent Us 4–7 Oct GB 2,013 35% 29% 16% 3% 1% 4% 11% 1% 0% 1% 6%
ComRes/The Daily Telegraph 4–6 Oct GB 2,006 33% 27% 19% 4% 1% 3% 13% 1% 0% 1% 6%
Opinium/The Observer Archived 17 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine 3–4 Oct GB 2,006 38% 23% 15% 5% 0% 4% 12% 1% 0% 0% 15%
BMG/The Independent 1–4 Oct GB 1,514 31% 26% 20% 3% 1% 7% 11% 0% 0% 0% 5%
YouGov/The Times 30 Sep–1 Oct GB 1,623 34% 21% 23% 3% 1% 5% 12% 0% 0% 1% 11%
YouGov/The Sunday Times 26–27 Sep GB 1,623 33% 22% 21% 4% 1% 5% 13% 0% 0% 1% 11%
Opinium/The Observer Archived 29 September 2019 at the Wayback Machine 25–27 Sep GB 2,007 36% 24% 20% 5% 1% 2% 11% 0% 0% 1% 12%
Survation/Daily Mail 25 Sep UK 1,011 27% 24% 22% 4% 0% 3% 16% 0% 0% 4% 3%
YouGov/The Times 24–25 Sep GB 1,635 33% 22% 22% 3% 1% 6% 14% 0% 0% 0% 11%
YouGov/People's Vote 19–20 Sep GB 2,006 30% 23% 22% 4% 0% 5% 14% 0% 0% 1% 7%
Opinium/The Observer Archived 22 September 2019 at the Wayback Machine 19–20 Sep GB 2,004 37% 22% 17% 4% 1% 4% 12% 2% 0% 0% 15%
ComRes/Britain Elects 18–19 Sep GB 2,050 29% 27% 20% 4% 0% 4% 13% 0% 1% 0% 2%
YouGov/The Times 17–18 Sep GB 1,608 32% 21% 23% 4% 1% 4% 14% 1% 0% 2% 9%
Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 13–16 Sep GB 1,006 33% 24% 23% 4% 4% 10% 0% 0% 1% 9%
Opinium/The Observer Archived 7 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine 11–13 Sep GB 2,002 37% 25% 16% 4% 1% 2% 13% 1% 0% 0% 12%
ComRes/Sunday Express 11–12 Sep GB 2,057 28% 27% 20% 4% 1% 5% 13% 1% 1% 0% 1%
YouGov/The Times 9–10 Sep GB 1,676 32% 23% 19% 4% 0% 7% 14% 0% 0% 1% 9%
Kantar Archived 7 November 2019 at the Wayback Machine 5–9 Sep GB 1,144 38% 24% 20% 4% 1% 3% 7% 1% 1% 1% 14%
ComRes/The Daily Telegraph 6–8 Sep GB 2,016 30% 29% 17% 3% 1% 4% 13% 1% 0% 2% 1%
Deltapoll/The Sun on Sunday 5–7 Sep GB 2,049 31% 28% 17% 5% 1% 4% 13% 1% 0% 0% 3%
YouGov/The Sunday Times 5–6 Sep GB 1,676 35% 21% 19% 4% 0% 7% 12% 1% 0% 1% 14%
Panelbase 5–6 Sep GB 1,013 31% 28% 19% 3% 0% 2% 15% 0% 0% 0% 3%
Survation/Daily Mail 5–6 Sep UK 1,006 29% 24% 18% 4% 1% 3% 17% 0% 0% 5% 5%
ComRes/Britain Elects 4–6 Sep GB 2,009 31% 27% 20% 3% 1% 3% 13% 1% 0% 1% 4%
Opinium/The Observer Archived 27 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine 4–6 Sep GB 2,009 35% 25% 17% 5% 0% 3% 13% 1% 0% 1% 10%
BMG/The Independent 3–6 Sep GB 1,504 31% 27% 19% 3% 0% 6% 13% 1% 0% 0% 4%
Hanbury Strategy Archived 9 March 2021 at the Wayback Machine 3–4 Sep GB 995 33% 26% 17% 4% 1% 3% 14% 0% 0% 2% 7%[b]
YouGov/The Times 2–3 Sep GB 1,639 35% 25% 16% 4% 1% 7% 11% 1% 0% 0% 10%
ICM Research/Represent Us 30 Aug–3 Sep GB 2,041 37% 30% 16% 3% 1% 4% 9% 1% 0% 1% 7%
Deltapoll/The Mail on Sunday 29–31 Aug GB 2,028 35% 24% 18% 4% 1% 4% 14% 0% 1% 0% 11%
Survation/Daily Mail 29–30 Aug UK 1,020 31% 24% 21% 4% 1% 3% 14% 0% 0% 3% 7%
YouGov 28–29 Aug GB 1,867 33% 22% 21% 4% 1% 7% 12% 0% 0% 1% 11%
YouGov/The Times 27–28 Aug GB 2,006 34% 22% 17% 4% 1% 8% 13% 1% 0% 1% 12%
YouGov/The Sunday Times 22–23 Aug GB 2,019 33% 21% 19% 4% 1% 7% 14% 0% 0% 1% 12%
Opinium/The Observer 21–23 Aug GB 2,005 32% 26% 15% 5% 1% 4% 16% 1% 0% 1% 6%
YouGov/The Times 20–21 Aug GB 1,687 32% 22% 20% 4% 1% 7% 12% 0% 0% 2% 10%
Kantar Archived 21 August 2019 at the Wayback Machine 15–19 Aug GB 1,133 42% 28% 15% 5% 0% 3% 5% 0% 1% 1% 14%
YouGov/The Times 13–14 Aug GB 1,625 30% 21% 20% 4% 1% 8% 14% 1% 0% 2% 9%
BMG/The Independent 7–12 Aug GB 1,515 31% 25% 19% 3% 1% 6% 12% 1% 0% 2% 6%
ComRes/The Daily Telegraph 9–11 Aug GB 2,011 31% 27% 16% 3% 0% 4% 16% 1% 0% 2% 4%
Survation 6–11 Aug UK 2,040 28% 24% 21% 4% 0% 3% 15% 0% 0% 4% 4%
10 Aug Richard Braine becomes leader of UKIP[9]
Opinium/The Observer Archived 7 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine 8–9 Aug GB 2,003 31% 28% 13% 4% 1% 5% 16% 1% 0% 0% 3%
YouGov/The Times 5–6 Aug GB 1,628 31% 22% 21% 4% 0% 7% 14% 0% 0% 1% 9%
1 Aug Brecon and Radnorshire by-election[10]
YouGov/The Times 29–30 Jul GB 2,066 32% 22% 19% 4% 1% 8% 13% 0% 0% 1% 10%
Ipsos MORI 26–30 Jul GB 1,007 34% 24% 20% 4% 1% 6% 9% 1% 0% 1% 10%
ComRes/Britain Elects 26–28 Jul GB 2,004 29% 30% 16% 3% 1% 5% 15% 1% 0% 2% 1%
Deltapoll/The Mail on Sunday 25–27 Jul GB 2,001 30% 25% 18% 4% 1% 4% 14% 1% 2% 1% 5%
YouGov/The Sunday Times 25–26 Jul GB 1,697 31% 21% 20% 5% 1% 8% 13% 0% 0% 1% 10%
Opinium/The Observer 24–26 Jul GB 2,006 30% 28% 16% 5% 1% 5% 15% 1% 0% 1% 2%
ComRes/Sunday Express 24–25 Jul GB 2,029 28% 27% 19% 3% 1% 4% 16% 1% 0% 0% 1%
YouGov/The Times 23–24 Jul GB 1,715 25% 19% 23% 4% 1% 9% 17% 1% 0% 1% 2%
23 Jul Boris Johnson becomes leader of the Conservative Party, and Prime Minister the next day
22 Jul Jo Swinson becomes leader of the Liberal Democrats[11]
YouGov/The Times 16–17 Jul GB 1,749 25% 21% 20% 4% 1% 8% 19% 0% 0% 1% 4%
ComRes/Britain Elects 15–16 Jul GB 2,038 25% 28% 17% 4% 0% 5% 19% 1% 1% 1% 3%
ComRes/Sunday Express 10–11 Jul GB 1,791 24% 28% 15% 3% 1% 5% 20% 1% 1% 2% 4%
Survation 10–11 Jul GB 1,012 23% 29% 19% 4% 1% 3% 20% – – 1% 6%
YouGov/The Times 9–10 Jul GB 1,671 24% 20% 19% 5% 1% 9% 21% 0% 0% 1% 3%
ComRes/The Daily Telegraph 5–7 Jul GB 2,010 25% 28% 16% 3% 0% 5% 19% 1% 0% 1% 3%
Opinium/The Observer 3–5 Jul GB 2,002 23% 25% 15% 5% 1% 8% 22% 1% 1% 0% 2%
BMG/The Independent 2–5 Jul GB 1,532 28% 27% 18% 2% 1% 6% 14% 2% 1% 0% 1%
YouGov/The Times 2–3 Jul GB 1,605 24% 18% 20% 4% 1% 9% 23% 0% 0% 1% 1%
YouGov/The Times 24–25 Jun GB 2,059 22% 20% 19% 4% 1% 10% 22% 1% 0% 1% Tie
Ipsos MORI 21–25 Jun GB 1,043 26% 24% 22% 4% 1% 8% 12% 1% 0% 0% 2%
Opinium/The Observer Archived 19 July 2019 at the Wayback Machine 19–20 Jun GB 2,009 20% 26% 16% 4% 1% 6% 23% 2% 1% 1% 3%
Survation/The Mail on Sunday 19–20 Jun GB 2,016 24% 26% 18% 3% 1% 6% 20% 1% 1% 1% 2%
YouGov/The Times 18–19 Jun GB 1,641 20% 20% 21% 4% 1% 9% 23% 1% 0% 0% 2%
YouGov/The Sunday Times 13–14 Jun GB 1,672 21% 21% 19% 3% 1% 9% 24% 0% 0% 1% 3%
YouGov/The Times 9–10 Jun GB 1,702 17% 19% 22% 4% 1% 8% 26% 0% 1% 1% 4%
ComRes/The Daily Telegraph 7–9 Jun GB 2,017 23% 27% 17% 3% 1% 5% 22% 1% 1% 1% 4%
BMG/The Independent 4–7 Jun GB 1,520 26% 27% 17% 3% 1% 6% 18% 1% 1% 1% 1%
6 Jun Peterborough by-election[10]
YouGov/The Times 5–6 Jun GB 1,670 18% 20% 20% 5% 0% 9% 26% 1% 0% 0% 6%
YouGov 4–5 Jun GB 1,663 18% 19% 22% 4% 0% 9% 25% 0% – 3% 3%
4 Jun Anna Soubry becomes leader of Change UK after six of its MPs leave the party[12]
YouGov 31 May–1 Jun GB 1,644 18% 19% 23% 5% 0% 10% 23% – – 2% Tie
Deltapoll/The Mail on Sunday 29–30 May GB 2,449 20% 26% 16% 4% 1% 5% 24% 1% 4% 1% 2%
Opinium/The Observer Archived 18 July 2019 at the Wayback Machine 28–30 May GB 2,005 17% 22% 16% 4% 1% 11% 26% 1% 1% 1% 4%
YouGov/The Times 28–29 May GB 1,763 19% 19% 24% 6% 8% 22% 1% 1% 0% 2%
24 May Theresa May announces her intention to resign as Prime Minister and leader of the Conservative Party
23 May European Parliament election[13]
Survation/Daily Mail 22 May UK 2,029 28% 33% 13% 3% 0% 3% 12% 3% 2% 3% 5%
Number Cruncher Politics 18–21 May GB 1,005 27% 31% 15% 5% 1% 4% 14% 1% 2% 0% 4%
Panelbase/The Sunday Times 14–21 May GB 2,033 21% 31% 13% 4% 0% 5% 19% 3% 4% 0% 10%
Opinium Archived 16 September 2019 at the Wayback Machine 17–20 May GB 2,005 22% 26% 12% 4% 1% 4% 25% 2% 2% 0% 4%
