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2002 German federal election

2002 German federal election

← 199822 September 2002 (2002-09-22)2005 →

All 603 seats in the Bundestag
302 seats needed for a majority
Registered61,432,868 Increase 1.1%
Turnout48,582,761 (79.1%) Decrease 3.1pp
 First partySecond partyThird party
 
2004-09-13, El canciller de Alemania (cropped).jpg
Edmund Stoiber, Europapolitischer Dialog Berlin, 2003-2 (cropped).jpg
Joschka Fischer, Europapolitischer Dialog Berlin, 2003 (cropped).jpg
CandidateGerhard SchröderEdmund StoiberJoschka Fischer
PartySPDCDU/CSUGreens
Last election40.9%, 298 seats35.1%, 245 seats6.7%, 47 seats
Seats won25124855
Seat changeDecrease 47Increase 3Increase 8
Popular vote18,488,66818,482,6414,110,355
Percentage38.5%38.5%8.6%
SwingDecrease 2.4ppIncrease 3.4ppIncrease 1.9pp

 Fourth partyFifth party
 
Guido Westerwelle Headshot 2005.jpg
Foto von Gabi Zimmer.jpg
CandidateGuido WesterwelleGabi Zimmer[a]
PartyFDPPDS
Last election6.2%, 43 seats5.1%, 36 seats
Seats won472
Seat changeIncrease 4Decrease 34
Popular vote3,538,8151,916,702
Percentage7.4%4.0%
SwingIncrease 1.2ppDecrease 1.1pp

The left side shows constituency winners of the election by their party colours. The right side shows party list winners of the election for the additional members by their party colours.

Government before election

First Schröder cabinet
SPDGreen

Government after election

Second Schröder cabinet
SPDGreens

Federal elections were held in Germany on 22 September 2002 to elect the members of the 15th Bundestag. Incumbent Chancellor Gerhard Schröder's centre-left "red-green" governing coalition retained a narrow majority, and the Social Democratic Party (SPD) retained their status as the largest party in the Bundestag by three seats.

Issues and campaign

[edit]

Several issues dominated the campaign, with the opposition CDU/CSU attacking the government's performance on the economy which fell back into recession due to the Telecoms crash and the introduction of the euro, as well as campaigning on family values and against taxes (particularly on fuel).

In the run up to the election, the CSU/CDU held a huge lead in the opinion polls and Christian Social Union (CSU) leader Edmund Stoiber famously remarked that "... this election is like a football match where it's the second half and my team is ahead by 2–0."[1]

However, event soon overtook Stoiber and the CDU/CSU campaign. The SPD and the Greens were helped by broad support for its opposition to an invasion of Iraq, continued media attention on the CDU funding scandal and by Gerhard Schröder's personal popularity relative to the opposition's candidate for chancellor, Stoiber.

The SPD was also boosted by Schröder's swift response to the August floods in eastern Germany, as compared to Stoiber, who was on vacation and responded late to the events.[2][3]

With Guido Westerwelle, leader of the Free Democratic Party (FDP), the FDP presented a chancellor candidate for the first time, usually a title reserved for the main election leaders of the SPD and CDU/CSU. This was met with general derision and Westerwelle was excluded from the chancellor television debate, the first one, against which he unsuccessfully sued.

Contesting parties

[edit]

The table below lists parties represented in the 14th Bundestag:

NameIdeologyLead

candidate

1998 result
Votes (%)Seats
SPDSocial Democratic Party of Germany

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Social democracyGerhard Schröder40.9%
298 / 669
CDU/CSUCDUChristian Democratic Union of Germany
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands
Christian democracyEdmund Stoiber35.1%
245 / 669
CSUChristian Social Union in Bavaria[b]

Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern

6.2%[c]
GrüneAlliance 90/The Greens

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

Green politicsJoschka Fischer6.7%
47 / 669
FDPFree Democratic Party

Freie Demokratische Partei

Classical liberalismGuido Westerwelle6.2%
43 / 669
PDSParty of Democratic Socialism

