2010 Catalan regional election
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All 135 seats in the Parliament of Catalonia 68 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Opinion polls | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Registered | 5,363,688  0.8% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Turnout | 3,152,630 (58.8%)2.8 pp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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 Election result by constituency | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The 2010 Catalan regional election was held on Sunday, 28 November 2010, to elect the 9th Parliament of the autonomous community of Catalonia. All 135 seats in the Parliament were up for election. This was the first election held in Catalonia after the Constitutional Court of Spain struck down parts of the regional 2006 Statute of Autonomy that granted new powers of self-rule to the region. The ruling came after four years of deliberation concerning a constitutional appeal filed by the conservative People's Party (PP) under Mariano Rajoy and was met with anger and street protests throughout the region.[1][2]
The election resulted in a resounding victory for the Convergence and Union (CiU) federation under Artur Mas, whose 62 seats—six short of an absolute majority—virtually ensured that no alternative government was mathematically possible, as the left-wing alliance which had formed the government of Catalonia for the previous seven years fell to a bare 48 seats. The tripartit (English: tripartite) coalition formed by the Socialists' Party of Catalonia (PSC), Republican Left of Catalonia (ERC) and Initiative for Catalonia Greens (ICV) was already at the brink of split going into the election, with political disagreements between the former allies having led Catalan president José Montilla to announce that he would not seek a third alliance with ERC and ICV even if election numbers favored such a possibility.[3] The election saw a collapse in support for all three parties and Montilla's retirement from the PSC leadership shortly afterwards.[4]
The PP had one of its best showings in a Catalan regional election, with 12.4% of the vote and 18 seats. Albert Rivera's Citizens (C's) party saw a slight increase in its vote share, whereas the pro-Catalan independence Catalan Solidarity for Independence (SI) led by former FC Barcelona president Joan Laporta secured 4 seats in the Parliament.
Overview
[edit]Electoral system
[edit]The Parliament of Catalonia was the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Catalonia, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Catalan Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.[5] As a result of no regional electoral law having been approved since the re-establishment of Catalan autonomy, the electoral procedure came regulated under Transitory Provision Fourth of the 1979 Statute, supplemented by the provisions within the national electoral law.[a] Voting for the Parliament was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Catalonia and in full enjoyment of their political rights.
The 135 members of the Parliament of Catalonia were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of three percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Seats were allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of Barcelona, Girona, Lleida and Tarragona, with each being allocated a fixed number of seats:[5][6]
| Seats | Constituencies |
|---|---|
| 85 | Barcelona |
| 18 | Tarragona |
| 17 | Girona |
| 15 | Lleida |
The use of the D'Hondt method might result in a higher effective threshold, depending on the district magnitude.[7]
Election date
[edit]The term of the Parliament of Catalonia expired four years after the date of its previous election, unless it was dissolved earlier. The regional president was required to call an election fifteen days prior to the date of expiry of parliament, with election day taking place within from forty to sixty days after the call. The previous election was held on 1 November 2006, which meant that the legislature's term would have expired on 1 November 2010. The election was required to be called no later than 17 October 2010, with it taking place up to the sixtieth day from the call, setting the latest possible election date for the Parliament on Thursday, 16 December 2010.[5]
The president had the prerogative to dissolve the Parliament of Catalonia and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process and that dissolution did not occur before one year had elapsed since a previous one under this procedure. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Parliament was to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.[5]
Parliamentary composition
[edit]The Parliament of Catalonia was officially dissolved on 5 October 2010, after the publication of the dissolution decree in the Official Journal of the Government of Catalonia.[8] The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the chamber at the time of dissolution.[9][10][11]
| Groups | Parties | Legislators | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | Total | ||||
| Convergence and Union's Parliamentary Group | CDC | 34 | 48 | ||
| UDC | 14 | ||||
| Socialists–Citizens for Change Parliamentary Group | PSC | 32 | 37 | ||
| CpC | 5 | ||||
| Republican Left of Catalonia's Parliamentary Group | ERC | 21 | 21 | ||
| People's Party of Catalonia's Parliamentary Group | PP | 14 | 14 | ||
| Initiative for Catalonia Greens–United and Alternative Left's Parliamentary Group |
ICV | 10 | 12 | ||
| EUiA | 2 | ||||
| Mixed Group | Cs | 2 | 2 | ||
| Non-Inscrits | INDEP | 1[b] | 1 | ||
Parties and candidates
[edit]The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.[14]
Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election:
| Candidacy | Parties and alliances |
Leading candidate | Ideology | Previous result | Gov. | Ref. | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes (%) | Seats | ||||||||
| CiU | List
|
.jpg)
|
Artur Mas | Catalan nationalism Centrism |
31.52% | 48 | 
|
[15] | |
| PSC–PSOE | List
|
.jpg)
|
José Montilla | Social democracy | 26.82% | 37 | 
|
[16] [17] [18] | |
| ERC | List |
.jpg)
|
Joan Puigcercós | Catalan independence Left-wing nationalism Social democracy |
14.03% | 21 |
|
[19] [20] | |
| PP | List
|
.jpg)
|
Alicia Sánchez-Camacho | Conservatism Christian democracy |
10.65% | 14 |
|