Survation/Daily Mail 17 May UK 1,000 27% 32% 13% 5% 0% 3% 13% 2% 2% 4% 5%
YouGov/Best for Britain/Hope Not Hate 8–17 May GB 9,260 24% 24% 18% 4% 1% 6% 18% 2% 2% 1% Tie
Opinium/The Observer Archived 9 July 2019 at the Wayback Machine 14–16 May GB 2,009 22% 29% 11% 4% 0% 3% 24% 2% 3% 1% 7%
YouGov/The Times 13–14 May GB 1,655 25% 25% 16% 5% 7% 18% 2% 2% 1% Tie
Ipsos MORI 10–14 May GB 1,072 25% 27% 15% 4% 1% 7% 16% 3% 2% 1% 2%
Hanbury Strategy/Politico Archived 26 June 2019 at the Wayback Machine 9–13 May GB 2,000 21% 30% 13% 4% – 5% 19% 2% 6% 1% 9%
Kantar Archived 25 May 2019 at the Wayback Machine 9–13 May GB 1,152 25% 34% 15% 5% 2% 3% 10% 4% 1% 2% 9%
ComRes/The Daily Telegraph 10–12 May GB 2,028 20% 27% 13% 3% 0% 4% 20% 4% 6% 1% 7%
Opinium/The Observer Archived 16 September 2019 at the Wayback Machine 8–10 May GB 2,004 22% 28% 11% 4% 0% 6% 21% 4% 4% 0% 6%
BMG/The Independent 7–10 May GB 1,541 27% 30% 18% 2% 0% 6% 10% 3% 3% 1% 3%
ComRes/Brexit Express 9 May GB 2,034 19% 27% 14% 3% 1% 5% 20% 3% 7% 1% 8%
YouGov/The Times 8–9 May GB 2,212 24% 24% 16% 5% 7% 18% 2% 2% 1% Tie
Opinium/People's Vote 3–7 May GB 2,000 25% 30% 11% 3% 1% 5% 17% 4% 2% 1% 5%
2 May Local elections in England and Northern Ireland[14][15]
YouGov 29–30 Apr GB 1,630 29% 29% 13% 4% 5% 15% 2% 3% 1% Tie
YouGov/The Times 23–24 Apr GB 1,787 27% 30% 11% 5% 5% 14% 4% 3% 1% 3%
Panelbase/The Sunday Times 18–24 Apr GB 2,030 27% 36% 8% 4% – 3% 13% 5% 4% 1% 9%
Opinium/The Observer Archived 17 May 2019 at the Wayback Machine 21–23 Apr GB 2,004 26% 33% 6% 5% 1% 4% 17% 4% 4% 1% 7%
ORB/The Daily Telegraph 16–17 Apr UK 1,546 26% 29% 8% 4% 1% 4% 14% 5% 5% 4%[c] 3%
YouGov/The Times 16–17 Apr GB 1,755 29% 30% 10% 5% 5% 12% 4% 3% 2% 1%
ComRes/Brexit Express Archived 15 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine 16 Apr GB 1,061 23% 33% 7% 3% 1% 3% 14% 5% 9% 1% 10%
Opinium/The Observer Archived 16 September 2019 at the Wayback Machine 9–12 Apr GB 2,007 29% 36% 8% 5% 1% 4% – 11% – 6% 7%
YouGov/The Times 10–11 Apr GB 1,843 28% 32% 11% 5% 5% 8% 6% 3% 2% 4%
Hanbury Strategy/Open Europe Archived 8 March 2021 at the Wayback Machine 5–8 Apr GB 2,000 31% 40% 8% 4% 1% 5% – 8% – 4% 9%
Kantar Archived 26 June 2019 at the Wayback Machine 4–8 Apr GB 1,172 32% 35% 11% 5% 1% 4% – 7% – 6% 3%
Survation 3–8 Apr E+W 6,062 37% 41% 10% – 1% 2% – 7% 1% 2% 4%
ComRes/The Daily Telegraph Archived 15 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine 5–7 Apr GB 2,018 32% 32% 7% 3% 0% 3% – 9% 9% 3% Tie
BMG/The Independent 2–5 Apr GB 1,500 29% 31% 8% 3% 1% 4% 6% 7% 8% 1% 2%
35% 34% 11% 4% 1% 5% – 6% – 3% 1%
4 Apr Newport West by-election[10]
YouGov/The Times 2–3 Apr GB 1,771 32% 31% 12% 6% 4% 5% 7% – 3% 1%
Deltapoll/The Mail on Sunday 28–30 Mar GB 1,010 32% 35% 7% 2% 1% 2% 6% 6% 9% 1% 3%
36% 41% 7% 3% 1% 3% – 7% – 3% 5%
Opinium/The Observer Archived 16 May 2019 at the Wayback Machine 28–29 Mar GB 2,008 35% 35% 9% 4% 0% 5% – 9% – 3% Tie
YouGov/The Times 24–25 Mar GB 2,110 36% 33% 11% 5% 4% 5% 4% – 2% 3%
ComRes/Leave Means Leave Archived 31 March 2019 at the Wayback Machine 22–24 Mar GB 2,030 33% 33% 8% 3% 1% 3% – 7% 9% 3% Tie
Opinium/The Observer Archived 16 September 2019 at the Wayback Machine 20–22 Mar GB 2,002 36% 35% 7% 5% 1% 4% – 9% – 3% 1%
ComRes/Daily Express Archived 15 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine 20–21 Mar GB 2,063 34% 35% 8% 3% 1% 4% – 7% 6% 3% 1%
Ipsos MORI 15–19 Mar GB 1,050 38% 34% 8% 5% 1% 4% 1% 7% 2% 0% 4%
ComRes/The Daily Telegraph Archived 15 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine 15–17 Mar GB 2,033 34% 35% 8% 3% 1% 3% – 6% 7% 3% 1%
Survation/Daily Mail 15 Mar UK 1,007 35% 39% 10% 3% 0% – – – – 12% 4%
YouGov/People's Vote 14–15 Mar GB 1,823 35% 33% 11% – – – – – – 21% 2%
YouGov/The Times 14–15 Mar GB 1,756 35% 31% 12% 4% 4% 4% 6% – 2% 4%
Opinium/The Observer Archived 16 September 2019 at the Wayback Machine 13–15 Mar GB 2,003 35% 35% 7% 5% 0% 4% – 8% 4% 2% Tie
12–15 Mar GB 2,008 38% 34% 8% 5% 1% 3% – 8% – 3% 4%
Kantar Archived 7 September 2019 at the Wayback Machine 7–11 Mar GB 1,152 41% 31% 8% 5% 0% 6% – 6% – 2% 10%
BMG/The Independent 4–8 Mar GB 1,510 37% 31% 10% 3% 1% 5% – 6% 5% 1% 6%
39% 34% 12% 3% 1% 4% – 5% – 2% 5%
ComRes/Brexit Express Archived 5 January 2020 at the Wayback Machine 4–5 Mar GB 2,042 36% 34% 8% 3% 0% 3% – 6% 8% 2% 2%
YouGov/The Times 3–4 Mar GB 2,172 40% 31% 11% 5% 4% 3% 3% – 3% 9%
Opinium/The Observer Archived 16 September 2019 at the Wayback Machine 26 Feb–1 Mar GB 2,004 37% 33% 7% 4% 1% 4% – 7% 5% 2% 4%
GB 2,003 40% 34% 9% 4% 1% 3% – 7% – 3% 6%
YouGov/The Times 22–23 Feb GB 1,672 41% 30% 10% 5% 4% 2% 5% – 3% 11%
36% 23% 6% – – – – – 18% 16% 13%
Deltapoll/The Mail on Sunday 21–23 Feb GB 1,027 39% 31% 5% 5% 0% 3% – 4% 11% 1% 8%
43% 36% 6% 4% 0% 3% – 5% – 2% 7%
Opinium/The Observer Archived 9 July 2019 at the Wayback Machine 20–22 Feb GB 2,008 40% 32% 5% 4% 1% 4% – 7% 6% 2% 8%
Sky Data 19 Feb UK 1,034 32% 26% 9% 4% 1% 4% – 6% 10% 7% 6%
YouGov/The Times 18–19 Feb GB 1,861 38% 26% 7% – – – – – 14% 15% 12%
YouGov/The Times 41% 33% 10% 5% 4% – 4% – 3% 8%
Survation/Daily Mail 18 Feb UK 1,023 40% 36% 10% 3% – 2% – 5% – 5% 4%
18 Feb Eight Labour MPs, soon joined by three Conservatives, quit their party to form Change UK[16]
Opinium/The Observer Archived 16 September 2019 at the Wayback Machine 13–15 Feb GB 2,005 37% 37% 8% 4% 0% 4% – 7% – 2% Tie
Kantar[permanent dead link] 7–11 Feb GB 1,145 40% 35% 10% 4% 1% 4% – 3% – 3% 5%
BMG 4–8 Feb GB 1,503 38% 35% 13% 3% 1% 5% – 5% – 1% 3%
YouGov/The Times 2–7 Feb GB 40,119 39% 34% 11% 3% 1% 4% – 5% – 2% 5%
5 Feb The Brexit Party is registered with the Electoral Commission[17]
Ipsos MORI 1–5 Feb GB 1,005 38% 38% 10% 4% 1% 3% – 4% – 3% Tie
YouGov/The Times 3–4 Feb GB 1,851 41% 34% 10% 4% 0% 4% – 4% – 2% 7%
Opinium/The Observer Archived 12 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine 30 Jan–1 Feb GB 2,008 41% 34% 8% 4% 1% 4% – 7% – 1% 7%
Survation/Daily Mail 30 Jan UK 1,029 38% 39% 9% 3% 0% 2% – 4% – 4% 1%
Opinium/People's Vote 23–25 Jan GB 2,001 40% 36% 7% 3% 0% 4% – 7% – 1% 4%
ICM 16–18 Jan GB 2,046 39% 40% 9% 3% 0% 3% – 5% – 1% 1%
Opinium/The Observer Archived 10 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine 16–18 Jan GB 2,006 37% 40% 7% 5% 1% 4% – 7% – 1% 3%
ComRes/Sunday Mirror/Sunday Express Archived 15 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine 16–17 Jan GB 2,031 38% 37% 10% 3% 1% 3% – 6% – 1% 1%
Number Cruncher Politics 10–17 Jan UK 1,030 41% 39% 8% 3% 1% 2% – 4% – 1% 2%
ComRes/Daily Express Archived 15 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine 14–15 Jan GB 2,010 37% 39% 8% 3% 0% 3% – 7% – 1% 2%
YouGov/The Times 13–14 Jan GB 1,701 39% 34% 11% 4% 1% 4% – 6% – 1% 5%
Kantar Archived 26 June 2019 at the Wayback Machine 10–14 Jan GB 1,106 35% 38% 9% 4% 1% 4% – 6% – 3% 3%
Survation/Daily Mail 10–11 Jan UK 1,013 38% 41% 10% 3% 0% 2% – 4% – 3% 3%
BMG/The Independent 8–11 Jan GB 1,514 36% 36% 12% 3% 1% 5% – 6% – 1% Tie
YouGov/The Times 6–7 Jan GB 1,656 41% 35% 11% 4% 0% 3% – 4% – 1% 6%
YouGov/People's Vote 21 Dec–4 Jan UK 25,537 40% 34% 10% 4% 0% 4% – 4% – 2% 6%