Partei des Demokratischen Sozialismus

SocialismGabi Zimmer5.1%
36 / 669

Opinion polls

[edit]
Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
SPDUnionGrüneFDPPDSOthersLead
2002 federal election22 Sep 200238.538.58.67.44.03.00.01
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen9–12 Sep 20021,32640.037.07.07.54.54.03.0
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen2–5 Sep 20021,47638387845Tie
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen26–29 Aug 20021,254383978441
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen19–22 Aug 20021,292383979431
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen12–15 Aug 20021,068364179435
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen5–8 Aug 20021,106364169535
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen22–25 Jul 20021,262364169535
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen8–11 Jul 20021,031374068543
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen24–27 Jun 20021,281363979543
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen10–13 Jun 20021,0183539710544
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen24–29 May 20021,312354069555
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen6–9 May 20021,014364168545
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen22–25 Apr 20021,287364168545
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen8–11 Apr 20021,000364168545
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen18–21 Mar 20021,274364068644
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen4–7 Mar 20021,050374158544
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen18–21 Feb 20021,191384058542
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen4–7 Feb 20021,027394048631
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen14–17 Jan 20021,306384057642
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen8–10 Jan 20021,03839395764Tie
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen10–13 Dec 20011,254413757644
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen12–14 Nov 20011,098413857633
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen8–11 Oct 20011,250413857543
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen12–13 Sep 20011,031403857552
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen20–23 Aug 20011,245393768552
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen16–19 Jul 20011,224413559556
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen18–21 Jun 20011,237413658555
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen14–17 May 20011,266413658555
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen2–5 Apr 20011,264413866543
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen12–15 Mar 20011,264423766545
Allensbach14 Mar 200139.332.47.510.06.24.67.1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen12–15 Feb 20011,207433657547
Allensbach14 Feb 200138.732.88.09.66.14.85.9
Allensbach24 Jan 200139.133.17.39.76.34.56.0
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen15–18 Jan 20011,276413866543
Allensbach20 Dec 200038.135.27.49.66.03.72.9
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen11–14 Dec 20001,271413866543
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen13–16 Nov 20001,259413866543
Allensbach15 Nov 200037.833.87.49.66.15.34.0
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen16–19 Oct 20001,294413766554
Allensbach18 Oct 200038.034.06.99.56.05.64.0
Allensbach27 Sep 200039.033.17.49.86.24.55.9
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen18–21 Sep 20001,174403866552
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen21–24 Aug 20001,219423667546
Allensbach16 Aug 200039.032.46.910.16.35.36.6
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen24–27 Jul 20001,255403857552
Allensbach19 Jul 200037.132.37.111.56.85.24.8
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen23 Jun 2000383967551