[21] [22] | |
| ICV–EUiA | List |
.jpg)
|
Joan Herrera | Regionalism Eco-socialism Green politics |
9.52% | 12 |
|
[23] [24] [25] | |
| C's | List |
.jpg)
|
Albert Rivera | Social liberalism | 3.03% | 3 |
|
||
| SI | List |
.jpg)
|
Joan Laporta | Catalan independence | New party |
|
[26] | ||
Opinion polls
[edit]The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.
Graphical summary
[edit]
Voting intention estimates
[edit]The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 68 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of Catalonia.
- Color key:
Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls Exit poll
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | 
|
|
|
|
|
|
PxC | 
|
RI.cat | SI | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 regional election | 28 Nov 2010 | — | 58.8 | 38.4 62 |
18.4 28 |
7.0 10 |
12.4 18 |
7.4 10 |
3.4 3 |
2.4 0 |
0.2 0 |
1.3 0 |
3.3 4 |
20.0 |
| Ipsos–Eco/CCMA[p 1][p 2] | 28 Nov 2010 | ? | ? | 40.2 63/66 |
17.3 24/27 |
8.1 11/13 |
11.1 15/17 |
7.3 8/10 |
3.2 2/3 |
– | – | 1.5 0/1 |
3.7 3/4 |
22.9 |
| GESOP/El Periòdic[p 3] | 25–27 Nov 2010 | 900 | 56–58 | 40.0 65/67 |
18.5 27/28 |
7.4 10/12 |
10.5 14/15 |
10.2 12/14 |
4.0 4 |
– | – | – | 2.8 0/2 |
21.5 |
| GESOP/El Periòdic[p 4] | 24–26 Nov 2010 | 900 | 54–56 | 39.2 64/66 |
19.3 29/30 |
7.2 10/12 |
10.4 14/15 |
9.9 12/13 |
3.7 3/4 |
– | – | – | 2.6 0 |
19.9 |
| GAD/COPE[p 5][p 6] | 22–26 Nov 2010 | 2,201 | 59.2 | 39.4 60/63 |
20.5 29/31 |
7.7 11/12 |
11.6 15/16 |
9.4 11/13 |
4.0 3/4 |
– | – | – | 2.9 0/3 |
18.9 |
| GESOP/El Periòdic[p 7] | 23–25 Nov 2010 | 900 | 54–56 | 39.9 65/67 |
19.5 29/30 |
7.0 10/11 |
9.9 13/14 |
9.5 11/13 |
3.7 3/4 |
– | – | – | 2.6 0 |
20.4 |
| GESOP/El Periòdic[p 8] | 22–24 Nov 2010 | 800 | 54–56 | 39.5 64/65 |
20.1 29/31 |
7.3 10/12 |
9.8 13/14 |
9.0 11/12 |
4.3 4/5 |
– | – | – | 2.5 0 |
19.4 |
| GESOP/El Periòdic[p 9] | 20–23 Nov 2010 | 700 | 53–55 | 39.5 64/65 |
20.1 29/31 |
7.3 10/12 |
10.1 13/14 |
8.4 10/12 |
4.4 4/5 |
– | – | – | 2.9 0/2 |
19.4 |
| GESOP/El Periòdic[p 10] | 20–22 Nov 2010 | 600 | 52–54 | 39.2 63/64 |
19.9 29/30 |
7.5 11/12 |
10.1 13/14 |
8.2 10/11 |
4.7 5 |
– | – | – | 3.2 0/4 |
19.3 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 11][p 12] | 20–21 Nov 2010 | 400 | 51–53 | 39.1 63/64 |
20.0 30 |
7.5 11 |
10.3 14 |
8.0 10/11 |
4.3 4/5 |
– | – | – | 3.2 0/4 |
19.1 |
| Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[p 13] | 15–20 Nov 2010 | 2,500 | 60 | 39.3 62 |
22.2 33 |
9.1 13 |
8.5 12 |
8.0 10 |
4.1 4 |
1.0 0 |
0.4 0 |
1.1 0 |
2.9 1 |
17.1 |
| TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[p 14] | 19 Nov 2010 | ? | 50.2 | 38.5 59/60 |
21.6 30/32 |
? 10/11 |
? 15/16 |
? 11/12 |
? 4 |
– | – | – | ? 3 |
16.9 |
| NC Report/La Razón[p 15] | 15–18 Nov 2010 | 1,000 | 53.9 | 39.4 60/62 |
21.8 31/32 |
9.3 13/14 |
11.4 15/16 |
8.5 11/12 |
3.2 2/3 |
– | – | – | 1.8 0 |
17.6 |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 16] | 15–18 Nov 2010 | 1,650 | ? | 40.4 61/64 |
21.8 30/32 |
8.1 11 |
12.7 17/19 |
8.1 9/10 |
3.0 3 |
– | – | – | – | 18.6 |
| Noxa/La Vanguardia[p 17] | 15–18 Nov 2010 | 1,200 | ? | 39.3 63/65 |
20.1 31/32 |
7.9 10/12 |
10.1 14 |
7.5 9/10 |
4.0 4 |
– | – | – | 2.4 0/1 |
19.2 |
| DYM/ABC[p 18][p 2] | 11–18 Nov 2010 | 1,141 | 52.3 | 40.0 60/62 |
21.7 31 |
6.6 11 |
11.3 15/16 |
10.0 12/13 |
4.6 5 |
– | – | – | 1.8 0/1 |
18.3 |
| Metroscopia/El País[p 19][p 20] | 16–17 Nov 2010 | 1,508 | 50–52 | 39.5 64/65 |
20.4 30 |
7.0 8/9 |
9.5 13/14 |
6.9 10 |
5.0 6/7 |
– | – | – | 2.6 1/3 |
19.1 |
| La Vanguardia[p 21] | 12 Nov 2010 | ? | ? | 40.6 63/65 |
19.2 27/28 |
9.2 13 |
11.9 15/16 |
8.4 11/12 |
3.5 3 |
– | – | – | 2.9 0/3 |
21.4 |
| Feedback/RAC 1[p 22][p 23][p 24] | 8–12 Nov 2010 | 1,000 | 52.3 | 39.3 62/63 |
20.1 30/31 |
5.6 10/11 |
10.5 14/15 |
6.7 9/10 |
3.2 3 |
0.7 0 |
– | 1.7 0/1 |
2.8 2/4 |
19.2 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 25][p 26][p 27] | 7–10 Nov 2010 | 800 | ? | 39.0 62/63 |
21.3 31/32 |
7.7 11/12 |
10.8 14/15 |
9.0 11/12 |
3.2 3/4 |
– | – | – | 2.7 0/2 |
19.7 |
| Opina/Cadena SER[p 28][p 29] | 8–9 Nov 2010 | 1,200 | ? | 42.4 65/66 |
18.4 30/32 |
7.3 10/11 |
11.6 14/16 |
7.5 7/8 |
4.1 3 |
– | – | – | 3.5 2/3 |
24.0 |
| CIS[p 30][p 31] | 15 Oct–4 Nov 2010 | 2,966 | ? | 38.0 59 |
22.7 33 |
10.2 15/16 |
9.7 13/14 |
8.2 11 |
3.5 3 |
0.6 0 |
0.1 0 |
1.2 0 |
1.0 0 |
15.3 |
| NC Report/La Razón[p 32][p 33] | 26–28 Oct 2010 | 1,000 | 53.5 | 41.0 62/63 |
21.6 30/31 |
8.8 11/12 |
11.9 15/16 |
10.1 12/13 |
2.9 2/3 |
– | – | – | – | 19.4 |
| TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[p 34][p 35] | 24 Oct 2010 | ? | 54.8 | 40.2 | 19.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 20.7 |
| Feedback/RAC 1[p 36][p 37][p 38] | 18–22 Oct 2010 | 1,000 | 54.0 | 41.8 65/66 |
19.5 27/28 |
6.5 11/12 |
8.6 13 |
8.0 9/11 |
3.8 4 |
1.0 0 |
– | 1.5 0 |
2.3 0/4 |
22.3 |
| GESOP/CEO[p 39][p 40] | 11–22 Oct 2010 | 2,000 | 58.3 | 37.0 62/65 |
19.4 29/30 |
8.6 13/14 |
11.3 16 |
7.2 8/9 |
3.5 4 |
– | – | – | 2.0 0 |
17.6 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 41][p 42] | 26–28 Sep 2010 | 800 | 51–52 | 40.5 63/65 |
20.8 30/31 |
8.4 12/13 |
10.4 14/15 |
7.2 9/10 |
2.9 2/3 |
– | – | – | 2.7 0/2 |
19.7 |
| Feedback/RAC 1[p 43][p 44][p 45] | 20–24 Sep 2010 | 1,000 | 55.3 | 41.2 63/65 |
20.4 30/31 |
8.0 10/11 |
10.7 15/16 |
7.3 9/10 |
3.7 3/4 |
– | – | 1.0 0 |
2.4 0/3 |
20.8 |
| TNS Demoscopia/SI[p 46][p 47][p 48] | 20–23 Sep 2010 | 1,201 | 54.2 | 34.6 56/59 |
20.2 30/32 |
6.9 9/12 |
10.1 13/15 |
9.3 13/14 |
4.4 4 |
0.8 0 |
– | 1.6 0 |
5.6 6/8 |
14.4 |
| Metroscopia/El País[p 49][p 50] | 20–22 Sep 2010 | 1,200 | 50 | 40.7 61 |
19.2 28 |
9.2 12 |
12.5 17 |
7.6 9 |
3.6 4 |
– | – | 2.6 2 |
2.6 2 |
21.5 |
| Noxa/La Vanguardia[p 51] | 1–2 Sep 2010 | 800 | ? | 38.9 60/61 |
21.1 31/32 |
10.1 15/16 |
11.2 15 |
9.2 12 |
2.6 0/3 |
– | – | 2.6 0/3 |
– | 17.8 |
| Noxa/La Vanguardia[p 52] | 12–14 Jul 2010 | 1,000 | ? | 42.1 65/66 |
23.1 32/33 |
8.4 13 |
10.3 14 |
7.4 10 |
2.4 0 |
– | – | 1.9 0 |
– | 19.0 |
| GESOP/CEO[p 53][p 54] | 28 Jun–8 Jul 2010 | 2,000 | 53.9 | 40.5 67/68 |
21.1 31/32 |
8.7 13 |
9.8 13 |
7.4 10 |
2.6 0 |
– | – | 0.9 0 |
– | 19.4 |
| NC Report/La Razón[p 55] | 2–3 Jul 2010 | 1,000 | 53.8 | 40.4 60/61 |
22.2 32/33 |
9.2 12/13 |
11.6 15/16 |
10.5 13/14 |
2.8 0 |
– | – | – | – | 18.2 |
| Metroscopia/El País[p 56][p 57] | 1 Jul 2010 | 302 | ? | 39.0 | 24.7 | 7.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 14.3 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 58][p 59] | 10–11 Jun 2010 | 800 | ? | 41.0 65/67 |
