Выборы в Сенат США 2018 г. в штате Мэн
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Оказаться | 59.96% | ||||||||||||||||||||
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King: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Brakey: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Maine |
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Выборы в Сенат США в штате Мэн в 2018 году прошли 6 ноября 2018 года одновременно с выборами губернатора , выборами в Палату представителей США , а также другими выборами в штатах и местных органах власти. Действующий независимый сенатор Ангус Кинг выиграл переизбрание на второй срок, победив кандидата от Демократической партии Зака Рингельштейна и от Республиканской партии кандидата Эрика Брейки . Это было одно из двух независимых мест в Сенате, выставленных на выборы в штате, который Хиллари Клинтон выиграла на президентских выборах 2016 года .
Первичные выборы состоялись 12 июня 2018 года. [ 1 ]
The U.S. Senate elections were conducted with ranked-choice voting, as opposed to a simple plurality, after Maine voters passed a citizen referendum approving the change in 2016[2] and a June 2018 referendum sustaining the change.[3] Ranked choice voting was used in the primary elections as well.[4] В первом туре каждых выборов было получено большинство, и не было необходимости проводить немедленный второй тур.
Background
[edit]A part of New England, Maine was once a bastion of the Republican Party, and was one of two states to vote against Franklin Roosevelt all four times he ran for president. Lyndon Johnson won the state in 1964, and Hubert Humphrey carried it in 1968 before the state reverted to form and reestablished a GOP voting streak that lasted until the 1990s. With the GOP progressively becoming more culturally conservative, the state began moving toward the Democrats, and Bill Clinton carried it in 1992. Clinton's win established a Democratic winning streak that lasted until Donald Trump won an electoral vote from the state's second congressional district in 2016 despite losing the rest of the state.[5]
The state has a tradition of electing various independent candidates to high office, such as Angus King, who served as governor of the state from 1995 to 2003. In 2012, King's decision to run for the Senate seat being vacated by Republican Olympia Snowe dramatized the battle for the Senate, as he left open whether he would caucus with the Republicans or the Democrats.[6] He eventually decided to caucus with the Democrats and has established a center-left voting record.[7]
Independents
[edit]King said his reelection plans would not be affected by treatment for prostate cancer, which he announced he had on June 22, 2015.[8]
Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Angus King, incumbent U.S. Senator[9]
Republican primary
[edit]On January 12, 2015, Maine Governor Paul LePage made a statement on Howie Carr's radio program that he might run for U.S. Senate against King, citing King's switching his endorsement in the 2014 gubernatorial election from independent candidate Eliot Cutler to Democratic candidate Mike Michaud as a "horrible thing to do".[10] The next day, LePage said his comment was a joke,[9] though on an August 25, 2015 appearance on Carr's program, he said he was "very strongly" considering running, citing King's caucusing with Senate Democrats.[11] LePage also criticized King for his involvement in the Maine wind energy industry, saying King "ripped us off by $104 million during his eight years as governor – he ripped us off, royally, and I can’t wait until 2018 because I’m thinking that’s the guy I'm going after." A spokesman for King dismissed LePage's criticism.[12]
On May 10, 2016, LePage announced at a town hall meeting in Oakland that he would run against King unless he was hired by the Donald Trump administration.[13] On May 10, 2017, LePage decided not to run; his spokesman said he preferred to focus on being governor.[14] On July 20, 2017, LePage again said he "might" challenge King.[15] Trump personally encouraged LePage to run and offered his endorsement.[16] LePage did not file to run by the March 15, 2018 deadline.[17][18]
