Опросы общественного мнения по всему штату, проведенные в связи с президентскими выборами в США в 2008 году, заключаются в следующем.
9 голосов выборщиков (республиканец в 2000 и 2004 годах)
Четырехсторонняя гонка
показывать Источник опроса Дата администрирования (2008 г.) Barack Obama Джон Маккейн Боб Барр Ральф Нэйдер Допуск Размер выборки Погрешность Zogby Interactive June 11–30 36% 47% 4% <1% 11 481 LV ±4.6%
3 голоса выборщиков (республиканец в 2000 и 2004 годах)
Трехсторонняя гонка
10 голосов выборщиков (республиканец в 2000 и 2004 годах)
Четырехсторонняя гонка
6 голосов выборщиков (республиканец в 2000 и 2004 годах)
Четырехсторонняя гонка
показывать Источник опроса Дата администрирования (2008 г.) Barack Obama Джон Маккейн Боб Барр Ральф Нэйдер Допуск Размер выборки Погрешность Zogby Interactive June 11–30 41% 39% 4% 1% 2 461 LV ±4.7%
55 голосов выборщиков (демократ в 2000 и 2004 годах)
показывать Источник опроса Дата администрирования (2008 г.) Barack Obama Джон Маккейн Допуск Размер выборки Погрешность Polimetrix/YouGov October 18–November 1 55% 40% 15 999 RV Not reported KABC-TV Los Angeles/KFSN-TV Fresno/KGTV-TV San Diego/KPIX-TV San Francisco/ SurveyUSA October 29–31 60% 36% 24 637 LV ±3.9% Field Research Corporation (Field Poll) October 18–28 55% 33% 22 966 LV ±3.3% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 25 61% 34% 27 500 LV ±4.5% Public Policy Institute of California October 12–19 56% 33% 23 1,186 LV ±3% KABC-TV Los Angeles/KFSN-TV Fresno/KGTV-TV San Diego/KPIX-TV San Francisco/ SurveyUSA October 15–16 59% 35% 24 615 LV ±4% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 9 56% 40% 16 500 LV ±4.5% KABC-TV Los Angeles/KFSN-TV Fresno/KGTV-TV San Diego/KPIX-TV San Francisco/ SurveyUSA October 4–5 55% 39% 16 670 LV ±3.8% KABC-TV Los Angeles/KFSN-TV Fresno/KGTV-TV San Diego/KPIX-TV San Francisco/ SurveyUSA September 23–25 53% 43% 10 661 LV ±3.9% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research September 22 56% 39% 17 500 LV ±4.5% American Research Group September 18–20 53% 39% 14 600 LV ±4% Public Policy Institute of California September 9–16 50% 40% 10 1,157 LV ±3% Field Research Corporation (Field Poll) September 5–14 52% 36% 16 830 LV ±3.5% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research August 21 54% 41% 13 500 LV ±4.5% Public Policy Institute of California August 12–19 48% 39% 9 1,047 LV ±3% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research July 24 52% 42% 10 500 LV ±4.5% Public Policy Institute of California July 8–22 50% 35% 15 1,401 LV ±3% Field Research Corporation (Field Poll) July 8–14 54% 30% 24 672 LV ±3.9% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research June 23 58% 30% 28 500 LV ±4.5% KABC-TV Los Angeles/KFSN-TV Fresno/KGTV-TV San Diego/KPIX-TV San Francisco/ SurveyUSA June 17–19 53% 41% 12 503 LV ±4.5% Field Research Corporation (Field Poll) May 16–27 52% 35% 17 914 LV ±3.4% KTLA/Los Angeles Times May 20–21 47% 40% 7 705 RV ±4% KABC-TV Los Angeles/KFSN-TV Fresno/KGTV-TV San Diego/KPIX-TV San Francisco/ SurveyUSA May 16–18 49% 41% 8 600 RV ±4.1% Public Policy Institute of California May 12–18 54% 37% 17 1,086 LV ±3% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research April 16 50% 43% 7 500 LV ±4.5% KABC-TV Los Angeles/KFSN-TV Fresno/KGTV-TV San Diego/KPIX-TV San Francisco/ SurveyUSA April 11–13 50% 43% 7 503 RV ±4.5% Public Policy Institute of California March 11–18 49% 40% 9 1,077 LV ±3% KABC-TV Los Angeles/KFSN-TV Fresno/KGTV-TV San Diego/KPIX-TV San Francisco/ SurveyUSA March 14–16 54% 40% 14 489 RV ±4.5% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research March 12 53% 38% 15 500 LV ±4.5% SurveyUSA February 26–28 51% 40% 11 593 RV ±4.1% KABC-TV Los Angeles/KFSN-TV Fresno/KGTV-TV San Diego/KPIX-TV San Francisco/ SurveyUSA February 15–17 61% 34% 27 512 RV ±4.3% Field Research Corporation (Field Poll) January 25–February 1 47% 40% 7 Not reported Not reported KABC-TV Los Angeles/KFSN-TV Fresno/KGTV-TV San Diego/KPIX-TV San Francisco/ SurveyUSA January 20–21 50% 44% 6 519 RV ±4.4% KABC-TV Los Angeles/KFSN-TV Fresno/KGTV-TV San Diego/KPIX-TV San Francisco/ SurveyUSA December 15–17 52% 39% 13 512 RV ±4.4% Field Research Corporation (Field Poll) December 10–17 50% 36% 14 1,053 LV ±4.5% KABC-TV Los Angeles/KFSN-TV Fresno/KGTV-TV San Diego/KPIX-TV San Francisco/ SurveyUSA November 9–11, 2007 52% 39% 13 502 RV ±4.5% Field Research Corporation (Field Poll) October 11–21, 2007 50% 33% 17 Not reported Not reported Field Research Corporation (Field Poll) August 3–12, 2007 49% 36% 13 Not reported Not reported Field Research Corporation (Field Poll) March 21–31, 2007 51% 39% 12 802 LV ±5%
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9 голосов выборщиков (республиканец в 2000 и 2004 годах)
показывать Источник опроса Дата администрирования (2008 г.) Barack Obama Джон Маккейн Допуск Размер выборки Погрешность Fox News/Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research November 2 51% 47% 4 1,000 LV ±3% Polimetrix/YouGov October 18–November 1 55% 40% 15 685 RV Not reported American Research Group October 28–30 52% 45% 7 600 LV ±4% Public Policy Polling October 28–30 54% 44% 10 2,023 LV ±2.2% Denver Post/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research October 28–29 49% 44% 5 625 LV ±4% Marist College October 27–28 51% 45% 6 682 LV ±4% CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation October 23–28 53% 45% 8 774 LV ±3.5% Allstate/National Journal/Financial Dynamics October 23–27 48% 44% 4 409 RV ±4.9% Fox News/Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 26 50% 46% 4 1,000 LV ±3% Politico/InsiderAdvantage October 26 53% 45% 8 636 LV ±3.8% Associated Press/Roper/GfK Group October 22–26 50% 41% 9 626 LV ±3.9% Rocky Mountain News/CBS4 News/Public Opinion Strategies/RBI Strategies October 21–23 52% 40% 12 500 LV ±4.4% Poll Position/InsiderAdvantage October 20 51% 46% 5 576 LV ±4% Zogby Interactive October 17–20 48.2% 47.9% 0.3 951 LV ±3.2% Fox News/Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 19 51% 46% 5 1,000 LV ±3% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 16 52% 45% 7 700 LV ±4% CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation October 11–14 51% 47% 4 762 LV ±3.5% Washington Post/Wall Street Journal/Quinnipiac University October 8–12 52% 43% 9 1,088 LV ±3% Public Policy Polling October 8–10 52% 42% 10 1,331 LV ±2.7% Poll Position/InsiderAdvantage October 6 51% 45% 6 485 LV ±5% Fox News/Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 5 51% 45% 6 1,000 LV ±3% Denver Post/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research September 29–October 1 44% 44% Tied 625 LV ±4% Fox News/Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research September 28 49% 48% 1 500 LV ±4.5% American Research Group September 23–25 45% 48% 3 600 LV ±4% Poll Position/InsiderAdvantage September 23 50% 41% 9 505 LV ±4.3% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research September 23 50% 46% 4 700 LV ±4% CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation September 21–23 51% 47% 4 794 LV ±3.5% Economic Development Council of Colorado/Ciruli Associates September 19–23 44% 43% 1 501 LV ±4.4% Public Policy Polling September 20–21 51% 44% 7 1,084 LV ±3.0% Washington Post/Wall Street Journal/Quinnipiac University September 14–21 49% 45% 4 1,418 LV ±2.6% Poll Position/InsiderAdvantage September 17 51% 41% 10 508 LV ±4.3% Allstate/National Journal/Financial Dynamics September 11–15 45% 44% 1 400 RV ±4.9% Fox News/Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research September 14 46% 48% 2 500 LV ±4.5% American Research Group September 10–13 44% 46% 2 600 LV ±4% Zogby Interactive September 9–12 45.5% 47.5% 2 825 LV ±3.5% Poll Position/InsiderAdvantage September 10 49% 46% 3 501 LV ±4.3% Public Policy Polling September 7–9 47% 46% 1 1,078 LV ±3% Fox News/Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research September 7 49% 46% 3 500 LV ±4.5% National Republican Senatorial Committee/Tarrance Group (R) September 2–3 45% 47% 2 495 LV ±4.5% CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation August 24–26 46% 47% 1 670 RV ±3.5% Hill Research Consultants (R) August 23–24 43% 40% 3 553 LV ±4.2% Quinnipiac University August 15–21 46% 47% 1 1,060 LV ±3% Zogby Interactive August 15–19 44% 41% 3 717 LV ±3.7% Las Vegas Review-Journal/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research August 13–15 46% 43% 3 400 LV ±5% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research August 13 48% 49% 1 700 LV ±4% Public Policy Polling August 5–7 48% 44% 4 933 LV ±3.2% Keith Frederick Polls July 16–22 45% 41% 4 700 RV ±3.7% Washington Post/Wall Street Journal/Quinnipiac University July 14–22 44% 46% 2 1,425 LV ±2.6% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research July 21 50% 47% 3 500 LV ±4.5% Public Policy Polling July 9–10 47% 43% 4 1,050 LV ±3.0% Washington Post/Wall Street Journal/Quinnipiac University June 17–24 49% 44% 5 1,351 LV ±2.7% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research June 17 43% 41% 2 500 LV ±4.5% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research May 19 48% 42% 6 500 LV ±4.5% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research April 16 46% 43% 3 500 LV ±4.5% New Leadership USA/TargetPoint (R) Archived 2021-01-12 at the Wayback Machine March 31–April 7 39% 51% 12 604 LV ±4% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research March 17 46% 46% Tied 500 LV ±4.5% SurveyUSA February 26–28 50% 41% 9 630 RV ±4% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research February 11 46% 39% 7 500 LV ±4.5%