21.0 30/32 |
8.5 12/13 |
10.0 13/14 |
8.5 10/12 |
1.2 0 |
0.5 0 |
– | 1.3 0 |
– | 20.0 |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 60] | 24–26 May 2010 | 1,000 | ? | 36.1 57/59 |
24.8 35/38 |
9.5 12/15 |
14.8 20/22 |
5.7 5/7 |
– | – | – | – | – | 11.3 |
| Noxa/La Vanguardia[p 61] | 10–13 May 2010 | 1,000 | ? | 41.1 63/64 |
23.5 33/34 |
8.7 13 |
10.5 14 |
8.5 11 |
1.4 0 |
– | – | 0.9 0 |
– | 17.6 |
| GESOP/CEO[p 62][p 63] | 16–30 Apr 2010 | 2,000 | 56.8 | 39.6 65 |
23.2 36 |
8.8 13 |
8.5 12 |
7.7 9 |
1.8 0 |
– | – | 1.4 0 |
– | 16.4 |
| Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[p 64] | 7–16 Apr 2010 | 2,500 | ? | 38.8 58/60 |
28.2 41/43 |
9.0 13 |
7.2 10 |
7.7 10/11 |
1.9 0 |
0.7 0 |
0.8 0 |
1.2 0 |
– | 10.6 |
| TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[p 65][p 66][p 67] | 22–23 Mar 2010 | 1,100 | 49.5 | 40.5 61/62 |
23.9 35/36 |
10.3 13/14 |
9.3 12/13 |
9.2 11/12 |
1.8 0 |
– | – | 2.1 0 |
– | 16.6 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 68][p 69] | 15–18 Mar 2010 | ? | ? | 38.7 61/63 |
23.0 34/36 |
8.4 12/13 |
9.8 13/14 |
8.3 11/12 |
1.5 0 |
– | – | 1.0 0 |
– | 15.7 |
| GAD/COPE[p 70][p 71] | 9–15 Mar 2010 | 1,000 | 60 | 39.0 59 |
23.5 35 |
9.4 13 |
12.7 16 |
8.8 12 |
2.1 0 |
– | – | – | – | 15.5 |
| Noxa/La Vanguardia[p 72] | 8–10 Mar 2010 | 1,000 | ? | 43.9 65/67 |
23.9 32/33 |
7.7 11/12 |
10.4 13/14 |
9.2 11/12 |
0.1 0 |
– | – | 1.8 0 |
– | 20.0 |
| GESOP/CEO[p 73][p 74] | 13–28 Jan 2010 | 2,000 | 56.9 | 35.6 58 |
24.7 38 |
9.8 15 |
9.7 13 |
8.5 10 |
2.1 0 |
– | – | 1.2 1 |
– | 10.9 |
| Opina/CEO[p 75][p 76] | 2–13 Nov 2009 | 2,000 | 56.8 | 33.4 55/57 |
23.1 36/38 |
10.1 17 |
10.3 15 |
6.8 10 |
1.7 0 |
– | – | 1.4 0 |
– | 10.3 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 77][p 78] | 26–28 Oct 2009 | 800 | ? | 35.1 55/57 |
25.1 36/38 |
10.8 16/17 |
9.4 12/14 |
10.1 13/14 |
1.2 0 |
– | – | 1.3 0 |
– | 10.0 |
| Noxa/La Vanguardia[p 79] | 22–27 Oct 2009 | 1,000 | ? | 36.2 57/58 |
25.1 35/36 |
9.5 14/15 |
11.2 15/16 |
8.5 10/11 |
0.7 0 |
– | – | 2.8 0/3 |
– | 11.1 |
| Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[p 80] | 1–4 Sep 2009 | ? | ? | 35.7 53/54 |
30.8 44/46 |
6.9 11 |
10.8 13/15 |
8.4 11 |
1.6 0 |
– | 1.4 0 |
– | – | 4.9 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 81] | 14–15 Jul 2009 | 600 | ? | 34.4 54/56 |
26.0 37/39 |
11.0 16/17 |
8.5 12 |
10.0 12/13 |
1.5 0 |
– | – | – | – | 8.4 |
| Opina/CEO[p 82][p 83] | 29 Jun–10 Jul 2009 | 2,000 | ? | 35.4 54 |
25.5 37 |
10.4 15 |
11.3 15 |
8.7 11 |
2.6 3 |
– | – | – | – | 9.9 |
| 2009 EP election | 7 Jun 2009 | — | 36.9 | 22.4 (35) |
36.0 (54) |
9.2 (13) |
18.0 (26) |
6.1 (7) |
0.4 (0) |
– | 0.8 (0) |
– | – | 13.6 |
| Opina/CEO[p 84][p 85] | 20–30 Apr 2009 | 2,000 | ? | 38.5 59 |
23.0 34 |
12.2 17 |
10.5 14 |
7.9 11 |
2.6 0 |
– | – | – | – | 15.5 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 86] | 9–11 Mar 2009 | 800 | ? | 35.6 55/56 |
26.5 38/39 |
10.6 15/16 |
8.8 12/13 |
9.0 11/12 |
2.5 0/2 |
– | – | – | – | 9.1 |
| Opina/CEO[p 87][p 88] | 19–28 Jan 2009 | 2,000 | ? | 34.5 56 |
24.3 35/36 |
12.3 17/18 |
8.6 12 |
9.2 12 |
2.8 2 |
– | – | – | – | 10.2 |
| Noxa/La Vanguardia[p 89] | 24–27 Nov 2008 | 600 | ? | 34.8 51/53 |
26.0 36/37 |
13.7 19/20 |
9.7 12/13 |
9.2 11/12 |
2.7 0/3 |
– | – | – | – | 8.8 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 90] | 10–13 Nov 2008 | 800 | ? | 34.2 52/54 |
26.9 38/39 |
13.9 20/21 |
8.0 10/11 |
9.0 11/12 |
2.4 0/2 |
– | – | – | – | 7.3 |
| Opina/CEO[p 91][p 92] | 20–28 Oct 2008 | 2,000 | ? | 34.0 52 |
25.6 37 |
10.8 16/17 |
12.2 15/17 |
8.9 12 |
1.9 1/2 |
– | – | – | – | 8.4 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 93] | 1–2 Jul 2008 | ? | ? | 34.8 52/53 |
27.3 38/39 |
12.7 17/18 |
9.0 12/13 |
8.0 10/11 |
3.1 2/3 |
– | – | – | – | 7.5 |
| Opina/CEO[p 94][p 95] | 16 Jun–1 Jul 2008 | 2,000 | ? | 34.7 53 |
25.9 38 |
12.7 18 |
9.2 13 |
8.8 11 |
2.5 2 |
– | – | – | – | 8.8 |
| Opina/CEO[p 96][p 97] | 14–25 Apr 2008 | 2,000 | ? | 31.9 48 |
29.6 42 |
11.5 17 |
10.4 13 |
9.7 12 |
3.0 3 |
– | – | – | – | 2.3 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 98][p 99] | 22–24 Apr 2008 | ? | ? | 35.6 53/55 |
28.4 40/42 |
11.8 17/18 |
8.5 10/11 |
8.9 11/12 |
2.1 0 |
– | – | – | – | 7.2 |
| La Vanguardia[p 100] | 9 Mar 2008 | ? | 70.3 | 30.4 50 |
30.3 45 |
9.8 14 |
10.7 15 |
8.0 11 |
– | – | – | – | – | 0.1 |
| 2008 general election | 9 Mar 2008 | — | 70.3 | 20.9 (31) |
45.4 (65) |
7.8 (12) |
16.4 (22) |
4.9 (5) |
0.7 (0) |
0.1 (0) |
0.2 (0) |
– | – | 24.5 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 101][p 102] | 8–11 Jan 2008 | ? | ? | 33.3 51/52 |
27.0 38/40 |
11.8 18 |
10.4 14 |
8.3 11 |
2.4 0/2 |
– | – | – | – | 6.3 |
| Noxa/La Vanguardia[p 103] | 22–25 Oct 2007 | 800 | ? | 30.8 46 |
28.9 39 |
14.6 22 |
10.6 14 |
8.8 11 |
3.5 3 |
– | – | – | – | 1.9 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 104] | 14 Oct 2007 | ? | ? | 33.0 51/52 |
27.0 38/40 |
14.0 21/22 |
9.5 12/13 |
8.5 10/11 |
2.0 0 |
– | – | – | – | 6.0 |
| Opina/CEO[p 105][p 106] | 17–28 Sep 2007 | 2,200 | ? | 30.4 46/47 |
28.5 42 |
13.3 20 |
8.6 11/12 |
10.2 13 |
1.9 0/2 |
– | – | – | – | 1.9 |
| Opina/CEO[p 107][p 108] | 18 Jun–2 Jul 2007 | 2,200 | ? | 33.4 50/51 |
27.0 40 |
11.9 17 |
9.0 12 |
9.9 12/13 |
3.6 3 |
– | – | – | – | 6.4 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 109] | 25–27 Jun 2007 | ? | ? | 33.0 51/53 |
27.0 38/40 |
13.3 19/20 |
9.5 12/13 |
9.0 11/12 |
2.5 0/2 |
– | – | – | – | 6.0 |
| 2007 local elections | 27 May 2007 | — | 53.9 | 25.3 | 32.2 | 11.7 | 9.9 | 9.1 | 2.3 | 0.4 | – | – | – | 6.9 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 110] | 15–17 Apr 2007 | 800 | ? | 32.0 49/50 |
28.6 39/40 |
12.5 18 |
9.8 13 |
10.0 13 |
2.7 2 |
– | – | – | – | 3.4 |
| Opina/CEO[p 111][p 108] | 2–16 Mar 2007 | 2,200 | ? | 29.8 | 27.6 | 13.8 | 10.2 | 10.2 | 3.5 | – | – | – | – | 2.2 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 112] | 17–18 Jan 2007 | 800 | ? | 31.1 47/48 |
28.4 39/40 |
12.2 18 |
10.5 14 |
9.9 12 |
4.0 4 |
– | – | – | – | 2.7 |
| DYM/CEO[p 113][p 108] | 6–20 Nov 2006 | 2,100 | ? | 32.6 | 26.3 | 13.1 | 8.6 | 10.5 | 6.0 | – | – | – | – | 6.3 |
| 2006 regional election | 1 Nov 2006 | — | 56.0 | 31.5 48 |
26.8 37 |
14.0 21 |
10.7 14 |
9.5 12 |
3.0 3 |
– | – | – | – | 4.7 |
Voting preferences
[edit]The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.