2018

[edit]
For events during the year, see 2018 in the United Kingdom.
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Area Sample
size 		Con Lab Lib Dem SNP Plaid Cymru UKIP Green Other Lead
Opinium/The Observer 18–20 Dec GB 2,000 39% 39% 6% 4% 0% 6% 4% 1% Tie
YouGov/The Times 16–17 Dec GB 1,660 41% 39% 7% 5% 4% 3% 1% 2%
YouGov/Hope Not Hate 14–15 Dec GB 1,660 38% 35% 10% 6% 4% 5% 2% 3%
Opinium/The Observer 13–14 Dec GB 2,016 38% 39% 8% 4% 1% 6% 4% 1% 1%
YouGov/People's Vote 12–14 Dec GB 5,043 40% 36% 10% 5% 4% 3% 1% 4%
Populus/Best for Britain Archived 9 January 2019 at the Wayback Machine 10–11 Dec GB 2,002 37% 40% 7% 3% 1% 6% 3% 1% 3%
YouGov 9–10 Dec GB 2,008 39% 38% 9% 5% 5% 4% 1% 1%
YouGov/The Sunday Times 6–7 Dec GB 1,652 38% 37% 10% 5% 3% 4% 1% 1%
BMG/The Independent 4–7 Dec GB 1,508 37% 38% 12% 3% 1% 4% 4% 1% 1%
Kantar[permanent dead link] 5–6 Dec GB 1,178 38% 38% 9% 4% 1% 5% 5% 1% Tie
Ipsos MORI 30 Nov–5 Dec GB 1,049 38% 38% 9% 4% 1% 4% 5% 1% Tie
YouGov/The Times 3–4 Dec GB 1,624 40% 38% 9% 5% 4% 4% 1% 2%
ComRes/Daily Express 30 Nov–2 Dec GB 2,035 37% 39% 9% 3% 0% 6% 3% 1% 2%
YouGov/The Times 26–27 Nov GB 1,737 40% 35% 10% 4% 6% 3% 1% 5%
YouGov/The Times 18–19 Nov GB 1,671 39% 36% 8% 6% 4% 4% 1% 3%
ComRes/Sunday Mirror/Sunday Express 14–15 Nov GB 2,000 36% 40% 9% 3% 1% 7% 3% 1% 4%
Opinium/The Observer Archived 19 November 2018 at the Wayback Machine 14–15 Nov GB 2,003 36% 39% 7% 5% 1% 8% 3% 1% 3%
Kantar Archived 7 August 2020 at the Wayback Machine 8–12 Nov GB 1,147 40% 39% 8% 4% 1% 3% 3% 2% 1%
BMG/The Independent 6–9 Nov GB 1,506 36% 37% 12% 3% 1% 6% 4% 1% 1%
Panelbase/Constitutional Commission 2–7 Nov GB 2,016 40% 40% 8% 4% 1% 5% 3% – Tie
YouGov/The Times 4–5 Nov GB 1,637 41% 37% 8% 4% 4% 4% 1% 4%
Survation/Channel 4 20 Oct–2 Nov UK 20,090 39% 40% 8% 3% – 3% 2% 3% 1%
YouGov/The Times 29–30 Oct GB 1,648 41% 39% 7% 4% 5% 2% 0% 2%
ICM 26–28 Oct GB 2,048 40% 38% 9% 3% 1% 5% 3% 0% 2%
Deltapoll/Daily Mirror 24–26 Oct GB 1,017 43% 40% 6% 4% 0% 5% 2% 0% 3%
YouGov/The Times 22–23 Oct GB 1,802 41% 36% 8% 6% 4% 4% 1%[d] 5%
Ipsos MORI 19–22 Oct GB 1,044 39% 37% 10% 4% 1% 5% 5% 0% 2%
YouGov/The Times 14–15 Oct GB 1,649 41% 36% 9% 4% 4% 3% 1% 5%
Kantar[permanent dead link] 11–15 Oct GB 1,128 41% 36% 10% 4% 1% 3% 4% 2% 5%
Opinium/The Observer 11–12 Oct GB 2,010 41% 37% 8% 4% 1% 6% 3% 1% 4%
Survation 10 Oct UK 1,009 40% 39% 7% 4% – 6% – 5% 1%
YouGov/The Times 8–9 Oct GB 1,647 41% 37% 9% 5% 4% 3% 2%[e] 4%
BMG/The Independent 3–5 Oct GB 1,503 38% 39% 10% 4% 1% 4% 4% 0% 1%
Opinium/The Observer Archived 7 October 2018 at the Wayback Machine 3–5 Oct GB 2,007 39% 39% 7% 3% 1% 6% 3% 1% Tie
YouGov/The Times 30 Sep–1 Oct GB 1,607 42% 36% 9% 4% 5% 2% 2%[d] 6%
BMG/HuffPost UK 28–29 Sep GB 1,203 35% 40% 12% 4% 1% 5% 3% 1% 5%
28 Sep Adam Price officially becomes leader of Plaid Cymru[18]
Opinium/The Observer 26–28 Sep GB 2,008 39% 36% 9% 4% 0% 6% 3% 1% 3%
ComRes/Daily Express 26–27 Sep GB 2,036 39% 40% 9% 3% 1% 5% 2% 1% 1%
YouGov/The Times 24–25 Sep GB 1,625 42% 36% 11% 4% 4% 2% 0% 6%
ICM/The Guardian 21–24 Sep GB 2,006 41% 40% 9% 3% 0% 4% 3% 0% 1%
BMG/HuffPost UK 21–22 Sep GB 1,006 38% 38% 10% 4% 0% 5% 4% 0% Tie
Opinium/The Observer 18–20 Sep GB 2,003 37% 39% 9% 4% 1% 8% 2% 1% 2%
YouGov/The Times 18–19 Sep GB 2,509 40% 36% 11% 5% 5% 2% 1% 4%
Ipsos MORI 14–18 Sep GB 1,070 39% 37% 13% 3% 0% 2% 5% 1% 2%
YouGov/The Times 12–13 Sep GB 1,620 40% 36% 11% 4% 4% 3% 1% 4%
Opinium/The Observer 11–13 Sep GB 2,011 39% 38% 7% 4% 1% 6% 3% 1% 1%
Kantar Archived 17 September 2018 at the Wayback Machine 6–10 Sep GB 1,119 40% 35% 10% 4% 0% 5% 4% 1% 5%
ICM/The Guardian 7–9 Sep GB 2,051 42% 39% 8% 3% 0% 4% 3% 0% 3%
Survation/Daily Mail 7 Sep UK 1,039 38% 37% 10% 3% 1% 4% 1% 5% 1%
BMG/The Independent 4–7 Sep GB 1,533 37% 38% 11% 2% 1% 7% 4% 1% 1%
29 Oct Jonathan Bartley and Siân Berry become co-leaders of the Green Party[19]
YouGov/The Times 3–4 Sep GB 1,883 39% 35% 11% 5% 5% 4% 1% 4%
Survation 31 Aug–1 Sep UK 1,017 37% 41% 6% 3% 1% 7% 2% 3% 4%
YouGov/The Times 28–29 Aug GB 1,664 39% 37% 10% 4% 5% 3% 2%[d] 2%
YouGov/The Times 20–21 Aug GB 1,697 40% 37% 9% 5% 6% 2% 2%[d] 3%
ICM/The Guardian 17–19 Aug GB 2,021 40% 40% 8% 3% 0% 6% 2% 1% Tie
Opinium/The Observer 14–17 Aug GB 2,003 39% 38% 7% 4% 1% 7% 3% 1% 1%
Deltapoll/The Sun on Sunday 14–16 Aug GB 1,904 37% 40% 8% 3% 1% 6% 5% 1% 3%
YouGov/The Times 13–14 Aug GB 1,660 41% 38% 8% 4% 6% 3% 1% 3%
Kantar Archived 28 August 2018 at the Wayback Machine 9–13 Aug GB 1,119 40% 39% 9% 4% 1% 4% 3% 1% 1%
Number Cruncher Politics 9–13 Aug UK 1,036 38% 40% 8% 4% 1% 5% 2% 1% 2%
BMG/The Independent 6–10 Aug GB 1,481 37% 39% 10% 3% 0% 5% 5% 0% 2%
YouGov/The Times 8–9 Aug GB 1,675 39% 35% 10% 5% 7% 3% 1% 4%
ICM/The Guardian 3–5 Aug GB 2,049 39% 40% 7% 4% 0% 6% 3% 0% 1%
YouGov/The Times 30–31 Jul GB 1,718 38% 38% 10% 4% 6% 3% 1% Tie
Ipsos MORI 20–24 Jul GB 1,023 38% 38% 10% 4% 1% 6% 3% 1% Tie
YouGov/The Times 22–23 Jul GB 1,650 38% 38% 10% 4% 6% 3% 0% Tie
ICM/The Guardian 20–22 Jul GB 2,010 40% 41% 8% 3% 0% 5% 3% 1% 1%
YouGov/The Sunday Times 19–20 Jul GB 1,668 38% 39% 9% 5% 6% 2% 1% 1%
YouGov/The Times 16–17 Jul GB 1,657 36% 41% 9% 4% 7% 2% 0% 5%