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Пятисторонняя гонка
7 голосов выборщиков (демократ в 2000 и 2004 годах)
Четырехсторонняя гонка
показывать Источник опроса Дата администрирования (2008 г.) Barack Obama Джон Маккейн Боб Барр Ральф Нэйдер Допуск Размер выборки Погрешность Zogby Interactive June 11–30 48% 32% 5% 2% 16 595 LV ±4.1%
3 голоса выборщиков (демократ в 2000 и 2004 годах)
3 голоса выборщиков (демократ в 2000 и 2004 годах)
показывать Источник опроса Дата администрирования (2008 г.) Barack Obama Джон Маккейн Допуск Размер выборки Погрешность Polimetrix/YouGov October 18–November 1 81% 15% 66 228 RV Not reported American Research Group September 11–13 82% 13% 69 600 LV ±4%
27 голосов выборщиков (республиканец в 2000 и 2004 годах)
показывать Источник опроса Дата администрирования (2008 г.) Barack Obama Джон Маккейн Допуск Размер выборки Погрешность WFLA-TV Tampa/WFOR-TV Miami/WFTX-TV Ft. Myers/WKRG-TV Mobile-Pensacola/SurveyUSA October 31–November 3 50% 47% 3 691 LV ±3.8% Reuters/Zogby International October 31–November 3 49.2% 48% 1.2 600 LV ±4.1% Datamar November 1–2 47% 48.2% 1.2 657 RV ±3.8% Public Policy Polling October 31–November 2 50% 48% 2 1,717 LV ±2.4% Quinnipiac University October 27–November 2 47% 45% 2 1,773 LV ±2.3% Polimetrix/YouGov October 18–November 1 49% 47% 2 1,001 RV Not reported American Research Group October 29–31 50% 46% 4 600 LV ±4% Datamar October 29–30 46.7% 46.7% Tied 995 RV ±3.1% Mason-Dixon Polling & Research October 28–29 47% 45% 2 625 LV ±4% CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation October 23–28 51% 47% 4 747 LV ±3.5% Florida Chamber of Commerce Archived 2021-01-13 at the Wayback Machine October 26–27 45% 41% 4 601 RV ±3.9% Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg October 24–27 50% 43% 7 639 LV ±3% Allstate/National Journal/Financial Dynamics October 23–27 48% 44% 4 402 RV ±4.9% Datamar October 25–26 49.2% 44.4% 4.8 630 RV ±3.9% Reuters/Zogby International October 23–26 47.2% 46.9% 0.3 600 LV ±4.1% Associated Press/Roper/GfK Group October 22–26 45% 43% 2 600 LV ±4.0% Quinnipiac University October 22–26 47% 45% 2 1,435 LV ±2.6% Politico/InsiderAdvantage October 22 48% 47% 1 562 LV ±4% St. Petersburg Times/Miami Herald/Bay News 9/The Polling Company Inc./Schroth, Eldon & Associates Research October 20–22 49% 42% 7 800 LV ±3.5% NBC News/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research October 20–21 45% 46% 1 625 LV ±4% Quinnipiac University October 16–21 49% 44% 5 1,433 LV ±2.6% Zogby Interactive October 17–20 48.8% 45.2% 3.6 1,252 LV ±2.8% Public Policy Polling October 16–19 48% 47% 1 1,158 LV ±2.9% WFLA-TV Tampa/WFOR-TV Miami/WFTX-TV Ft. Myers/WKRG-TV Mobile-Pensacola/SurveyUSA October 16 45% 47% 2 553 LV ±4.3% CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation October 11–14 51% 46% 5 765 LV ±3.5% Poll Position/InsiderAdvantage October 13 48% 44% 4 612 LV ±3.8% Datamar October 12–13 47.1% 42.1% 5 1,328 RV ±2.7% Zogby Interactive October 9–13 48.2% 47.1% 1.1 1,231 LV ±2.9% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 8 50% 47% 3 700 LV ±4% Mason-Dixon Polling & Research October 4–6 48% 46% 2 625 LV ±4% Poll Position/InsiderAdvantage September 30 49% 46% 3 532 LV ±4% CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation September 27–30 51% 47% 4 770 LV ±3.5% Quinnipiac University September 27–29 51% 43% 8 836 LV ±3.4% WFLA-TV Tampa/WFOR-TV Miami/WFTX-TV Ft. Myers/WKRG-TV Mobile-Pensacola/ SurveyUSA September 27–28 47% 48% 1 599 LV ±4.1% Public Policy Polling September 27–28 49% 46% 3 941 LV ±3.2% Quinnipiac University September 22–26 49% 43% 6 1,161 LV ±2.9% American Research Group September 23–25 47% 46% 1 600 LV ±4% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research September 24 47% 48% 1 700 LV ±4% NBC News/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research September 16–18 47% 45% 2 625 LV ±4% WFLA-TV Tampa/WFOR-TV Miami/WFTX-TV Ft. Myers/WKRG-TV Mobile-Pensacola/ SurveyUSA September 16–17 45% 51% 6 707 LV ±3.8% American Research Group September 14–17 46% 46% Tied 600 LV ±4% St. Petersburg Times/Miami Herald/Bay News 9/The Polling Company Inc./Schroth, Eldon & Associates Research September 14–17 45% 47% 2 800 LV ±3.5% CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation September 12–16 48% 48% Tied 907 RV ±3.5% Allstate/National Journal/Financial Dynamics September 11–15 44% 44% Tied 402 RV ±4.9% Zogby Interactive September 9–12 41.8% 52.1% 10.3 995 LV ±3.2% Poll Position/InsiderAdvantage September 10 42% 50% 8 511 LV ±4.3% Quinnipiac University September 5–9 43% 50% 7 1,032 LV ±3.1% Public Policy Polling September 6–7 45% 50% 5 986 LV ±3.1% Mason-Dixon Polling & Research August 25–26 45% 44% 1 625 LV ±4% Quinnipiac University August 17–24 43% 47% 4 1,069 LV ±3% Florida Chamber of Commerce/The Kitchens Group August 18–21 39% 42% 3 605 RV ±4.0% American Research Group August 18–20 46% 47% 1 600 LV ±4% Zogby Interactive August 15–19 40% 45% 5 894 LV ±3.3% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research August 18 46% 48% 2 700 LV ±4.5% WFLA-TV Tampa/WKRG-TV Mobile-Pensacola/SurveyUSA August 1–3 44% 50% 6 679 LV ±3.8% Public Policy Polling July 30–August 2 44% 47% 3 807 LV ±3.5% Quinnipiac University July 23–29 46% 44% 2 1,248 LV ±2.8% Florida Chamber of Commerce/Fabrizio, McLaughlin & Associates July 20–28 40% 45% 5 1,600 RV ±2.5% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research July 22 49% 47% 2 500 LV ±4.5% American Research Group July 19–21 45% 47% 2 600 LV ±4% War Room Logistics July 7–8 47.2% 44.5% 2.7 629 RV ±4% Public Policy Polling June 26–29 46% 44% 2 723 LV ±3.6% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research June 26 41% 48% 7 500 LV ±4.5% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research June 18 39% 47% 8 500 LV ±4.5% American Research Group June 13–17 49% 44% 5 600 LV ±4% Quinnipiac University June 9–16 47% 43% 4 1,453 LV ±2.6% War Room Logistics May 21–22 35.5% 58.4% 22.9 645 RV Not reported Quinnipiac University May 13–20 41% 45% 4 1,419 RV ±2.6% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research May 19 40% 50% 10 500 LV ±4.5% Quinnipiac University April 23–29 43% 44% 1 1,411 RV ±2.6% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research April 10 38% 53% 15 500 LV ±4.5% Quinnipiac University March 24–31 37% 46% 9 1,136 RV ±2.9% Public Policy Polling March 15–16 39% 50% 11 618 LV ±3.9% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research March 12 43% 47% 4 500 LV ±4.5% SurveyUSA February 26–28 45% 47% 2 632 RV ±4% Mason-Dixon Polling & Research February 21–24 37% 47% 10 625 RV ±4% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research February 16 37% 53% 16 500 LV ±4.5% Quinnipiac University February 6–12 39% 41% 2 1,009 RV ±3.1% Public Policy Polling January 4 40% 46% 6 543 LV ±4.2% St. Petersburg Times/The Polling Company Inc./Schroth, Eldon & Associates Research November 4, 2007 45% 47% 2 800 RV ±3.5% Quinnipiac University October 17–22, 2007 42% 42% Tied 1,025 RV ±3.1% Quinnipiac University October 1–8, 2007 39% 41% 2 869 RV ±3.3% Quinnipiac University September 3–9, 2007 39% 42% 3 1,141 RV ±2.9% Quinnipiac University July 12–16, 2007 42% 38% 4 1,106 RV ±3% Quinnipiac University June 18–25, 2007 42% 42% Tied 949 RV ±3.2% Quinnipiac University May 24–June 4, 2007 40% 41% 1 1,174 RV ±2.9% Quinnipiac University April 17–24, 2007 41% 41% Tied 987 RV ±3.1% Quinnipiac University March 21–27, 2007 39% 45% 6 1,061 RV ±3% Quinnipiac University February 25–March 4, 2007 39% 43% 4 1,125 RV ±2.9% Quinnipiac University January 29–February 4, 2007 40% 42% 2 1,003 RV ±3.1%
Трехсторонняя гонка
Четырехсторонняя гонка
Пятисторонняя гонка
15 голосов выборщиков (республиканец в 2000 и 2004 годах)
Трехсторонняя гонка
Четырехсторонняя гонка
4 голоса выборщиков (демократ в 2000 и 2004 годах)
4 голоса выборщиков (республиканец в 2000 и 2004 годах)
Пятисторонняя гонка
показывать Источник опроса Дата администрирования (2008 г.) Barack Obama Джон Маккейн Боб Барр Ральф Нэйдер Синтия МакКинни Допуск Размер выборки Погрешность Harstad Strategic Research, Inc. October 19–22 32% 55% 1% 1% 0% 23 503 LV ±4.4%
21 голос выборщиков (демократ в 2000 и 2004 годах)
Четырехсторонняя гонка
11 голосов выборщиков (республиканец в 2000 и 2004 годах)
Трехсторонняя гонка
показывать Источник опроса Дата администрирования (2008 г.) Barack Obama Джон Маккейн Боб Барр Допуск Размер выборки Погрешность Mike Downs Center/SurveyUSA October 27–30 47% 47% 2% Tied 900 LV ±3.3%
Четырехсторонняя гонка
показывать Источник опроса Дата администрирования (2008 г.) Barack Obama Джон Маккейн Боб Барр Ральф Нэйдер Допуск Размер выборки Погрешность Zogby Interactive June 11–30 39% 40% 7% <1% 1 758 LV ±3.6%
7 голосов выборщиков (демократ в 2000 году) (республиканец в 2004 г.)