- Color key:
Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
|
|
|
|
|
|
PxC | RI.cat | SI | 
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 regional election | 28 Nov 2010 | — | 22.9 | 10.9 | 4.2 | 7.3 | 4.4 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 2.0 | — | 40.1 | 12.0 |
| GESOP/El Periòdic[p 3] | 25–27 Nov 2010 | 900 | 32.9 | 14.1 | 5.7 | 6.1 | 6.9 | 2.6 | – | – | 2.0 | 16.1 | 5.6 | 18.8 |
| GESOP/El Periòdic[p 4] | 24–26 Nov 2010 | 900 | 30.8 | 14.9 | 5.2 | 6.0 | 7.2 | 2.2 | – | – | 1.9 | 16.0 | 6.3 | 15.9 |
| GESOP/El Periòdic[p 7] | 23–25 Nov 2010 | 900 | 30.8 | 16.8 | 4.8 | 5.5 | 5.3 | 3.2 | – | – | 2.3 | 15.8 | 5.8 | 14.0 |
| GESOP/El Periòdic[p 8] | 22–24 Nov 2010 | 800 | 30.8 | 16.3 | 4.8 | 5.6 | 6.8 | 2.3 | – | – | 2.1 | 13.7 | 7.0 | 14.5 |
| GESOP/El Periòdic[p 9] | 20–23 Nov 2010 | 700 | 30.3 | 17.3 | 4.6 | 5.8 | 6.8 | 2.6 | – | – | 2.0 | 12.9 | 7.3 | 13.0 |
| GESOP/El Periòdic[p 10] | 20–22 Nov 2010 | 600 | 32.0 | 18.3 | 4.4 | 5.9 | 5.3 | 2.9 | – | – | 2.3 | 12.8 | 6.0 | 13.7 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 12] | 20–21 Nov 2010 | 400 | 29.8 | 16.0 | 4.8 | 5.8 | 4.8 | 2.8 | – | – | 3.0 | 16.5 | 4.3 | 13.8 |
| Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[p 13] | 15–20 Nov 2010 | 2,500 | 25.7 | 12.8 | 4.8 | 4.9 | 4.0 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 1.6 | – | – | 12.9 |
| Feedback/RAC 1[p 23] | 8–12 Nov 2010 | 1,000 | 25.5 | 13.3 | 5.4 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 26.3 | 10.0 | 12.2 |
| CIS[p 30] | 15 Oct–4 Nov 2010 | 2,966 | 20.6 | 13.4 | 5.8 | 5.1 | 5.4 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 19.1 | 17.5 | 7.2 |
| Feedback/RAC 1[p 37] | 18–22 Oct 2010 | 1,000 | 28.4 | 10.6 | 4.2 | 4.0 | 5.2 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 22.2 | 9.0 | 17.8 |
| GESOP/CEO[p 39] | 11–22 Oct 2010 | 2,000 | 24.4 | 14.2 | 7.4 | 6.2 | 5.2 | 2.1 | – | – | – | 22.5 | 5.9 | 10.2 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 41] | 26–28 Sep 2010 | 800 | 29.5 | 15.9 | 5.8 | 4.3 | 2.9 | 1.5 | – | 1.4 | 1.9 | 21.2 | 7.0 | 13.6 |
| GESOP/CEO[p 53] | 28 Jun–8 Jul 2010 | 2,000 | 25.3 | 14.2 | 6.0 | 3.8 | 5.6 | 1.0 | – | – | – | 28.3 | 7.0 | 11.1 |
| Metroscopia/El País[p 57] | 1 Jul 2010 | 302 | 22.2 | 19.9 | 5.6 | 6.6 | 1.0 | 1.0 | – | – | – | 23.5 | 10.6 | 2.3 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 58] | 10–11 Jun 2010 | 800 | 32.3 | 16.1 | 7.1 | 3.9 | 4.1 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 1.1 | – | 14.2 | 11.0 | 16.2 |
| GESOP/CEO[p 62] | 16–30 Apr 2010 | 2,000 | 25.0 | 17.5 | 6.6 | 4.3 | 5.0 | 1.1 | – | – | – | 21.8 | 9.2 | 7.5 |
| Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[p 64] | 7–16 Apr 2010 | 2,500 | 24.6 | 20.1 | 5.7 | 4.3 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | – | – | – | 4.5 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 68] | 15–18 Mar 2010 | ? | 29.6 | 20.0 | 5.9 | 4.0 | 5.3 | 0.9 | 0.6 | – | – | 13.3 | 8.6 | 9.6 |
| GESOP/CEO[p 73] | 13–28 Jan 2010 | 2,000 | 23.0 | 17.4 | 7.6 | 4.9 | 5.6 | 1.2 | – | – | – | 20.8 | 10.5 | 5.6 |
| Opina/CEO[p 75] | 2–13 Nov 2009 | 2,000 | 21.8 | 15.7 | 8.1 | 4.8 | 5.0 | 0.8 | – | – | – | 15.9 | 13.9 | 6.1 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 78] | 26–28 Oct 2009 | 800 | 25.3 | 22.9 | 8.3 | 4.6 | 5.9 | 0.6 | – | – | – | 13.3 | 11.5 | 2.4 |
| Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[p 80] | 1–4 Sep 2009 | ? | 22.3 | 22.6 | 3.6 | 5.2 | 4.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.5 | – | – | – | 0.3 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 78] | 14–15 Jul 2009 | 600 | 21.2 | 20.3 | 8.7 | 3.3 | 6.2 | 0.3 | – | – | – | – | – | 0.9 |
| Opina/CEO[p 82] | 29 Jun–10 Jul 2009 | 2,000 | 23.8 | 18.0 | 8.4 | 3.9 | 6.9 | 1.1 | – | – | – | 23.3 | 8.6 | 5.8 |
| 2009 EP election | 7 Jun 2009 | — | 8.4 | 13.4 | 3.4 | 6.7 | 2.3 | 0.1 | – | – | – | — | 62.5 | 5.0 |
| Opina/CEO[p 84] | 20–30 Apr 2009 | 2,000 | 24.9 | 19.7 | 9.6 | 3.8 | 5.1 | 1.1 | – | – | – | 23.0 | 6.9 | 5.2 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 86] | 9–11 Mar 2009 | 800 | 26.6 | 25.4 | 8.3 | 2.9 | 7.0 | 1.3 | – | – | – | 13.3 | 8.0 | 1.2 |
| Opina/CEO[p 87] | 19–28 Jan 2009 | 2,000 | 21.4 | 21.0 | 9.8 | 3.7 | 5.9 | 1.3 | – | – | – | 18.3 | 9.7 | 0.4 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 90] | 10–13 Nov 2008 | 800 | 25.8 | 27.9 | 10.4 | 3.6 | 5.0 | 0.8 | – | – | – | 12.8 | 8.4 | 2.1 |
| Opina/CEO[p 91] | 20–28 Oct 2008 | 2,000 | 21.2 | 21.6 | 7.9 | 5.2 | 7.1 | 0.7 | – | – | – | 20.7 | 9.9 | 0.4 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 93] | 1–2 Jul 2008 | ? | 25.5 | 26.8 | 11.5 | 3.9 | 5.3 | 1.4 | – | – | – | 13.5 | 8.5 | 1.3 |
| Opina/CEO[p 94] | 16 Jun–1 Jul 2008 | 2,000 | 23.1 | 22.0 | 11.3 | 4.0 | 6.1 | 1.1 | – | – | – | 19.1 | 7.4 | 1.1 |
| Opina/CEO[p 96] | 14–25 Apr 2008 | 2,000 | 21.5 | 27.9 | 9.5 | 4.5 | 7.6 | 1.4 | – | – | – | 18.2 | 6.3 | 6.4 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 98] | 22–24 Apr 2008 | ? | 29.4 | 30.3 | 10.4 | 2.6 | 5.5 | 0.9 | – | – | – | 11.0 | 5.6 | 0.9 |
| 2008 general election | 9 Mar 2008 | — | 14.9 | 32.1 | 5.6 | 11.6 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | – | – | — | 28.8 | 17.2 |
| Opina/CEO[p 114] | 21–30 Jan 2008 | 2,000 | 20.8 | 21.2 | 10.8 | 2.9 | 7.9 | 1.6 | – | – | – | 23.9 | 7.1 | 0.4 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 101] | 8–11 Jan 2008 | ? | 23.5 | 26.6 | 10.9 | 4.3 | 6.5 | 1.1 | – | – | – | – | – | 3.1 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 104] | 14 Oct 2007 | ? | 22.4 | 25.4 | 12.6 | 4.1 | 5.1 | 1.5 | – | – | – | 12.9 | 9.3 | 3.0 |
| Opina/CEO[p 105] | 17–28 Sep 2007 | 2,200 | 16.6 | 20.2 | 10.2 | 2.4 | 7.7 | 1.0 | – | – | – | 25.7 | 9.2 | 3.6 |
| Opina/CEO[p 107] | 18 Jun–2 Jul 2007 | 2,200 | 18.5 | 19.8 | 9.6 | 3.1 | 7.4 | 1.5 | – | – | – | 23.9 | 9.5 | 1.3 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 109] | 25–27 Jun 2007 | ? | 24.5 | 23.5 | 11.5 | 5.1 | 6.5 | 1.5 | – | – | – | 9.9 | 10.0 | 1.0 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 110] | 15–17 Apr 2007 | 800 | 23.7 | 24.6 | 11.5 | 3.4 | 7.4 | 1.6 | – | – | – | 13.4 | 16.8 | 0.9 |
| Opina/CEO[p 111] | 2–16 Mar 2007 | 2,200 | 19.5 | 20.2 | 9.6 | 4.1 | 7.2 | 1.8 | – | – | – | 22.7 | 10.1 | 0.7 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 112] | 17–18 Jan 2007 | 800 | 24.3 | 22.6 | 11.4 | 4.1 | 7.4 | 2.9 | – | – | – | 13.6 | 9.1 | 1.7 |
| DYM/CEO[p 113] | 6–20 Nov 2006 | 2,100 | 22.6 | 17.1 | 11.0 | 4.1 | 9.6 | 4.4 | – | – | – | 16.0 | 9.1 | 5.5 |
| 2006 regional election | 1 Nov 2006 | — | 17.8 | 15.2 | 7.9 | 6.0 | 5.4 | 1.7 | – | – | – | — | 43.2 | 2.6 |
Victory preferences
[edit]The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
|
|
|
|
|
|
PxC | RI.cat | SI | Other/ None |
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metroscopia/El País[p 19] | 16–17 Nov 2010 | 1,508 | 50.0 | 27.0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 23.0 | 23.0 | |
| Opina/Cadena SER[p 29] | 8–9 Nov 2010 | 1,200 | 36.4 | 20.8 | 5.3 | 7.1 | 3.1 | 1.2 | – | 0.6 | 2.7 | 8.9 | 14.0 | 15.6 |
| CIS[p 30] | 15 Oct–4 Nov 2010 | 2,966 | 27.6 | 19.1 | 8.0 | 5.9 | 6.9 | 3.1 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 26.3 | 8.5 |
Victory likelihood
[edit]The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
|
|
|
|
|
|
PxC | RI.cat | SI | Other/ None |
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opina/Cadena SER[p 29] | 8–9 Nov 2010 | 1,200 | 66.7 | 12.8 | 0.4 | 3.4 | 0.6 | 0.3 | – | 0.0 | 0.3 | – | 15.6 | 53.9 |
| CIS[p 30] | 15 Oct–4 Nov 2010 | 2,966 | 56.9 | 14.1 | 0.5 | 5.5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | 0.1 | 22.4 | 42.8 |
Preferred President
[edit]The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become president of the Government of Catalonia.
