Выборы президента США 2020 года в Миссури
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| Elections in Missouri |
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Президентские выборы в США 2020 года в Миссури состоялись во вторник, 3 ноября 2020 года, в рамках президентских выборов в США 2020 года, в которых приняли участие все 50 штатов, а также округ Колумбия . [1] Избиратели штата Миссури выбрали избирателей, которые представляли бы их в Коллегии выборщиков , путем всенародного голосования, противопоставив Республиканской партии кандидата от Дональда Трампа , действующего президента Флориды . и его кандидата в вице-президента Майка Пенса из Индианы , кандидату от Демократической партии , бывшему вице-президенту Джо Байдену Делавэра Камалы и его кандидата на пост вице-президента, сенатора Харрис от Калифорнии . Миссури имеет 10 голосов выборщиков в Коллегии выборщиков. [2]
Трамп снова выиграл Миссури с перевесом в 15,4%. Это было на 3,1% ниже, чем его маржа в 2016 году , но все равно лучше, чем у любого другого кандидата от республиканской партии со времен Рональда Рейгана в 1984 году . До выборов большинство новостных организаций считали, что в этом штате победит Трамп; В течение 21 века Миссури превратился из одного из самых заметных штатов-лидеров в надежно красный штат. Трамп стал первым действующим президентом после Гровера Кливленда в 1888 году , который выиграл Миссури и проиграл переизбрание, а также первым действующим президентом-республиканцем, сделавшим это. Это также первый раз с 1916 года (и только второй раз за всю историю), когда Миссури проголосовал за республиканцев больше, чем соседний Канзас .
In this election, Missouri voted just under 20% to the right of the nation as a whole.
Primary elections
[edit]Democratic primary
[edit]
| Candidate | Votes | % | Delegates[4] |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Biden | 400,347 | 60.10 | 44 |
| Bernie Sanders | 230,374 | 34.59 | 24 |
| Michael Bloomberg (withdrawn) | 9,866 | 1.48 | |
| Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn) | 8,156 | 1.22 | |
| Tulsi Gabbard | 4,887 | 0.73 | |
| Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn) | 3,309 | 0.50 | |
| Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn) | 2,682 | 0.40 | |
| Andrew Yang (withdrawn) | 953 | 0.14 | |
| Cory Booker (withdrawn) | 651 | 0.10 | |
| Tom Steyer (withdrawn) | 584 | 0.09 | |
| Michael Bennet (withdrawn) | 206 | 0.03 | |
| Marianne Williamson (withdrawn) | 170 | 0.03 | |
| John Delaney (withdrawn) | 159 | 0.02 | |
| Julian Castro (withdrawn) | 103 | 0.02 | |
| Henry Hewes | 94 | 0.01 | |
| Deval Patrick (withdrawn) | 52 | 0.01 | |
| Other candidates | 1,025 | 0.15 | |
| Uncommitted | 2,494 | 0.37 | |
| Total | 666,112 | 100% | 68 |
Republican primary
[edit]| Candidate | Votes | % | Estimated delegates |
|---|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump (incumbent) | 301,953 | 96.8% | 54 |
| Uncommitted | 4,216 | 1.4% | 0 |
| Bill Weld | 2,171 | 0.7% | 0 |
| Joe Walsh (withdrawn) | 2,015 | 0.6% | 0 |