Четырехсторонняя гонка
показывать Источник опроса Дата администрирования (2008 г.) Barack Obama Джон Маккейн Боб Барр Ральф Нэйдер Допуск Размер выборки Погрешность Des Moines Register/Selzer & Co. September 8–10 52% 40% 2% 1% 12 616 LV ±4% Zogby Interactive June 11–30 42% 38% 8% 1% 4 641 LV ±3.9%
6 голосов выборщиков (республиканец в 2000 и 2004 годах)
8 голосов выборщиков (республиканец в 2000 и 2004 годах)
Четырехсторонняя гонка
показывать Источник опроса Дата администрирования (2008 г.) Barack Obama Джон Маккейн Боб Барр Ральф Нэйдер Размер выборки Погрешность Zogby Interactive June 11–30 39% 44% 3% 1% 529 LV ±4.3%
9 голосов выборщиков (республиканец в 2000 и 2004 годах)
Четырехсторонняя гонка
показывать Источник опроса Дата администрирования (2008 г.) Barack Obama Джон Маккейн Боб Барр Ральф Нэйдер Допуск Размер выборки Погрешность Zogby Interactive June 11–30 40% 47% 4% 1% 7 431 LV ±4.8%
4 голоса выборщиков (демократ в 2000 и 2004 годах)
Первый избирательный округ
показывать Источник опроса Дата администрирования (2008 г.) Barack Obama Джон Маккейн Допуск Размер выборки Погрешность SurveyUSA October 29–31 60% 37% 23 Not reported Not reported Critical Insights October 16–19 56% 33% 23 228 LV Not reported Pan Atlantic SMS Group October 13–16 49.8% 37.2% 12.6 207 LV ±6.81%
Второй избирательный округ
показывать Источник опроса Дата администрирования (2008 г.) Barack Obama Джон Маккейн Допуск Размер выборки Погрешность SurveyUSA October 29–31 55% 39% 16 Not reported Not reported Critical Insights October 16–19 56% 36% 20 215 LV Not reported Pan Atlantic SMS Group October 13–16 52.8% 39.9% 12.9 193 LV ±7.05%
10 голосов выборщиков (демократ в 2000 и 2004 годах)
Четырехсторонняя гонка
показывать Источник опроса Дата администрирования (2008 г.) Barack Obama Джон Маккейн Боб Барр Ральф Нэйдер Допуск Размер выборки Погрешность Zogby Interactive June 11–30 54% 30% 6% 1% 24 924 LV ±3.3%
12 голосов выборщиков (демократ в 2000 и 2004 годах)
Трехсторонняя гонка
показывать Источник опроса Дата администрирования (2008 г.) Barack Obama Джон Маккейн Ральф Нэйдер Допуск Размер выборки Погрешность 7News/Suffolk University June 8–10 53% 30% 3% 23 500 LV ±4.40%
Четырехсторонняя гонка
показывать Источник опроса Дата администрирования (2008 г.) Barack Obama Джон Маккейн Боб Барр Ральф Нэйдер Синтия МакКинни Допуск Размер выборки Погрешность 7News/Suffolk University July 31–August 3 47% 38% 1% N/A 1% 9 400 LV ±4.90% Zogby Interactive June 11–30 54% 29% 5% 3% N/A 25 861 LV ±3.4%
Шестиходовая гонка
показывать Источник опроса Дата администрирования (2008 г.) Barack Obama Джон Маккейн Боб Барр Ральф Нэйдер Синтия МакКинни Чак Болдуин Допуск Размер выборки Погрешность 7News/Suffolk University October 20–22 53% 34% 1% 3% 1% 1% 19 400 LV ±4.90%
17 голосов выборщиков (демократ в 2000 и 2004 годах)
показывать Источник опроса Дата администрирования (2008 г.) Barack Obama Джон Маккейн Допуск Размер выборки Погрешность Mitchell Research & Communications Inc. November 3 54% 38% 16 400 LV ±5% Polimetrix/YouGov October 18–November 1 55% 42% 13 973 RV Not reported Detroit Free Press-Local 4/Selzer & Co. [permanent dead link ] October 28–31 53% 37% 16 616 LV ±4% Public Policy Polling October 28–30 55% 42% 13 1,532 LV ±2.5% Mitchell Research & Communications Inc. October 26–30 54% 40% 14 600 LV ±4% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 28 53% 43% 10 500 LV ±4.5% Detroit News/EPIC-MRA [permanent dead link ] October 26–28 50% 38% 12 400 LV ±4.9% Big Ten October 19–22 58.1% 35.8% 22.3 562 LV ±4.2% Washington Post/Wall Street Journal/Quinnipiac University October 8–12 54% 38% 16 1,043 LV ±3% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 8 56% 40% 16 500 LV ±4.5% MIRS/Denno-Noor Research/The Rossman Group [permanent dead link ] October 1–4 44% 39% 5 600 RV ±4% Public Policy Polling September 29–October 1 51% 41% 10 731 LV ±3.6% Detroit Free Press-Local 4/Selzer & Co. September 22–24 51% 38% 13 602 LV ±4% CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation September 21–23 51% 46% 5 755 LV ±3.5% NBC News/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research September 18–23 46% 46% Tied 625 LV ±4% Allstate/National Journal/Financial Dynamics September 18–22 47% 39% 8 406 RV ±4.9% Washington Post/Wall Street Journal/Quinnipiac University September 14–21 48% 44% 4 1,346 LV ±2.7% Inside Michigan Politics/Marketing Resource Group September 15–20 43% 46% 3 600 LV ±4.1% American Research Group September 16–19 48% 46% 2 600 LV ±4% Marist College September 16–17 52% 43% 9 599 LV ±4% Big Ten September 14–17 47.8% 43.8% 4 600 RV ±4% Michigan State University July 20–September 14 45% 33.3% 11.7 1,010 A ±3.1% Zogby Interactive September 9–12 49% 43.3% 5.7 742 LV ±3.7% Poll Position/InsiderAdvantage September 10 44% 45% 1 503 LV ±4.3% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research September 10 51% 46% 5 500 LV ±4.5% CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation September 7–9 49% 45% 4 966 RV ±3% Public Policy Polling September 6–7 47% 46% 1 1,147 LV ±2.9% Detroit Free Press-Local 4/WDIV/Selzer & Co. August 17–20 46% 39% 7 600 LV ±4% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research August 7 49% 45% 4 500 LV ±4.5% Public Policy Polling July 23–27 46% 43% 3 883 LV ±3.3% Washington Post/Wall Street Journal/Quinnipiac University July 14–22 46% 42% 4 1,684 LV ±2.4% Democracy Corps/Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D) July 14–21 48% 43% 5 764 LV Not reported Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research July 10 50% 42% 8 500 LV ±4.5% Washington Post/Wall Street Journal/Quinnipiac University June 17–24 48% 42% 6 1,411 LV ±2.6% Public Policy Polling June 21–22 48% 39% 9 573 LV ±4.1% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research June 9 45% 42% 3 500 LV ±4.5% SurveyUSA May 27 37% 41% 4 529 RV ±4.3% Detroit News/EPIC-MRA May 19–22 40% 44% 4 600 LV ±4% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research May 7 44% 45% 1 500 LV ±4.5% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research March 25 42% 43% 1 500 LV ±4.5% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research March 10 41% 44% 3 500 LV ±4.5% SurveyUSA February 26–28 46% 45% 1 643 RV ±3.9% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research February 17 47% 39% 8 500 LV ±4.5% Detroit Free Press-Local 4/Selzer & Co. December 10–12, 2007 49% 41% 8 Not reported Not reported EPIC-MRA January 31–February 4, 2007 43% 53% 10 600 LV ±4% Detroit Free Press-Local 4/Selzer & Co. January 28–31, 2007 44% 39% 5 Not reported ±3.8%
Трехсторонняя гонка
показывать Источник опроса Дата администрирования (2008 г.) Barack Obama Джон Маккейн Ральф Нэйдер Допуск Размер выборки Погрешность EPIC-MRA April 3–8 43% 41% 8% 2 600 LV ±4%
Четырехсторонняя гонка
Пятисторонняя гонка
10 голосов выборщиков (демократ в 2000 и 2004 годах)
показывать Источник опроса Дата администрирования (2008 г.) Barack Obama Джон Маккейн Допуск Размер выборки Погрешность KAAL-TV Rochester-Mason City-Austin/KSTP-TV Minneapolis/WDIO-TV Duluth/SurveyUSA October 30–November 1 49% 46% 3 669 LV ±3.9% Polimetrix/YouGov October 18–November 1 51% 45% 6 699 RV Not reported Minnesota Star Tribune/Princeton Survey Research Associates International October 28–31 53% 42% 11 933 LV ±4.1% Public Policy Polling October 28–30 57% 41% 16 1,050 LV ±3% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 28 55% 43% 12 500 LV ±4.5% NBC News/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research October 27–28 48% 40% 8 625 LV ±4% Minnesota Public Radio/Humphrey Institute October 24–28 56% 37% 19 451 LV ±4.6% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 22 56% 41% 15 500 LV ±4.5% Big Ten October 19–22 57.3% 37.9% 19.4 583 LV ±4.2% St. Cloud State University October 14–22 42% 37% 5 509 A ±4.6% Allstate/National Journal/Financial Dynamics October 16–20 50% 40% 10 402 RV ±4.9% KAAL-TV Rochester-Mason City-Austin/KSTP-TV Minneapolis/WDIO-TV Duluth/SurveyUSA October 16–18 50% 44% 6 655 LV ±3.9% Minnesota Star Tribune/Princeton Survey Research Associates International October 16–17 52% 41% 11 1,049 LV ±3.8% Washington Post/Wall Street Journal/Quinnipiac University October 8–12 51% 40% 11 1,043 LV ±3% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 7 52% 45% 7 500 LV ±4.5% American Research Group October 4–7 47% 46% 1 600 LV ±4% Minnesota Public Radio/Humphrey Institute October 3–5 54% 40% 14 418 LV ±4.8% Minnesota Star Tribune/Princeton Survey Research Associates International September 30–October 2 55% 37% 18 1,084 LV ±3.7% KAAL-TV Rochester-Mason City-Austin/KSAX-TV Alexandria/KSTP-TV Minneapolis/WDIO-TV Duluth/SurveyUSA