Allensbach14 Jun 200035.933.07.911.16.55.62.9
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen19 May 2000403767553
Allensbach19 Apr 200038.632.08.48.47.15.56.6
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen14 Apr 2000423666556
Allensbach22 Mar 200039.831.38.57.97.15.48.5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen17 Mar 2000433566558
Allensbach23 Feb 200040.331.38.07.76.76.09.0
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen18 Feb 2000423576647
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen21 Jan 2000394065641
Allensbach19 Jan 200036.937.87.56.36.55.00.9
Infratest dimap24 Dec 1999354365748
Infratest dimap18 Dec 19993545656310
Emnid17 Dec 1999373975662
Forsa16 Dec 1999374265645
Allensbach15 Dec 199932.341.67.56.47.15.19.3
Infratest dimap11 Dec 19993445755411
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen10 Dec 1999364554649
Emnid10 Dec 1999364065774
Forsa9 Dec 19993445656411
Infratest dimap4 Dec 19993247556515
Emnid3 Dec 19993344557611
Forsa2 Dec 19993445547511
Infratest dimap27 Nov 19993148547517
Emnid26 Nov 19993246547614
Forsa25 Nov 19993347547414
Infratest dimap20 Nov 19993148656417
Emnid19 Nov 19993245647613
Forsa18 Nov 19993346646513
Allensbach17 Nov 199930.444.76.96.96.84.314.3
Infratest dimap13 Nov 19993049656419
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen12 Nov 19993348546415
Emnid12 Nov 19993245647613
Forsa11 Nov 19993245557613
Infratest dimap6 Nov 19993049656519
Emnid5 Nov 19993345547612
Forsa4 Nov 19993147547616
Infratest dimap30 Oct 19993049558319
Emnid29 Oct 19993345547612
Forsa28 Oct 19993444548510
Infratest dimap23 Oct 19993048658318
Emnid22 Oct 19993347647314
Forsa21 Oct 19993344548611
Infratest dimap16 Oct 19993148657317
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen15 Oct 19993347646414
Emnid15 Oct 19993246556614
Forsa14 Oct 19993343648610
Allensbach13 Oct 199930.844.56.85.97.24.813.7
Infratest dimap9 Oct 19993148657317
Emnid8 Oct 1999354464659
Forsa7 Oct 1999344364769
Infratest dimap2 Oct 19993148647417
Emnid1 Oct 19993444557510
Forsa30 Sep 19993345656512
Infratest dimap25 Sep 19993148657317
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen24 Sep 19993447555413
Emnid24 Sep 19993345556612
Forsa23 Sep 19993246656514
Infratest dimap18 Sep 19993247656415
Emnid17 Sep 1999354464659
Forsa16 Sep 19993147657416
Allensbach15 Sep 199932.942.07.26.67.04.39.1
Infratest dimap11 Sep 19993346655513
Emnid10 Sep 1999354365658
Forsa9 Sep 19993148557417
Infratest dimap4 Sep 19993246765414
Emnid3 Sep 1999354356658
Forsa2 Sep 19993345756412
Infratest dimap28 Aug 19993247656415
Emnid27 Aug 1999354266657
Forsa26 Aug 19993247656415
Infratest dimap21 Aug 19993247656415
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen20 Aug 1999364555549
Emnid20 Aug 1999354365658
Forsa19 Aug 19993445557411
Allensbach18 Aug 199932.642.27.46.66.05.29.6
Infratest dimap14 Aug 19993346656413
Emnid13 Aug 1999354365658
Forsa12 Aug 19993346556513
Infratest dimap7 Aug 19993346656413
Emnid6 Aug 1999354365568
Forsa5 Aug 19993444666410
Infratest dimap31 Jul 19993345756412
Emnid30 Jul 1999364366547
Forsa29 Jul 19993346566513
Infratest dimap24 Jul 19993345756412
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen23 Jul 1999384455536
Emnid23 Jul 1999364264666
Forsa22 Jul 19993246566514
Allensbach21 Jul 199932.643.36.77.05.94.510.7
Infratest dimap17 Jul 19993444656510
Emnid16 Jul 1999374355646
Forsa15 Jul 19993245576513
Infratest dimap10 Jul 1999354465559
Emnid9 Jul 1999364254666
Forsa8 Jul 19993345656512
Infratest dimap3 Jul 19993345656512
Emnid2 Jul 1999364355567
Forsa1 Jul 19993346655513
Infratest dimap26 Jun 19993345656512
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen25 Jun 1999384455446
Emnid25 Jun 1999374255565
Forsa24 Jun 19993245656613
Infratest dimap19 Jun 19993346755413
Emnid18 Jun 1999374156564
Forsa17 Jun 19993445646511