| Bob Ely | 844 | 0.3% | 0 |
| Matthew John Matern | 594 | 0.2% | 0 |
| Total | 311,793 | 100% | 54 |
Libertarian primary
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 Election results by county
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| Candidate | Votes | Percentage |
|---|---|---|
| Jacob Hornberger | 1,683 | 74.6% |
| Uncommitted | 573 | 25.4% |
| Total | 2,256 | 100% |
Green primary
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green | Howie Hawkins | 2,733 | 76.93% | |
| Green | Dario Hunter | 639 | 26.87% | |
| Green | David Rolde | 214 | 10.99% | |
| Total votes | 3,586 | 100% | ||
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Likely R | September 10, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Lean R | September 4, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Likely R | July 14, 2020 |
| Politico[11] | Safe R | September 8, 2020 |
| RCP[12] | Lean R | August 3, 2020 |
| Niskanen[13] | Safe R | July 26, 2020 |
| CNN[14] | Safe R | August 3, 2020 |
| The Economist[15] | Likely R | September 2, 2020 |
| CBS News[16] | Likely R | August 16, 2020 |
| 270towin[17] | Likely R | August 2, 2020 |
| ABC News[18] | Lean R | July 31, 2020 |
| NPR[19] | Likely R | August 3, 2020 |
| NBC News[20] | Likely R | August 6, 2020 |
| 538[21] | Likely R | September 9, 2020 |
Polling
[edit]- Graphical summary
 | Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided [a] | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 270 to Win | October 13 – November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 43.7% | 51.3% | 5.0% | Trump +7.6 |
| FiveThirtyEight | until November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 43.6% | 51.6% | 4.8% | Trump +8.0 |
| Average | 43.7% | 51.5% | 4.9% | Trump +7.8 | ||
Polls
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jo Jorgensen Libertarian | Howie Hawkins Green | Other | Undecided |
|---|
Former candidates |
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Hypothetical polling |
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Results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Donald Trump Mike Pence | 1,718,736 | 56.80 | +0.02 | |
| Democratic | Joe Biden Kamala Harris | 1,253,014 | 41.41 | +3.27 | |
| Libertarian | Jo Jorgensen Spike Cohen | 41,205 | 1.36 | −2.11 | |
| Green | Howie Hawkins Angela Walker | 8,283 | 0.27 | −0.63 | |
| Constitution | Don Blankenship William Mohr | 3,919 | 0.13 | −0.34 | |
| Write-in | 805 | 0.03 | n/a | ||
| Total votes | 3,025,962 | 100.00 | |||
By county
[edit]| County | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Various candidates Other parties | Margin | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Adair | 6,413 | 62.05% | 3,710 | 35.89% | 213 | 2.06% | 2,703 | 26.14% | 10,336 |
| Andrew | 7,255 | 74.23% | 2,351 | 24.05% | 168 | 1.72% | 4,904 | 50.18% | 9,774 |
| Atchison | 2,199 | 78.14% | 564 | 20.04% | 51 | 1.82% | 1,635 | 58.10% | 2,814 |
| Audrain | 7,732 | 72.49% | 2,704 | 25.35% | 230 | 2.16% | 5,028 | 47.14% | 10,666 |