September 30–October 1 46% 47% 1 725 LV ±3.7% CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation September 28–30 54% 43% 11 849 LV ±3.5% Washington Post/Wall Street Journal/Quinnipiac University September 14–21 47% 45% 2 1,301 LV ±2.7% American Research Group September 18–20 48% 47% 1 600 LV ±4% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research September 18 52% 44% 8 500 LV ±4.5% Big Ten September 14–17 47.3% 44.5% 2.8 610 RV ±4% Minnesota Star Tribune/Princeton Survey Research Associates International September 10–12 45% 45% Tied 1,106 LV ±3.9% KAAL-TV Rochester-Mason City-Austin/KSAX-TV Alexandria/KSTP-TV Minneapolis/WDIO-TV Duluth/SurveyUSA September 10–11 49% 47% 2 734 LV ±3.4% CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation August 31–September 2 53% 41% 12 742 RV ±3.5% KSTP-TV Minneapolis/SurveyUSA August 13–14 47% 45% 2 682 LV ±3.8% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research August 13 49% 45% 4 700 LV ±4.5% July 22 53% 39% 13 500 LV ±4.5% Washington Post/Wall Street Journal/Quinnipiac University July 14–22 46% 44% 2 1,261 LV ±2.8% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research July 10 54% 37% 17 500 LV ±4.5% Washington Post/Wall Street Journal/Quinnipiac University June 17–24 54% 37% 17 1,572 LV ±2.5% KAAL-TV Rochester-Mason City-Austin/KSTP-TV Minneapolis/WDIO-TV Duluth/ SurveyUSA June 13–16 47% 46% 1 543 LV ±4.3% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research June 11 52% 39% 13 500 LV ±4.5% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research May 22 53% 38% 15 500 LV ±4% KAAL-TV Rochester-Mason City-Austin/KSTP-TV Minneapolis/WDIO-TV Duluth/ SurveyUSA May 16–18 47% 42% 5 600 RV ±4.1% Minnesota Star Tribune/Princeton Survey Research Associates International May 12–15 51% 38% 13 1,117 RV ±3.6% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research April 22 52% 38% 14 500 LV ±4% KAAL-TV Rochester-Mason City-Austin/KSTP-TV Minneapolis/WDIO-TV Duluth/ SurveyUSA April 11–13 49% 43% 6 535 RV ±4.3% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research March 19 47% 43% 4 500 LV ±4.5% KAAL-TV Rochester-Mason City-Austin/KSTP-TV Minneapolis/WDIO-TV Duluth/ SurveyUSA March 14–16 46% 47% 1 532 RV ±4.3% SurveyUSA February 26–28 49% 42% 7 608 RV ±4.1% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research February 16 53% 38% 15 500 LV ±4.5% Minnesota Public Radio/Humphrey Institute January 20–27 50% 37% 13 917 A ±3.2% KAAL-TV Rochester-Mason City-Austin/KSTP-TV Minneapolis/WDIO-TV Duluth/ SurveyUSA January 20–21 42% 49% 7 550 RV ±4.3% KAAL-TV Rochester-Mason City-Austin/KSTP-TV Minneapolis/WDIO-TV Duluth/ SurveyUSA December 13–15, 2007 41% 50% 9 556 RV ±4.2% KAAL-TV Rochester-Mason City-Austin/KSTP-TV Minneapolis/WDIO-TV Duluth/ SurveyUSA November 9–11, 2007 43% 46% 4 535 RV ±4.3% SurveyUSA March 9–11, 2007 42% 47% 5 Not reported Not reported KSTP-TV Minneapolis/SurveyUSA February 12–13, 2007 43% 49% 6 632 RV ±3.9% KAAL-TV Rochester-Mason City-Austin/KSTP-TV Minneapolis/WDIO-TV Duluth/ SurveyUSA January 12–14, 2007 41% 48% 7 511 RV ±4.4%
Четырехсторонняя гонка
6 голосов выборщиков (республиканец в 2000 и 2004 годах)
11 голосов выборщиков (республиканец в 2000 и 2004 годах)
Четырехсторонняя гонка
показывать Источник опроса Дата администрирования (2008 г.) Barack Obama Джон Маккейн Боб Барр Ральф Нэйдер Допуск Размер выборки Погрешность Zogby Interactive June 11–30 42% 40% 6% 1% 2 1,121 LV ±3.0%
Пятисторонняя гонка
Шестиходовая гонка
показывать Источник опроса Дата администрирования (2008 г.) Barack Obama Джон Маккейн Боб Барр Ральф Нэйдер Синтия МакКинни Чак Болдуин Допуск Размер выборки Погрешность Suffolk University October 17–19 44% 45% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1 600 LV ±4%
3 голоса выборщиков (республиканец в 2000 и 2004 годах)
Трехсторонняя гонка
показывать Источник опроса Дата администрирования (2008 г.) Barack Obama Джон Маккейн Рон Пол‡ Допуск Размер выборки Погрешность Public Policy Polling October 31–November 2 48% 47% 4% 1 2,734 LV ±1.9%
Пятисторонняя гонка
показывать Источник опроса Дата администрирования (2008 г.) Barack Obama Джон Маккейн Рон Пол Боб Барр Ральф Нэйдер Допуск Размер выборки Погрешность Montana State University Billings October 16–20 44.4% 40.2% 4.2% 1% 0.7% 4.2% 403 LV ±5%
‡ Рон Пол заменил Чака Болдуина в бюллетенях для голосования в Монтане.
5 голосов выборщиков (республиканец в 2000 и 2004 годах)
Второй избирательный округ
5 голосов выборщиков (республиканец в 2000 и 2004 годах)
Четырехсторонняя гонка
показывать Источник опроса Дата администрирования (2008 г.) Barack Obama Джон Маккейн Боб Барр Ральф Нэйдер Допуск Размер выборки Погрешность Zogby Interactive August 15–19 39% 38% 10% 3% 1 506 LV ±4.4% Zogby Interactive June 11–30 38% 38% 9% 2% Tied 584 LV ±4.1%
Пятисторонняя гонка
Шестиходовая гонка
показывать Источник опроса Дата администрирования (2008 г.) Barack Obama Джон Маккейн Боб Барр Ральф Нэйдер Синтия МакКинни Чак Болдуин Допуск Размер выборки Погрешность Associated Press/Roper/GfK Group October 22–26 52% 40% 1% 1% 0% 1% 12 628 LV ±3.9%
4 голоса выборщиков (республиканец в 2000 году) (демократ в 2004 г.)
Четырехсторонняя гонка
показывать Источник опроса Дата администрирования (2008 г.) Barack Obama Джон Маккейн Боб Барр Ральф Нэйдер Допуск Размер выборки Погрешность Zogby Interactive August 15–19 38% 42% 11% 1% 4 366 LV ±5.1% Zogby Interactive June 11–30 40% 37% 10% 2% 3 436 LV ±4.8%
Пятисторонняя гонка
15 голосов выборщиков (демократ в 2000 и 2004 годах)
показывать Источник опроса Дата администрирования (2008 г.) Barack Obama Джон Маккейн Допуск Размер выборки Погрешность Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research November 2 57% 40% 17 500 LV ±4.5% Polimetrix/YouGov October 18–November 1 55% 40% 15 777 RV Not reported Gannett/Monmouth University October 29–31 55% 34% 21 801 LV ±3.5% WABC-TV New York/WCAU-TV Philadelphia/SurveyUSA October 29–30 52% 42% 10 632 LV ±4% Fairleigh Dickinson University (PublicMind) October 23–29 53% 35% 18 852 LV ±3.5% Marist College October 20–21 56% 39% 17 628 LV ±4% Quinnipiac University October 16–19 59% 36% 23 1,184 LV ±2.9% Gannett/Monmouth University October 15–18 55% 38% 17 723 LV ±3.7% WABC-TV New York/WCAU-TV Philadelphia/SurveyUSA October 11–12 55% 40% 15 551 LV ±4.2% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 7 50% 42% 8 500 LV ±4.5% Fairleigh Dickinson University (PublicMind) September 29–October 5 50% 37% 13 790 LV ±3.5% WABC-TV New York/WCAU-TV Philadelphia/SurveyUSA September 27–28 52% 42% 10 611 LV ±4% American Research Group September 19–21 51% 42% 9 600 LV ±4% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research September 16 55% 42% 13 500 LV ±4.5% Gannett/Monmouth University September 11–14 49% 41% 8 589 LV ±4.0% Quinnipiac University September 10–14 48% 45% 3 1,187 LV ±2.8% Marist College September 5–8 48% 45% 3 584 LV ±4% Fairleigh Dickinson University (PublicMind) September 4–7 47% 41% 6 872 LV ±3.5% Quinnipiac University August 4–10 51% 41% 10 1,468 LV ±2.6% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research August 4 52% 42% 10 500 LV ±4.5% Gannett/Monmouth University July 17–21 50% 36% 14 698 LV ±3.7% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research July 7 47% 44% 3 500 LV ±4.5% Fairleigh Dickinson University (PublicMind) June 17–23 49% 33% 16 702 RV ±4% Quinnipiac University June 5–8 45% 39% 6 1,473 LV ±2.6% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research June 4 48% 39% 9 500 LV ±4.5% Gannett/Monmouth University April 24–28 56% 32% 24 720 RV ±3.7% Fairleigh Dickinson University (PublicMind) March 24–30 47% 42% 5 816 RV ±3.5% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research March 27 45% 46% 1 500 LV ±4% SurveyUSA February 26–28 43% 43% Tied 627 RV ±4% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research February 27 43% 45% 2 500 LV ±4% Fairleigh Dickinson University (PublicMind) February 18–24 43% 38% 5 795 RV ±3.5% Quinnipiac University February 13–18 46% 39% 7 1,803 RV ±2.3% Quinnipiac University September 18–23, 2007 44% 41% 3 1,230 RV ±2.8% Quinnipiac University June 26–July 2 44% 40% 4 1,604 RV ±2.5% Quinnipiac University April 10–16, 2007 43% 41% 2 1,424 RV ±2.6% Quinnipiac University February 20–25, 2007 45% 41% 4 1,302 RV ±2.7% Quinnipiac University January 16–22, 2007 39% 42% 3 1,310 RV ±2.7%
Четырехсторонняя гонка
показывать Источник опроса Дата администрирования (2008 г.) Barack Obama Джон Маккейн Боб Барр Ральф Нэйдер Допуск Размер выборки Погрешность Zogby Interactive June 11–30 49% 36% 3% 2% 13 1,220 LV ±2.9%
5 голосов выборщиков (демократ в 2000 году) (республиканец в 2004 г.)