Eric Brakey's campaign successfully contested 258 signatures to Max Linn's petitions to appear on the primary ballot, which meant that Linn had 10 fewer signatures than the 2,000 needed to be on the ballot. Maine Secretary of State Matthew Dunlap then declared Linn ineligible to be a candidate, although it was too late to remove Linn's name from the ballot. Voters were informed of Linn's status when they voted, and any votes cast for him were counted as blanks.[19] Nevertheless, Linn's campaign was active on Twitter and placed campaign signs along roads in Maine. Linn signs were also seen in New Hampshire, including in Dover. Dover city officials said they would remove the signs upon request if Linn's campaign did not remove them, because Linn is not a candidate in a New Hampshire election and because the signs were placed improperly.[20] Linn appealed the decision to disqualify him to U.S. District Court in Portland, but Judge Nancy Torresen rejected Linn's request for an injunction to bar Dunlap from informing voters he is ineligible. Linn subsequently announced he would run against U.S. Senator Susan Collins in the 2020 Republican primary election.[21]
Candidates
[edit]On the ballot
[edit]Declared ineligible
[edit]- Max Linn, financial planner, Reform nominee for Governor of Florida in 2006 and Democratic candidate for FL-10 in 2008[23][19]
Declined
[edit]- Mark Holbrook, clinical psychologist and nominee for ME-01 in 2016 (ran for ME-01)[24]
- Paul LePage, Governor[25]
Endorsements
[edit]Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Eric Brakey | 59,853 | 58.92% | |
Republican | Blank ballots | 41,732 | 41.08% | |
Total votes | 101,585 | 100.00% |
Democratic primary
[edit]The Democratic primary race initially included both teacher Zak Ringelstein and homebuilder Benjamin Pollard, but Pollard withdrew to run as an independent two days after Ringelstein announced a list of 16 endorsements from Democratic state legislators.[34] Ringelstein was the only major-party candidate for Senate to be a dues-paying member of the Democratic Socialists of America in 2018.[35]
Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Zak Ringelstein, teacher and founder of UClass[36]
Withdrawn
[edit]Declined
[edit]- Cynthia Dill, former state senator and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2012[38]
- Diane Russell, former state representative (ran for governor)[39]
Endorsements
[edit]Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Zak Ringelstein | 89,841 | 67.65% | |
Democratic | Blank ballots | 42,955 | 32.35% | |
Total votes | 132,795 | 100.00% |
Libertarian primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Failed to make ballot
[edit]General election
[edit]Candidates
[edit]- Angus King, incumbent (I)
- Eric Brakey, state senator (R)
- Zak Ringelstein, teacher and founder of UClass (D)
Endorsements
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[76] | Safe I | October 26, 2018 |
Inside Elections[77] | Safe I | November 1, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[78] | Safe I | November 5, 2018 |
Fox News[79][a] | Likely I | November 5, 2018 |
CNN[80] | Solid I | November 5, 2018 |
RealClearPolitics[81] | Safe I | November 5, 2018 |
- Notes
- ^ The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
RCV round |
Angus King (I) |
Eric Brakey (R) |
Zak Ringelstein (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College[82] | October 27–29, 2018 | 883 | ± 3.5% | Round 1 | 50% | 37% | 6% | 7% |
Critical Insights (R-Brakey)[83] | October 8–16, 2018 | 600 | ± 3.9% | Round 1 | 41% | 27% | 7% | 23% |
Pan Atlantic Research[84] | October 1–7, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | Round 1 | 57% | 30% | 8% | 5% |
Self-Made Insights (R-Brakey)[85] | September 27–30, 2018 | 750 | ± 3.4% | Round 1 | 47% | 36% | 8% | – |
Suffolk University[86] | August 2–6, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | Round 1 | 52% | 25% | 9% | 15% |
Round 2[87] | 58% | 27% | – | 15% |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Independent | Angus King (incumbent) | 344,575 | 54.31% | +1.42% | |
Republican | Eric Brakey | 223,502 | 35.23% | +4.48% | |
Democratic | Zak Ringelstein | 66,268 | 10.45% | −2.81% | |
Write-in | 64 | 0.01% | N/A | ||
Total votes | 634,409 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
Independent hold |
By county
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By Congressional district
[edit]King won both congressional districts, which both elected Democrats.[91]
District | King | Brakey | Ringelstein | Representative |
---|---|---|---|---|
1st | 57.73% | 30.39% | 11.88% | Chellie Pingree |
2nd | 50.28% | 40.97% | 8.75% | Jared Golden |
See also
[edit]References
[edit]- ^ "United States Senate election in Maine, 2018 - Ballotpedia". Retrieved December 23, 2017.