| Barry | 12,425 | 79.66% | 2,948 | 18.90% | 225 | 1.44% | 9,477 | 60.76% | 15,598 |
| Barton | 5,168 | 85.04% | 844 | 13.89% | 65 | 1.07% | 4,324 | 71.15% | 6,077 |
| Bates | 6,597 | 78.18% | 1,672 | 19.82% | 169 | 2.00% | 4,925 | 58.36% | 8,438 |
| Benton | 8,109 | 77.35% | 2,180 | 20.79% | 195 | 1.86% | 5,929 | 56.56% | 10,484 |
| Bollinger | 5,167 | 86.36% | 750 | 12.54% | 66 | 1.10% | 4,417 | 73.82% | 5,983 |
| Boone | 38,646 | 42.32% | 50,064 | 54.82% | 2,616 | 2.86% | -11,418 | -12.50% | 91,326 |
| Buchanan | 22,450 | 61.15% | 13,445 | 36.62% | 818 | 2.23% | 9,005 | 24.53% | 36,713 |
| Butler | 14,602 | 80.37% | 3,301 | 18.17% | 266 | 1.46% | 11,301 | 62.20% | 18,169 |
| Caldwell | 3,725 | 79.32% | 897 | 19.10% | 74 | 1.58% | 2,828 | 60.22% | 4,696 |
| Callaway | 14,815 | 69.94% | 5,870 | 27.71% | 498 | 2.35% | 8,945 | 42.23% | 21,183 |
| Camden | 18,850 | 75.97% | 5,652 | 22.78% | 310 | 1.25% | 13,198 | 53.19% | 24,812 |
| Cape Girardeau | 28,907 | 71.51% | 10,760 | 26.62% | 759 | 1.87% | 18,147 | 44.89% | 40,426 |
| Carroll | 3,706 | 81.77% | 786 | 17.34% | 40 | 0.89% | 2,920 | 64.43% | 4,532 |
| Carter | 2,451 | 84.60% | 418 | 14.43% | 28 | 0.97% | 2,033 | 70.17% | 2,897 |
| Cass | 37,197 | 64.61% | 19,052 | 33.09% | 1,319 | 2.30% | 18,145 | 31.52% | 57,568 |
| Cedar | 5,788 | 82.17% | 1,145 | 16.25% | 111 | 1.58% | 4,643 | 65.92% | 7,044 |
| Chariton | 3,111 | 76.31% | 916 | 22.47% | 50 | 3.30% | 2,195 | 53.84% | 4,077 |
| Christian | 34,920 | 74.42% | 11,131 | 23.72% | 874 | 1.86% | 23,789 | 50.70% | 46,925 |
| Clark | 2,672 | 78.73% | 678 | 19.98% | 44 | 1.29% | 1,994 | 58.75% | 3,394 |
| Clay | 64,605 | 51.04% | 59,400 | 46.93% | 2,564 | 2.03% | 5,205 | 4.11% | 126,569 |
| Clinton | 7,799 | 71.51% | 2,896 | 26.55% | 211 | 1.94% | 4,903 | 44.96% | 10,906 |
| Cole | 26,086 | 65.80% | 12,694 | 32.02% | 865 | 2.18% | 13,392 | 33.78% | 39,645 |
| Cooper | 6,272 | 72.15% | 2,249 | 25.87% | 172 | 1.98% | 4,023 | 46.28% | 8,693 |
| Crawford | 8,725 | 79.51% | 2,113 | 19.26% | 135 | 1.23% | 6,612 | 60.25% | 10,973 |
| Dade | 3,414 | 82.88% | 656 | 15.93% | 49 | 1.19% | 2,758 | 66.95% | 4,119 |
| Dallas | 6,619 | 81.68% | 1,380 | 17.03% | 105 | 1.29% | 5,239 | 64.65% | 8,104 |
| Daviess | 3,102 | 79.31% | 746 | 19.07% | 63 | 1.62% | 2,356 | 60.24% | 3,911 |
| DeKalb | 3,828 | 78.90% | 930 | 19.17% | 94 | 1.93% | 2,898 | 59.73% | 4,852 |
| Dent | 5,987 | 83.83% | 1,056 | 14.79% | 99 | 1.38% | 4,931 | 69.04% | 7,142 |
| Douglas | 5,898 | 84.26% | 1,016 | 14.51% | 86 | 1.23% | 4,882 | 69.75% | 7,000 |
| Dunklin | 8,135 | 78.08% | 2,200 | 21.12% | 84 | 0.80% | 5,935 | 56.96% | 10,419 |
| Franklin | 38,058 | 70.76% | 14,569 | 27.09% | 1,156 | 2.15% | 23,489 | 43.67% | 53,783 |
| Gasconade | 6,222 | 78.53% | 1,601 | 20.21% | 100 | 1.26% | 4,621 | 58.32% | 7,923 |
| Gentry | 2,581 | 79.73% | 613 | 18.94% | 43 | 1.33% | 1,968 | 60.79% | 3,237 |
| Greene | 83,630 | 58.78% | 55,068 | 38.71% | 3,574 | 2.51% | 28,562 | 20.07% | 142,272 |