Трехсторонняя гонка
показывать Источник опроса Дата администрирования (2008 г.) Barack Obama Джон Маккейн Ральф Нэйдер Допуск Размер выборки Погрешность Albuquerque Journal/Research & Polling Inc. September 29–October 2 45% 40% 1% 5 659 LV ±3.8%
Четырехсторонняя гонка
показывать Источник опроса Дата администрирования (2008 г.) Barack Obama Джон Маккейн Боб Барр Ральф Нэйдер Допуск Размер выборки Погрешность Zogby Interactive August 15–19 46% 37% 5% 1% 9 495 LV ±4.4% Zogby Interactive June 11–30 49% 33% 9% 2% 16 464 LV ±4.6%
Пятисторонняя гонка
показывать Источник опроса Дата администрирования (2008 г.) Barack Obama Джон Маккейн Боб Барр Ральф Нэйдер Синтия МакКинни Допуск Размер выборки Погрешность CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation August 24–26 50% 36% 8% 0% 0% 14 659 RV ±4%
31 голос выборщиков (демократ в 2000 и 2004 годах)
показывать Источник опроса Дата администрирования (2008 г.) Barack Obama Джон Маккейн Допуск Размер выборки Погрешность Polimetrix/YouGov October 18–November 1 58% 38% 20 988 RV Not reported WABC-TV New York/WGRZ-TV Buffalo/WHEC-TV Rochester/WNYT-TV Albany/SurveyUSA October 27–28 62% 33% 29 633 LV ±3.8% Marist College October 21–22 65% 29% 36 527 LV ±4.5% Siena College October 19–21 62% 31% 31 721 LV ±3.6% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 14 57% 37% 20 500 LV ±4.5% WABC-TV New York/WGRZ-TV Buffalo/WHEC-TV Rochester/WNYT-TV Albany/SurveyUSA October 11–12 61% 34% 27 547 LV ±4.1% Siena College September 28–30 58% 36% 22 631 RV ±3.9% WABC-TV New York/WGRZ-TV Buffalo/WHEC-TV Rochester/WNYT-TV Albany/SurveyUSA September 23–24 57% 38% 19 668 LV ±3.8% American Research Group September 14–16 55% 38% 17 600 LV ±4% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research September 15 55% 42% 13 500 LV ±4.5% Siena College September 8–10 46% 41% 5 626 RV ±3.9% Siena College August 11–14 47% 39% 8 627 RV ±3.9% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research August 4 55% 36% 19 500 LV ±4.5% Quinnipiac University July 31–August 4 57% 36% 21 1,353 LV ±2.7% Siena College July 7–10 50% 37% 13 626 RV ±3.9% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research June 30 60% 29% 31 500 LV ±4.5% WABC-TV New York/WHEC-TV Rochester/WNYT-TV Albany/SurveyUSA June 25–27 57% 37% 20 531 LV ±4.3% Siena College June 9–11 51% 33% 18 624 RV ±3.9% New York Times June 6–11 51% 32% 19 931 RV Not reported Quinnipiac University June 3–8 50% 36% 14 1,388 RV ±2.6% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research May 28 52% 33% 19 500 LV ±4% WABC-TV New York/WHEC-TV Rochester/WNYT-TV Albany/SurveyUSA May 16–18 48% 38% 10 600 RV ±4.1% Siena College May 12–15 49% 38% 11 622 RV ±3.9% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research April 29 52% 35% 17 500 LV ±4.5% Siena College April 13–16 45% 40% 5 624 RV ±3.9% WABC-TV New York/WHEC-TV Rochester/WNYT-TV Albany/SurveyUSA April 11–13 52% 43% 9 499 RV ±4.5% WNBC News/Marist College April 3–4 46% 48% 2 576 RV ±4% Quinnipiac University March 16–18 49% 38% 11 1,528 RV ±2.5% WABC-TV New York/WHEC-TV Rochester/WNYT-TV Albany/SurveyUSA March 14–16 52% 44% 8 507 RV ±4.4% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research March 11 51% 38% 13 500 LV ±4.5% SurveyUSA February 26–28 52% 38% 14 592 RV ±4.1% WABC-TV New York/WHEC-TV Rochester/WNYT-TV Albany/SurveyUSA February 15–17 57% 36% 21 519 RV ±4.3% Siena College February 11–14 47% 40% 7 633 RV ±3.9% WABC-TV New York/WHEC-TV Rochester/WNYT-TV Albany/SurveyUSA January 20–21 49% 43% 6 516 RV ±4.4% Siena College January 14–17 44% 42% 2 625 RV ±3.9% WABC-TV New York/WHEC-TV Rochester/WNYT-TV Albany/SurveyUSA December 13–15, 2007 47% 43% 4 503 RV ±4.5% WABC-TV New York/WHEC-TV Rochester/WNYT-TV Albany/SurveyUSA November 9–11, 2007 49% 43% 6 516 RV ±4.4% Quinnipiac University September 24–30, 2007 47% 39% 8 1,504 RV ±2.5% Siena College June 18–21, 2007 49% 35% 14 800 RV ±3.5% Quinnipiac University June 12–17, 2007 48% 33% 15 1,369 RV ±2.7% Siena College May 18–25, 2007 50% 33% 17 620 RV ±3.9% Siena College April 16–20, 2007 50% 37% 13 980 RV Not reported NY1 News/Blum & Weprin Associates April 4–7, 2007 50% 35% 15 1,013 RV Not reported Quinnipiac University March 29–April 2, 2007 47% 36% 11 1,548 RV ±2.5% Siena College March 19–22, 2007 47% 39% 8 622 RV Not reported SurveyUSA March 9–11, 2007 48% 43% 5 Not reported Not reported SurveyUSA February 9–11, 2007 48% 41% 7 Not reported Not reported Quinnipiac University February 6–11, 2007 46% 35% 11 1,049 RV ±3% WABC-TV New York/WHEC-TV Rochester/WNYT-TV Albany/SurveyUSA January 12–14, 2007 44% 45% 1 489 RV ±4.5%
Четырехсторонняя гонка
показывать Источник опроса Дата администрирования (2008 г.) Barack Obama Джон Маккейн Боб Барр Ральф Нэйдер Допуск Размер выборки Погрешность Siena College Archived 2021-01-28 at the Wayback Machine July 17–29 44% 26% 2% 3% 18 671 RV ±3.8% Zogby Interactive June 11–30 51% 30% 4% 2% 21 3,647 LV ±1.7%
15 голосов выборщиков (республиканец в 2000 и 2004 годах)
Трехсторонняя гонка
показывать Источник опроса Дата администрирования (2008 г.) Barack Obama Джон Маккейн Боб Барр Допуск Размер выборки Погрешность Fox News/Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research November 2 49% 50% 0% 1 1,000 LV ±3% Public Policy Polling October 30–November 2 50% 49% 1% 1 2,100 LV ±2.1% Civitas Institute/Tel Opinion Research October 27–29 47% 46% 3% 1 600 LV ±4.2% CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation October 23–28 52% 46% 2% 6 667 LV ±4% October 26 48% 49% 0% 1 1,000 LV ±3% Public Policy Polling October 25–26 49% 48% 1% 1 1,038 LV ±2.8% CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation October 19–21 51% 46% 2% 5 644 LV ±4% Civitas Institute/Tel Opinion Research October 18–20 48% 45% 1% 3 600 LV ±4.2% Fox News/Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 19 51% 48% 0% 3% 1,000 LV ±3% Public Policy Polling October 18–19 51% 44% 2% 7 1,200 LV ±2.8% Fox News/Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 12 48% 48% 1% Tied 1,000 LV ±3% Public Policy Polling October 11–12 49% 46% 1% 3 1,196 LV ±2.8% Civitas Institute/Tel Opinion Research October 6–8 48% 43% 2% 5 600 LV ±4.2% Public Policy Polling October 4–5 50% 44% 2% 6 1,202 LV ±2.8% Public Policy Polling September 28–29 47% 45% 3% 2 1,041 LV ±3.0% Civitas Institute/Tel Opinion Research September 17–20 45% 45% 1% Tied 600 LV ±4.2% Public Policy Polling September 17–19 46% 46% 5% Tied 1,060 LV ±3.0% Civitas Institute/Tel Opinion Research [permanent dead link ] September 6–10 44% 48% 0% 4 600 LV ±4.2% Public Policy Polling September 9 44% 48% 4% 4 626 LV ±3.9% Democracy Corps/Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D) [permanent dead link ] August 20–26 44% 47% 4% 3 852 LV ±3.5% Public Policy Polling August 20–23 42% 45% 4% 3 904 LV ±3.3% Civitas Institute/Tel Opinion Research August 14–17 40% 46% 6% 6 600 LV ±4.2% Public Policy Polling July 23–27 44% 47% 3% 3 823 LV ±3.4% Civitas Institute/Tel Opinion Research July 14–16 40% 43% 2% 3 600 LV ±4% Public Policy Polling June 26–29 41% 45% 3% 4 1,048 LV ±3.0% Civitas Institute/Tel Opinion Research June 11–13 41% 45% 2% 4 596 RV ±4% Public Policy Polling May 28–29 40% 43% 6% 3 543 LV ±4.2%
Четырехсторонняя гонка
3 голоса выборщиков (республиканец в 2000 и 2004 годах)
20 голосов выборщиков (республиканец в 2000 и 2004 годах)
показывать Источник опроса Дата администрирования (2008 г.) Barack Obama Джон Маккейн Допуск Размер выборки Погрешность Reuters/Zogby International October 31–November 3 49.4% 47.4% 2 600 LV ±4.1% Public Policy Polling October 31–November 2 50% 48% 2 1,208 LV ±2.8% WCMH-TV Columbus/WHIO-TV Dayton/WKYC-TV Cleveland/SurveyUSA October 30–November 2 48% 46% 2 660 LV ±3.9% Quinnipiac University October 27–November 2 50% 43% 7 1,574 LV ±2.5% Polimetrix/YouGov October 18–November 1 51% 45% 6 990 RV Not reported Columbus Dispatch Archived 2021-01-31 at the Wayback Machine October 22–31 52% 46% 6 2,164 LV ±2% NBC News/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research October 28–29 45% 47% 2 625 LV ±4% CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation October 23–28 51% 47% 4 779 LV ±3.5% WCMH-TV Columbus/WHIO-TV Dayton/WKYC-TV Cleveland/SurveyUSA October 26–27 49% 45% 4 648 LV ±3.9% Bloomberg/Los Angeles Times October 24–27 49% 40% 9 644 LV ±4% Allstate/National Journal/Financial Dynamics October 23–27 48% 41% 7 404 RV ±4.9% Marist College October 24–26 48% 45% 3 661 LV ±4% Reuters/Zogby International October 23–26 49.7% 45.1% 4.6 600 LV ±4.1% Quinnipiac University October 22–26 51% 42% 9 1,425 LV ±2.6% Associated Press/Roper/GfK Group October 22–26 48% 42% 6 607 LV ±4.0% Public Policy Polling October 22–23 51% 44% 7 993 LV ±3.1% Ohio University Archived 2021-01-29 at the Wayback Machine October 12–23 57% 41% 16 611 A ±4% Politico/InsiderAdvantage October 22 52% 42% 10 408 LV ±5% Big Ten October 19–22 52.5% 41% 11.5 564 LV ±4.2% CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation October 19–21 50% 46% 4 737 LV ±3.5% Quinnipiac University October 16–21 52% 38% 14 1,360 LV ±2.7% Zogby Interactive October 17–20 46.5% 49.3% 2.8 991 LV ±3.2% University of Akron September 24–October 19 44.6% 40.9% 3.7 1,213 RV ±2.8% NBC News/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research