Allensbach16 Jun 199935.639.76.67.75.84.64.1
1999 European election13 Jun 199930.748.76.43.05.85.418.0
Infratest dimap12 Jun 1999374365546
Emnid11 Jun 1999394166532
Forsa10 Jun 19993444655610
Infratest dimap5 Jun 19993445656411
Emnid4 Jun 1999374166554
Forsa3 Jun 19993444566510
Infratest dimap29 May 1999364365637
Emnid28 May 1999384065652
Forsa27 May 1999354356658
Infratest dimap22 May 1999354475639
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen21 May 1999404255442
Emnid21 May 1999394065651
Forsa20 May 19993343666610
Allensbach19 May 199937.336.87.87.05.95.20.5
Infratest dimap15 May 1999364465549
Emnid14 May 1999384066552
Forsa12 May 1999344366659
Infratest dimap8 May 1999374265645
Emnid7 May 1999394065651
Forsa6 May 1999354266657
Infratest dimap1 May 1999374255655
Emnid30 Apr 199939396556Tie
Forsa29 Apr 1999374266545
Infratest dimap24 Apr 1999354365658
Emnid23 Apr 1999403965551
Forsa22 Apr 1999384156643
Infratest dimap17 Apr 1999364365647
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen16 Apr 199941415544Tie
Emnid16 Apr 1999394065551
Forsa15 Apr 1999374265645
Allensbach14 Apr 199937.637.96.57.55.55.00.3
Infratest dimap10 Apr 1999354365658
Emnid9 Apr 1999384065652
Forsa8 Apr 1999374364556
Infratest dimap3 Apr 1999364365647
Forsa1 Apr 19993444656510
Infratest dimap27 Mar 1999364375637
Emnid26 Mar 1999384066552
Forsa25 Mar 19993444756410
Infratest dimap20 Mar 1999384365535
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen19 Mar 199941415544Tie
Emnid19 Mar 1999394165562
Forsa18 Mar 1999354375558
Allensbach17 Mar 199937.038.76.87.45.74.41.7
Infratest dimap13 Mar 1999384265544
Emnid12 Mar 1999394066541
Forsa11 Mar 1999374275545
Infratest dimap6 Mar 1999384165553
Emnid5 Mar 1999394065551
Forsa4 Mar 1999384165553
Infratest dimap27 Feb 1999404165441
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen26 Feb 1999423964453
Emnid26 Feb 1999394066541
Forsa25 Feb 1999374266455
Infratest dimap20 Feb 1999394165542
Emnid19 Feb 199940406554Tie
Forsa18 Feb 1999384165553
Infratest dimap13 Feb 1999384165553
Emnid12 Feb 1999403865562
Forsa11 Feb 1999384066552
Infratest dimap6 Feb 1999403975541
Emnid5 Feb 1999413775554
Forsa4 Feb 199939396655Tie
Infratest dimap30 Jan 1999413965452
Emnid29 Jan 1999393876551
Forsa28 Jan 199939397555Tie
Infratest dimap23 Jan 199940406554Tie
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen22 Jan 1999443764457
Emnid22 Jan 1999403865562
Forsa21 Jan 1999393875561
Infratest dimap16 Jan 1999413976432
Emnid15 Jan 1999413676645
Forsa14 Jan 1999393775662
Infratest dimap9 Jan 1999413975442
Emnid8 Jan 1999403766563
Forsa7 Jan 1999393775572
Emnid2 Jan 1999413766554
Infratest dimap19 Dec 1998403885542
Emnid18 Dec 1998403765573
Forsa17 Dec 1998403765573
Allensbach16 Dec 199839.436.37.26.03.1
Infratest dimap12 Dec 1998393886541
Emnid11 Dec 1998403765573
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen11 Dec 1998443674458
Forsa10 Dec 1998383965661
Infratest dimap5 Dec 199839397555Tie
Emnid4 Dec 1998403766563
Forsa3 Dec 1998383975561
Infratest dimap28 Nov 1998423775545
Emnid27 Nov 1998393676563
Forsa26 Nov 199838387557Tie
Infratest dimap21 Nov 1998423775545
Emnid20 Nov 1998403765573
Forsa19 Nov 1998393776652
Infratest dimap14 Nov 1998413776544
Emnid13 Nov 1998423566567
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen13 Nov 1998443574469
Forsa12 Nov 1998393866651
Infratest dimap7 Nov 1998423775545
Emnid6 Nov 1998413665575
Forsa5 Nov 1998393876551
Infratest dimap31 Oct 1998413676555
Emnid30 Oct 1998393776562
Forsa29 Oct 199839396655Tie
Infratest dimap24 Oct 1998403687544
Emnid23 Oct 1998423566567
Infratest dimap17 Oct 1998403687544
Emnid16 Oct 1998413566576
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen16 Oct 1998443565469
Infratest dimap10 Oct 1998423676546
Emnid9 Oct 1998423566567
Infratest dimap2 Oct 1998413676555
1998 federal election27 Sep 199840.935.16.76.25.15.95.8

