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Губернаторские выборы в Колорадо 2018 года

Связанные гонки см. В 2018 году на губернаторские выборы в США .

Губернаторские выборы в Колорадо 2018 года
←  2014 6 ноября 2018 года 2022  →
 
Кандидат Джаред Полис Уокер Стэплтон
Вечеринка Демократический Республиканец
Нападающий Дайан Примавера Просто Сиджа
Народное голосование 1,348,888 1,080,801
Процент 53.42% 42.80%
Polis:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Stapleton:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%      No votes
Governor before election

John Hickenlooper
Democratic

Elected Governor

Jared Polis
Democratic

Elections in Colorado
Federal government
State government
Ballot measures
Colorado Springs
Denver
El Paso County
Pueblo

Выборы губернатора в Колорадо в 2018 году состоялись 6 ноября 2018 года, чтобы избрать следующего губернатора Колорадо . Действующий Демократической партии губернатор Джон Хикенлупер был ограничен сроком срока и не мог искать третий последовательный срок. Основные выборы состоялись 26 июня. [ 1 ]

Кандидатами в основной партии были демократические представители США Джаред Полис и республиканский государственный казначей Уокер Стэплтон . Всеобщие выборы состоялись 6 ноября 2018 года, когда Полис выиграл 268 000 голосов. [ 2 ] [ 3 ] Это были первые губернаторские выборы в Колорадо, на которых оба кандидата в партии получили более миллиона голосов.

Победа Полиса ознаменовала четвертые выборы подряд, на которых Колорадо избрал губернатора -демократа и впервые в американской истории избирателей, что открыто гей -политик был избран губернатором государства.

Democratic primary

[edit]

With Hickenlooper ineligible to run for a third term in office, multiple Democratic politicians vied for the party's nomination for governor. Prior to his resignation in 2015, former lieutenant governor Joseph Garcia was seen as a probable candidate for governor in 2018.[4]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominated

[edit]

Eliminated in the primary

[edit]

Eliminated at the convention

[edit]
  • Erik Underwood, former congressional aide, Republican candidate for GA-10 in 2007 and Republican candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2016

Withdrawn

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Caucus results

[edit]

On March 6, 2018, Democrats of precincts across Colorado met and voted how many delegates each candidate who was caucusing on the ballot would get. As of March 11, 2018 at 7:30 p.m., 96.83% of precincts had reported and added up to the below results.[25]

  • Cary Kennedy (11,700; 49.2%)
  • Jared Polis (7,784; 32.7%)
  • Mike Johnston (2,086; 8.8%)
  • Noel Ginsburg (433; 1.8%), dropped out of race
  • Erik Underwood (100; 0.4%)
  • Uncommitted (1,668; 7%)

Endorsements

[edit]
Jared Polis
Mike Johnston
Cary Kennedy
Donna Lynne
Ed Perlmutter (withdrawn)

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Mike
Johnston 		Cary
Kennedy 		Donna
Lynne 		Jared
Polis 		Other Undecided
Strategies 360 May 29 – June 6, 2018 387 ± 5.0% 12% 23% 2% 34% – 29%
Magellan Strategies (R) May 30–31, 2018 503 ± 4.4% 9% 18% 3% 31% – 39%
TargetPoint/GQR March 2018 – – – 18% – 18% 12% 52%
Magellan Strategies (R) March 20–23, 2018 410 ± 4.8% 8% 23% 5% 27% 1% 36%
University of Colorado Boulder November 9–15, 2017 357 ± 3.5% 4% 6% 4% 24% 2%[43] 58%

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Polis
  Kennedy
  Johnston
Democratic primary results[44]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jared Polis 282,725 44.46
Democratic Cary Kennedy 157,098 24.71
Democratic Mike Johnston 149,717 23.55
Democratic Donna Lynne 46,316 7.28
Total votes 635,856 100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominated

[edit]

Eliminated in the primary

[edit]

Eliminated at the convention

[edit]

Withdrawn

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Caucus results

[edit]

Based on information shared by some key counties, as well as a recent survey, the following are believed to be results of the Republican Caucus from key counties.[66]

Pueblo County

Douglas County

Endorsements

[edit]
George Brauchler (withdrawn)
Tom Tancredo (withdrawn)

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Cynthia
Coffman 		Greg
Lopez 		Victor
Mitchell 		Doug
Robinson 		Walker
Stapleton 		Other Undecided
Magellan Strategies (R) June 6–7, 2018 593 ± 4.0% – 10% 23% 4% 36% – 27%
TargetPoint/GQR March 2018 – – 7% – – – 15% 16% 62%
Magellan Strategies (R) February 26–27, 2018 647 ± 3.9% 13% – 5% 8% 26% 9% 39%
Hypothetical polling

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Stapleton
  Mitchell
Republican primary results[44]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Walker Stapleton 239,415 47.66
Republican Victor Mitchell 151,365 30.13
Republican Greg Lopez 66,330 13.20
Republican Doug Robinson 45,245 9.01
Total votes 502,355 100.0

Third party and independent candidates

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

General election

[edit]

Debates

[edit]
Dates Location Polis Stapleton Link
October 6, 2018 Grand Junction, Colorado Participant Participant Full debate - C-SPAN

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[74] Lean D October 26, 2018
The Washington Post[75] Lean D November 5, 2018
FiveThirtyEight[76] Likely D November 5, 2018
Rothenberg Political Report[77] Lean D November 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[78] Lean D November 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics[79] Lean D November 4, 2018
Daily Kos[80] Lean D November 5, 2018
Fox News[81][a] Lean D November 5, 2018
Politico[82] Lean D November 5, 2018
Governing[83] Lean D November 5, 2018
Notes
  1. ^ The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races.