- ^ "Maine became the first state in the country Tuesday to pass ranked choice voting". Boston Globe. November 10, 2016. Retrieved November 17, 2016.
- ^ "Maine Voters Overrule Their Leaders". The Atlantic. June 15, 2018. Retrieved June 24, 2018.
- ^ "Ranked-choice voting fans hope Maine's experiment pays off". Miami Herald. June 21, 2018. Archived from the original on June 25, 2018. Retrieved October 22, 2018.
- ^ "Maine Presidential Election Voting History - 270toWin". 270toWin.com. Retrieved March 31, 2023.
- ^ Weisman, Jonathan (May 6, 2012). "Senate Control Could Hinge on Angus King of Maine". The New York Times.
- ^ "Angus King". Ballotpedia. Retrieved March 31, 2023.
- ^ Brogan, Beth (June 22, 2015). "Sen. Angus King to have surgery for prostate cancer". Bangor Daily News. Retrieved June 22, 2015.
- ^ Jump up to: a b "LePage says comment about Senate run a joke". WMTW-TV. January 13, 2015. Retrieved June 22, 2015.
- ^ Miller, Kevin (January 12, 2015). "LePage says he's considering Senate run against King". WMTW-TV. Retrieved June 22, 2015.
- ^ Thistle, Scott (August 25, 2015). "LePage tells Howie Carr he may challenge Angus King in 2018". Bangor Daily News. Retrieved August 25, 2015.
- ^ Graham, Gillian (April 13, 2016). "LePage giving 'very serious thought' to challenging King for Senate seat". Portland Press Herald. Retrieved April 15, 2016.
- ^ "Gov. LePage says he'll take on Angus King". WGME-TV. May 11, 2016. Retrieved May 11, 2016.
- ^ Cousins, Christopher (May 10, 2017). "LePage won't oppose Angus King for U.S. Senate in 2018". Bangor Daily News. Retrieved May 10, 2017.
- ^ Kaczynski, Andrew (July 20, 2017). "Maine Gov. Paul LePage says he might change his mind and run for Senate". CNN.
- ^ Dawsey, Josh (December 6, 2017). "Trump wants LePage to challenge King in U.S. Senate race in Maine". The Washington Post. Retrieved December 7, 2017.
- ^ "All Upcoming Deadlines - Maine Ethics Commission". www.maine.gov. Archived from the original on March 17, 2018. Retrieved March 17, 2018.
- ^ "Search results - FEC.gov". FEC.gov.
- ^ Jump up to: a b Collins, Steve (February 1, 2018). "Bar Harbor financial planner jumps into race to challenge King". Kennebec Journal. Retrieved February 3, 2018.
- ^ Miller, Kevin (May 31, 2018). "Disqualified in Maine, Max Linn now has campaign signs in New Hampshire". Portland Press Herald. Retrieved June 3, 2018.
- ^ Thistle, Scott (June 8, 2018). "Federal judge rejects Max Linn's effort to run in Maine Republican primary". Portland Press Herald. Retrieved June 8, 2018.
- ^ Shepherd, Michael (April 3, 2017). "GOP state senator Eric Brakey kicks off underdog 2018 bid to unseat Angus King". Bangor Daily News. Retrieved April 25, 2017.
- ^ Thistle, Scott (April 24, 2018). "More bogus petition signatures end Republican Max Linn's run for U.S. Senate". Portland Press Herald. Retrieved April 25, 2018.
- ^ Collins, Steve (September 5, 2017). "Holbrook says he looked at running for U.S. Senate but will stay in U.S. House race". Sun Journal. Retrieved June 14, 2020.
- ^ "Paul LePage won't run for Senate in 2018". The Boston Globe.
- ^ "Huge endorsement today from Ted Cruz, he knows that Eric Brakey for U.S. Senate is the only candidate in this election that will stand up for individual liberties and personal freedom". July 30, 2018. Retrieved July 31, 2018.
- ^ Jump up to: a b "Rand Paul backs libertarian-leaning Republican Eric Brakey for U.S. Senate". Archived from the original on May 3, 2017. Retrieved May 2, 2017.