October 16–17 45% 46% 1 625 LV ±4% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 14 49% 49% Tied 700 LV ±4% WCMH-TV Columbus/WHIO-TV Dayton/WKYC-TV Cleveland/SurveyUSA October 12–13 50% 45% 5 575 LV ±4.2% Zogby Interactive October 9–13 44.8% 49.5% 4.7 1,018 LV ±3.1% Poll Position/InsiderAdvantage October 9 49% 44% 5 509 LV ±4% Marist College October 5–8 49% 45% 4 771 LV ±3.5% American Research Group October 4–7 48% 45% 3 600 LV ±4% CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation Archived 2021-02-24 at the Wayback Machine October 3–6 50% 47% 3 749 LV ±3.5% Public Policy Polling October 4–5 49% 43% 6 1,239 LV ±2.8% ABC News/Washington Post October 3–5 51% 45% 6 772 LV ±3.5% Columbus Dispatch September 24–October 3 49% 42% 7 2,262 LV ±2% Poll Position/InsiderAdvantage September 29 47% 45% 2 512 LV ±4% WCMH-TV Columbus/WCPO-TV Cincinnati/WHIO-TV Dayton/WKYC-TV Cleveland/ SurveyUSA September 28–29 48% 49% 1 693 LV ±3.8% Quinnipiac University September 27–29 50% 42% 8 825 LV ±3.4% Quinnipiac University September 22–26 49% 42% 7 1,203 LV ±2.8% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research September 23 46% 47% 1 700 LV ±4% Poll Position/InsiderAdvantage September 22 46% 46% Tied 545 LV ±4.1% Big Ten September 14–17 45.6% 45.1% 0.5 619 RV ±4% CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation September 14–16 49% 47% 2 913 RV ±3% Allstate/National Journal/Financial Dynamics September 11–15 41% 42% 1 400 RV ±4.9% Marist College September 11–15 47% 45% 2 565 LV ±4.5% Public Policy Polling September 13–14 44% 48% 4 1,077 LV ±3.0% WCMH-TV Columbus/WCPO-TV Cincinnati/WHIO-TV Dayton/WKYC-TV Cleveland/ SurveyUSA September 12–14 45% 49% 4 692 LV ±3.8% American Research Group September 10–13 44% 50% 6 600 LV ±4% Zogby Interactive September 9–12 43.9% 49.8% 5.9 847 LV ±3.4% Poll Position/InsiderAdvantage September 10 47% 48% 1 503 LV ±4.3% University of Cincinnati September 5–10 44% 48% 4 775 LV ±3.5% Quinnipiac University September 5–9 49% 44% 5 1,367 LV ±2.7% CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation August 31–September 2 47% 45% 2 685 RV ±3.5% Quinnipiac University August 17–24 44% 43% 1 1,234 LV ±2.8% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research August 18 43% 48% 5 700 LV ±4% University of Akron July 17–August 17 39.6% 39.9% 0.3 753 RV ±3.6% Public Policy Polling August 12–14 45% 45% Tied 950 LV ±3.2% Quinnipiac University July 23–29 46% 44% 2 1,229 LV ±2.8% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research July 21 42% 52% 10 500 LV ±4.5% Public Policy Polling July 17–20 48% 40% 8 1,058 LV ±3.0% WCMH-TV Columbus/WCPO-TV Cincinnati/SurveyUSA June 20–22 48% 46% 2 580 LV ±4.2% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research June 17 43% 44% 1 500 LV ±4.5% Quinnipiac University June 9–16 48% 42% 6 1,396 LV ±2.6% Public Policy Polling June 14–15 50% 39% 11 733 LV ±3.6% Quinnipiac University May 13–20 40% 44% 4 1,244 RV ±2.8% WCMH-TV Columbus/WCPO-TV Cincinnati/SurveyUSA May 16–18 48% 39% 9 600 RV ±4.1% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research May 15 44% 45% 1 500 LV ±4.5% Quinnipiac University April 23–29 42% 43% 1 1,127 RV ±2.9% WCMH-TV Columbus/WCPO-TV Cincinnati/SurveyUSA April 11–13 45% 47% 2 527 RV ±4.4% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research April 8 40% 47% 7 500 LV ±4.5% Quinnipiac University March 24–31 43% 42% 1 1,238 RV ±2.8% Public Policy Polling March 15–17 41% 49% 8 621 LV ±3.9% WCMH-TV Columbus/WCPO-TV Cincinnati/SurveyUSA March 14–16 43% 50% 7 532 RV ±4.3% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research March 13 40% 46% 6 500 LV ±4.5% SurveyUSA February 26–28 50% 40% 10 629 RV ±4% University of Cincinnati [permanent dead link ] February 21–24 48% 47% 1 970 RV ±3% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research February 17 41% 42% 1 500 LV ±4.5% WCMH-TV Columbus/WCPO-TV Cincinnati/WHIO-TV Dayton/WKYC-TV Cleveland/ SurveyUSA February 15–17 47% 44% 3 542 RV ±4.3% Quinnipiac University February 6–12 40% 42% 2 1,748 RV ±2.3% WCMH-TV Columbus/WCPO-TV Cincinnati/SurveyUSA January 4–6 43% 50% 7 535 RV ±4.3% Public Policy Polling January 4 42% 45% 3 946 LV ±3.1% WCPO-TV Cincinnati/WYTV-TV Youngstown/SurveyUSA December 13–15, 2007 38% 47% 9 539 RV ±4.3% WCPO-TV Cincinnati/SurveyUSA December 3, 2007 40% 51% 11 643 RV ±3.9% WCPO-TV Cincinnati/WYTV-TV Youngstown/SurveyUSA November 9–11, 2007 37% 52% 15 533 RV ±4.3% Quinnipiac University October 1–8, 2007 43% 39% 4 946 RV ±3.2% Quinnipiac University August 28–September 3, 2007 41% 42% 1 1,430 RV ±2.6% Quinnipiac University July 3–9, 2007 43% 38% 5 1,447 RV ±2.6% Quinnipiac University June 18–25, 2007 43% 38% 5 1,013 RV ±3.1% Quinnipiac University May 8–13, 2007 44% 41% 3 939 RV ±3.2% Quinnipiac University April 17–24, 2007 36% 42% 6 1,083 RV ±3% Quinnipiac University March 13–19, 2007 45% 37% 8 1,122 RV ±2.9% SurveyUSA March 9–11, 2007 39% 50% 11 Not reported Not reported Quinnipiac University February 25–March 4, 2007 42% 39% 3 1,281 RV ±2.7% SurveyUSA February 9–11, 2007 41% 51% 10 Not reported Not reported Quinnipiac University January 23–28, 2007 38% 41% 3 1,305 RV ±2.7% WCPO-TV Cincinnati/WYTV-TV Youngstown/SurveyUSA January 12–14, 2007 40% 54% 14 510 RV ±4.4%
Четырехсторонняя гонка
Пятисторонняя гонка
Семипутевая гонка
показывать Источник опроса Дата администрирования (2008 г.) Barack Obama Джон Маккейн Боб Барр Ральф Нэйдер Синтия МакКинни Чак Болдуин Брайан Мур Допуск Размер выборки Погрешность Suffolk University October 16–19 51% 42% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 9 600 LV ±4% Suffolk University September 10–13 42% 46% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 4 600 LV ±4%
Восьмисторонняя гонка
показывать Источник опроса Дата администрирования (2008 г.) Barack Obama Джон Маккейн Боб Барр Ральф Нэйдер Синтия МакКинни Чак Болдуин Брайан Мур Ричард Дункан Допуск Размер выборки Погрешность Associated Press/Roper/GfK Group October 22–26 48% 41% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 7 607 LV ±4.0%
7 голосов выборщиков (республиканец в 2000 и 2004 годах)
Четырехсторонняя гонка
показывать Источник опроса Дата администрирования (2008 г.) Barack Obama Джон Маккейн Боб Барр Ральф Нэйдер Допуск Размер выборки Погрешность Zogby Interactive June 11–30 37% 42% 9% 2% 5 406 LV ±5.0%
7 голосов выборщиков (демократ в 2000 и 2004 годах)
Трехсторонняя гонка
Четырехсторонняя гонка
21 голос выборщиков (демократ в 2000 и 2004 годах)
показывать Источник опроса Дата администрирования (2008 г.) Barack Obama Джон Маккейн Допуск Размер выборки Погрешность Reuters/Zogby International October 31–November 3 51.2% 41.4% 9.8 600 LV ±4.1% KDKA-TV Philadelphia/WCAU-TV Pittsburgh/WHTM-TV Harrisburg/WJAC-TV Johnstown-Altoona/WNEP-TV Wilkes-Barre Scranton/SurveyUSA October 31–November 3 52% 43% 9 657 LV ±3.9% Public Policy Polling October 31–November 2 53% 45% 8 1,529 LV ±2.5% Quinnipiac University October 27–November 2 52% 42% 10 1,493 LV ±2.5% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research November 1 52% 46% 6 700 LV ±4% Polimetrix/YouGov October 18–November 1 51% 44% 7 1,009 RV Not reported American Research Group October 29–31 51% 45% 6 600 LV ±4% KDKA-TV Philadelphia/WCAU-TV Pittsburgh/WHTM-TV Harrisburg/WJAC-TV Johnstown-Altoona/WNEP-TV Wilkes-Barre Scranton/SurveyUSA October 29–31 51% 44% 7 700 LV ±3.8% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 30 51% 47% 4 500 LV ±4.5% Morning Call/Muhlenberg College Archived 2021-08-31 at the Wayback Machine October 26–30 53% 43% 10 615 LV ±4.0% NBC News/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research October 27–28 47% 43% 4 625 LV ±4% CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation October 23–28 55% 43% 12 768 LV ±3.5% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 27 53% 46% 7 500 LV ±4.5% Marist College October 26–27 55% 41% 14 713 LV ±4% Politico/InsiderAdvantage October 26 51% 42% 9 588 LV ±3.8% Associated Press/Roper/GfK Group October 22–26 53% 40% 13 607 LV ±4.0% Quinnipiac University October 22–26 53% 41% 12 1,364 LV ±2.7% Franklin & Marshall College October 21–26 51% 39% 12 545 LV ±4.2% Temple University October 20–26 52% 43% 9 761 LV ±3.6% Morning Call/Muhlenberg College (Daily Tracking) Archived 2021-08-31 at the Wayback Machine October 21–25 53% 41% 12 597 LV ±4.0% KDKA-TV Philadelphia/WCAU-TV Pittsburgh/WHTM-TV Harrisburg/WJAC-TV Johnstown-Altoona/WNEP-TV Wilkes-Barre Scranton/SurveyUSA October 21–22 53% 41% 12 620 LV ±4% Big Ten October 19–22 51.9% 41.5% 10.4 566 LV ±4.2% Quinnipiac University October 16–21 53% 40% 13 1,425 LV ±2.6% Morning Call/Muhlenberg College (Daily Tracking) Archived 2021-08-31 at the Wayback Machine October 16–20 52% 42% 10 600 LV ±4.0% Allstate/National Journal/Financial Dynamics October 16–20 51% 41% 10 412 RV ±4.9% Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. October 16–18 48% 40% 8 700 LV ±3.7% Morning Call/Muhlenberg College (Daily Tracking) Archived 2021-08-31 at the Wayback Machine October 11–15 53% 37% 16 595 LV ±4.0% KDKA-TV Philadelphia/WCAU-TV Pittsburgh/WHTM-TV Harrisburg/WJAC-TV Johnstown-Altoona/WNEP-TV Wilkes-Barre Scranton/SurveyUSA October 11–13 55% 40% 15 516 LV ±4.4% Zogby Interactive October 9–13 51.6% 40.2% 10.4 737 LV ±3.7% Morning Call/Muhlenberg College (Daily Tracking) Archived 2021-08-31 at the Wayback Machine October 6–10 52% 40% 12 Not reported Not reported Marist College October 5–8 53% 41% 12 757 LV ±3.5% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 6 54% 41% 13 700 LV ±4% KDKA-TV Philadelphia/WCAU-TV Pittsburgh/WHTM-TV Harrisburg/WJAC-TV Johnstown-Altoona/WNEP-TV Wilkes-Barre Scranton/SurveyUSA October 5–6 55% 40% 15 653 LV ±3.9% WHYY-TV Philadelphia/West Chester University October 3–6 52.3% 42% 10.3 506 RV Not reported Morning Call/Muhlenberg College (Daily Tracking) Archived 2021-08-31 at the Wayback Machine October 1–5 49% 38% 11 601 LV ±4.0% Morning Call/Muhlenberg College (Daily Tracking) Archived 2021-08-31 at the Wayback Machine September 26–30 48% 41% 7 598 LV ±4.0% Quinnipiac University September 27–29 54% 39% 15 832 LV ±3.4% Franklin & Marshall College September 23–28 45% 38% 7 767 RV ±3.5% Quinnipiac University September 22–26 49% 43% 6 1,138 LV ±2.9% Morning Call/Muhlenberg College (Daily Tracking) September 21–25 47% 43% 4 577 LV ±4.5% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research September 24 49% 45% 4 700 LV ±4% KDKA-TV Philadelphia/WCAU-TV Pittsburgh/WHTM-TV Harrisburg/WJAC-TV Johnstown-Altoona/WNEP-TV Wilkes-Barre Scranton/SurveyUSA September 23–24 50% 44% 6 1,094 LV ±3% CNN/Time/Opinion Research Group Archived 2021-01-26 at the Wayback Machine September 21–23 53% 44% 9 730 LV ±3.5% American Research Group September 19–22 50% 46% 4 600 LV ±4% Allstate/National Journal/Financial Dynamics September 18–22 43% 41% 2 406 RV ±4.9% NBC News/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research September 16–18 46% 44% 2 625 LV ±4% Big Ten September 14–17 45% 44.6% 0.4 608 RV ±4% Marist College September 11–15 49% 44% 5 535 LV ±4.5% Zogby Interactive September 9–12 44.3% 49.1% 4.8 701 LV ±3.8% Quinnipiac University September 5–9 48% 45% 3 1,001 LV ±3.1% CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation August 24–26 48% 43% 5 669 RV ±4% Quinnipiac University August 17–24 49% 42% 7 1,234 LV ±2.8% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research August 19 48% 45% 3 700 LV ±4% Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. August 11–14 46% 41% 5 700 LV ±3.7% Franklin & Marshall College August 4–10 46% 41% 5 641 RV ±3.9% Quinnipiac University July 23–29 49% 42% 7 1,317 LV ±2.7% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research July 23 51% 45% 6 700 LV ±4% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research June 19, 22 46% 42% 4 1,000 LV ±3% Franklin & Marshall College June 16–22 42% 36% 6 1,501 RV ±2.5% Quinnipiac University June 9–16 52% 40% 12 1,511 RV ±2.5% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research May 21 45% 43% 2 500 LV ±4.5% Quinnipiac University May 13–20 46% 40% 6 1,667 RV ±2.4% WCAU-TV Philadelphia/SurveyUSA May 16–18 48% 40% 8 600 RV ±4.1% Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. May 1–6 46% 39% 7 800 RV ±3.4% Quinnipiac University April 23–29 47% 38% 9 1,494 RV ±2.5% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research April 24 43% 44% 1 500 LV ±4% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research April 9 47% 39% 8 500 LV ±4.5% Temple University March 27–April 9 47% 40% 7 1,175 RV ±3% Quinnipiac University March 24–31 43% 39% 4 3,484 RV ±1.7% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research March 10 43% 44% 1 500 LV ±4.5% Triad Strategies/Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. March 5–10 41% 45% 4 700 RV Not reported SurveyUSA February 26–28 42% 47% 5 608 RV ±4.1% Quinnipiac University February 21–25 42% 40% 2 1,872 RV ±2.3% Franklin & Marshall College February 13–18 43% 44% 1 640 RV ±3.9% Morning Call/Muhlenberg College February 9–17 39% 42% 3 588 RV ±4.6% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research February 14 49% 39% 10 500 LV ±4.5% Quinnipiac University February 6–12 42% 41% 1 1,419 RV ±2.6% Fox News/Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research January 8 38% 46% 8 500 LV ±3.5% Quinnipiac University October 1–8, 2007 45% 41% 4 878 RV ±3.3% Franklin & Marshall College August 24–September 2, 2007 47% 42% 5 479 RV ±4.5% Quinnipiac University August 14–20, 2007 43% 40% 3 1,160 RV ±2.9% Quinnipiac University June 18–25, 2007 44% 39% 5 958 RV ±3.2% Quinnipiac University May 22, 2007 41% 42% 1 1,318 RV ±2.7% Morning Call/Muhlenberg College May 15–21, 2007 36% 39% 3 416 RV Not reported Quinnipiac University April 17–24, 2007 43% 41% 2 988 RV ±3.1% Quinnipiac University March 19–25, 2007 42% 42% Tied 1,187 RV ±2.8% Quinnipiac University February 25–March 4, 2007 38% 43% 5 1,134 RV ±2.9% Franklin & Marshall College February 19–25, 2007 37% 43% 6 540 RV ±4.2% Quinnipiac University February 1–5, 2007 39% 46% 7 1,104 RV ±3.1%
Четырехсторонняя гонка
4 голоса выборщиков (демократ в 2000 и 2004 годах)
8 голосов выборщиков (республиканец в 2000 и 2004 годах)
Трехсторонняя гонка
показывать Источник опроса Дата администрирования (2008 г.) Barack Obama Джон Маккейн Боб Барр Допуск Размер выборки Погрешность Public Policy Polling July 9–11 39% 45% 5% 6 542 LV ±4.2%
Четырехсторонняя гонка
показывать Источник опроса Дата администрирования (2008 г.) Barack Obama Джон Маккейн Боб Барр Ральф Нэйдер Допуск Размер выборки Погрешность Zogby Interactive June 18–30 42% 41% 6% 1% 1 630 LV ±4.0%
3 голоса выборщиков (республиканец в 2000 и 2004 годах)
11 голосов выборщиков (республиканец в 2000 и 2004 годах)
Четырехсторонняя гонка
показывать Источник опроса Дата администрирования (2008 г.) Barack Obama Джон Маккейн Боб Барр Ральф Нэйдер Допуск Размер выборки Погрешность Zogby Interactive June 11–30 36% 41% 7% 1% 5 1,004 LV ±3.2%
34 голоса выборщиков (республиканец в 2000 и 2004 годах)
Трехсторонняя гонка
показывать Источник опроса Дата администрирования (2008 г.) Barack Obama Джон Маккейн Боб Барр Допуск Размер выборки Погрешность University of Texas at Austin October 15–22 38% 49.3% 1.3% 11.3 550 RV ±4.2%
Четырехсторонняя гонка
показывать Источник опроса Дата администрирования (2008 г.) Barack Obama Джон Маккейн Боб Барр Ральф Нэйдер Допуск Размер выборки Погрешность University of Texas at Austin July 18–30 33% 43% 5% 2% 10 668 RV Not reported Zogby Interactive June 11–30 39% 42% 6% 2% 3 3,289 LV ±1.7% Texas Lyceum June 12–20 38% 43% 1% 1% 5 Not reported Not reported
5 голосов выборщиков (республиканец в 2000 и 2004 годах)
Трехсторонняя гонка
показывать Источник опроса Дата администрирования (2008 г.) Barack Obama Джон Маккейн Ральф Нэйдер Допуск Размер выборки Погрешность Deseret News/KSL-TV/Dan Jones & Associates June 16–19 29% 57% 1% 28 405 RV Not reported
3 голоса выборщиков (демократ в 2000 и 2004 годах)
13 голосов выборщиков (республиканец в 2000 и 2004 годах)
показывать Источник опроса Дата администрирования (2008 г.) Barack Obama Джон Маккейн Допуск Размер выборки Погрешность Reuters/Zogby International October 31–November 3 51.7% 45.3% 6.4 600 LV ±4.1% American Research Group October 31–November 3 51% 47% 4 600 LV ±4% Public Policy Polling October 31–November 2 52% 46% 6 1,557 LV ±2.5% WDBJ-TV Roanoke/WJHL-TV Tri-Cities/WJLA-TV Washington, D.C./WTVR-TV Richmond/ SurveyUSA/ October 30–November 1 50% 46% 4 672 LV ±3.9% Polimetrix/YouGov October 18–November 1 52% 45% 7 772 RV Not reported The Virginian-Pilot/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research October 29–30 47% 44% 3 625 LV ±4% CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation Archived 2021-01-21 at the Wayback Machine October 23–28 53% 44% 9 774 LV ±3.5% Marist College October 26–27 51% 47% 4 671 LV ±4% Allstate/National Journal/Financial Dynamics October 23–27 48% 44% 4 404 RV ±4.9% WDBJ-TV Roanoke/WJHL-TV Tri-Cities/WJLA-TV Washington, D.C./WTVR-TV Richmond/ SurveyUSA/ October 25–26 52% 43% 9 671 LV ±3.9% Reuters/Zogby International October 23–26 52% 44.8% 7.2 600 LV ±4.1% Associated Press/Roper/GfK Group October 22–26 49% 42% 7 601 LV ±4.0% Roanoke College October 19–26 48% 39% 9 614 LV ±4% Washington Post October 22–25 52% 44% 8 784 LV ±3.5% Virginia Commonwealth University October 20–22 51% 40% 11 817 LV ±4.3% NBC News/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research October 20–21 47% 45% 2 625 LV ±4% CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation October 19–21 54% 44% 10 647 LV ±4% Zogby Interactive October 17–20 49.7% 46.1% 3.6 922 LV ±3.3% WDBJ-TV Roanoke/WJHL-TV Tri-Cities/WJLA-TV Washington, D.C./WTVR-TV Richmond/ SurveyUSA/ October 18–19 51% 45% 6 652 LV ±3.9% ETV/Winthrop University September 28–October 19 44.6% 43.6% 1 665 LV ±3.8% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 16 54% 44% 10 700 LV ±3% CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation October 11–14 53% 43% 10 698 LV ±3.5% Christopher Newport University October 11–14 52.3% 46.8% 5.5 500 LV ±4.38% Zogby Interactive October 9–13 51.8% 44% 7.8 872 LV ±3.4% Public Policy Polling October 6–7 51% 43% 8 917 LV ±3.2% WDBJ-TV Roanoke/WJHL-TV Tri-Cities/WJLA-TV Washington, D.C./WTVR-TV Richmond/ SurveyUSA/ October 3–5 53% 43% 10 666 LV ±3.9% The Virginian-Pilot/The Richmond Times-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research