| Grundy | 3,585 | 80.80% | 799 | 18.01% | 53 | 1.19% | 2,786 | 62.79% | 4,437 |
| Harrison | 3,198 | 83.59% | 597 | 15.60% | 31 | 0.81% | 2,601 | 67.99% | 3,826 |
| Henry | 8,027 | 74.29% | 2,619 | 24.24% | 159 | 1.47% | 5,408 | 50.05% | 10,805 |
| Hickory | 3,966 | 78.07% | 1,056 | 20.79% | 58 | 1.14% | 2,910 | 57.28% | 5,080 |
| Holt | 1,976 | 84.34% | 338 | 14.43% | 29 | 1.23% | 1,638 | 69.91% | 2,343 |
| Howard | 3,553 | 69.78% | 1,413 | 27.75% | 126 | 2.47% | 2,140 | 42.03% | 5,092 |
| Howell | 15,181 | 81.29% | 3,218 | 17.23% | 277 | 1.48% | 11,963 | 64.06% | 18,676 |
| Iron | 3,596 | 78.31% | 945 | 20.58% | 51 | 1.11% | 2,651 | 57.73% | 4,592 |
| Jackson | 126,535 | 37.88% | 199,842 | 59.82% | 7,678 | 2.30% | -73,307 | -21.94% | 334,055 |
| Jasper | 37,728 | 71.81% | 13,549 | 25.79% | 1,262 | 2.40% | 24,179 | 46.02% | 52,539 |
| Jefferson | 77,046 | 65.88% | 37,523 | 32.08% | 2,384 | 2.04% | 39,523 | 33.80% | 116,953 |
| Johnson | 15,489 | 66.84% | 6,974 | 30.10% | 709 | 3.06% | 8,515 | 36.74% | 23,172 |
| Knox | 1,486 | 80.06% | 340 | 18.32% | 30 | 1.62% | 1,146 | 61.74% | 1,856 |
| Laclede | 13,762 | 81.78% | 2,780 | 16.52% | 286 | 1.70% | 10,982 | 65.26% | 16,828 |
| Lafayette | 12,273 | 71.79% | 4,472 | 26.16% | 351 | 2.05% | 7,801 | 45.63% | 17,096 |
| Lawrence | 14,426 | 80.43% | 3,214 | 17.92% | 295 | 1.65% | 11,212 | 62.51% | 17,935 |
| Lewis | 3,553 | 76.92% | 984 | 21.30% | 82 | 1.78% | 2,569 | 55.62% | 4,619 |
| Lincoln | 21,848 | 75.17% | 6,607 | 22.73% | 610 | 2.10% | 15,241 | 52.44% | 29,065 |
| Linn | 4,363 | 76.20% | 1,275 | 22.27% | 88 | 1.53% | 3,088 | 53.93% | 5,726 |
| Livingston | 5,267 | 77.94% | 1,410 | 20.86% | 81 | 1.20% | 3,857 | 57.08% | 6,758 |
| Macon | 6,076 | 77.54% | 1,662 | 21.21% | 98 | 1.25% | 4,414 | 56.33% | 7,836 |
| Madison | 4,584 | 80.76% | 1,019 | 17.95% | 73 | 1.29% | 3,565 | 62.81% | 5,676 |
| Maries | 3,892 | 81.58% | 814 | 17.06% | 65 | 1.36% | 3,078 | 64.52% | 4,771 |
| Marion | 9,915 | 74.13% | 3,202 | 23.94% | 259 | 1.93% | 6,713 | 50.19% | 13,376 |
| McDonald | 7,465 | 82.37% | 1,439 | 15.88% | 159 | 1.75% | 6,026 | 66.49% | 9,063 |
| Mercer | 1,541 | 86.48% | 222 | 12.46% | 19 | 1.06% | 1,319 | 74.02% | 1,782 |
| Miller | 10,176 | 82.08% | 2,038 | 16.44% | 183 | 1.48% | 8,138 | 65.64% | 12,397 |
| Mississippi | 3,537 | 74.37% | 1,178 | 24.77% | 41 | 0.86% | 2,359 | 49.60% | 4,756 |
| Moniteau | 5,744 | 80.26% | 1,308 | 18.28% | 105 | 1.46% | 4,436 | 61.98% | 7,157 |
| Monroe | 3,477 | 77.56% | 936 | 20.88% | 70 | 1.56% | 2,541 | 56.68% | 4,483 |
| Montgomery | 4,465 | 77.36% | 1,208 | 20.93% | 99 | 1.71% | 3,257 | 56.43% | 5,772 |
| Morgan | 7,442 | 78.44% | 1,924 | 20.28% | 121 | 1.28% | 5,518 | 58.16% | 9,487 |
| New Madrid | 5,447 | 75.13% | 1,748 | 24.11% | 55 | 0.76% | 3,699 | 51.02% | 7,250 |
| Newton | 22,120 | 77.74% | 5,818 | 20.45% | 516 | 1.81% | 16,302 | 57.29% | 28,454 |
| Nodaway | 6,865 | 69.27% | 2,853 | 28.79% | 192 | 1.94% | 4,012 | 40.48% | 9,910 |
| Oregon | 3,847 | 81.18% | 823 | 17.37% | 69 | 1.45% | 3,024 | 63.81% | 4,739 |