- ^ Jump up to: a b "LePage Endorses Brakey's U.S. Senate Run". June 9, 2018. Retrieved June 11, 2018.
- ^ Jump up to: a b RonPaulLibertyReport (April 12, 2017). "Liberty In Maine - With US Senate Candidate Eric Brakey" – via YouTube.
- ^ Jump up to: a b "Former Maine GOP chair endorses Brakey for U.S. Senate". themainewire.com. September 7, 2017.
- ^ Jump up to: a b "Austin Petersen on Facebook". Facebook. July 12, 2017. Retrieved July 12, 2017.
- ^ Jump up to: a b Clay, Henry. "Interview With GOP Senate Candidate Eric Brakey". www.ceccpointnews.com. Archived from the original on January 21, 2018. Retrieved January 20, 2018.
- ^ "2018 Maine Republican primary election results". Retrieved June 12, 2019.
- ^ Collins, Steve (March 2, 2018). "Benjamin Pollard quits Democrats, plans independent bid for U.S. Senate". Portland Press Herald. Retrieved March 8, 2018.
- ^ Peoples, Steve (July 21, 2018). "Democratic socialism, with Kaniela Ing in the mix, surges in the age of Trump". Honolulu Star Advertiser. Retrieved July 22, 2018.
- ^ "Educator Ringelstein declares candidacy for U.S. Senate seat". WGME. October 6, 2017. Retrieved October 29, 2017.
- ^ "Pollard quits Democrats, plans independent bid for U.S. Senate seat - Lewiston Sun Journal". March 2, 2018.
- ^ Griffiths, Shawn M. (January 13, 2017). "Diane Russell Considers 2018 US Senate Run". IVN News. Archived from the original on January 16, 2017. Retrieved January 14, 2017.
- ^ "Former Portland state Rep. Diane Russell joins governor's race". August 10, 2017.
- ^ Jump up to: a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao ap aq ar "Ringelstein for Maine - Endorsements". Archived from the original on May 19, 2018. Retrieved May 18, 2018.
- ^ Jump up to: a b Emerson, Anthony [@AnthonyEmerso14] (September 7, 2018). "Former gubernatorial candidate @BetsySweetMaine endorsed @RingelsteinME at an event last evening. Ringelstein called her "one of [his] political heroes." #mepolitics" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ Jump up to: a b "Maine Teacher Could Unseat Millionaire Incumbent Senator" – via www.youtube.com.
- ^ Jump up to: a b 2018 U.S. Senate and House Candidates Archived January 11, 2018, at the Wayback Machine, January 22, 2018
- ^ "Democratic Socialists of America Endorses Ringelstein". US News. August 17, 2018. Retrieved March 31, 2023.
- ^ Jump up to: a b Press Release: Southern Maine DSA Endorses Zak Ringelstein in June primary for US Senate[permanent dead link], March 27, 2018
- ^ Jump up to: a b "Local Berniecrats ME on Twitter".
- ^ Jump up to: a b Indivisible Lincoln County Endorsement, May 31, 2018
- ^ Jump up to: a b Political Revolution Endorsement, June 9, 2018
- ^ Jump up to: a b Zak Ringelstein Our Endorsement Archived June 25, 2018, at the Wayback Machine, June 23, 2018
- ^ "2018 Maine Democratic primary election results". Retrieved June 12, 2019.
- ^ "Brunswick resident seeks Libertarian Party nomination". The Times Record. August 8, 2017. Archived from the original on August 15, 2017. Retrieved August 15, 2017.
- ^ Angus King [@AngusforMaine] (October 11, 2018). ""I strongly support his reelection to the U.S. Senate." -- Adam Cote, Major (Ret.), Veteran of Bosnia, Iraq and Afghanistan" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ Jump up to: a b Acquisto, Alex (August 17, 2018). "Mitchell, Cohen decry "dysfunctional Congress" at Angus King event". Bangor Daily News.
- ^ Jump up to: a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah "Independents, Democrats, Republicans Agree: King is Leader Maine Needs". July 27, 2018. Archived from the original on October 5, 2018. Retrieved October 11, 2018.