- All candidates
- Color key:
Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
|
|
|
|
.jpg)
|
.jpg)
|
|
.jpg)
|
|
|
|
Other/ None/ Not care |
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mas CiU |
Montilla PSC |
Carod ERC |
Puigcercós ERC |
Piqué PP |
Sirera PP |
Camacho PP |
Saura ICV–EUiA |
Herrera ICV–EUiA |
Rivera C's |
Laporta SI | ||||||
| GESOP/El Periòdic[p 3] | 25–27 Nov 2010 | 900 | 40.0 | 15.0 | – | 5.0 | – | – | 4.2 | – | 6.2 | 3.3 | 2.9 | – | – | 25.0 |
| GESOP/El Periòdic[p 4] | 24–26 Nov 2010 | 900 | 38.2 | 15.4 | – | 4.9 | – | – | 4.8 | – | 6.2 | 2.6 | 2.8 | – | – | 22.8 |
| GESOP/El Periòdic[p 7] | 23–25 Nov 2010 | 900 | 37.4 | 16.2 | – | 4.2 | – | – | 4.2 | – | 6.2 | 3.2 | 2.9 | – | – | 21.2 |
| GESOP/El Periòdic[p 8] | 22–24 Nov 2010 | 800 | 35.6 | 16.4 | – | 3.4 | – | – | 4.6 | – | 5.9 | 3.4 | 3.0 | – | – | 19.2 |
| GESOP/El Periòdic[p 9] | 20–23 Nov 2010 | 700 | 36.9 | 17.1 | – | 3.9 | – | – | 4.6 | – | 5.0 | 4.0 | 2.6 | – | – | 19.8 |
| GESOP/El Periòdic[p 10] | 20–22 Nov 2010 | 600 | 33.7 | 17.3 | – | 5.0 | – | – | 4.3 | – | 3.8 | 3.7 | 3.2 | – | – | 16.4 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 12] | 20–21 Nov 2010 | 400 | 32.8 | 17.8 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 15.0 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 115] | 7–10 Nov 2010 | 800 | 38.6 | 17.4 | – | 5.0 | – | – | 4.6 | – | 5.1 | 1.6 | 4.5 | 17.5 | 5.7 | 21.2 |
| Opina/Cadena SER[p 29] | 8–9 Nov 2010 | 1,200 | 38.6 | 20.1 | – | 4.6 | – | – | 4.1 | – | 2.7 | 1.2 | 2.7 | 9.0 | 17.0 | 18.5 |
| CIS[p 30] | 15 Oct–4 Nov 2010 | 2,966 | 30.9 | 17.5 | – | 5.5 | – | – | 3.9 | – | 5.4 | 2.7 | – | 8.1 | 26.0 | 13.4 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 116] | 26–28 Sep 2010 | 800 | 37.3 | 18.3 | – | 5.1 | – | – | 2.9 | – | 2.8 | 2.3 | 5.6 | 25.2 | 6.9 | 19.0 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 117] | 10–11 Jun 2010 | 800 | 32.6 | 18.0 | – | 6.4 | – | – | 3.8 | – | 5.0 | – | 4.6 | 29.6 | 14.6 | |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 118] | 15–18 Mar 2010 | ? | 31.9 | 24.1 | – | 6.6 | – | – | 2.8 | – | 4.5 | 1.3 | 5.0 | 23.8 | 7.8 | |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 118] | 26–28 Oct 2009 | 800 | 27.3 | 25.4 | – | 7.6 | – | – | 3.1 | – | 5.6 | – | – | 31.0 | 1.9 | |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 119] | 1–2 Jul 2008 | ? | 25.6 | 32.6 | 9.4 | – | – | 1.4 | – | 4.8 | – | 2.1 | – | 24.1 | 7.0 | |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 119] | 22–24 Apr 2008 | ? | 26.1 | 30.0 | 9.6 | – | – | 1.5 | – | 6.0 | – | 2.0 | – | 24.8 | 3.9 | |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 120] | 14 Oct 2007 | ? | 25.8 | 26.5 | 10.3 | – | – | 1.8 | – | 6.0 | – | 1.8 | – | 27.8 | 0.7 | |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 120] | 25–27 Jun 2007 | ? | 26.0 | 25.3 | 9.3 | – | 7.0 | – | – | 5.3 | – | 2.3 | – | 24.8 | 0.7 | |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 121] | 15–17 Apr 2007 | 800 | 26.3 | 26.1 | 10.1 | – | 3.9 | – | – | 7.6 | – | 2.4 | – | 23.6 | 0.2 | |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 112] | 17–18 Jan 2007 | 800 | 26.1 | 22.3 | 10.1 | – | 6.0 | – | – | 6.9 | – | 2.6 | – | 26.0 | 3.8 | |
- Mas vs. Montilla
- Color key:
Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
|
|
Other/ None/ Not care |
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mas CiU |
Montilla PSC | ||||||
| Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[p 13] | 15–20 Nov 2010 | 2,500 | 43.9 | 21.3 | 34.8 | 22.6 | |
| TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[p 14] | 19 Nov 2010 | ? | 51.2 | 31.2 | 13.2 | 4.4 | 20.0 |
| Noxa/La Vanguardia[p 17] | 15–18 Nov 2010 | 1,200 | 51.0 | 28.0 | 21.0 | 23.0 | |
| Feedback/RAC 1[p 23] | 8–12 Nov 2010 | 1,000 | 51.9 | 22.1 | 25.4 | 0.6 | 29.8 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 115] | 7–10 Nov 2010 | 800 | 56.4 | 32.1 | 11.5 | 24.3 | |
| TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[p 34] | 24 Oct 2010 | ? | 53.6 | 25.2 | 14.1 | 7.1 | 28.4 |
| Feedback/RAC 1[p 37] | 18–22 Oct 2010 | 1,000 | 50.5 | 23.1 | 23.1 | 3.3 | 27.4 |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 116] | 26–28 Sep 2010 | 800 | 56.5 | 28.4 | 15.1 | 28.1 | |
| Feedback/RAC 1[p 43] | 20–24 Sep 2010 | 1,000 | 56.0 | 24.0 | 16.3 | 3.7 | 32.0 |
| Noxa/La Vanguardia[p 51] | 1–2 Sep 2010 | 800 | 44.0 | 27.0 | 29.0 | 17.0 | |
| Noxa/La Vanguardia[p 52] | 12–14 Jul 2010 | 1,000 | 52.0 | 25.0 | 23.0 | 27.0 | |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 117] | 10–11 Jun 2010 | 800 | 52.3 | 34.3 | 13.4 | 18.0 | |
| Noxa/La Vanguardia[p 61] | 10–13 May 2010 | 1,000 | 50.0 | 28.0 | 22.0 | 22.0 | |
| Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[p 64] | 7–16 Apr 2010 | 2,500 | 34.0 | 26.8 | 39.2 | 7.2 | |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 118] | 15–18 Mar 2010 | ? | 47.6 | 38.8 | 13.6 | 8.8 | |
| Noxa/La Vanguardia[p 72] | 8–10 Mar 2010 | 1,000 | 50.0 | 30.0 | 20.0 | 20.0 | |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 118] | 26–28 Oct 2009 | 800 | 45.8 | 42.8 | 13.6 | 3.0 | |
| Noxa/La Vanguardia[p 79] | 22–27 Oct 2009 | 1,000 | 45.0 | 34.0 | 21.0 | 11.0 | |
| Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[p 80] | 1–4 Sep 2009 | ? | 34.1 | 29.6 | 36.3 | 4.5 | |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 122] | 9–11 Mar 2009 | 800 | 45.4 | 44.8 | 9.8 | 0.6 | |
| Noxa/La Vanguardia[p 89] | 24–27 Nov 2008 | 600 | 46.0 | 36.0 | 18.0 | 10.0 | |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 123] | 10–13 Nov 2008 | 800 | 39.9 | 45.4 | 14.7 | 5.5 | |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 119] | 1–2 Jul 2008 | ? | 41.1 | 47.6 | 11.3 | 6.5 | |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 119] | 22–24 Apr 2008 | ? | 42.6 | 49.4 | 8.0 | 6.8 | |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 119] | 8–11 Jan 2008 | ? | 40.9 | 43.8 | 15.3 | 2.9 | |
| Noxa/La Vanguardia[p 103] | 22–25 Oct 2007 | 800 | 37.0 | 42.0 | 10.0 | 11.0 | 5.0 |
Predicted President
[edit]The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood for each leader to become president of the Government of Catalonia.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other/ None/ Not care |
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mas CiU |
Montilla PSC |
Puigcercós ERC |
Camacho PP |
Herrera ICV–EUiA |
Rivera C's |
Laporta SI | ||||||
| Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[p 13] | 15–20 Nov 2010 | 2,500 | 69.7 | 12.5 | – | – | – | – | – | 17.8 | 57.2 | |
| GESOP/El Periódico[p 115] | 7–10 Nov 2010 | 800 | 75.1 | 13.4 | – | – | – | – | – | 0.8 | 10.7 | 61.7 |
| Opina/Cadena SER[p 29] | 8–9 Nov 2010 | 1,200 | 66.6 | 10.9 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 18.8 | 55.7 |
| Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[p 64] | 7–16 Apr 2010 | 2,500 | 43.4 | 22.4 | – | – | – | – | – | 34.2 | 21.0 | |
| Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público[p 80] | 1–4 Sep 2009 | ? | 28.2 | 35.1 | – | – | – | – | – | 36.7 | 6.9 | |
Results
[edit]Overall
[edit] | ||||||
| Parties and alliances | Popular vote | Seats | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | ±pp | Total | +/− | ||
| Convergence and Union (CiU) | 1,202,830 | 38.43 | +6.91 | 62 | +14 | |
| Socialists' Party of Catalonia (PSC–PSOE) | 575,233 | 18.38 | –8.44 | 28 | –9 | |
| People's Party (PP) | 387,066 | 12.37 | +1.72 | 18 | +4 | |
| Initiative for Catalonia Greens–United and Alternative Left (ICV–EUiA) | 230,824 | 7.37 | –2.15 | 10 | –2 | |
| Republican Left of Catalonia (ERC) | 219,173 | 7.00 | –7.03 | 10 | –11 | |
| Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (C's) | 106,154 | 3.39 | +0.36 | 3 | ±0 | |
| Catalan Solidarity for Independence (SI) | 102,921 | 3.29 | New | 4 | +4 | |
| Platform for Catalonia (PxC) | 75,134 | 2.40 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Independence Rally (RI.cat) | 39,834 | 1.27 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Blank Seats–Citizens for Blank Votes (EB–CenB)1 | 18,679 | 0.60 | +0.35 | 0 | ±0 | |
| The Greens–European Green Group (EV–GVE) | 15,784 | 0.50 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Anti-Bullfighting Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (PACMA) | 14,238 | 0.45 | –0.01 | 0 | ±0 | |
| From Below (Des de Baix) | 7,189 | 0.23 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Reus Independent Coordinator (CORI) | 6,990 | 0.22 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Pirates of Catalonia (Pirata.cat) | 6,451 | 0.21 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD) | 5,418 | 0.17 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Pensioners in Action Party (PDLPEA) | 3,330 | 0.11 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Communist Party of the Catalan People (PCPC) | 3,028 | 0.10 | –0.08 | 0 | ±0 | |
| Government Alternative (AG) | 2,208 | 0.07 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Family and Life Party (PFiV) | 2,201 | 0.07 | –0.02 | 0 | ±0 | |
| For a Fairer World (PUM+J) | 2,100 | 0.07 | +0.04 | 0 | ±0 | |
| Internationalist Socialist Workers' Party (POSI) | 1,920 | 0.06 | –0.13 | 0 | ±0 | |
| Spanish Phalanx of the CNSO (FE–JONS) | 1,760 | 0.06 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Left Republican Party–Republican Left (PRE–IR) | 1,547 | 0.05 | +0.03 | 0 | ±0 | |
| Castilian Party (PCAS) | 1,066 | 0.03 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Humanist Party (PH) | 908 | 0.03 | –0.06 | 0 | ±0 | |
| Communist Unification of Spain (UCE) | 904 | 0.03 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Farmers for the Catalan Rural Dignity (PDR.cat) | 824 | 0.03 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Republican Social Movement (MSR) | 788 | 0.03 | –0.01 | 0 | ±0 | |
| Our People (GN) | 597 | 0.02 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| We Are All Equal (GLBTH/TSI) | 498 | 0.02 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Party for Catalonia (PxCAT) | 314 | 0.01 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Democratic and Social Centre (CDS) | 218 | 0.01 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Catalan Sovereigntist Bloc (Bloc SC) | 187 | 0.01 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Aragonese Party (PAR) | 98 | 0.00 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Internationalist Solidarity and Self-Management (SAIn) | 82 | 0.00 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Social and Liberal Alternative (ALS) | 54 | 0.00 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Progress and Justice Party (PJP) | 49 | 0.00 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Democratic Web (DW) | 46 | 0.00 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Blank ballots | 91,631 | 2.93 | +0.90 | |||
| Total | 3,130,276 | 135 | ±0 | |||
| Valid votes | 3,130,276 | 99.29 | –0.25 | |||
| Invalid votes | 22,354 | 0.71 | +0.25 | |||
| Votes cast / turnout | 3,152,630 | 58.78 | +2.74 | |||
| Abstentions | 2,211,058 | 41.22 | –2.74 | |||
| Registered voters | 5,363,688 | |||||
| Sources[9][27][28] | ||||||
Footnotes:
| ||||||
Distribution by constituency
[edit]| Constituency | CiU | PSC | PP | ICV–EUiA | ERC | C's | SI | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| % | S | % | S | % | S | % | S | % | S | % | S | % | S | |
| Barcelona | 36.8 | 35 | 19.2 | 18 | 12.9 | 12 | 8.3 | 8 | 6.4 | 6 | 3.8 | 3 | 3.1 | 3 |
| Girona | 45.1 | 9 | 14.3 | 3 | 8.6 | 1 | 4.8 | 1 | 9.2 | 2 | 1.7 | − | 4.7 | 1 |
| Lleida | 46.9 | 8 | 14.8 | 3 | 10.2 | 2 | 4.0 | − | 9.1 | 1 | 1.5 | − | 3.1 | − |
| Tarragona | 39.3 | 9 | 18.2 | 4 | 13.4 | 3 | 5.1 | 1 | 8.5 | 1 | 2.7 | − | 3.4 | − |
| Total | 38.4 | 62 | 18.4 | 28 | 12.4 | 18 | 7.4 | 10 | 7.0 | 10 | 3.4 | 3 | 3.3 | 4 |
| Sources[9][28] | ||||||||||||||
Aftermath
[edit]| Investiture Artur Mas (CiU) | |||
| Ballot → | 21 December 2010 | 23 December 2010 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required majority → | 68 out of 135
|
Simple
| |
Yes
|
62 / 135
|
62 / 135
| |
73 / 135
|
45 / 135
| ||
Abstentions
|
0 / 135
|
28 / 135
| |
| Absentees | 0 / 135
|
0 / 135
| |
| Sources[9] | |||
Notes
[edit]- ^ Transitory Provision Second of the 2006 Statute maintained the validity of the electoral regulations within the 1979 Statute, of application for as long as a specific law regulating the procedures for elections to the Parliament of Catalonia was not approved.
- ^ José Domingo, former Cs legislator.[13]
References
[edit]- Opinion poll sources
- ^ "El sondeig de TV3 i Catalunya Ràdio pronostica una victòria de CiU a prop de la majoria absoluta". CCMA (in Catalan). 28 November 2010.
- ^ a b "Dades generals sondejos campanya Eleccions al Parlament de Catalunya 2010" (PDF). Generalitat de Catalunya (in Catalan). Archived from the original (PDF) on 23 May 2011. Retrieved 7 January 2018.
- ^ a b c "CiU, a un pas de la majoria absoluta i dur revés per a PSC". El Periòdic d'Andorra (in Catalan). 27 November 2010. Archived from the original on 29 November 2010.
- ^ a b c "El PSC no aconsegueix retallar la diferència amb CiU". El Periòdic d'Andorra (in Catalan). 27 November 2010. Archived from the original on 30 November 2010. Retrieved 28 February 2021.
- ^ "CiU, ganador indiscutible y Laporta podría conseguir representación en el Parlamento". COPE (in Spanish). 28 November 2010. Archived from the original on 1 December 2010. Retrieved 28 February 2021.
- ^ "Elecciones Cataluña. Encuesta de cierre de urnas" (PDF). GAD (in Spanish). 28 November 2010. Archived from the original (PDF) on 28 November 2011.
- ^ a b c "CiU s'acosta a la majoria absoluta". El Periòdic d'Andorra (in Catalan). 26 November 2010. Archived from the original on 30 November 2010. Retrieved 28 February 2021.
- ^ a b c "Estabilitat dels dos primers i ascens d'ICV-EUiA". El Periòdic d'Andorra (in Catalan). 25 November 2010. Archived from the original on 30 November 2010. Retrieved 28 February 2021.