| Osage | 6,425 | 85.14% | 1,037 | 13.74% | 84 | 1.12% | 5,388 | 71.40% | 7,546 |
| Ozark | 4,064 | 83.55% | 752 | 15.46% | 48 | 0.99% | 3,312 | 68.09% | 4,864 |
| Pemiscot | 4,120 | 71.84% | 1,560 | 27.20% | 55 | 0.96% | 2,560 | 44.64% | 5,735 |
| Perry | 7,657 | 80.98% | 1,664 | 17.60% | 135 | 1.42% | 5,993 | 63.38% | 9,456 |
| Pettis | 13,854 | 72.55% | 4,783 | 25.05% | 460 | 2.40% | 9,071 | 47.50% | 19,097 |
| Phelps | 13,480 | 68.77% | 5,637 | 28.76% | 484 | 2.47% | 7,843 | 40.01% | 19,601 |
| Pike | 5,863 | 76.08% | 1,717 | 22.28% | 126 | 1.64% | 4,146 | 53.80% | 7,706 |
| Platte | 28,917 | 50.49% | 27,179 | 47.46% | 1,174 | 2.05% | 1,738 | 3.03% | 57,270 |
| Polk | 11,850 | 78.49% | 2,885 | 19.11% | 363 | 2.40% | 8,965 | 59.38% | 15,098 |
| Pulaski | 10,329 | 71.53% | 3,740 | 25.90% | 372 | 2.57% | 6,589 | 45.63% | 14,441 |
| Putnam | 1,984 | 84.03% | 361 | 15.29% | 16 | 0.68% | 1,623 | 68.74% | 2,361 |
| Ralls | 4,396 | 77.64% | 1,205 | 21.28% | 61 | 1.08% | 3,191 | 56.36% | 5,662 |
| Randolph | 8,018 | 74.54% | 2,485 | 23.10% | 254 | 2.36% | 5,533 | 51.44% | 10,757 |
| Ray | 8,345 | 71.48% | 3,109 | 26.63% | 221 | 1.89% | 5,236 | 44.85% | 11,675 |
| Reynolds | 2,733 | 82.87% | 529 | 16.04% | 36 | 1.09% | 2,204 | 66.83% | 3,298 |
| Ripley | 4,839 | 84.64% | 833 | 14.57% | 45 | 0.79% | 4,006 | 70.07% | 5,717 |
| Saline | 6,451 | 67.67% | 2,904 | 30.46% | 178 | 1.87% | 3,547 | 37.21% | 9,533 |
| Schuyler | 1,606 | 80.18% | 373 | 18.62% | 24 | 1.20% | 1,233 | 61.56% | 2,003 |
| Scotland | 1,560 | 78.55% | 388 | 19.54% | 38 | 1.91% | 1,172 | 59.01% | 1,986 |
| Scott | 13,769 | 77.58% | 3,753 | 21.15% | 226 | 1.27% | 10,016 | 56.43% | 17,748 |
| Shannon | 3,165 | 81.03% | 706 | 18.07% | 35 | 0.90% | 2,459 | 62.96% | 3,906 |
| Shelby | 2,700 | 80.60% | 592 | 17.67% | 58 | 1.73% | 2,108 | 62.93% | 3,350 |
| St. Charles | 128,389 | 57.69% | 89,530 | 40.23% | 4,647 | 2.08% | 38,859 | 17.46% | 222,566 |
| St. Clair | 3,932 | 79.05% | 988 | 19.86% | 54 | 1.09% | 2,944 | 59.19% | 4,974 |
| St. Francois | 20,511 | 73.08% | 7,044 | 25.10% | 510 | 1.82% | 13,467 | 47.98% | 28,065 |
| St. Louis | 199,493 | 37.19% | 328,151 | 61.17% | 8,802 | 1.64% | -128,658 | -23.98% | 536,446 |
| St. Louis City | 21,474 | 15.98% | 110,089 | 81.93% | 2,809 | 2.09% | -88,615 | -65.95% | 134,372 |
| Ste. Genevieve | 6,630 | 69.80% | 2,713 | 28.56% | 155 | 1.64% | 3,917 | 41.24% | 9,498 |
| Stoddard | 11,484 | 85.54% | 1,819 | 13.55% | 123 | 0.91% | 9,665 | 71.99% | 13,426 |
| Stone | 14,800 | 79.91% | 3,506 | 18.93% | 214 | 1.16% | 11,294 | 60.98% | 18,520 |
| Sullivan | 1,974 | 79.89% | 478 | 19.34% | 19 | 0.77% | 1,496 | 60.55% | 2,471 |
| Taney | 20,508 | 77.86% | 5,339 | 20.27% | 491 | 1.87% | 15,169 | 57.59% | 26,338 |
| Texas | 9,478 | 83.76% | 1,716 | 15.17% | 121 | 1.07% | 7,762 | 68.59% | 11,315 |
| Vernon | 7,155 | 77.90% | 1,903 | 20.72% | 127 | 1.38% | 5,252 | 57.18% | 9,185 |
| Warren | 13,222 | 71.80% | 4,769 | 25.90% | 425 | 2.30% | 8,453 | 45.90% | 18,416 |
| Washington | 8,047 | 80.56% | 1,804 | 18.06% | 138 | 1.38% | 6,243 | 62.50% | 9,989 |