Results

[edit]

Although most opposition parties gained seats, and the result was in doubt for most of the election night, the governing coalition retained a narrow majority. In particular, the SPD was able to partially offset declines in their vote share in the West with an increase in the East, with the PDS falling below both the 5% threshold and the 3-seat threshold, either of which is required to qualify a party for top-up seats. Consequently, the PDS held only two directly elected seats.

PartyParty-listConstituencyTotal
seats
+/–
Votes%SeatsVotes%Seats
Social Democratic Party18,488,66838.528020,059,96741.93171251−47
Christian Democratic Union14,167,56129.5210815,336,51232.0682190−8
Christian Social Union[b]4,315,0808.99154,311,1789.014358+11
Alliance 90/The Greens4,110,3558.56542,693,7945.63155+8
Free Democratic Party3,538,8157.37472,752,7965.75047+4
Party of Democratic Socialism1,916,7023.9902,079,2034.3522−34
Party for a Rule of Law Offensive400,4760.830120,3300.2500New
The Republicans280,6710.58055,9470.12000
National Democratic Party215,2320.450103,2090.22000
Human Environment Animal Protection159,6550.3308,8580.02000
The Grays – Gray Panthers114,2240.24075,4900.16000
Party of Bible-abiding Christians101,6450.21071,1060.15000
Ecological Democratic Party56,8980.12056,5930.12000
Feminist Party36,8320.0802,2640.00000
Family Party30,0450.06015,1380.03000
Bürgerrechtsbewegung Solidarität16,9580.04022,5310.05000
Christian Centre15,4400.0302,4130.01000
Bavaria Party9,3790.0206,7570.01000
Party for Pension Justice and Family7,4990.0204,3630.0100New
Departure for Civil Rights, Freedom and Health4,6970.0102,8950.0100New
Centre Party3,1270.0101,8230.00000
Humanist Party2,4850.0101,3850.00000
The Violets2,4120.0108400.0000New
Communist Party of Germany1,6240.0006860.00000
German Social Union6,0030.01000
German Communist Party3,9530.01000
Freedom Party2,0030.00000
Alliance for Germany5710.00000
Independents and voter groups43,1160.09000
Total47,996,480100.0030447,841,724100.00299603−66
Valid votes47,996,48098.7947,841,72498.47
Invalid/blank votes586,2811.21741,0371.53
Total votes48,582,761100.0048,582,761100.00
Registered voters/turnout61,432,86879.0861,432,86879.08
Source: Bundeswahlleiter
Seat results – SPD in red, Greens in green, PDS in purple, FDP in yellow, CDU/CSU in black

Results by state

[edit]

Second vote (Zweitstimme, or votes for party list)

State results in %SPDCDU/CSU[b]GRÜNEFDPPDSall others
 Baden-Württemberg33.542.811.47.81.03.5
 Bavaria26.158.67.64.50.72.5
 Berlin36.625.914.66.611.44.9
 Brandenburg46.422.34.55.817.23.8
 Bremen48.624.615.06.72.22.9
 Hamburg42.028.116.26.82.14.8
 Hesse39.737.110.78.21.33.0
 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern41.730.33.55.416.32.8
 Lower Saxony47.834.57.37.11.02.3
 North Rhine-Westphalia43.035.18.99.41.22.4
 Rhineland-Palatinate38.240.37.99.31.03.3
 Saarland46.035.07.66.41.43.6
 Saxony33.333.64.67.316.24.9
 Saxony-Anhalt43.229.03.47.614.42.4
 Schleswig-Holstein42.936.09.48.01.32.4
 Thuringia39.929.44.35.917.03.5

Constituency seats

[edit]
StateTotal
seats
Seats won
SPDCDUCSUPDSGrüne
Baden-Württemberg37730
Bavaria44143
Berlin12921
Brandenburg1010
Bremen22
Hamburg66
Hesse21174
Lower Saxony29254
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern752
North Rhine-Westphalia644519
Rhineland-Palatinate1578
Saarland44
Saxony17413
Saxony-Anhalt1010
Schleswig-Holstein11101
Thuringia1091
Total299171824321

List seats

[edit]
StateTotal
seats
Seats won
CDUSPDGrüneFDPCSU
Baden-Württemberg3942096
Bavaria51257415
Berlin11632
Brandenburg6411
Bremen211
Hamburg7421
Hesse2313154
Lower Saxony3418655
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern321
North Rhine-Westphalia7030151213
Rhineland-Palatinate155523
Saarland5311
Saxony12822
Saxony-Anhalt8611
Schleswig-Holstein11722
Thuringia7511
Total30410880544715

Post-election

[edit]

The coalition between the SPD and the Greens continued in government, with Schröder as chancellor. However, due to the slim majority in the Bundestag, the governing coalition was not stable.

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ Zimmer was federal chairwoman of the PDS. She was one of four lead candidates appointed by the party congress. The others were Roland Claus, Dietmar Bartsch, and Petra Pau.
  2. ^ Jump up to: a b c The Christian Democratic Union and the Christian Social Union of Bavaria call themselves sister parties. They do not compete against each other in the same geographical regions and they form one group within the Bundestag.
  3. ^ CSU received 47.7% in Bavaria. It only fields candidates in Bavaria, where the CDU does not field candidates.

References

[edit]
  1. ^ Jess Smee (17 January 2007), Stoiber quits after snooping row Archived 16 October 2021 at the Wayback Machine The Guardian.
  2. ^ "Flooding makes a delight out of crisis for Schroder". The Irish Times. 24 August 2002. Archived from the original on 19 July 2021. Retrieved 21 July 2021.
  3. ^ "Looking Back at the 2002 Election". dw.com. Archived from the original on 21 July 2021. Retrieved 21 July 2021.

Further reading

[edit]

Sources

[edit]
[edit]
Arc.Ask3.Ru: конец переведенного документа.
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2002 German federal election - Wikipedia
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