- ^ a b c "CiU avança als 65 escons i el PSC es recupera". El Periòdic d'Andorra (in Catalan). 24 November 2010. Archived from the original on 30 November 2010. Retrieved 28 February 2021.
- ^ a b c "CiU manté els 64 escons i el PSC segueix a la baixa". El Periòdic d'Andorra (in Catalan). 23 November 2010. Archived from the original on 29 November 2010. Retrieved 28 February 2021.
- ^ "CiU se acerca aún más a la mayoría absoluta". El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 22 November 2010.
- ^ a b c "CiU s'acosta encara més a la majoria absoluta". El Periòdic d'Andorra (in Catalan). 22 November 2010. Archived from the original on 29 November 2010. Retrieved 28 February 2021.
- ^ a b c d "CiU se sitúa al borde de la mayoría absoluta". Público (in Spanish). 22 November 2010. Archived from the original on 25 November 2010.
- ^ a b "CIU ganaría con comodidad las elecciones catalanas, a día de hoy". Antena 3 (in Spanish). 19 November 2010.
- ^ "Seis escaños separan a CiU de la mayoría absoluta". La Razón (in Spanish). 22 November 2010. Archived from the original on 25 November 2010. Retrieved 28 February 2021.
- ^ "CiU podría gobernar sin aliados". El Mundo (in Spanish). 21 November 2010.
- ^ a b "Catalunya prefiere el cambio". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 21 November 2010.
- ^ "CiU obtendría entre 60 y 62 escaños ante un tripartito sin mayoría". ABC (in Spanish). 21 November 2010.
- ^ a b "CiU barre en Cataluña". El País (in Spanish). 21 November 2010.
- ^ "Ciutadans duplica sus escaños (El País)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 21 November 2010. Archived from the original on 24 November 2010. Retrieved 28 February 2021.
- ^ "Por sus votos los conoceréis". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 12 November 2010.
- ^ "Convergència i Unió manté les distàncies a menys de dues per les eleccions segons l'últim Racòmetre". RAC 1 (in Catalan). 15 November 2010. Archived from the original on 20 November 2010. Retrieved 28 February 2021.
- ^ a b c "Dilluns 15 de novembre de 2010. El Racòmetre" (PDF). Feedback (in Catalan). 15 November 2010. Archived from the original (PDF) on 25 March 2012.
- ^ "CiU se aleja de la mayoría absoluta (RAC1)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 15 November 2010. Archived from the original on 19 November 2010. Retrieved 28 February 2021.
- ^ "CiU gana por el desplome de ERC". El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 15 November 2010. Archived from the original on 18 November 2010. Retrieved 28 February 2021.
- ^ "Ligera recuperación del PSC mientras ERC sigue bajando (El Periódico)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 15 November 2010. Archived from the original on 19 January 2011. Retrieved 28 February 2021.
- ^ "Desplome de ERC". El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 22 November 2010.
- ^ "CIU ganaría las elecciones catalanas con más del 42% de los votos y entre 65 y 66 escaños". Cadena SER (in Spanish). 11 November 2010.
- ^ a b c d e "Pulsómetro 11/11/2010" (PDF). Instituto Opina (in Spanish). 11 November 2010. Archived from the original (PDF) on 22 November 2010.
- ^ a b c d e "Preelectoral de Cataluña. Elecciones autonómicas, 2010 (Estudio nº 2852. Octubre-Noviembre 2010)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 12 November 2010.
- ^ "El CIS anima la campaña". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 13 November 2010.
- ^ "Batacazo del tripartito en la recta final de las elecciones catalanas". La Razón (in Spanish). 2 November 2010. Archived from the original on 4 November 2010.
- ^ "Vientos de cambio en Cataluña (La Razón)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 2 November 2010. Archived from the original on 5 November 2010. Retrieved 28 February 2021.
- ^ a b "CiU ganaría las catalanas con más de un 40% según el barómetro de Antena 3". Antena 3 (in Spanish). 24 October 2010.
- ^ "Montilla se desploma (Antena 3)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 24 October 2010. Archived from the original on 6 November 2010. Retrieved 28 February 2021.
- ^ "Convergència i Unió avança cap a la majoria absoluta". RAC 1 (in Catalan). 25 October 2010. Archived from the original on 28 October 2010. Retrieved 28 February 2021.
- ^ a b c "Dilluns 25 d'octubre de 2010. El Racòmetre" (PDF). Feedback (in Catalan). 25 October 2010. Archived from the original (PDF) on 21 November 2010. Retrieved 17 April 2014.
- ^ "CiU, a dos escaños de la mayoría absoluta (RAC1)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 25 October 2010. Archived from the original on 29 October 2010. Retrieved 28 February 2021.
- ^ a b "Baròmetre d'Opinió Política 22. 4a onada 2010" (PDF). CEO (in Catalan). 5 November 2010.
- ^ "Proyección electoral. Barómetro de novembre de 2010" (PDF). Feedback (in Catalan). 6 November 2010. Archived from the original (PDF) on 22 November 2010. Retrieved 7 November 2010.
- ^ a b "CiU avista la mayoría absoluta en un 28-N que ganará la abstención". El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 4 October 2010.
- ^ "Barómetro de septiembre de 2010" (PDF). El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 4 October 2010.
- ^ a b "CiU frega la majoria absoluta segons el Racòmetre". RAC 1 (in Catalan). 27 September 2010. Archived from the original on 2 October 2010. Retrieved 28 February 2021.
- ^ "Un sondeo de RAC1 da amplia mayoría a CiU". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 27 September 2010.
- ^ "CiU cerca de la mayoría absoluta (RAC 1)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 27 September 2010. Archived from the original on 2 October 2010. Retrieved 28 February 2021.
- ^ "Un sondeig de SI dóna de 6 a 8 diputats a Laporta". Avui (in Catalan). 3 October 2010. Archived from the original on 9 October 2010. Retrieved 28 February 2021.
- ^ "Estudi per a les properes eleccions al Parlament" (PDF). TNS Demoscopia (in Catalan). 3 October 2010.
- ^ "Solidaritat sacaría entre 6 y 8 diputados (sondeo interno)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 3 October 2010. Archived from the original on 10 October 2010. Retrieved 28 February 2021.
- ^ "CiU aprovecha el desplome del tripartito". El País (in Spanish). 26 September 2010.
- ^ "Revolución electoral en Cataluña: entran 3 partidos minoritarios (El País)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 26 September 2010. Archived from the original on 30 September 2010. Retrieved 28 February 2021.
- ^ a b "CiU confirma su ventaja ante un PSC que obtendría su peor resultado". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 5 September 2010.
- ^ a b "CiU sigue cerca de la mayoría absoluta frente a un tripartito que no remonta". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 18 July 2010.
- ^ a b "Baròmetre d'Opinió Política 21. 3a onada 2010" (PDF). CEO (in Catalan). 30 July 2010.
- ^ "Proyección electoral. Barómetro de julio de 2010" (PDF). Feedback (in Spanish). 31 July 2010. Archived from the original (PDF) on 24 September 2010.
- ^ "El final del tripartito en Cataluña". La Razón (in Spanish). 5 July 2010. Archived from the original on 6 July 2010.
- ^ "Agravio para Cataluña, alivio para el resto de España". El País (in Spanish). 4 July 2010.
- ^ a b "Clima Social de España (13ª oleada. Julio 2010)" (PDF). Metroscopia (in Spanish). 12 July 2010. Archived from the original (PDF) on 3 January 2018. Retrieved 7 January 2018.
- ^ a b "PSC y ERC se desploman y ponen la mayoría absoluta al alcance de Mas". El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 19 June 2010.
- ^ "PSC y ERC se desploman y ponen la mayoría absoluta al alcance de Mas". El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 19 June 2010.
- ^ "El final del tripartito en Cataluña". El Mundo (in Spanish). 2 June 2010.
- ^ a b "CiU consolida su ventaja frente al retroceso de los partidos del Govern". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 16 May 2010.
- ^ a b "Baròmetre d'Opinió Política 20. 2a onada 2010" (PDF). CEO (in Catalan). 21 May 2010.
- ^ "Proyección electoral. Barómetro de mayo de 2010" (PDF). Feedback (in Spanish). 22 May 2010. Archived from the original (PDF) on 19 June 2010.
- ^ a b c d "El repunte del PSC no evita que CiU se asegure el Govern". Público (in Spanish). 25 April 2010. Archived from the original on 7 October 2010.
- ^ "CiU superaría al tripartito si la elecciones se celebrasen hoy". Antena 3 (in Spanish). 26 March 2010. Archived from the original on 14 August 2011.
- ^ "Barómetro TNS. Marzo 2010. Clima político y expectativas electorales en Cataluña. Expectativas Elecciones al Parlamento de Cataluña" (PDF). TNS Demoscopia (in Spanish). 26 March 2010. Archived from the original (PDF) on 29 March 2010.
- ^ "Barómetro TNS. Marzo 2010. Clima político y expectativas electorales en Cataluña. Ficha técnica" (PDF). TNS Demoscopia (in Spanish). 26 March 2010. Archived from the original (PDF) on 29 March 2010.
- ^ a b "CiU apuntala una cómoda mayoría sobre las fatalidades del tripartito". El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 24 March 2010.