Endorsements

[edit]
Jared Polis (D)
Walker Stapleton (R)

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Jared
Polis
(D) 		Walker
Stapleton
(R) 		Scott
Helker
(L) 		Other Undecided
Magellan Strategies October 29–30, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 45% 40% 3% 1%[127] 11%
Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs/Martin Campaigns October 25–30, 2018 517 ± 4.3% 50% 42% 4% 1%[127] 4%
University of Colorado/YouGov October 12–17, 2018 800 ± 3.5% 54% 42% 3% – 2%
Magellan Strategies October 8–10, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 47% 40% 4% 0%[128] 9%
Keating Research/Magellan Strategies September 18–20, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 47% 40% 1% 0%[128] 11%
Kaiser Family Foundation/CO Health Foundation/SSRS August 15 – September 19, 2018 1,585 – 44% 33% – – 21%
Public Policy Polling (D-CO Democratic Party) June 27–28, 2018 608 – 47% 40% – – 13%
Strategies 360 May 29 – June 6, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 42% 37% – 3% 18%
Hypothetical polling

Results

[edit]
2018 Colorado gubernatorial election[129]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Jared Polis 1,348,888 53.42% +4.12%
Republican Walker Stapleton 1,080,801 42.80% −3.15%
Libertarian Scott Helker 69,519 2.75% +0.81%
Unity Bill Hammons 25,854 1.02% —
Majority 268,087 10.62% +7.27%
Turnout 2,525,062
Democratic hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

[edit]

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

[edit]

By congressional district

[edit]

Polis won 4 of 7 congressional districts.[130]

District Stapleton Polis Representative
1st 23.7% 73.05% Diana DeGette
2nd 34.48% 66.42% Joe Neguse
3rd 49.96% 46.26% Scott Tipton
4th 57.67% 38.11% Ken Buck
5th 56.64% 38.97% Doug Lamborn
6th 42.36% 54.29% Jason Crow
7th 38.38% 57.03% Ed Perlmutter

References

[edit]
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  85. ^ @PolisForCO (July 1, 2018). ""Healthcare. Environment & wilderness. All of the issues we care about…That's why we're here…It's about having a go…" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
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  91. ^ @DonnaLynneCO (June 27, 2018). "I want to offer my sincere congratulations to Jared Polis on his victory last night. We have had a hard fought race…" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  92. ^ @MikeJohnstonCO (June 27, 2018). "Jared Polis is an entrepreneur for good. He has earned my respect and support. With tonight's results, I hope you w…" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  93. ^ @crisantaduran (June 29, 2018). "Honored to stand w/ the next Governor of CO, @jaredpolis! Our state needs a leader w/ bold ideas who will deliver r…" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  94. ^ @AlecGarnett (June 29, 2018). "We're all behind you @jaredpolis! #copolitics #coleg @Dan_Pabon @RepPerlmutter @GovofCO @KenSalazar @crisantaduran…" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
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  97. ^ @JonMurray (September 4, 2018). "This morning @CaryKennedy is on the stump for @jaredpolis campaign for #cogov. With other Dems and activists, talki…" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  98. ^ @jaredpolis (June 27, 2018). "Thank you for all the amazing congratulatory tweets! Onwards to November! Here's my favorite text I got tonight fro…" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  99. ^ Weiser, Phil [@pweiser] (July 3, 2018). "This is leadership. I look forward to working with @jaredpolis to develop innovative solutions to improve health care for all Coloradans" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  100. ^ @GeorgeHWBush (June 27, 2018). "Happy to congratulate @WalkerStapleton on a terrific primary victory last night, and to join him in thanking those…" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
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  120. ^ Bunch, Joey (October 3, 2018). "Colorado Farm Bureau endorses Stapleton for governor". Colorado Politics.
  121. ^ "NFIB Endorses Stapleton for Governor". NFIB. October 9, 2018.
  122. ^ "EDITORIAL: Gazette election endorsements 2018: Candidates". Colorado Springs Gazette. October 14, 2018.
  123. ^ «Наши одобрения» . Durango Herald . 15 октября 2018 года. Архивировано с оригинала 17 октября 2018 года . Получено 16 октября 2018 года .
  124. ^ «Уокер Стэплтон для губернатора» . Grand Junction Daily Sentinel . 21 октября 2018 года.
  125. ^ «Одобрение Tribune: Уокер Стэплтон - наш выбор для губернатора, но он должен учиться у нынешнего жилья офиса» . Грили Трибьюн . 21 октября 2018 года.
  126. ^ «Проголосуйте за Стэплтон за губернатора» . Пуэбло вождь . 14 октября 2018 года.
  127. ^ Jump up to: а беременный Билл Хаммонс (U) с 1%
  128. ^ Jump up to: а беременный Билл Хаммонс (U) с 0%
  129. ^ Уильямс, Уэйн В. (6 декабря 2018 г.). Общенациональный реферат голосов, поданный на всеобщие выборы от 6 ноября 2018 года (PDF) . Денвер, штат Колорадо : государственный секретарь Колорадо.
  130. ^ «Ежедневные выборы на выборах в штат по всему штату в результате конгресса и законодательных округов» .
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