Deltapoll/The Sun on Sunday 12–14 Jul GB 1,484 37% 42% 7% 3% 1% 6% 3% 1% 5%
Opinium/The Observer Archived 16 September 2019 at the Wayback Machine 10–13 Jul GB 2,005 36% 40% 8% 4% 1% 8% 3% 1% 4%
YouGov/The Times 10–11 Jul GB 1,732 37% 39% 10% 4% 6% 3% 1% 2%
YouGov/The Times 8–9 Jul GB 1,669 39% 39% 9% 4% 5% 3% 1% Tie
ICM/The Guardian 6–9 Jul GB 2,013 41% 39% 9% 3% 0% 4% 3% 1% 2%
Kantar Archived 10 July 2018 at the Wayback Machine 5–9 Jul GB 1,086 40% 38% 9% 4% 1% 3% 3% 2% 2%
Survation/The Mail on Sunday 7 Jul UK 1,007 38% 40% 10% 3% 1% – – 8% 2%
BMG/The Independent 3–5 Jul GB 1,511 39% 37% 10% 3% 1% 3% 4% 1% 2%
YouGov/The Times 3–4 Jul GB 1,641 41% 40% 9% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1%
Ipsos MORI 22–27 Jun GB 1,026 41% 38% 7% 4% 1% 4% 4% 1% 3%
YouGov/The Times 25–26 Jun GB 1,645 42% 37% 9% 5% 3% 3% 1% 5%
ICM/The Guardian 22–24 Jun GB 2,013 41% 40% 9% 3% 1% 3% 3% 1% 1%
Survation/Good Morning Britain 19–20 Jun UK 1,022 41% 38% 7% 4% 1% 3% 3% 3% 3%
YouGov/The Times 18–19 Jun GB 1,606 42% 40% 9% 4% 3% 2% 0% 2%
14 Jun Lewisham East by-election[10]
YouGov/The Times 11–12 Jun GB 1,638 42% 39% 8% 4% 3% 2% 1% 3%
ICM/The Guardian 8–10 Jun GB 2,021 42% 40% 8% 3% 0% 3% 3% 0% 2%
BMG/The Independent 5–8 Jun GB 1,490 38% 41% 11% 2% 0% 4% 2% 1% 3%
Opinium/The Observer 5–7 Jun GB 2,005 42% 40% 7% 6% 1% 3% 2% 1% 2%
YouGov/The Times 4–5 Jun GB 1,619 44% 37% 8% 4% 3% 3% 0% 7%
Survation 31 May–4 Jun UK 2,012 41% 40% 9% 3% 1% 2% 2% 3% 1%
Deltapoll/The Sun on Sunday 30 May–1 Jun GB 1,013 41% 41% 6% 4% 0% 5% 2% 1% Tie
YouGov/The Times 28–29 May GB 1,670 42% 39% 9% 5% 3% 2% 1% 3%
ICM/The Guardian 25–29 May GB 2,002 43% 40% 8% 3% 1% 3% 2% 1% 3%
Ipsos MORI 18–22 May GB 1,015 40% 40% 7% 5% 0% 2% 5% 0% Tie
YouGov/The Times 20–21 May GB 1,660 42% 38% 9% 4% 2% 3% 1% 4%
ComRes/We, The People 16–17 May GB 2,045 41% 41% 7% 3% 1% 3% 3% 1% Tie
Opinium/The Observer 15–16 May GB 2,009 43% 39% 6% 4% 1% 4% 3% 1% 4%
YouGov/The Times 13–14 May GB 1,634 43% 38% 9% 3% 3% 3% 1% 5%
ICM/The Guardian 11–13 May GB 2,050 43% 40% 8% 3% 0% 3% 3% 1% 3%
Survation 8–10 May UK 1,585 41% 40% 8% 3% 1% 3% 2% 2% 1%
YouGov/The Times 8–9 May GB 1,648 43% 38% 9% 4% 2% 2% 1% 5%
BMG/The Independent 1–4 May GB 1,441 39% 39% 10% 4% 1% 4% 3% 1% Tie
3 May English local and mayoral elections and West Tyrone by-election[20][10]
YouGov/The Times 30 Apr–1 May GB 1,585 42% 38% 7% 4% 3% 3% 1% 4%
ComRes/Daily Express 27–29 Apr GB 2,030 40% 40% 9% 3% 0% 5% 3% 1% Tie
ICM/The Guardian 27–29 Apr GB 2,026 42% 39% 8% 3% 0% 4% 3% 1% 3%
YouGov/The Times 24–25 Apr GB 1,668 43% 38% 8% 4% 3% 3% 0% 5%
Ipsos MORI 20–24 Apr GB 1,004 41% 40% 10% 3% 1% 2% 2% 1% 1%
YouGov/The Times 16–17 Apr GB 1,631 43% 38% 8% 4% 3% 3% 1% 5%
Survation/The Mail on Sunday 14 Apr UK 2,060 40% 40% 9% 3% 1% 3% 1% 3% Tie
14 Apr Gerard Batten officially becomes leader of the UK Independence Party[21]
BMG 11–13 Apr GB 1,500 39% 38% 11% 4% 0% 3% 4% 1% 1%
ComRes/Sunday Express 11–12 Apr GB 2,038 40% 41% 7% 3% 1% 4% 2% 1% 1%
Opinium/The Observer 10–12 Apr GB 2,008 40% 40% 7% 4% 1% 5% 2% 1% Tie
YouGov/The Times 9–10 Apr GB 1,639 40% 40% 9% 4% 4% 2% 1% Tie
ICM/The Guardian 6–8 Apr GB 2,012 42% 41% 7% 3% 0% 4% 3% 0% 1%
YouGov/The Times 4–5 Apr GB 1,662 42% 41% 7% 4% 4% 2% 1% 1%
Number Cruncher Politics 27 Mar–5 Apr UK 1,037 43% 38% 8% 4% 1% 3% 3% 0% 5%
YouGov/The Times 26–27 Mar GB 1,659 43% 39% 8% 3% 3% 2% 1% 4%
ICM/The Guardian 16–18 Mar GB 2,013 44% 41% 8% 3% 1% 1% 2% 1% 3%
BMG 13–16 Mar GB 2,065 38% 40% 10% 4% 0% 4% 3% 1% 2%
YouGov/The Times 14–15 Mar GB 1,986 42% 39% 7% 5% 3% 3% 1% 3%
Opinium/The Observer 13–15 Mar GB 2,001 42% 40% 6% 4% 1% 4% 3% 0% 2%
Survation/GMB 7–8 Mar UK 1,038 37% 44% 9% 3% 0% 3% 2% 3% 7%
Ipsos MORI 2–7 Mar GB 1,012 43% 42% 6% 4% 1% 2% 2% 0% 1%
YouGov/The Times 5–6 Mar GB 1,641 41% 43% 7% 4% 2% 2% 1% 2%
ICM/The Guardian 2–4 Mar GB 2,030 43% 42% 7% 3% 0% 2% 3% 0% 1%
YouGov/The Times 26–27 Feb GB 1,622 41% 42% 7% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1%
YouGov/The Times 19–20 Feb GB 1,650 40% 42% 8% 4% 4% 2% 0% 2%
ICM/The Guardian 16–19 Feb GB 2,027 42% 43% 7% 3% 0% 3% 2% 0% 1%
YouGov/The Times 12–13 Feb GB 1,639 40% 41% 8% 3% 4% 2% 1% 1%
Kantar Archived 19 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 6–12 Feb GB 2,448 39% 39% 8% 4% 1% 4% 2% 2% Tie
BMG 6–9 Feb GB 1,507 40% 40% 8% 2% 0% 5% 4% 1% Tie
Opinium/The Observer Archived 26 June 2019 at the Wayback Machine 6–8 Feb GB 2,002 42% 39% 7% 4% 1% 5% 2% 1% 3%
YouGov/The Times 5–6 Feb GB 2,000 43% 39% 8% 3% 3% 3% 1% 4%
ICM/The Guardian 2–4 Feb GB 2,021 41% 40% 8% 3% 0% 4% 3% 1% 1%
YouGov/The Times 28–29 Jan GB 1,669 42% 42% 6% 4% 2% 3% 1% Tie
Survation 26–29 Jan UK 1,059 40% 43% 8% 2% 0% 3% 1% 3% 3%
Ipsos MORI 19–23 Jan GB 1,031 39% 42% 9% 4% 0% 3% 2% 1% 3%
ICM/The Guardian 10–19 Jan GB 5,075 41% 41% 7% 3% 0% 4% 3% 0% Tie
YouGov/The Times 16–17 Jan GB 1,672 41% 42% 7% 4% 3% 2% 0% 1%
ICM/The Guardian 12–14 Jan GB 2,027 40% 41% 7% 3% 1% 4% 3% 0% 1%
Opinium/The Observer Archived 26 June 2019 at the Wayback Machine 11–12 Jan GB 2,008 40% 40% 6% 4% 0% 5% 3% 1% Tie
BMG 9–12 Jan GB 1,513 40% 41% 8% 3% 1% 4% 2% 1% 1%
YouGov/The Times 7–8 Jan GB 1,663 40% 41% 9% 4% 3% 2% 0% 1%