| Wayne | 4,987 | 84.84% | 845 | 14.38% | 46 | 0.78% | 4,142 | 70.46% | 5,878 |
| Webster | 14,880 | 79.24% | 3,573 | 19.03% | 326 | 1.73% | 11,307 | 60.21% | 18,779 |
| Worth | 877 | 79.22% | 215 | 19.42% | 15 | 1.36% | 662 | 59.80% | 1,107 |
| Wright | 7,453 | 85.17% | 1,168 | 13.35% | 130 | 1.48% | 6,285 | 71.82% | 8,751 |
| Totals | 1,718,736 | 56.71% | 1,253,014 | 41.34% | 58,998 | 1.95% | 465,722 | 15.37% | 3,030,748 |
By congressional district
[edit]Trump won 6 of 8 congressional districts.[24]
| District | Trump | Biden | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 18.1% | 80.3% | Lacy Clay (116th Congress) |
| Cori Bush (117th Congress) | |||
| 2nd | 49.18% | 49.16% | Ann Wagner |
| 3rd | 66.9% | 31.3% | Blaine Luetkemeyer |
| 4th | 66% | 31.9% | Vicky Hartzler |
| 5th | 39.6% | 58.4% | Emanuel Cleaver |
| 6th | 63.3% | 35% | Sam Graves |
| 7th | 70% | 28.1% | Billy Long |
| 8th | 77.3% | 21.4% | Jason Smith |
Analysis
[edit]A bellwether state for the bulk of the 20th century, Missouri has since come to vote reliably Republican in presidential elections. This has been attributed to a shift in Republican policy towards right-wing populism and social conservatism; the platform has found fertile ground in the state, which lies in the Bible Belt, with Trump carrying 86% of White, born-again/Evangelical Christians.[25]
Biden won the same four jurisdictions that Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton did in 2012 and 2016, respectively: Jackson County, home to Kansas City; Boone County, home to the college town of Columbia; and St. Louis County, home to the suburbs of St. Louis, which he also won. Biden also improved Democratic margins in Platte and Clay counties, both suburbs of Kansas City; Platte was carried by Trump by only 3%, and Clay by 4%. In addition, the 61% of the vote that Biden won in St. Louis County was the best performance for a Democrat since Lyndon B. Johnson's 1964 landslide.[citation needed]
Per exit polls by the Associated Press, Trump's strength in Missouri came from voters who trusted him on economic policy: a 57% majority believed Trump was better able to handle international trade. With a hybrid industrial-service-agricultural economy, 63% of Missourian voters favored increasing taxes on goods imported to the U.S. from other countries, and these voters broke for Trump by 67%. As is the case in many Southern and border states, there was a stark racial divide in voting for this election: White Missourians supported Trump by 62%, while black Missourians supported Biden by 88%. Trump became the first-ever Republican presidential candidate to win Missouri by double digits twice.[25]
In other elections, incumbent Republican Mike Parson easily defeated State Auditor Nicole Galloway by 16 points—outperforming Trump—in the governor's race, further testifying to the state's trend towards the GOP, and becoming the best performance for a Republican on the gubernatorial level since John Ashcroft's 1988 victory.