- ^ End Citizens United endorses Angus King for U.S. Senate, July 7, 2017
- ^ "King Civil Rights Record Secures Support of EqualityMaine" (Press release). Angusformaine.com. September 7, 2018.
- ^ "Human Rights Campaign Calls King: 'Lifelong Fighter for Civil Rights'". Angus for Maine. June 29, 2018. Archived from the original on October 6, 2018. Retrieved July 31, 2018.
- ^ "2018 Senate Endorsees". JStreetPAC. Archived from the original on June 16, 2018. Retrieved August 1, 2018.
- ^ "LCV Action Fund Endorses Senator Angus King for Re-Election". League of Conservation Voters. July 2, 2018.
- ^ "King Campaign Announces Endorsement of the Maine Education Association". Angus for Maine. June 25, 2018. Archived from the original on October 6, 2018. Retrieved July 31, 2018.
- ^ "Candidates We Endorse and Support". NCPSSM. Retrieved March 31, 2023.
- ^ "List of Endorsements: 2018 Election". Planned Parenthood. June 26, 2018. Archived from the original on September 16, 2018. Retrieved July 31, 2018.
- ^ "Population Connection Action Fund Endorsements". Population Connection. Archived from the original on April 5, 2018. Retrieved October 27, 2018.
- ^ "Maine Firefighters Endorse Senator King: "Angus King has stood with us every step of the way."". Angus for Maine. June 27, 2018. Archived from the original on October 6, 2018. Retrieved July 31, 2018.
- ^ "Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide: Endorsements". March 19, 2021.
- ^ "Angus King has earned another term in the US Senate". October 17, 2018.
- ^ "Our Endorsement: Editorial Board backs 2nd term for Sen. King". CentralMaine.com. October 23, 2018. Retrieved October 31, 2018.
- ^ "Our Endorsement: Editorial Board backs second term for Sen. Angus King". October 23, 2018.
- ^ Maine College Republicans [@MaineCR] (July 30, 2018). "Huge endorsement today from @tedcruz, he knows that @SenatorBrakey is the only candidate in this election that will stand up for individual liberties and personal freedom #mepolitics" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ Bleiberg, Jake (September 13, 2018). "Donald Trump Jr. coming to Maine to support Brakey". Bangor Daily News.
- ^ "Log In or Sign Up to View". www.facebook.com.
- ^ Helms, Andrew (October 10, 2018). "Meet the Couple Making Propaganda for a New Generation of Socialist Politicians". The Ringer.
- ^ "Brand New Congress". www.facebook.com.
- ^ Democratic Socialists of America [@DemSocialists] (August 16, 2018). "DSA is proud to announce national endorsements for 13 incredible candidates running for local, state, and federal office" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ "It's Time To Vote: Phoenix Endorsements for the 2018 Elections". ConwayDailySun.com. November 1, 2018. Retrieved November 1, 2018.
- ^ "2018 Senate Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 23, 2018.
- ^ "2018 Senate Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
- ^ "2018 Crystal Ball Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
- ^ "2018 Senate Power Rankings". Fox News. Retrieved July 10, 2018.
- ^ "Key Races: Senate". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
- ^ "Battle for the Senate 2018". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Critical Insights (R-Brakey)
- ^ Pan Atlantic Research
- ^ Self-Made Insights (R-Brakey)
- ^ Suffolk University Archived November 7, 2018, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ In the actual election, no second round of vote tabulating would be needed if a candidate won 50% of the vote in the first round.
- ^ Colby College/Boston Globe
- ^ University of New Hampshire
- ^ "Tabulation of Official Results for 2018 US Senate race — Maine Secretary of State". Retrieved March 31, 2023.
- ^ LePage, Paul R. "Maine Certificate of Ascertainment 2016" (PDF). Archived (PDF) from the original on October 19, 2020. Retrieved January 11, 2020.
External links
[edit]- Candidates at Vote Smart
- Candidates at Ballotpedia
- Финансирование избирательной кампании в FEC
- Финансирование кампании в OpenSecrets
Официальные сайты кампании