2017

[edit]
For events during the year, see 2017 in the United Kingdom.
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Area Sample
size 		Con Lab Lib Dem SNP Plaid Cymru UKIP Green Other Lead
YouGov/The Times 19–20 Dec GB 1,610 40% 42% 7% 5% 4% 1% 0% 2%
ICM/The Sun on Sunday 12–14 Dec GB 2,004 41% 42% 7% 3% 0% 4% 3% 0% 1%
Opinium/The Observer Archived 9 July 2019 at the Wayback Machine 12–14 Dec GB 2,005 39% 41% 7% 4% 1% 6% 2% 1% 2%
YouGov/The Times 10–11 Dec GB 1,680 42% 41% 7% 4% 4% 2% 2%[d] 1%
ICM/The Guardian 8–10 Dec GB 2,006 42% 40% 8% 3% 1% 5% 2% 0% 2%
BMG/The Independent 5–8 Dec GB 1,509 37% 40% 9% 3% 1% 5% 3% 1% 3%
YouGov/The Times 4–5 Dec GB 1,638 40% 41% 7% 4% 3% 2% 2%[d] 1%
Survation/The Mail on Sunday 30 Nov–1 Dec UK 1,003 37% 45% 6% 3% 0% 4% 1% 3% 8%
ICM/The Sun on Sunday 29 Nov–1 Dec GB 2,050 40% 41% 8% 3% 0% 4% 3% 0% 1%
Ipsos MORI 24–28 Nov GB 1,003 37% 39% 9% 4% 1% 4% 4% 1% 2%
ICM/The Guardian 24–26 Nov GB 2,029 41% 41% 7% 3% 0% 5% 3% 0% Tie
YouGov/The Times 22–23 Nov GB 1,644 39% 41% 7% 4% 4% 3% 1% 2%
YouGov/The Times 19–20 Nov GB 1,677 40% 43% 7% 4% 3% 2% 0% 3%
Kantar Archived 21 November 2017 at the Wayback Machine 14–20 Nov GB 2,437 42% 38% 9% 2% 0% 5% 3% 1% 4%
BMG 14–17 Nov GB 1,507 40% 41% 8% – – 4% – 7% 1%
Opinium/The Observer 14–16 Nov GB 2,032 40% 42% 6% 4% 1% 5% 2% 0% 2%
ICM/The Guardian 10–12 Nov GB 2,010 41% 41% 7% 4% 0% 4% 2% 0% Tie
YouGov/The Times 7–8 Nov GB 2,012 40% 43% 6% 4% 4% 2% 1% 3%
Ipsos MORI 27 Oct–1 Nov GB 1,052 38% 40% 9% 4% 1% 4% 3% 1% 2%
YouGov/The Times 23–24 Oct GB 1,637 41% 43% 7% 4% 3% 2% 0% 2%
ICM/The Guardian 20–23 Oct GB 2,022 42% 42% 7% 3% 0% 3% 2% 0% Tie
BMG 17–20 Oct GB 1,506 37% 42% 10% – – 4% – 7% 5%
YouGov/The Times 18–19 Oct GB 1,648 40% 42% 8% 4% 4% 2% 1% 2%
YouGov/The Times 10–11 Oct GB 1,680 39% 42% 8% 4% 4% 2% 0% 3%
ICM/The Guardian 6–8 Oct GB 2,052 41% 41% 7% 4% 1% 4% 2% 0% Tie
Opinium/The Observer 4–6 Oct GB 2,009 40% 42% 5% 4% 0% 5% 2% 1% 2%
Survation 4–5 Oct UK 2,047 38% 44% 7% 3% 1% 4% 1% 2% 6%
YouGov/The Times 4–5 Oct GB 1,615 40% 42% 7% 4% 4% 2% 1% 2%
29 Sep Henry Bolton officially becomes leader of the UK Independence Party[22]
BMG/The Independent 26–29 Sep GB 1,910 37% 42% 10% 3% 0% 4% 3% 1% 5%
ICM/The Guardian 22–24 Sep GB 1,968 40% 42% 8% 3% 1% 4% 2% 1% 2%
YouGov/The Times 22–24 Sep GB 1,716 39% 43% 7% 4% 4% 2% 0% 4%
Survation/The Mail on Sunday 22 Sep UK 1,174 38% 42% 8% 4% 1% 4% 2% 2% 4%
Opinium/The Observer 19–22 Sep GB 2,004 42% 40% 6% 4% 1% 4% 2% 1% 2%
Survation/LabourList 15–20 Sep UK 1,614 40% 41% 7% 3% 1% 5% 2% 1% 1%
Ipsos MORI 15–18 Sep GB 1,023 40% 44% 9% 4% 0% 2% 1% 0% 4%
BMG/The Independent 12–15 Sep GB 1,447 39% 38% 8% 3% 0% 6% 4% 1% 1%
Opinium/The Observer 12–15 Sep GB 2,009 41% 41% 5% 4% 1% 5% 3% 0% Tie
YouGov/The Times 12–13 Sep GB 1,660 41% 42% 7% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1%
ICM/The Guardian 8–10 Sep GB 2,052 42% 42% 7% 3% 0% 4% 3% 0% Tie
Survation/The Mail on Sunday 31 Aug–1 Sep UK 1,046 38% 43% 7% 3% 1% 4% – 3% 5%
YouGov/The Times 30–31 Aug GB 1,658 41% 42% 6% 4% 4% 2% 0% 1%
ICM/The Guardian 25–28 Aug GB 1,972 42% 42% 7% 2% 0% 3% 3% 0% Tie
YouGov/The Times 21–22 Aug GB 1,664 41% 42% 8% 4% 4% 1% 0% 1%
Opinium/The Observer 15–18 Aug GB 2,006 40% 43% 6% 4% 1% 4% 2% 1% 3%
BMG/The Independent 7–11 Aug GB 1,512 42% 39% 7% 2% 0% 6% 3% 0% 3%
YouGov/The Times 31 Jul–1 Aug GB 1,665 41% 44% 7% 3% 3% 2% 0% 3%
20 Jul Vince Cable officially becomes leader of the Liberal Democrats[23]
YouGov/The Times 18–19 Jul GB 1,593 41% 43% 6% 4% 3% 2% 0% 2%
Ipsos MORI 14–18 Jul GB 1,071 41% 42% 9% 3% 0% 3% 2% 1% 1%
ICM/The Guardian 14–16 Jul GB 2,046 42% 43% 7% 3% 1% 3% 2% 0% 1%
Survation/The Mail on Sunday 14–15 Jul UK 1,024 39% 41% 8% 3% 1% 6% 1% 1% 2%
BMG 11–14 Jul GB 1,518 37% 42% 10% – – 4% – 7% 5%
Opinium/The Observer 11–14 Jul GB 2,013 41% 43% 5% 3% 0% 5% 2% 0% 2%
YouGov/The Times 10–11 Jul GB 1,700 40% 45% 7% 4% 2% 1% 0% 5%
YouGov/The Times 5–6 Jul GB 1,648 38% 46% 6% 4% 4% 1% 1% 8%
ICM/The Guardian 30 Jun–3 Jul GB 2,044 41% 43% 7% 3% 0% 3% 3% 0% 2%
Survation 28–30 Jun UK 1,017 41% 40% 7% 2% 0% 2% 2% 6%[f] 1%
Opinium/The Observer 27–29 Jun GB 2,010 39% 45% 5% 3% 1% 5% 2% 0% 6%
Panelbase/The Sunday Times 16–21 Jun GB 5,481 41% 46% 6% 3% <1% 2% 1% <1% 5%
Survation/Good Morning Britain 16–17 Jun UK 1,005 41% 44% 6% 3% 1% 2% 1% 3%[g] 3%
Survation/The Mail on Sunday 10 Jun UK 1,036 39% 45% 7% 3% 1% 3% – 2% 6%
2017 general election 8 Jun GB – 43.4% 41.0% 7.6% 3.1% 0.5% 1.9% 1.7% 0.8% 2.4%
UK 42.3% 40.0% 7.4% 3.0% 0.5% 1.8% 1.6% 3.3% 2.3%

Seat predictions

[edit]

Most polls are reported in terms of the overall popular vote share, and the pollsters do not typically project how these shares would equate to numbers of seats in the House of Commons. Other organisations including Electoral Calculus make rolling projections based on an aggregate of publicly available polls.

A small number of large polls were carried out in order to run multilevel regression with poststratification (MRP) models, which output predictions for each constituency.[24]

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Con Lab SNP Lib Dem DUP SF Plaid Cymru Green Alliance SDLP Brexit Other Majority
General Election Result 12 Dec 2019 365 202 48 11 8 7 4 1 1 2 0 1 80
BBC Exit Poll 12 Dec 2019 368 191 55 13 — — 3 1 — — 0 19 86
Electoral Calculus 4–11 Dec 2019 351 224 41 13 10 6 2 1 0 2 0 0 52
FocalData (MRP) 27 Nov–10 Dec 2019 337 235 41 14 — — 3 1 — — 0 1 24
YouGov (MRP) 4–10 Dec 2019 339 231 41 15 — — 4 1 — — 0 1 28
Electoral Calculus 4–9 Dec 2019 349 226 41 13 10 6 2 1 0 2 0 0 48
Savanta ComRes/Remain United Archived 10 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine 6–8 Dec 2019 340 233 45 11 10 6 2 1 0 2 0 0 30
Electoral Calculus 2–7 Dec 2019 348 225 41 13 8 7 4 1 3 0 0 0 46
Datapraxis/YouGov 7 Dec 2019 344 221 47 14 — — 4 1 — — — — 38
Electoral Calculus 28 Nov–4 Dec 2019 335 233 44 15 8 7 4 1 3 0 0 0 20
Electoral Calculus 26 Nov–3 Dec 2019 339 229 44 15 8 7 4 1 3 0 0 0 28
Electoral Calculus 26–30 Nov 2019 342 225 45 15 8 7 4 1 3 0 0 0 34
Electoral Calculus 21–28 Nov 2019 336 231 45 15 8 7 4 1 3 0 0 0 22
Electoral Calculus 20–26 Nov 2019 331 235 45 16 8 7 4 1 3 0 0 0 12
YouGov (MRP) 20–26 Nov 2019 359 211 43 13 — — 4 1 — — 0 1 68
Electoral Calculus 19–26 Nov 2019 342 225 41 19 8 7 4 1 3 0 0 0 34
Datapraxis/YouGov 26 Nov 2019 349 216 49 14 — — 5 1 — — 0 0 48
Electoral Calculus 19–23 Nov 2019 365 202 41 20 8 7 3 1 3 0 0 0 80
Electoral Calculus 12–19 Nov 2019 361 201 46 19 8 7 4 1 3 0 0 0 72
Seats at start of campaign period[h] 6 Nov 2019 298 243 35 21 10 7 4 1 0 0 – 31 −54
Focaldata 1–25 Sep 2019 364 189 52 23 10 7 1 0 0 0 0 4 78
YouGov (MRP) 2–7 Feb 2019 321 250 39 16 — — 4 1 — — – 1 −8
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017 317 262 35 12 10 7 4 1 0 0 – 2 −16

Nations and Regions polling

[edit]

Scotland

[edit]
Graph of opinion polls conducted
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		SNP Con Lab Lib Dem Green UKIP Change UK Brexit Other Lead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019 – 45.0% 25.1% 18.6% 9.5% 1.0% 0.1% – 0.5% 0.1% 19.9%
Survation/The Courier 10–11 Dec 2019 1,012 43% 28% 20% 7% 1% – – 1% – 15%
YouGov (MRP) 4–10 Dec 2019 [25] 41% 27% 20% 10% 1% – – 1% – 14%
Panelbase/Sunday Times 3–6 Dec 2019 1,020 39% 29% 21% 10% 1% – – 0% 0% 10%
YouGov/The Times 29 Nov–3 Dec 2019 1,002 44% 28% 15% 12% 1% – – 0% 0% 16%
Ipsos MORI/STV 19–25 Nov 2019 1,046 44% 26% 16% 11% 2% – – <1% – 18%
Panelbase/Sunday Times 20–22 Nov 2019 1,009 40% 28% 20% 11% <1% – – <1% <1% 12%
15 Nov Nominations for candidates close (final candidates announced)
6 Nov Parliament dissolved and official campaign period begins
YouGov 23–25 Oct 2019 1,060 42% 22% 12% 13% 4% 0% 0% 6% 0% 20%
Panelbase/The Sunday Times 9–11 Oct 2019 1,003 39% 21% 19% 13% 2% – – 5% – 18%
YouGov/The Times 30 Aug–3 Sep 2019 1,059 43% 20% 15% 12% 4% 0% 0% 6% 0% 23%
29 Aug 2019 Ruth Davidson resigns as leader of the Scottish Conservative Party[26]
Panelbase/The Sunday Times 18–20 Jun 2019 1,024 38% 18% 17% 13% 2% <1% <1% 9% – 20%
Panelbase/The Sunday Times 14–17 May 2019 1,021 38% 18% 19% 10% 3% 1% 2% 9% <1% 19%
YouGov/The Times 24–26 Apr 2019 1,029 43% 20% 17% 9% 3% 1% 2% 4% 0% 23%
Panelbase/The Sunday Times 18–24 Apr 2019 1,018 38% 22% 21% 6% 2% 2% 3% 5% <1% 16%
Survation/Scotland in Union 18–23 Apr 2019 1,012 41% 22% 24% 8% – – – – 5% 17%
Panelbase/Wings Over Scotland 28 Feb–6 Mar 2019 1,002 37% 27% 22% 7% 2% 2% 2% – <1% 10%
Survation/Scottish Daily Mail 1–4 Mar 2019 1,011 40% 24% 23% 8% – – – – 4% 16%
Panelbase/The Sunday Times 30 Nov–5 Dec 2018 1,028 37% 26% 26% 6% 2% 2% – – <1% 11%
Survation/Scotland in Union 9–13 Nov 2018 1,013 39% 26% 24% 8% – – – – 3% 13%
Panelbase/Constitutional Commission 2–7 Nov 2018 1,050 37% 28% 25% 7% 2% 2% – – 3% 9%
Survation/Channel 4 20 Oct–2 Nov 2018 1,734 40% 27% 23% 7% 1% 1% – – 1% 13%
Survation/Daily Record 18–21 Oct 2018 1,017 36% 27% 26% 7% 1% – – – 1% 9%
Survation/SNP 3–5 Oct 2018 1,013 37% 28% 26% 6% – – – – 2% 9%
Panelbase/The Sunday Times 28 Sep–4 Oct 2018 1,024 38% 27% 24% 6% 2% 2% – – <1% 11%
Survation/The Sunday Post 28 Sep–2 Oct 2018 1,036 41% 26% 24% 7% – – – – 3% 15%
Survation/Daily Record 5–10 Jul 2018 1,004 42% 24% 23% 8% – – – – 3% 18%
Panelbase/Wings Over Scotland 21–26 Jun 2018 1,018 38% 27% 25% 7% 2% <1% – – <1% 11%
Panelbase/The Sunday Times 8–13 Jun 2018 1,021 38% 27% 27% 6% 2% <1% – – <1% 11%
YouGov/The Times 1–5 Jun 2018 1,075 40% 27% 23% 7% 2% 1% – – 1% 13%
Panelbase/The Sunday Times 23–28 Mar 2018 1,037 36% 28% 27% 6% 2% 1% – – <1% 8%
Ipsos MORI/STV 5–11 Mar 2018 1,050 39% 25% 26% 6% 4% 0% – – 0% 13%
Survation/Daily Record 24–28 Jan 2018 1,029 39% 24% 27% 7% – – – – 3% 12%
YouGov/The Times 12–16 Jan 2018 1,002 36% 23% 28% 6% 3% 3% – – 0% 8%
Survation/The Sunday Post 1–5 Dec 2017 1,006 38% 24% 29% 7% – – – – 3% 9%
Survation/Daily Record 27–30 Nov 2017 1,017 37% 25% 28% 7% – – – – 3% 9%
18 Nov 2017 Richard Leonard officially becomes leader of the Scottish Labour Party[27]
YouGov/The Times 2–5 Oct 2017 1,135 40% 23% 30% 5% 1% 1% – – 0% 10%
Survation/Scottish Daily Mail 8–12 Sep 2017 1,016 39% 26% 26% 7% – – – – 2% 13%
Panelbase/The Sunday Times 31 Aug–7 Sep 2017 1,021 41% 27% 24% 6% 2% – – – – 14%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017 – 36.9% 28.6% 27.1% 6.8% 0.2% 0.2% – – 0.3% 8.3%