- ^ "El retroceso del tripartito acerca a CiU a la mayoría absoluta". El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 23 March 2010. Archived from the original on 5 March 2016.
- ^ "Barómetro COPE: el ascenso de CiU anticipa un cambio de gobierno en Cataluña". COPE (in Spanish). 18 March 2010. Archived from the original on 22 March 2010. Retrieved 28 February 2021.
- ^ "CiU se sitúa a nueve escaños de la mayoría absoluta y podría gobernar con el apoyo del PP, según el Barómetro Cope". Electómetro (in Spanish). 23 March 2010. Archived from the original on 1 May 2010.
- ^ a b "CiU roza la mayoría absoluta y el tripartito se hunde en plena nevada". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 14 March 2010.
- ^ a b "Baròmetre d'Opinió Política 19. 1a onada 2010" (PDF). CEO (in Catalan). 26 February 2010.
- ^ "Proyección electoral. Barómetro de febrero de 2010" (PDF). Feedback (in Spanish). 27 February 2010. Archived from the original (PDF) on 19 June 2010.
- ^ a b "Baròmetre d'Opinió Política 18. Desembre 2009" (PDF). CEO (in Catalan). 4 December 2009.
- ^ "Proyección electoral. Barómetro de noviembre de 2009" (PDF). Feedback (in Spanish). 5 December 2009. Archived from the original (PDF) on 23 December 2009.
- ^ "Mas amplía la brecha en el pulso con Montilla por la presidencia". El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 1 November 2009.
- ^ a b c "Barómetro de octubre de 2009" (PDF). El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 1 November 2009.
- ^ a b "CiU acentúa su ventaja y arrebataría el poder a un tripartito en retroceso". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 1 November 2009.
- ^ a b c d "La caída de ERC lastra al tripartito". Público (in Spanish). 11 September 2009. Archived from the original on 15 November 2011.
- ^ "Una alianza entre CiU y PPC empata con la suma de un tercer tripartito". El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 18 July 2009.
- ^ a b "Baròmetre d'Opinió Política 17. Juliol 2009" (PDF). CEO (in Catalan). 30 July 2009.
- ^ "Proyección electoral. Barómetro de julio de 2009" (PDF). Feedback (in Spanish). 31 July 2009. Archived from the original (PDF) on 23 December 2009.
- ^ a b "Baròmetre d'Opinió Política 16. Maig 2009" (PDF). CEO (in Catalan). 21 May 2009.
- ^ "Proyección electoral. Barómetro de mayo de 2009" (PDF). Feedback (in Spanish). 22 May 2009. Archived from the original (PDF) on 23 December 2009.
- ^ a b "CiU le saca nueve puntos al PSC y deja al tripartito sin la mayoría". El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 22 March 2009.
- ^ a b "Baròmetre d'Opinió Política 15. Febrer 2009" (PDF). CEO (in Catalan). 26 February 2009.
- ^ "Proyección electoral. Barómetro de febrero de 2009" (PDF). Feedback (in Spanish). 27 February 2009. Archived from the original (PDF) on 23 December 2009.
- ^ a b "CiU avanza y amenaza la mayoría del tripartito, que retrocede ligeramente". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 30 November 2008.
- ^ a b "El tripartito consolida su mayoría pero CiU se mantiene por delante". El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 20 November 2008.
- ^ a b "Baròmetre d'Opinió Política 15. Novembre 2008" (PDF). CEO (in Catalan). 20 November 2008.
- ^ "Proyección electoral. Barómetro de noviembre de 2008" (PDF). Feedback (in Spanish). 21 November 2008. Archived from the original (PDF) on 23 December 2009.
- ^ a b "El tripartito, al borde de perder la mayoría mientras CiU se consolida". El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 10 July 2008.
- ^ a b "Baròmetre d'Opinió Política 14. Juliol 2008" (PDF). CEO (in Catalan). 24 July 2008.
- ^ "Proyección electoral. Barómetro de julio de 2008" (PDF). Feedback (in Spanish). 25 July 2008. Archived from the original (PDF) on 23 December 2009.
- ^ a b "Baròmetre d'Opinió Política 13. Maig 2008" (PDF). CEO (in Catalan). 16 May 2008.
- ^ "Proyección electoral. Barómetro de mayo de 2008" (PDF). Feedback (in Spanish). 17 May 2008. Archived from the original (PDF) on 23 December 2009.
- ^ a b "El Govern de la Entesa mantiene la mayoría pese al avance de CiU". El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 2 May 2008.
- ^ "El Govern de la Entesa mantiene la mayoría pese al avance de CiU" (PDF). El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 2 May 2008.
- ^ "El final de una fantasía". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 30 May 2008.
- ^ a b "La Entesa ve peligrar por primera vez la hegemonía en el Parlament". El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 18 January 2008.
- ^ "Barómetro de enero de 2008" (PDF). El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 18 January 2008.
- ^ a b "CiU y PSC mantienen sus apoyos pero Montilla es el preferido frente a Mas". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 4 November 2007.
- ^ a b "CiU y PSC mantienen su pulso sin despegarse ni un milímetro". El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 14 October 2007.
- ^ a b "Baròmetre d'Opinió Política. Octubre 2007" (PDF). CEO (in Catalan). 25 October 2007.
- ^ "Proyección electoral. Barómetro de octubre de 2007" (PDF). Feedback (in Spanish). 26 October 2007. Archived from the original (PDF) on 23 December 2009.
- ^ a b "Baròmetre d'Opinió Política. Juliol 2007" (PDF). CEO (in Catalan). 25 July 2007.
- ^ a b c "Proyección electoral. Barómetro de julio de 2007" (PDF). Feedback (in Spanish). 26 July 2007. Archived from the original (PDF) on 23 December 2009.
- ^ a b "CiU continúa en cabeza pero el PSC no deja que se desmarque". El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 2 July 2007.
- ^ a b "CiU se mantiene en cabeza pero la Entesa consolida su mayoría". El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 26 April 2007.
- ^ a b "Baròmetre d'Opinió Política. Març 2007" (PDF). CEO (in Catalan). 11 April 2007.
- ^ a b c "CiU apenas cede unas décimas y sigue siendo el partido con más apoyo". El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 28 January 2007.
- ^ a b "Baròmetre d'Opinió Política. Novembre 2006" (PDF). CEO (in Catalan). 4 December 2006.
- ^ "Baròmetre d'Opinió Política. Gener 2008" (PDF). CEO (in Catalan). 30 January 2008.
- ^ a b c "Montilla sigue lejos de Mas en el cara a cara pero acorta distancias". El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 15 November 2010.
- ^ a b "Mas obtiene el doble de apoyos que Montilla en el cara a cara". El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 4 October 2010.
- ^ a b "Más de la mitad de los catalanes prefieren a Mas como 'president'". El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 19 June 2010.
- ^ a b c d "Mas es el 'president' preferido ante un Montilla que suspende". El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 24 March 2010.
- ^ a b c d e "Montilla mantiene la ventaja en el pulso con Mas". El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 10 July 2008.
- ^ a b "Montilla recupera puntos como buen 'president'". El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 14 October 2007.
- ^ "Montilla va forjándose una imagen de buen 'president'". El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 26 April 2007.
- ^ "Mas se impone en el cara a cara con Montilla". El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 22 March 2009.
- ^ "Montilla gana con menos holgura el pulso con Mas". El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 20 November 2008.
- Other
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- ^ Govan, Fiona (29 June 2010). "Catalonia can call itself a 'nation', rules Spain's top court". The Daily Telegraph. Madrid. Retrieved 21 September 2017.
- ^ Piñol, Àngels; Cia, Blanca (25 October 2010). "Montilla entierra el tripartito y descarta repetirlo aunque sume". El País (in Spanish). Barcelona. Retrieved 7 January 2018.
- ^ "Montilla dejará la secretaría general del PSC". Libertad Digital (in Spanish). 28 November 2010. Retrieved 7 January 2018.
- ^ a b c d Ley Orgánica 6/2006, de 19 de julio, de reforma del Estatuto de Autonomía de Cataluña (Organic Law 6) (in Spanish). 19 July 2006. Retrieved 14 March 2017.
- ^ Ley Orgánica 4/1979, de 18 de diciembre, de Estatuto de Autonomía de Cataluña (Organic Law 4) (in Spanish). 18 December 1979. Retrieved 14 March 2017.
- ^ Gallagher, Michael (30 July 2012). "Effective threshold in electoral systems". Trinity College, Dublin. Archived from the original on 30 July 2017. Retrieved 22 July 2017.
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- ^ a b c d "Eleccions al Parlament de Catalunya (1980 - 2021)". Historia Electoral.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 19 May 2021.
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- ^ Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General (Organic Law 5) (in Spanish). 19 June 1985. Retrieved 28 December 2016.
- ^ "Artur Mas es proclamado candidato de CIU a la presidencia de Cataluña" (in Spanish). RTVE. 17 January 2010. Retrieved 5 February 2020.
- ^ "El PSC confirma a Montilla como candidato". Levante-EMV (in Spanish). 29 March 2010. Retrieved 5 February 2020.
- ^ "Montilla se postula como candidato haciendo guiños a los votantes de CiU". El País (in Spanish). 11 April 2010. Retrieved 5 February 2020.
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