September 29–October 1 45% 48% 3 625 LV ±4% CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation September 28–30 53% 44% 9 684 LV ±4% Poll Position/InsiderAdvantage September 29 51% 45% 6 436 LV ±5% American Research Group September 27–29 46% 49% 3 600 LV ±4% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research September 25 50% 45% 5 700 LV ±4% NBC News/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research September 17–22 44% 47% 3 625 LV ±4% WDBJ-TV Roanoke/WJHL-TV Tri-Cities/WJLA-TV Washington, D.C./WTVR-TV Richmond/ SurveyUSA/ September 19–21 51% 45% 6 716 LV ±3.7% ABC News/Washington Post September 18–21 49% 46% 3 698 LV ±3.5% American Research Group September 17–20 46% 48% 2 600 LV ±4% Poll Position/InsiderAdvantage September 17 46% 48% 2 502 LV ±4.3% Allstate/National Journal/Financial Dynamics September 11–15 41% 49% 8 400 RV ±4.9% Public Policy Polling September 13–14 48% 46% 2 1,090 LV ±3.0% WDBJ-TV Roanoke/WJHL-TV Tri-Cities/WJLA-TV Washington, D.C./WTVR-TV Richmond/ SurveyUSA/ September 12–14 50% 46% 4 732 LV ±3.7% Christopher Newport University September 10–14 39% 48% 9 500 RV ±4.4% Zogby Interactive September 9–12 43.8% 50.3% 6.5 689 LV ±3.8% CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation September 7–9 46% 50% 4 920 RV ±3% WDBJ-TV Roanoke/WJHL-TV Tri-Cities/WJLA-TV Washington, D.C./WTVR-TV Richmond/ SurveyUSA/ September 5–7 47% 49% 2 717 LV ±3.7% Public Policy Polling August 20–22 47% 45% 2 1,036 LV ±3.0% Poll Position/InsiderAdvantage August 12 42.6% 43.1% 0.5 416 LV ±5% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research August 12 47% 48% 1 700 LV ±4.5% WDBJ-TV Roanoke/WJLA-TV Washington, D.C./SurveyUSA August 8–10 47% 48% 1 655 LV ±3.9% Public Policy Polling July 17–20 46% 44% 2 1,327 LV ±2.7% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research July 17 47% 48% 1 500 LV ±4.5% WDBJ-TV Roanoke/WJLA-TV Washington, D.C./SurveyUSA June 20–22 49% 47% 2 630 LV ±4% Public Policy Polling June 14–16 47% 45% 2 893 LV ±3.3% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research June 12 45% 44% 1 500 LV ±4.5% WDBJ-TV Roanoke/WJLA-TV Washington, D.C./SurveyUSA May 16–18 49% 42% 7 600 RV ±4.1% Virginia Commonwealth University May 12–18 39% 47% 8 852 RV ±4% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research May 8 44% 47% 3 500 LV ±4.5% WDBJ-TV Roanoke/WJLA-TV Washington, D.C./SurveyUSA April 11–13 44% 52% 8 515 RV ±4.4% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research March 27 41% 52% 11 500 LV ±4.5% WDBJ-TV Roanoke/WJLA-TV Washington, D.C./SurveyUSA March 14–16 48% 47% 1 520 RV ±4.4% SurveyUSA February 26–28 47% 47% Tied 629 RV ±4% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research February 19 44% 49% 5 500 LV ±4.5% WDBJ-TV Roanoke/WJLA-TV Washington, D.C./WTVR-TV Richmond/SurveyUSA February 15–17 51% 45% 6 554 RV ±4.2% WDBJ-TV Roanoke/WJLA-TV Washington, D.C./SurveyUSA January 16–17 40% 52% 12 535 RV ±4.3% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research January 3 43% 45% 2 500 LV ±4.5% WDBJ-TV Roanoke/WJLA-TV Washington, D.C./SurveyUSA December 13–15, 2007 44% 50% 6 546 RV ±4.3% WDBJ-TV Roanoke/WJLA-TV Washington, D.C./SurveyUSA November 9–11, 2007 41% 51% 10 542 RV ±4.3% SurveyUSA March 9–11, 2007 40% 51% 11 Not reported Not reported SurveyUSA February 9–11, 2007 41% 53% 12 Not reported Not reported WDBJ-TV Roanoke/SurveyUSA January 12–14, 2007 36% 57% 21 510 RV ±4.4%
Четырехсторонняя гонка
Пятисторонняя гонка
Шестиходовая гонка
показывать Источник опроса Дата администрирования (2008 г.) Barack Obama Джон Маккейн Боб Барр Ральф Нэйдер Синтия МакКинни Чак Болдуин Допуск Размер выборки Погрешность Associated Press/Roper/GfK Group October 22–26 49% 42% 0% 1% 1% 0% 7 601 LV ±4.0% Suffolk University October 3–5 51% 39% 0% 0% 0% 0% 12 600 LV ±4%
11 голосов выборщиков (демократ в 2000 и 2004 годах)
Четырехсторонняя гонка
показывать Источник опроса Дата администрирования (2008 г.) Barack Obama Джон Маккейн Боб Барр Ральф Нэйдер Допуск Размер выборки Погрешность Zogby Interactive June 11–30 48% 35% 5% 2% 13 1,373 LV ±2.7%
5 голосов выборщиков (республиканец в 2000 и 2004 годах)
Четырехсторонняя гонка
показывать Источник опроса Дата администрирования (2008 г.) Barack Obama Джон Маккейн Ральф Нэйдер Синтия МакКинни Допуск Размер выборки Погрешность CNN/Opinion Research Corporation October 19–21 41% 53% 2% 1% 12 674 LV ±4%
10 голосов выборщиков (демократ в 2000 и 2004 годах)
показывать Источник опроса Дата администрирования (2008 г.) Barack Obama Джон Маккейн Допуск Размер выборки Погрешность Polimetrix/YouGov October 18–November 1 53% 41% 12 976 RV Not reported KSTP-TV Minneapolis/WDIO-TV Duluth/WGBA-TV Green Bay/SurveyUSA October 28–29 55% 39% 16 667 LV ±3.9% University of Wisconsin (Badger Poll) October 21–28 52% 42% 10 359 LV ±5.2% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 23 51% 44% 7 500 LV ±4.5% Big Ten October 19–22 52.9% 40.5% 12.4 584 LV ±4.2% Allstate/National Journal/Financial Dynamics October 16–20 53% 40% 13 405 RV ±4.5% KSTP-TV Minneapolis/WDIO-TV Duluth/WGBA-TV Green Bay/SurveyUSA October 18–19 51% 43% 8 641 LV ±3.9% NBC News/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research October 16–17 51% 39% 12 625 LV ±4% Wisconsin Public Radio/St. Norbert College October 9–17 51% 38% 13 400 LV ±5% University of Wisconsin Milwaukee October 8–15 51.4% 36.3% 15.1 391 LV ±5.0% Washington Post/Wall Street Journal/Quinnipiac University October 8–12 54% 37% 17 1,201 LV ±2.8% Washington Post/Wall Street Journal/Quinnipiac University October 3–7 51% 43% 8 1,081 LV ±3% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research October 6 54% 44% 10 700 LV ±4% KSTP-TV Minneapolis/WDIO-TV Duluth/WGBA-TV Green Bay/SurveyUSA October 5–6 52% 42% 10 672 LV ±3.9% CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation Archived 2021-02-24 at the Wayback Machine October 3–6 51% 46% 5 859 LV ±3.5% American Research Group September 18–21 50% 45% 5 600 LV ±4% Washington Post/Wall Street Journal/Quinnipiac University September 14–21 49% 42% 7 1,313 LV ±2.7% Big Ten September 14–17 45.2% 44.3% 0.9 616 RV ±4% CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation September 14–16 50% 47% 3 950 RV ±3% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research September 15 48% 46% 2 700 LV ±4% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research August 5 51% 44% 7 500 LV ±4.5% Wisconsin Policy Research Institute August 3–4 44% 38% 6 600 LV ±4% Washington Post/Wall Street Journal/Quinnipiac University July 14–22 50% 39% 11 1,094 LV ±3% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research July 8 50% 39% 11 500 LV ±4.5% Washington Post/Wall Street Journal/Quinnipiac University June 17–24 52% 39% 13 1,537 LV ±2.5% KSTP-TV Minneapolis/WDIO-TV Duluth/SurveyUSA June 13–16 52% 43% 9 538 LV ±4.3% WisPolitics.com/University of Wisconsin June 8–10 50% 37% 13 506 LV ±4.5% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research June 5 45% 43% 2 500 LV ±4.5% KSTP-TV Minneapolis/WDIO-TV Duluth/SurveyUSA May 16–18 48% 42% 6 600 RV ±4.1% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research May 5 43% 47% 4 500 LV ±4.5% University of Wisconsin (Badger Poll) April 15–24 47% 43% 4 345 LV ±5.3% KSTP-TV Minneapolis/WDIO-TV Duluth/SurveyUSA April 11–13 49% 44% 5 541 LV ±4.3% Wisconsin Public Radio/St. Norbert College March 25–April 5 46% 42% 4 400 A ±5% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research March 26 46% 48% 2 500 LV ±4.5% KSTP-TV Minneapolis/WDIO-TV Duluth/SurveyUSA March 14–16 48% 44% 4 528 RV ±4.4% SurveyUSA February 26–28 51% 40% 11 597 RV ±4.1% Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research February 21 44% 43% 1 500 LV ±4.5% KSTP-TV Minneapolis/WDIO-TV Duluth/SurveyUSA February 15–17 52% 42% 10 537 RV ±4.3% KSTP-TV Minneapolis/WDIO-TV Duluth/SurveyUSA January 20–21 44% 46% 2 532 RV ±4.3% KSTP-TV Minneapolis/WDIO-TV Duluth/SurveyUSA December 13–15, 2007 46% 44% 2 543 RV ±4.3% KSTP-TV Minneapolis/WDIO-TV Duluth/SurveyUSA November 9–11, 2007 43% 47% 4 528 RV ±4.4% SurveyUSA March 9–11, 2007 41% 47% 6 Not reported Not reported SurveyUSA February 9–11, 2007 48% 42% 6 Not reported Not reported WDIO-TV Duluth/SurveyUSA January 12–14, 2007 44% 44% Tied 498 RV ±4.5%
Четырехсторонняя гонка
показывать Источник опроса Дата администрирования (2008 г.) Barack Obama Джон Маккейн Боб Барр Ральф Нэйдер Допуск Размер выборки Погрешность Zogby Interactive June 11–30 48% 38% 4% 1% 10 861 LV ±3.4%
3 голоса выборщиков (республиканец в 2000 и 2004 годах)
ОКОНЧАТЕЛЬНОЕ ОБНОВЛЕНИЕ: 22:32, 4 ноября 2008 г. (UTC).
Данные получены на основе Нейта Сильвера и средневзвешенных значений FiveThirtyEight.com статистического анализа опросов, который определяет, что является лучшим предположением о том, что произойдет в день выборов, а не о том, что произошло бы, если бы выборы состоялись сегодня. ( Методология ) Каждый штат окрашен в соответствии с тем, какой кандидат, по прогнозам, победит в данный момент, и указаны как общее количество голосов выборщиков штата, так и прогнозируемый перевес победившего кандидата. Фактический результат соответствует этой карте, за исключением того, что Барак Обама выиграл второй избирательный округ в Индиане и Небраске.