Wales

[edit]
Graph of opinion polls conducted
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Lab Con Plaid Cymru Lib Dem UKIP Green Change UK Brexit Other Lead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019 – 40.9% 36.1% 9.9% 6.0% - 1.0% – 5.4% 0.7% 4.8%
YouGov (MRP) 4-10 Dec 2019 43% 34% 10% 5% – 1% – 6% 1% 9%
YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 6–9 Dec 2019 1,020 40% 37% 10% 6% – 1% – 5% 1% 3%
YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 22–25 Nov 2019 1,116 38% 32% 11% 9% – 1% – 8% 1% 6%
YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 31 Oct–4 Nov 2019 1,136 29% 28% 12% 12% 0% 3% 0% 15% 1% 1%
YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 10–14 Oct 2019 1,071 25% 29% 12% 16% 0% 4% 0% 14% 1% 4%
1 Aug 2019 Brecon and Radnorshire by-election[10]
YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 23–28 July 2019 1,071 22% 24% 15% 16% – 3% – 18% 1% 2%
YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 16–20 May 2019 1,009 25% 17% 13% 12% 1% 5% 2% 23% 2% 2%
YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 2–5 Apr 2019 1,025 33% 26% 15% 7% 3% 2% 9% 4% 1% 7%
4 Apr 2019 Newport West by-election[10]
ICM/BBC Wales 7–23 Feb 2019 1,000 42% 33% 13% 6% 3% 1% – – 2% 9%
YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 19–22 Feb 2019 1,025 35% 29% 14% 8% 6% 3% – – 4% 6%
Sky Data/Cardiff University 7–14 Dec 2018 1,014 45% 32% 14% 3% 4% 2% – – 1% 13%
6–13 Dec 2018 Mark Drakeford becomes leader of Welsh Labour and First Minister[28][29]
YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 4–7 Dec 2018 1,024 43% 31% 13% 6% 3% 3% – – 1% 12%
YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 30 Oct–2 Nov 2018 1,031 42% 33% 10% 7% 4% 2% – – 1% 9%
Survation/Channel 4 20 Oct–2 Nov 2018 1,177 47% 30% 13% 6% 3% 2% – – 0% 17%
28 Sep 2018 Adam Price becomes leader of Plaid Cymru[18]
6 Sep 2018 Paul Davies becomes leader of the Welsh Conservatives[30]
YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 28 Jun–2 Jul 2018 1,031 44% 31% 13% 5% 3% 2% – – 1% 13%
YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 12–15 Mar 2018 1,015 46% 33% 11% 4% 4% 2% – – 1% 13%
ICM/BBC Wales 8–25 Feb 2018 1,001 49% 32% 11% 5% 2% 1% – – 0% 17%
YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 21–24 Nov 2017 1,016 47% 31% 11% 5% 3% 2% – – 1% 16%
3 Nov 2017 Jane Dodds becomes leader of the Welsh Liberal Democrats[31]
YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 4–7 Sep 2017 1,011 50% 32% 8% 4% 3% 1% – – 1% 18%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017 – 48.9% 33.6% 10.4% 4.5% 2.0% 0.3% – – 0.2% 15.4%

Northern Ireland

[edit]
Graph of opinion polls conducted
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		DUP SF SDLP UUP Alliance Green Other Lead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019 – 30.6% 22.8% 14.9% 11.7% 16.8% 0.2% 3.1%[32] 7.8%
Lucid Talk/Remain United 27–30 Nov 2019 2,422 30% 25% 13% 11% 16% 0% 5% 5%
9 November 2019 Steve Aiken officially becomes leader of the Ulster Unionist Party
Lucid Talk/Remain United 30 Oct–1 Nov 2019 2,386 28% 24% 14% 9% 16% 1% 8% [i] 4%
Lucid Talk 9–12 Aug 2019 2,302 29% 25% 8% 9% 21% 1% 7% 4%
21 November 2018 Clare Bailey officially becomes leader of NI Green Party
Survation/Channel 4 20 Oct–2 Nov 2018 555 31% 27% 11% 15% 12% – 4% 4%
3 May 2018 West Tyrone by-election[10]
10 Feb 2018 Mary Lou McDonald becomes leader of Sinn Féin[33]
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017 – 36.0% 29.4% 11.7% 10.3% 7.9% 0.9% 3.7% 6.6%

London

[edit]
Graph of opinion polls conducted
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Lab Con Lib Dem Green UKIP Change UK Brexit Other Lead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019 - 48.1% 32.0% 14.9% 3.1% – – 1.4% 0.5% 16.1%
YouGov (MRP) 4-10 Dec 2019 47% 31% 15% 3% – – 2% 1% 16%
YouGov/Queen Mary University of London 28 Nov–2 Dec 2019 1,019 47% 30% 15% 4% – – 3% 1% 17%
YouGov/Queen Mary University of London 30 Oct–4 Nov 2019 1,175 39% 29% 19% 5% 0% — 6% — 10%
YouGov/Queen Mary University of London 7–10 May 2019 1,015 35% 23% 21% 7% 0% 2% 10% 1% 12%
YouGov/Queen Mary University of London 3–6 Dec 2018 1,020 49% 33% 11% 3% 3% – – 1% 16%
YouGov/Queen Mary University of London 3–7 Sep 2018 1,218 48% 26% 15% 5% 4% – – 2% 22%
14 Jun 2018 Lewisham East by-election[10]
3 May 2018 2018 London local elections[20]
YouGov/Queen Mary University of London 20–24 Apr 2018 1,099 52% 31% 10% 3% 2% – – 1% 21%
YouGov/Queen Mary University of London 12–15 Feb 2018 1,155 53% 33% 8% 3% 2% – – 0% 20%
YouGov/Queen Mary University of London 25–29 Sep 2017 1,044 55% 30% 8% 2% 3% – – 1% 25%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017 – 54.5% 33.1% 8.8% 1.8% 1.3% – – 0.5% 21.4%

North East England

[edit]
Graph of opinion polls conducted
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Lab Con Lib Dem UKIP Green Brexit Other Lead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019 – 42.6% 38.3% 6.9% 0.1% 2.3% 7.9% 1.7% 4.3%
YouGov (MRP) 4–10 Dec 2019 44% 35% 7% – 2% 10% 1% 9%
Survation/Daily Mail 21–22 Nov 2019 248 42% 30% 11% – 4% 13% – 12%
YouGov 17–28 Oct 2019 523 32% 26% 15% 1% 7% 19% 1% 6%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017 – 55.6% 34.5% 4.6% 3.9% 1.3% – 0.2% 21.1%

North West England

[edit]
Graph of opinion polls conducted
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Lab Con Lib Dem UKIP Green Brexit Other Lead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019 – 46.4% 37.6% 7.9% 0.0% 2.4% 3.8% 1.7% 8.8%
YouGov (MRP) 4–10 Dec 2019 44% 36% 8% – 3% 6% 2% 8%
Survation/Daily Mail 21–22 Nov 2019 681 39% 37% 11% – 3% 8% 1% 2%
YouGov 17–28 Oct 2019 1,269 30% 33% 17% 1% 5% 14% 0% 3%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017 – 55.0% 36.3% 5.4% 1.9% 1.1% – 0.3% 18.7%

Yorkshire and the Humber

[edit]
Graph of opinion polls conducted
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Lab Con Lib Dem UKIP Green Brexit Other Lead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019 – 38.8% 43.0% 8.0% 0.0% 2.2% 5.9% 1.7% 4.8%
YouGov (MRP) 4–10 Dec 2019 40% 40% 8% – 2% 7% 2% Tie
Survation/Daily Mail 21–22 Nov 2019 434 39% 38% 13% – 3% 7% 1% 1%
YouGov 17–28 Oct 2019 1,036 29% 34% 16% 0% 7% 14% 1% 5%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017 – 49.1% 40.6% 5.0% 2.6% 1.3% – 1.4% 8.5%

East Midlands

[edit]
Graph of opinion polls conducted
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Con Lab Lib Dem UKIP Green Brexit Other Lead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019 – 54.9% 31.8% 7.8% 0.0% 2.5% 1.5% 1.6% 23.1%
YouGov (MRP) 4–10 Dec 2019 51% 34% 8% – 2% 2% 2% 17%
Survation/Daily Mail 21–22 Nov 2019 464 49% 31% 13% – 3% 3% 1% 18%
YouGov 17–28 Oct 2019 896 45% 22% 15% 0% 6% 12% 1% 23%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017 – 50.8% 40.5% 4.3% 2.4% 1.5% – 0.6% 10.3%