See also
[edit]- United States presidential elections in Missouri
- 2020 United States presidential election
- 2020 Democratic Party presidential primaries
- 2020 Libertarian Party presidential primaries
- 2020 Green Party presidential primaries
- 2020 Republican Party presidential primaries
- 2020 United States elections
Notes
[edit]- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ Jump up to: a b c d e f g h Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
- ^ "Someone else" with 5%
- ^ "Another Party Candidate" with 1%
- ^ "Someone else" with 3%
- Partisan clients
- ^ Jump up to: a b Poll sponsored by Galloway's campaign for governor
- ^ Jump up to: a b Uniting Missouri is a PAC supporting Governor Mike Parson (R) in the 2020 Missouri gubernatorial election.
References
[edit]- ^ Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Archived from the original on August 2, 2018. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
- ^ "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
- ^ "State of Missouri - Presidential Primary Election, March 10, 2020" (PDF). Missouri Secretary of State. Retrieved August 12, 2020.
- ^ "Associated Press Election Services - Delegate Tracker". Associated Press. Retrieved November 23, 2022.
- ^ "2020_Presidential_Preference_Primary_All_Results.pdf" (PDF). April 9, 2020.
- ^ "Joe Biden, Donald Trump win Missouri Presidential Preferential Primary". KMBC. March 10, 2020. Retrieved March 10, 2020.
- ^ "Candidate List — March 2020 Presidential Preference Primary". Retrieved December 18, 2019.
- ^ "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
- ^ "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
- ^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
- ^ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
- ^ "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
- ^ 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions Archived April 23, 2020, at the Wayback Machine, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020.
- ^ David Chalian; Terence Burlij (June 11, 2020). "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved June 16, 2020.
- ^ "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved July 7, 2020.
- ^ "2020 Election Battleground Tracker". CBS News. July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 13, 2020.
- ^ "2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270 to Win.
- ^ "ABC News Race Ratings". CBS News. July 24, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
- ^ Montanaro, Domenico (August 3, 2020). "2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes". NPR.org. Retrieved August 3, 2020.
- ^ "Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten". NBC News. August 6, 2020. Retrieved August 6, 2020.
- ^ "2020 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. August 12, 2020. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
- ^ "Official List of Candidates" (PDF). Missouri Secretary of State. Archived from the original (PDF) on September 1, 2020. Retrieved September 17, 2020.
- ^ General Election, November 03, 2020, Official Results, Missouri Secretary of State, December 8, 2020.
- ^ "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index". The Cook Political Report.
- ^ Jump up to: a b "Missouri Voter Surveys: How Different Groups Voted". The New York Times. November 3, 2020. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved November 9, 2020.
Further reading
[edit]- Summary: State Laws on Presidential Electors (PDF), Washington DC: National Association of Secretaries of State, August 2020,
Missouri
Внешние ссылки
[ редактировать ]- Круглый стол по правительственным документам Американской библиотечной ассоциации, «Миссури» , наборы инструментов для голосования и выборов
- «Миссури: инструменты для выборов, сроки, даты, правила и ссылки» , Vote.org , Окленд, Калифорния
- «Лига женщин-избирательниц Миссури» . (Государственный филиал Лиги женщин-избирательниц США )
- Миссури в Ballotpedia