West Midlands

[edit]
Graph of opinion polls conducted
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Con Lab Lib Dem UKIP Green Brexit Other Lead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019 – 53.5% 33.9% 7.9% 0.0% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4% 19.6%
YouGov (MRP) 4–10 Dec 2019 49% 36% 9% – 3% 2% 1% 13%
Survation/Daily Mail 21–22 Nov 2019 507 41% 34% 15% – 4% 5% 2% 7%
YouGov 17–28 Oct 2019 1,017 43% 23% 14% 0% 7% 12% 1% 20%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017 – 49.1% 42.6% 4.4% 1.8% 1.6% – 0.5% 6.5%

East of England

[edit]
Graph of opinion polls conducted
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Con Lab Lib Dem UKIP Green Brexit Other Lead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019 – 57.2% 24.5% 13.4% 0.0% 2.9% 0.4% 1.6% 32.7%
YouGov (MRP) 4–10 Dec 2019 54% 27% 14% – 3% 1% 2% 27%
YouGov 17–28 Oct 2019 1,107 45% 17% 18% 0% 5% 14% 0% 27%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017 – 54.7% 32.8% 7.9% 2.5% 1.5% – 0.2% 21.9%

South East England

[edit]
Graph of opinion polls conducted
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Con Lab Lib Dem Green UKIP Brexit Other Lead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019 – 54.2% 22.1% 18.3% 3.9% 0.1% 0.2% 1.2% 32.1%
YouGov (MRP) 4–10 Dec 2019 51% 24% 19% 4% – – 2% 27%
YouGov 17–28 Oct 2019 1,592 41% 16% 23% 6% 0% 12% 0% 18%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017 – 54.8% 28.6% 10.6% 3.1% 2.2% – 0.8% 26.2%

South West England

[edit]
Graph of opinion polls conducted
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Con Lab Lib Dem Green UKIP Brexit Other Lead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019 – 52.9% 23.3% 18.1% 3.7% 0.0% 0.3% 1.5% 29.6%
YouGov (MRP) 4–10 Dec 2019 50% 25% 19% 3% – – 2% 25%
YouGov 17–28 Oct 2019 1,172 41% 17% 21% 7% 0% 13% 1% 20%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017 – 51.5% 29.1% 14.9% 2.2% 1.1% – 1.1% 22.4%

Multiple constituencies

[edit]

Number Cruncher Politics polled adults living in the 60 English marginal constituencies with a Labour or Conservative majority of less than five per cent. 2017 results are for the same 60 seats.

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Con Lab Lib Dem Green UKIP Other Lead
Number Cruncher Politics/Shelter 1–19 Sep 2018 1,247 40% 42% 10% 2% 5% 2% 2%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017 – 46% 44% 7% 1% 2% – 2%

Constituency polling

[edit]

Note that where the client is a political party, constituency level polling may be particularly susceptible to publication bias.[34]

East Midlands

[edit]

Gedling

[edit]
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Lab Con Lib Dem Green Brexit Lead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019 – 44.1% 45.5% 4.6% 2.2% 3.6% 1.4%
Survation/The Economist 4 Nov 2019 409 42% 37% 6% 1% 13% 5%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017 – 51.9% 42.8% 2.0% 3.2% – 9.1%

East of England

[edit]

Cambridge

[edit]
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Lab Lib Dem Con Green Brexit Other Lead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019 – 48.0% 30.0% 15.5% 4.0% 1.9% 0.5% 17.9%
Survation/Liberal Democrats 16–17 Oct 2019 417 30% 39% 10% 12% 7% 1% 9%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017 – 51.9% 29.3% 16.3% 2.2% N/A 0.2% 22.6%

South Cambridgeshire

[edit]
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Con Lab Lib Dem Green Brexit Other Lead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019 – 46.3% 11.7% 42.0% — — — 4.3%
Survation/Liberal Democrats 4–5 Nov 2019 410 36% 12% 40% 4% 7% 0% 4%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017 – 51.8% 27.2% 18.6% 2.3% — — 24.6%

South East Cambridgeshire

[edit]
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Con Lab Lib Dem Brexit Other Lead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019 – 50.0% 16.3% 32.1% — 1.6% 17.9%
Survation/Liberal Democrats 25–28 Oct 2019 408 42% 16% 31% 8% 4% 11%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017 – 53.3% 27.7% 19.0% – — 25.6%

South West Hertfordshire

[edit]
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Con Lab Lib Dem Green Gauke Other Lead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019 – 49.6% 11.8% 10.2% 2.4% 26.0% — 23.5%
Deltapoll/Peter Kellner 22–26 Nov 2019 405 50% 17% 13% 2% 16% 2% 33%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017 – 57.9% 25.7% 11.7% 2.6% — 2.1 32.2%

London

[edit]

Carshalton and Wallington

[edit]
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Lib Dem Con Lab Brexit Green Other Lead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019 – 41.1% 42.4% 12.4% 2.1% 1.5% 0.4% 1.3%
Datapraxis/YouGov 4–22 Nov 2019 TBA 42.8% 41.2% 9% 2.6% 4.4% – 1.6%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017 – 41% 38.3% 18.4% – 1.3% – 2.7%

Chelsea and Fulham

[edit]
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Con Lab Lib Dem AWP Other Lead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019 – 49.9% 23.2% 25.9% 1.1% – 24.0%
Deltapoll/Peter Kellner 14–21 Nov 2019 502 48% 24% 25% – 3% 23%
Datapraxis/YouGov 4–22 Nov 2019 TBA 41.6% 21.4% 34.4% – 0% 7.2%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017 – 52.6% 33.2% 11.0% – 3.1% 19.4%

Chingford and Woodford Green

[edit]
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Con Lab Lib Dem Other Lead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019 – 48.5% 45.9% 5.7% — 2.6%
Datapraxis/YouGov 4 Nov–5 Dec 2019 700–800 46% 44.4% 9.6% 0% 1.6%
Datapraxis/YouGov 4–22 Nov 2019 350–400 46.6% 42.4% 11% – 4.2%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017 – 49.1% 43.9% 4.4% 2.6% 5.2%

Cities of London and Westminster

[edit]
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Con Lab Lib Dem Green Other Lead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019 – 39.9% 27.2% 30.7% 1.7% 0.5% 9.3%
Deltapoll/Datapraxis 3–8 Dec 2019 502 44% 26% 28% 1% 1% 16%
Deltapoll/Peter Kellner 14–21 Nov 2019 500 39% 26% 33% 1% 1% 6%
YouGov/Datapraxis 4–22 Nov 2019 TBA 38.8% 25.7% 29.9% 4% 1.5% 8.9%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017 – 46.6% 38.4% 11.1% 2.1% 1.8% 8.1%

Finchley and Golders Green

[edit]
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Con Lab Lib Dem Green Brexit Other Lead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019 – 43.8% 24.2% 31.9% – – – 11.9%
Deltapoll/Datapraxis/ 3–6 Dec 2019 500 46% 19% 34% 0% – 1% 12%
Watermelon/The Jewish Chronicle TBA 507 37% 18% 31% – – 13% 6%
Deltapoll/Peter Kellner 7–12 Nov 2019 500 46% 19% 32% 0% – 3% 14%
YouGov/Datapraxis 4–22 Nov 2019 TBA 42.4% 25.1% 32.5% – – 0% 9.9%
Survation/Liberal Democrats 2 Oct 2019 400 29% 25% 41% 3% 2% 0% 12%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017 – 47.0% 43.8% 6.6% 1.8% – – 3.2%

Hendon

[edit]
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Con Lab Lib Dem Green Other Lead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019 – 48.8% 41.1% 8.4% 1.7% – 7.7%
Deltapoll/Peter Kellner 14–21 Nov 2019 501 51% 33% 12% 1% 3% 14%
Datapraxis/YouGov 4–22 Nov 2019 350–400 46.6% 32.3% 18% 3% – 14.3%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017 – 48.0% 46.0% 3.8% 1.1% 1.1% 2.0%

Kensington

[edit]
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Lab Con Lib Dem Green Brexit Other Lead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019 – 38.0% 38.3% 21.3% 1.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.3%
Deltapoll/Datapraxis 4–8 Dec 2019 502 29% 39% 26% – – 4% 10%
Deltapoll/Peter Kellner 7–13 Nov 2019 501 27% 36% 33% – – 3% 3%
YouGov/Datapraxis 4–22 Nov 2019 TBA 30.1% 34.4% 27.7% – – 7.7% 4.3%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017 – 42.2% 42.2% 12.2% 2.0% – 3.4% 0.05%

Putney

[edit]
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Con Lab Lib Dem Green Other Lead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019 – 35.7% 45.1% 16.9% 2.2% N/A 9.4%
Deltapoll/Peter Kellner 26 Nov–1 Dec 2019 501 38% 35% 24% 2% 1% 3%
Datapraxis/YouGov 4 Nov–5 Dec 2019 700–800 37.9% 34.7% 23.5% 3.8% 0% 3.2%
Datapraxis/YouGov 4–22 Nov 2019 350–400 37.7% 29.3% 28.4% 4.6% – 8.4%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017 – 44.1% 40.8% 11.6% 2.4% 1.1% 3.3%

Richmond Park

[edit]
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Con Lib Dem Lab Other Lead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019 – 41.2% 53.1% 5.2% 0.5% 11.9%
Datapraxis/YouGov 4–22 Nov 2019 TBA 35.6% 56% 6.4% 2.1% 20.4%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017 – 45.1% 45.1% 9.1% 0.7% 0.01%

Wimbledon

[edit]
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Con Lab Lib Dem Other Lead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019 – 38.4% 23.7% 37.2% 0.7% 1.2%
Deltapoll/Peter Kellner 7–13 Nov 2019 500 38% 23% 36% 3% 2%
Datapraxis/YouGov 4–22 Nov 2019 TBA 37.4% 24.7% 34.7% 3.3% 2.7%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017 – 46.5% 35.6% 14.5% 3.5% 11.5%

North East England

[edit]

Berwick-upon-Tweed

[edit]
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Con Lab Lib Dem Green Lead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019 – 56.9% 21.6% 18.2% 3.3% 35.3%
Deltapoll/Peter Kellner 22–26 Nov 2019 500 60% 17% 21% 2% 39%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017 – 52.5% 24.6% 21.1% 1.9% 27.9%

Stockton South

[edit]
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Lab Con UKIP Lib Dem Green Brexit Other Lead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019 – 41.1% 50.7% – 4.3% – 4.0% – 9.6%
Survation 9 Dec 2019 TBA 43% 46% – 3% – 7% – 3.0%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017 – 48.5% 46.8% 2.2% 1.8% 0.7% – – 1.6%

North West England

[edit]

Southport

[edit]
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Con Lab Lib Dem Other Lead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019 – 47.6% 39.0% 13.5% – 8.6%
Deltapoll/Peter Kellner 2–6 Dec 2019 500 43% 35% 22% – 7%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017 – 38.7% 32.6% 26.4% 2.4% 6.1%

Workington

[edit]
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Lab Con Lib Dem Green Brexit Other Lead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019 – 39.2% 49.3% 3.7% 1.4% 4.2% 2.2% 10.1%
Survation 30–31 Oct 2019 506 34% 45% 5% 2% 13% 2% 11%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017 – 51.1% 41.7% 2.7% – – 4.4% 9.4%

South East England

[edit]

Beaconsfield

[edit]
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Con Lab Lib Dem Grieve Green Other Lead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019 – 56.1% 9.9% – 29.0% 3.5% 1.4% 27.1%
Deltapoll/Peter Kellner 21–26 Nov 2019 500 53% 7% – 35% – 5% 18%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017 – 65.3% 21.4% 7.9% – 2.5% 2.9% 43.9%

Esher and Walton

[edit]
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Con Lab Lib Dem Green Brexit Other Lead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019 – 49.4% 4.5% 45.0% – – 1.3% 4.3%
Deltapoll/Peter Kellner 21–26 Nov 2019 396 46% 9% 41% – – 4% 5%
Survation/Liberal Democrats 30 Oct–4 Nov 2019 406 45% 11% 36% 3% 4% 1% 9%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017 – 58.6% 19.7% 17.3% 1.8% – 2.5% 38.9%

Guildford

[edit]
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Con Lib Dem Lab Milton Other Lead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019 – 44.9% 39.2% 7.7% 7.4% 0.8% 5.7%
Deltapoll/Peter Kellner 21–26 Nov 2019 500 40% 41% 11% 7% 1% 1%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017 – 54.6% 23.9% 19.0% – 2.6% 30.7%

Portsmouth South

[edit]
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Lab Con Lib Dem Brexit Other Lead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019 – 48.6% 37.3% 11.4% 2.1% 0.5% 11.3%
Deltapoll 22–27 Nov 2019 500 46% 38% 11% 2% 2% 8%
Survation/Liberal Democrats 28–29 Oct 2019 406 24% 27% 30% 14% 6% 3%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017 – 41.0% 37.6% 17.3% – 4.1% 3.5%

Reading West

[edit]
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Con Lab Lib Dem Green Brexit Other Lead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019 – 48.2% 40.1% 8.9% 2.5% – – 8.1%
Survation 7–8 Nov 2019 410 50% 26% 13% 3% 7% 0% 24%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017 – 48.9% 43.3% 5.9% 1.9% – – 5.6%

Wokingham

[edit]
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Con Lab Lib Dem Green Brexit Other Lead
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017 – 49.6% 10.4% 37.7% 2.2% — 0.1% 11.9%
Survation/Liberal Democrats 31 Oct—4 Nov 2019 406 42% 12% 38% 3% 5% — 4%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017 – 56.6% 25.1% 15.9% 2.3% — — 24.6%

South West England

[edit]

Bath

[edit]
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Lib Dem Con Lab Brexit Other Lead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019 – 54.5% 30.9% 12.7% 1.2% 0.7% 23.5%
Survation/Bath Labour 7–14 Sep 2017 555 46% 32% 17% 5% – 14%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017 – 47.3% 35.8% 14.7% - – 11.5%

North East Somerset

[edit]
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Con Lab Lib Dem Green Brexit Other Lead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019 – 50.4% 24.2% 22.1% 2.5% – 0.8% 26.1%
Survation/Liberal Democrats 16–17 Oct 2019 405 44% 14% 28% 3% 7% 4% 16%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017 – 53.6% 34.7% 8.3% 2.3% – 1.1% 18.9%

Wales

[edit]

Wrexham

[edit]
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Lab Con Lib Dem Plaid Cymru Brexit Green Lead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019 – 39.0% 45.3% 4.3% 6.4% 3.6% 1.3% 6.3%
Survation/The Economist 27–30 Nov 2019 405 29% 44% 5% 10% 9% – 15%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017 – 48.9% 43.7% 2.5% 5.0% – – 5.2%

West Midlands

[edit]

Warwick and Leamington

[edit]
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Lab Con Lib Dem Green Brexit Other Lead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019 – 43.8% 42.3% 9.2% 2.8% 1.5% 0.4% [j] 1.5%
Survation/The Economist 21–23 Nov 2019 413 39% 40% 10% – 6% 4% 1%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017 – 46.7% 44.4% 5.2% 2.2% – 1.7% [k] 2.3%

Yorkshire and the Humber

[edit]

Great Grimsby

[edit]
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Lab Con Lib Dem Green Brexit Other Lead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019 – 32.7% 54.9% 3.2% 1.6% 7.2% 0.5% 22.2%
Survation/The Economist 14–15 Nov 2019 401 31% 44% 4% 3% 17% 1% 13%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017 – 49.4% 42.2% 2.7% – – 5.7% 7.2%

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ a b This poll does not feature constituency prompting.
  2. ^ Question specified an election taking place in October
  3. ^ Including the Democratic Unionist Party and Sinn Féin with 1%
  4. ^ a b c d e f Including the British National Party with 1%
  5. ^ Including the Women's Equality Party with 1%
  6. ^ Including Alliance, Democratic Unionist Party, Social Democratic and Labour Party and Sinn Féin with 1%
  7. ^ Including the Democratic Unionist Party with 2%
  8. ^ A significant number of MPs changed parties during the 2017–2019 Parliament.
  9. ^ Including 1% for Traditional Unionist Voice, 1% for People Before Profit and 3% for Sylvia Hermon.
  10. ^ Independent with 0.3%; SDP with 0.1%
  11. ^ UKIP with 1.5%; rejected ballots with 0.2%

References

[edit]
  1. ^ "Johnson says he had 'no choice' over election". BBC News. 6 November 2019. Archived from the original on 6 November 2019. Retrieved 10 November 2019.
  2. ^ Luke Taylor (14 May 2019). "Latest Brexit Barometer: Labour 9 points ahead of Conservatives". Kantar. Archived from the original on 25 May 2019. Retrieved 31 May 2019.
  3. ^ Gideon Skinner; Glenn Gottfried; Cameron Garrett; Keiran Pedley (21 March 2019). "Worst public satisfaction ratings for any government since John Major". Ipsos MORI. Archived from the original on 31 May 2019. Retrieved 31 May 2019.
  4. ^ Anthony Wells (31 May 2019). "Here's how we prompt for the Brexit Party, and why it's more accurate". YouGov. Archived from the original on 31 May 2019. Retrieved 31 May 2019.
  5. ^ Matt Chorley (7 June 2019). "Brexit Party increases lead as Tories struggle". The Times. Archived from the original on 7 June 2019. Retrieved 7 June 2019. The emergence of new political forces has prompted YouGov to adapt the way it runs its surveys. The Brexit Party and the Green Party are now included when asking for voting intention alongside the established parties such as the Conservatives, Labour, Liberal Democrats, SNP and Plaid Cymru. YouGov carried out testing this week and found similar levels of support regardless of method used.
  6. ^ "Poll tracker: How popular are the Westminster political parties?". BBC News. BMG Research. 4 October 2019. Archived from the original on 6 October 2019. Retrieved 6 October 2019.
  7. ^ Walker, Ben (27 November 2019). "The Brexit Party's pullout demonstrates a problem for pollsters". New Statesman. Archived from the original on 27 November 2019. Retrieved 27 November 2019.
  8. ^ "UKIP leader Richard Braine resigns after three months in the job". BBC News. 30 October 2019. Archived from the original on 31 October 2019. Retrieved 30 October 2019.
  9. ^ "UKIP: Richard Braine elected as party leader". BBC News. 10 August 2019. Archived from the original on 13 August 2019. Retrieved 14 August 2019.
  10. ^ a b c d e f g h i "By-elections since the 2017 General Election". UK Parliament. Archived from the original on 26 June 2019. Retrieved 21 May 2019.
  11. ^ "Lib Dems: Jo Swinson elected new leader". BBC News. 22 July 2019. Archived from the original on 22 July 2019. Retrieved 22 July 2019.
  12. ^ "Change UK loses six of its 11 MPs". BBC News. 4 June 2019. Archived from the original on 4 June 2019. Retrieved 4 June 2019.
  13. ^ "European elections 2019: Polls take place across the UK". BBC News. 23 May 2019. Archived from the original on 23 May 2019. Retrieved 23 May 2019.
  14. ^ "England local elections 2019". BBC News. Archived from the original on 28 May 2019. Retrieved 21 May 2019.
  15. ^ "Northern Ireland local elections 2019". BBC News. Archived from the original on 17 May 2019. Retrieved 21 May 2019.
  16. ^ "Independent Group: Three MPs quit Tory party to join". BBC News. 20 February 2019. Archived from the original on 30 November 2019. Retrieved 21 May 2019.
  17. ^ "Brexit Party registration with The Electoral Commission". The Electoral Commission. Archived from the original on 11 May 2019. Retrieved 3 September 2019.
  18. ^ a b "Plaid Cymru leadership contest: Adam Price wins". BBC News. 28 September 2018. Archived from the original on 29 September 2018. Retrieved 21 May 2019.
  19. ^ "Jonathan Bartley and Sian Berry elected Green Party co-leaders". BBC. 4 September 2018. Archived from the original on 12 April 2019. Retrieved 31 October 2019.
  20. ^ a b "England local elections 2018". BBC News. Archived from the original on 7 December 2018. Retrieved 21 May 2019.
  21. ^ "UKIP confirms Gerard Batten as new leader". Sky News. 14 April 2018. Archived from the original on 10 October 2018. Retrieved 21 May 2019.
  22. ^ "Henry Bolton elected UKIP leader". BBC News. 29 September 2017. Archived from the original on 29 September 2017. Retrieved 21 May 2019.
  23. ^ "Vince Cable is new Lib Dem leader". BBC News. 20 July 2017. Archived from the original on 20 July 2017. Retrieved 21 May 2019.
  24. ^ "YouGov UK General Election MRP Estimates – February 2019" (PDF). YouGov. 11 February 2019. Archived (PDF) from the original on 12 February 2019. Retrieved 22 May 2019.
  25. ^ This was a UK-wide poll, and the number of participants in Scotland was not recorded.
  26. ^ "Ruth Davidson quits as Scottish Tory leader citing Brexit and family". The Guardian. 29 August 2019. Archived from the original on 3 September 2019. Retrieved 3 September 2019.
  27. ^ "Richard Leonard to lead Scottish Labour". BBC News. 18 November 2017. Archived from the original on 7 April 2018. Retrieved 21 May 2017.
  28. ^ "Welsh Labour leadership: Mark Drakeford set to be Wales' first minister". BBC News. 6 December 2018. Archived from the original on 27 May 2019. Retrieved 21 May 2019.
  29. ^ "Wales new First Minister Mark Drakeford is sworn in". BBC News. 13 December 2018. Archived from the original on 27 May 2019. Retrieved 21 May 2019.
  30. ^ "Paul Davies wins Welsh Tory assembly group leadership poll". BBC News. 6 September 2018. Archived from the original on 6 September 2018. Retrieved 21 May 2019.
  31. ^ "Jane Dodds is new Welsh Liberal Democrat leader". BBC News. 3 November 2017. Archived from the original on 28 October 2018. Retrieved 21 May 2019.
  32. ^ Aontú (1.2%), People Before Profit (0.9%) and the Conservative Party (0.7%) outpolled the Greens despite not being measured separately in pre-election polling.
  33. ^ "Mary Lou McDonald confirmed as new leader of Sinn Féin". Irish Times. 20 January 2018. Archived from the original on 10 July 2018. Retrieved 4 August 2019.
  34. ^ Wells, Anthony. "Lib Dem private polls again". UK Polling Report. Retrieved 9 December 2019.
[edit]
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